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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 15, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.92 |
-230 
|
o8.5 -114 
|
-1.5 -134
|
|
3.81 |
+205 
|
u8.5 -105 
|
+1.5 +115 
|
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. National League Central.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Yamamotos last 6 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Yamamotos last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Yamamotos last 4 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Cincinnati
- Reds are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Lowders last 5 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in Lowders last 5 starts on grass.
- Over is 6-0 in Lowders last 6 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Top Projection
Eugenio Suarez o0.5 Total RBIs (+205)
o0.5+250
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.53 |
+130
|
o8.5 -114 
|
+1.5 -160
|
|
4.67 |
-150
|
u9.0 -110
|
-1.5 +150
|
Chi. White Sox
- Under is 5-0 in Martins last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 6-0 in White Sox last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 4-0 in White Sox last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in White Sox last 4 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Cleveland
- Guardians are 5-0 in their last 5 games following a loss.
- Over is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Griffins last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Under is 4-1 in Guardians last 5 games as a favorite.
Top Projection
Munetaka Murakami o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
o0.5+190
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.85 |
+195 
|
o8.0 -110
|
+1.5 -109
|
|
4.66 |
-220
|
u8.5 -125
|
-1.5 -102
|
Athletics
- Over is 3-0-2 in Perkins' last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 7-1 in last 8 road games.
- Over is 7-1 in last 8 games as a road underdog.
Tampa Bay
- Rays are 7-0 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 4-0 in Rays last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Jaxs last 4 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Top Projection
Shea Langeliers o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
o1.5+150
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.12 |
-210
|
o7.5 -105
|
-1.5 -122
|
|
3.91 |
+185
|
u7.5 -110
|
+1.5 +105
|
Milwaukee
- Over is 7-1-1 in Brewers last 9 games as a road underdog.
- Brewers are 7-1 in Misiorowskis last 8 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Brewers are 6-1 in Misiorowskis last 7 starts vs. National League Central.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Brewers last 8 games as an underdog.
Pittsburgh
- Under is 4-0-1 in Pirates last 5 home games.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Pirates last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Pirates last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Pirates last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Top Projection
Bryan Reynolds o0.5 Total RBIs (+302)
o0.5+302
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.95 |
-218
|
o7.5 -122
|
-1.5 -120
|
|
3.01 |
+195
|
u8.5 -118
|
+1.5 +115
|
Philadelphia
- Over is 4-0-1 in Sanchezs last 5 starts vs. National League East.
- Under is 4-0 in Sanchezs last 4 starts as a road favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Sanchezs last 4 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
Washington
- Over is 3-0-2 in Kents last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Kents last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Kents last 4 starts on grass.
- Under is 4-1 in Nationals last 5 games as a home favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.37 |
+125
|
o8.0 -124
|
+1.5 -164
|
|
4.50 |
-135
|
u8.5 -109
|
-1.5 +155
|
Detroit
- Over is 3-0-2 in Tigers last 5 overall.
- Tigers are 5-0 in their last 5 overall.
- Over is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 3-0-2 in Tigers last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Toronto
- Over is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 home games.
- Under is 4-1 in Blue Jays last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 games as a favorite.
Top Projection
Spencer Torkelson o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
o0.5+230
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.36 |
+115
|
o7.5 -125
|
+1.5 -190
|
|
4.67 |
-130
|
u8.5 -130
|
-1.5 +162
|
Baltimore
- Under is 6-0 in Bazs last 6 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Under is 5-0 in Bazs last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
NY Mets
- Over is 6-0-1 in Mets last 7 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 2-0-2 in Mets last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Manaeas last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Mets are 4-0 in Manaeas last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Juan Soto o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
o0.5+195
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.50 |
+120
|
o8.5 -110
|
+1.5 -170
|
|
4.89 |
-140
|
u8.5 -110
|
-1.5 +150
|
Atlanta
- Under is 6-0 in Perezs last 6 starts on grass.
- Under is 6-0 in Perezs last 6 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 6-0 in Perezs last 6 starts overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Braves last 4 overall.
Chi. Cubs
- Cubs are 4-0 in Gausmans last 4 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Cubs last 8 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 6-1 in Cubs last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Over is 5-1 in Cubs last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Top Projection
Drake Baldwin o0.5 Total RBIs (+218)
o0.5+218
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.77 |
-160
|
o5.0 -435
|
-1.5 +100
|
|
3.65 |
+150
|
u8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -115
|
NY Yankees
- Yankees are 6-0 in Frieds last 6 starts vs. American League Central.
