New York @ Toronto Picks & Props

The #3 park in the majors for suppressing base hits to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre. The weather report predicts the 5th-best pitching conditions on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Jose Berrios will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Gleyber Torres in today's game. Gleyber Torres will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. Gleyber Torres has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 8.3% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% over the last week.

The #3 park in the majors for suppressing base hits to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre. The weather report predicts the 5th-best pitching conditions on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Jose Berrios will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against DJ LeMahieu today. Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for DJ LeMahieu today. DJ LeMahieu has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 5.8% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% over the past two weeks.

Estevan Florial is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. Estevan Florial will have the handedness advantage over Jose Berrios in today's game. Estevan Florial hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Estevan Florial's quickness has improved this season. His 27.94 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 29.12 ft/sec now. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Estevan Florial since the start of last season. His .247 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .268.

The 10th-shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball are found in Rogers Centre. The switch-hitting Oswaldo Cabrera will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Jose Berrios. Oswaldo Cabrera has been unlucky this year, putting up a .264 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .304 — a .040 difference.

The 10th-shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball are found in Rogers Centre. Ben Rortvedt will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Berrios in today's game. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Ben Rortvedt this year. His .220 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .295.

Cavan Biggio is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. The 10th-shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball are found in Rogers Centre. Cavan Biggio will hold the platoon advantage against Gerrit Cole today. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Cavan Biggio stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams today.

Oswald Peraza hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 76th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. In the last week's worth of games, Oswald Peraza's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 4.5% up to 25%. Oswald Peraza has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 94.7-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal figure of 91.6-mph. Despite posting a .255 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Oswald Peraza has had some very poor luck given the .048 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .303.

The 10th-shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball are found in Rogers Centre. Anthony Volpe has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 9.4% seasonal rate to 18.2% in the past 7 days. Anthony Volpe has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 100.3-mph average in the past week to his seasonal average of 93.6-mph. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.246) may lead us to conclude that Anthony Volpe has suffered from bad luck this year with his .207 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kevin Kiermaier in the 79th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. The 10th-shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball are found in Rogers Centre. Kevin Kiermaier will have the handedness advantage over Gerrit Cole in today's game. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kevin Kiermaier stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the best batter in the game. Aaron Judge is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. The 10th-shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball are found in Rogers Centre. Aaron Judge has made significant gains with his Barrel% lately, improving his 27% seasonal rate to 33.3% over the past 14 days. Aaron Judge has seen a big gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 105.9-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 97.4-mph average.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Matt Chapman ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Chapman hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Matt Chapman will hold that advantage in today's game. Despite posting a .330 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Matt Chapman has experienced some negative variance given the .030 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .360.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Giancarlo Stanton in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Giancarlo Stanton is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. The 10th-shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball are found in Rogers Centre. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Giancarlo Stanton's true offensive talent to be a .353, indicating that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .052 deviation between that mark and his actual .301 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Whit Merrifield in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. The 10th-shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball are found in Rogers Centre. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams today. Whit Merrifield will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Whit Merrifield has recorded a .275 Expected Batting Average this year, placing in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.