MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on April 5, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Chicago Cubs logo CHC @ Cleveland Guardians logo CLE Sun, Apr 5 • 1:10 PM ET
1 Expert Pick
Moneyline
Cleveland Guardians logo CLE (-102)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
Phil Naessens image
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Parker Messick shut out the Dodgers in his opening start and gets a Cubs offense that has scored fewer than three runs in three of their last five contests.

The Guardians’ sticks should get the best of Edward Cabrera and his history of command issues.

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Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ Washington Nationals logo WAS Sun, Apr 5 • 1:35 PM ET
2 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Kyle Tucker logo
Kyle Tucker o0.5 Total Bases (-260)
Projection 1.78
Best Odds
Pick made: 22 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Kyle Tucker projects as the 13th-best batter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The weather forecast expects the 4th-most favorable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.8-mph in this match-up, the 6th-best of the day for hitters.. Among all the teams today, the 3rd-worst infield defense belongs to the Washington Nationals.
Strikeouts Thrown
Roki Sasaki logo
Roki Sasaki o3.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-118)
Projection 4.44
Best Odds
Pick made: 22 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Roki Sasaki's 95.6-mph fastball velocity since the start of last season grades out in the 88th percentile out of all SPs.. Given the 1.18 deviation between Roki Sasaki's 7.14 K/9 and his 8.32 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the unluckiest pitchers in the league since the start of last season in terms of strikeouts and ought to positively regress in the future.
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Miami Marlins logo MIA @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sun, Apr 5 • 1:35 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Trent Grisham logo
Trent Grisham o0.5 Total Bases (-180)
Projection 1.81
Best Odds
Pick made: 42 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trent Grisham in the 96th percentile when estimating his home run skill.. Among all parks, Yankee Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. This game is expected to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate (75%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the 5th-strongest of the day for hitters.
Total Bases
Giancarlo Stanton logo
Giancarlo Stanton o0.5 Total Bases (-205)
Projection 1.85
Best Odds
Pick made: 42 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Giancarlo Stanton as the game's 6th-best home run batter.. Among all parks, Yankee Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. This game is expected to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate (75%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the 5th-strongest of the day for hitters.
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San Diego Padres logo SD @ Boston Red Sox logo BOS Sun, Apr 5 • 1:35 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Moneyline
San Diego Padres logo SD (+122)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
Phil Naessens image
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Walker Buehler is a proven veteran arm and is coming off a tough start, but Ranger Suarez is a gas can that the Padres' lineup can hammer for a solid road win.

Expect a bounce-back outing for Buehler and a Padres plus-money victory. 

Total Bases
Wilyer Abreu logo
Wilyer Abreu o0.5 Total Bases (-230)
Projection 1.69
Best Odds
Pick made: 28 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 96th percentile when assessing his home run talent.. Fenway Park ranks as the #3 stadium in MLB for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The shallowest CF fences among all parks are found in Fenway Park.. This game is forecasted to have the most humid conditions of all games today (78%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.
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Houston Astros logo HOU @ Athletics Athletics logo ATH Sun, Apr 5 • 4:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Brent Rooker logo
Brent Rooker o0.5 Total Bases (-215)
Projection 1.82
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Brent Rooker ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Sutter Health Park ranks as the #4 ballpark in the league for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. On average, the fence height at Sutter Health Park is the 3rd-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the 3rd-best hitting conditions of all games today.
Total Bases
Shea Langeliers logo
Shea Langeliers o0.5 Total Bases (-220)
Projection 2
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Shea Langeliers projects as the 19th-best home run batter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Sutter Health Park ranks as the #4 ballpark in the league for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. On average, the fence height at Sutter Health Park is the 3rd-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the 3rd-best hitting conditions of all games today.
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Chicago Cubs logo CHC @ Cleveland Guardians logo CLE Sun, Apr 5 • 4:40 PM ET
3 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Chicago Cubs logo Cleveland Guardians logo o7.5 (-120)
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 hours ago
Rohit Ponnaiya image
Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst

Guardians starter Slade Cecconi pitched to a 4.99 xERA in 2025 while posting the second-worst barrel rate and hard-hit rate among pitchers with at least 100 innings. He got rocked in his season debut and now he faces a Cubs lineup that leads the majors in hard-hit rate and is due for positive regression. The Cubs are sending Shota Imanaga to the hill. He had a 3.73 ERA last year but his FIP was significantly worse at 4.86. He also has a tendency to get hit hard and struggled in his season debut. 

Moneyline
Chicago Cubs logo CHC (-126)
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 hours ago
Rohit Ponnaiya image
Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst

The Guardians are sending Slade Cecconi to the mound after he surrendered six runs in 4 1/3 innings in his season debut. He had a 4.99 xERA in 2025 while posting the second-worst barrel rate and hard-hit rate among pitchers with at least 100 innings. The Cubs respond with southpaw Shota Imanaga who pitched to a 3.73 ERA with a 0.99 WHIP last year. Both teams are struggling at the dish but the Cubs were significantly more productive last year. They also lead the majors in hard-hit rate while the Guardians are 27th. Expect the Cubs big bats to break out against Cecconi.

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