- Yankees are 6-0 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Minnesota
- Under is 5-0-1 in Obers last 6 home starts.
- Over is 4-0 in Twins last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Twins last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Twins are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 2 of a series.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.78 |
+148
|
o8.0 -110
|
+2.5 -245
|
|
4.90 |
-160
|
u8.5 -115
|
-2.5 +195
|
San Francisco
- Over is 7-0 in Giants last 7 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 5-0 in Tidwells last 5 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
St. Louis
- Under is 4-0-1 in Pallantes last 5 starts as a home favorite.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Cardinals last 7 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Cardinals last 4 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 7-1-1 in Cardinals last 9 during game 2 of a series.
Top Projection
Bryce Eldridge o0.5 Total RBIs (+250)
o0.5+250
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.94 |
+120
|
o7.5 -110
|
+1.5 -180
|
|
3.95 |
-115
|
u8.0 -120
|
-1.5 +170
|
Boston
- Under is 6-0 in Red Sox last 6 games following a win.
- Under is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 road games.
- Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road favorite.
Texas
- Over is 5-0-1 in Rangers last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Rangers last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Rangers are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Rangers last 8 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.00 |
+140
|
o7.5 -121
|
+1.5 -155
|
|
4.66 |
-155
|
u8.0 -115
|
-1.5 +135
|
Kansas City
- Under is 7-0-1 in Royals last 8 overall.
- Under is 7-0-1 in Royals last 8 on grass.
- Royals are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. American League West.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Royals last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Houston
- Under is 6-0 in Astros last 6 home games.
- Under is 6-0 in Astros last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Astros are 4-0 in Browns last 4 starts vs. American League Central.
- Under is 4-0 in Astros last 4 games as a favorite.
Top Projection
Bobby Witt Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+134)
o1.5+135
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.52 |
-188
|
o11.0 -110
|
-1.5 -125
|
|
5.83 |
+170
|
u11.5 -120
|
+1.5 +110
|
San Diego
- Padres are 8-0 in their last 8 overall.
- Over is 6-0 in Padres last 6 overall.
- Over is 5-0 in Padres last 5 road games.
- Over is 6-0 in Padres last 6 games as a favorite.
Colorado
- Over is 3-0-2 in Rockies last 5 overall.
- Over is 3-0-2 in Rockies last 5 games as an underdog.
- Over is 3-0-2 in Rockies last 5 on grass.
- Over is 3-0-2 in Rockies last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Top Projection
Mickey Moniak o0.5 Total RBIs (+182)
o0.5+182
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.16 |
-165
|
o8.0 -105
|
-1.5 +100
|
|
4.16 |
+145
|
u8.5 -120
|
+1.5 -115
|
Seattle
- Over is 8-0 in Mariners last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 3-0-2 in Gilberts last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Mariners last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Gilberts last 4 starts vs. American League West.
LA Angels
- Under is 5-0 in Johnsons last 5 starts as a home underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Angels last 4 home games.
- Under is 5-0 in Johnsons last 5 home starts.
- Under is 4-1 in Angels last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
J.P. Crawford o0.5 Total Home Runs (+1050)
o0.5+1050
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.71 |
+130
|
o8.0 -159
|
+1.5 -165
|
|
5.04 |
-145
|
u8.5 -105
|
-1.5 +140
|
Miami
- Over is 6-0-1 in Marlins last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Marlins last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 5-0 in Junks last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Marlins last 4 games as a road favorite.
Arizona
- Diamondbacks are 4-0 in Sorokas last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Diamondbacks are 5-1 in their last 6 overall.
- Under is 6-1 in Diamondbacks last 7 games as a home underdog.
- Diamondbacks are 5-1 in their last 6 games on grass.
Top Projection
Heriberto Hernandez o0.5 Total RBIs (+205)
o0.5+205
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.12 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.91 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Chi. White Sox
- Over is 6-0 in White Sox last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 4-0 in White Sox last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in White Sox last 4 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
- White Sox are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Cleveland
- Over is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Messicks last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Messicks last 4 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Guardians are 7-1 in Messicks last 8 starts as an underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.72 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.97 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
San Francisco
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-1 in Giants last 5 overall.
- Under is 4-1-2 in Giants last 7 games as a road favorite.
- Giants are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. National League Central.
