MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on July 6, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

PHI @

KC Mon, Jul 6 • 2:10 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total RBIs

Kyle Schwarber o0.5 Total RBIs (+142)

Projection 0.85

Best Odds

o0.5 +142

Pick made: 10 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +142

o0.5 +135

o0.5 +140

o0.5 +125

o0.5 +136

o0.5 +130

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 3rd-best home run hitter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 10th-best park in baseball for run-scoring.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which often leads to better offense.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the hottest temperature of the day at 85°.

+142 at DraftKings

Total RBIs

Bobby Witt Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+206)

Projection 0.58

Best Odds

o0.5 +206

Pick made: 10 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +206

o0.5 +180

o0.5 +184

o0.5 +175

When it comes to his batting average talent, Bobby Witt Jr. is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bobby Witt Jr. is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 10th-best park in baseball for run-scoring.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which often leads to better offense.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the hottest temperature of the day at 85°.

+206 at DraftKings

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NYY @

TB Mon, Jul 6 • 6:40 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Trent Grisham o1.5 Total Bases (+150)

Projection 1.71

Best Odds

o1.5 +150

Pick made: 11 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +139

o1.5 +115

o1.5 +145

o1.5 +150

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trent Grisham in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Trent Grisham is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game.. Tropicana Field grades out as the #3 park in the league for left-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Trent Grisham will hold the platoon advantage against Griffin Jax today.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense projects as the worst out of all the teams today.

+150 at Fanatics Sportsbook

Total Bases

Jazz Chisholm Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+205)

Projection 1.53

Best Odds

o1.5 +205

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +184

o1.5 +205

o1.5 +155

o1.5 +175

o1.5 +180

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 90th percentile when estimating his home run skill.. Tropicana Field grades out as the #3 park in the league for left-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Batting from the opposite that Griffin Jax throws from, Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have the upper hand today.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.2% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense projects as the worst out of all the teams today.

+205 at bet365

View 10 Picks

HOU @

WAS Mon, Jul 6 • 6:45 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total RBIs

Curtis Mead o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)

Projection 0.71

Best Odds

o0.5 +165

Pick made: 10 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +165

o0.5 +150

o0.5 +149

o0.5 +145

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Curtis Mead ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Curtis Mead is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.. Nationals Park has the shallowest fences among all stadiums — generally good for dingers.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. The Houston Astros infield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest out of every team playing today.

+165 at DraftKings

Total RBIs

Christian Walker o0.5 Total RBIs (+131)

Projection 0.78

Best Odds

o0.5 +131

Pick made: 10 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +131

o0.5 +125

o0.5 +115

o0.5 +120

o0.5 +115

When assessing his home run talent, Christian Walker ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Christian Walker is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game.. Nationals Park has the shallowest fences among all stadiums — generally good for dingers.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. The Washington Nationals infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams in action today.

+131 at DraftKings

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NYM @

ATL Mon, Jul 6 • 7:15 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Francisco Lindor o1.5 Total Bases (+127)

Projection 1.91

Best Odds

o1.5 +135

Pick made: 5 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +127

o1.5 +120

o1.5 +115

o1.5 +123

o1.5 +135

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Francisco Lindor is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 6th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average.. The 4th-shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums are found in Truist Park.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output.

+135 at Fanatics Sportsbook

Total Bases

Drake Baldwin o1.5 Total Bases (+115)

Projection 1.89

Best Odds

o1.5 +115

Pick made: 7 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +111

o1.5 +105

o1.5 +107

o1.5 +115

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Drake Baldwin ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Drake Baldwin is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 6th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the most suitable for hitting of the day.

+115 at Fanatics Sportsbook

View 10 Picks

MIL @

STL Mon, Jul 6 • 7:45 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total RBIs

Ivan Herrera o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)

Projection 0.52

Best Odds

o0.5 +217

Pick made: 10 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +217

o0.5 +202

o0.5 +210

o0.5 +200

o0.5 +190

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Ivan Herrera ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ivan Herrera is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game.. Busch Stadium has the 9th-shortest average fence height among all major league parks.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 83°.. Ivan Herrera will hold the platoon advantage against Shane Drohan in today's matchup.

+217 at DraftKings

Total RBIs

Masyn Winn o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)

Projection 0.44

Best Odds

o0.5 +232

Pick made: 10 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +232

o0.5 +230

o0.5 +190

o0.5 +205

o0.5 +190

Masyn Winn is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 79% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.. Busch Stadium has the 9th-shortest average fence height among all major league parks.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 83°.. Masyn Winn will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Shane Drohan in today's game.. Masyn Winn hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

+232 at DraftKings

View 10 Picks

AZ @

SD Mon, Jul 6 • 9:40 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total RBIs

Manny Machado o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)

Projection 0.65

Best Odds

o0.5 +180

Pick made: 10 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +180

o0.5 +150

o0.5 +155

o0.5 +153

o0.5 +145

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 91st percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. Manny Machado is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today.. Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums.. On average, the fence height at Petco Park is the 5th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Manny Machado will hold that advantage today.

+180 at DraftKings

Total RBIs

Corbin Carroll o0.5 Total RBIs (+161)

Projection 0.68

Best Odds

o0.5 +161

Pick made: 10 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +161

o0.5 +130

o0.5 +145

o0.5 +143

o0.5 +140

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 97th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. Corbin Carroll is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. On average, the fence height at Petco Park is the 5th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Batting from the opposite that Walker Buehler throws from, Corbin Carroll will have an edge today.

+161 at DraftKings

View 10 Picks

TOR @

SF Mon, Jul 6 • 9:45 PM ET

1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks

Moneyline

SF (-116)

Best Odds

-102

Pick made: 18 hours ago

-123

-110

-106

-102

-105

Kevin Gausman has allowed 14 earned runs across his last three starts, and he won't have an easier time against a Giants lineup that is slashing .393/.413/.719 against the right-hander. Meanwhile, Landen Roupp boasts both a Barrel % and hard-hit rate that rank in the 93rd and 95th percentile at Baseball Savant. Take the Giants to prevail at home.

Total RBIs

Sean Keys o0.5 Total RBIs (+260)

Projection 0.43

Best Odds

o0.5 +260

Pick made: 8 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +235

o0.5 +260

o0.5 +220

o0.5 +210

The shallowest RF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Oracle Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for batters.. Hitting from the opposite that Landen Roupp throws from, Sean Keys will have an edge today.. The San Francisco Giants outfield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams in action today.

+260 at bet365

View 11 Picks

COL @

LAD Mon, Jul 6 • 10:10 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Shohei Ohtani o1.5 Total Bases (-120)

Projection 2.36

Best Odds

o1.5 -120

Pick made: 11 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 -123

o1.5 -130

o1.5 -145

o1.5 -132

o1.5 -120

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Shohei Ohtani ranks as the 4th-best hitter in the majors.. Shohei Ohtani is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today.. Dodger Stadium ranks as the #2 park in the majors for lefty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Dodger Stadium has the lowest fence height (on average) among all major league stadiums.. This game is forecasted to have the 11th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

-120 at Fanatics Sportsbook

Total Hits

Kyle Tucker u0.5 Total Hits (+175)

Projection 0.91

Best Odds

u0.5 +176

Pick made: 12 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +176

u0.5 +155

u0.5 +175

Kyle Tucker has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (76% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in today's game.. Batting from the same side that Kyle Freeland throws from, Kyle Tucker meets a tough challenge in today's game.. Kyle Tucker pulls many of his flyballs (36.1% — 87th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league's 8th-deepest RF fences in today's game.

+176 at DraftKings

View 10 Picks

MIL @

STL Tue, Jul 7 • 2:15 PM ET

2 Computer Picks

Total RBIs

Brice Turang o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)

Projection 0.52

Best Odds

o0.5 +190

Pick made: 2 months ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +190

o0.5 +180

o0.5 +179

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang in the 96th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.. Brice Turang is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.. Batting from the opposite that Andre Pallante throws from, Brice Turang will have an edge today.. Brice Turang has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 97.3-mph average to last season's 94-mph average.

+190 at DraftKings

Total RBIs

Alec Burleson o0.5 Total RBIs (+174)

Projection 0.56

Best Odds

o0.5 +174

Pick made: 2 months ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +174

o0.5 +165

o0.5 +160

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. Alec Burleson is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today.. Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.. Hitting from the opposite that Brandon Sproat throws from, Alec Burleson will have an edge today.. Alec Burleson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

+174 at DraftKings

View 2 Picks

AZ @

STL Thu, Jul 23 • 5:15 PM ET

6 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks

Game Prop

o2.5 Team Total (-115)

Best Odds

o2.5 +114

Pick made: 10 days ago

o2.5 +114

The Cardinals are in a premium offensive spot against Zac Gallen, who enters the day with the second-worst pitcher rating in Batters-Box's current season model. Gallen has struggled to limit power and hard contact, carrying poorly rated matchup marks in ISO, hard contact rate, and ground ball rate. St. Louis counters with seven elite-rated hitters and an offense averaging more than 2.5 first five innings runs per game at home. The Cardinals have also been red hot lately, posting a 122 wRC+ over their last 12 games. With so many favorable individual matchups, backing the offense as a whole makes plenty of sense.

Earned Runs Allowed

Zac Gallen o2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-141)

Best Odds

o2.5 -137

Pick made: 10 days ago

o2.5 -137

o2.5 -150

o2.5 -141

o2.5 -155

Zac Gallen has been one of the most vulnerable pitchers on the board, especially away from Arizona, where he owns a 7.68 ERA and 6.00 xERA while surrendering plenty of hard contact and barrels. Things do not get any easier against a Cardinals lineup loaded with seven elite-rated hitters according to Batters-Box. St. Louis has been one of the hotter offenses in baseball recently, producing a 122 wRC+, .782 OPS, and .345 wOBA over its last 12 games. With Gallen's struggles and the Cardinals continuing to swing hot bats, this sets up as an excellent spot to back St. Louis early and often.

Read Full Analysis

View 16 Picks

TOR @

CHC Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET

4 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks

Total Home Runs

Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)

Best Odds

o0.5 +425

Pick made: 14 days ago

o0.5 +370

o0.5 +425

Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer.

3 LEG PARLAY

Dansby Swanson u0.5 Total Hits

Total Hits

Dylan Cease o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown

Strikeouts Thrown

George Springer o1.5 Total Bases

Total Bases

Bet now

+280

Pick made: 14 days ago

Swanson is just 1-for-6 against Cease in his career. Cease has electric stuff, leading the American League with 110 Ks, while ranking in the 97th percentile in K-rate. Springer is turning a corner with a 1.089 OPS over his last nine games.

View 14 Picks

ATL @

CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET

5 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks

Total

o8.5 (-105)

Pick made: 24 days ago

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Read Full Analysis

Moneyline

ATL (-112)

Best Odds

-115

Pick made: 24 days ago

-120

-115

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

Read Full Analysis

View 15 Picks

BOS @

NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET

2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks

Total

o8.5 (-110)

Best Odds

o8.0 -125

Pick made: 29 days ago

o8.5 -102

o8.0 -125

o8.5 -102

o8.5 +100

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Read Full Analysis

Moneyline

NYY (-135)

Best Odds

-110

Pick made: 29 days ago

-118

-110

-112

-110

-115

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

Read Full Analysis

View 12 Picks

SF @

ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET

2 Expert Picks

Total

o7.5 (-116)

Pick made: 17 days ago

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

Read Full Analysis

Moneyline

SF (+124)

Best Odds

+110

Pick made: 17 days ago

+110

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

Read Full Analysis

View 2 Picks

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