St. Louis
- Over is 6-0 in Liberatores last 6 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Liberatores last 5 starts as a home favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Liberatores last 5 starts a home underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in Liberatores last 5 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.23 |
-145
|
o7.5 -132
|
-1.5 +125
|
|
|
4.31 |
+126
|
u8.0 -110
|
+1.5 -134
|
NY Yankees
- Yankees are 7-0 in Rodons last 7 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Yankees are 6-0 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 4-0 in Rodons last 4 starts as a road favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Minnesota
- Under is 5-0 in Matthews' last 5 starts as a home favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Twins last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Twins last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Twins are 4-0 in Matthews' last 4 starts with 6 days of rest.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.94 |
+100
|
o8.0 -125
|
+1.5 -200
|
|
|
4.71 |
-118
|
u8.5 -115
|
-1.5 +160
|
Detroit
- Over is 3-0-2 in Tigers last 5 overall.
- Tigers are 5-0 in their last 5 overall.
- Tigers are 6-0 in Monteros last 6 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Toronto
- Over is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 home games.
- Over is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 games as a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.33 |
+169
|
o7.5 -125
|
+2.5 -250
|
|
|
4.82 |
-190
|
u8.0 -115
|
-2.5 +185
|
Athletics
- Over is 7-1 in last 8 road games.
- Over is 7-1 in last 8 games as a road underdog.
- are 4-1 in their last 5 road games.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 games as a favorite.
Tampa Bay
- Rays are 5-0 in Martinezs last 5 starts vs. American League West.
- Rays are 5-0 in Martinezs last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Rays are 5-0 in Martinezs last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Rays last 4 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.64 |
-207
|
o8.5 -110
|
-1.5 -126
|
|
|
4.03 |
+180
|
u9.0 -135
|
+1.5 +110
|
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 5-0 in Dodgers last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Dodgers are 6-1 in Snells last 7 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Cincinnati
- Reds are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Reds are 4-0 in Abbotts last 4 starts as a home favorite.
- Reds are 4-0 in Abbotts last 4 starts as a favorite.
- Reds are 4-1 in their last 5 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.74 |
-135
|
o7.5 -115
|
-1.5 +125
|
|
|
4.61 |
+116
|
u8.0 -120
|
+1.5 -145
|
Milwaukee
- Brewers are 4-0 in Hendersons last 4 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 7-1-1 in Brewers last 9 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Brewers last 8 games as an underdog.
- Brewers are 6-1 in their last 7 during game 2 of a series.
Pittsburgh
- Under is 4-0-1 in Pirates last 5 home games.
- Under is 6-0 in Jones' last 6 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Pirates last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Pirates last 5 games as a home favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.82 |
-135
|
o7.5 -105
|
+1.5 -320
|
|
|
4.21 |
+116
|
u8.0 -145
|
+1.5 -145
|
Philadelphia
- Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Wheelers last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Phillies are 9-1 in Wheelers last 10 starts vs. National League East.
Washington
- Nationals are 6-0 in Cavallis last 6 starts as a favorite.
- Nationals are 6-0 in Cavallis last 6 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Nationals are 6-0 in Cavallis last 6 home starts.
- Nationals are 4-0 in Cavallis last 4 starts as a home favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.37 |
+123
|
o8.0 -145
|
+1.5 -185
|
|
|
5.29 |
-134
|
u8.5 -104
|
-1.5 +160
|
Baltimore
- Over is 8-0 in Bassitts last 8 starts as a road underdog.
- Over is 7-0 in Bassitts last 7 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 9-0 in Bassitts last 9 road starts.
- Over is 5-0 in Bassitts last 5 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
NY Mets
- Under is 2-0-2 in Mets last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Mets last 4 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 4-1 in Mets last 5 vs. American League East.
- Under is 4-0-2 in Mets last 6 interleague home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.05 |
+122
|
o7.5 -122
|
+1.5 -170
|
|
|
4.67 |
-140
|
u8.0 -115
|
-1.5 +158
|
Atlanta
- Over is 4-0 in Braves last 4 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Braves last 4 on grass.
- Over is 4-0 in Braves last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 6-1 in Braves last 7 vs. National League Central.
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 6-0 in Imanagas last 6 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Cubs last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 4-0 in Imanagas last 4 starts as a home favorite.
- Cubs are 4-0 in Imanagas last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
LAD
@
CIN
Tue, Sep 15 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Kyle Tucker o0.5 Total Home Runs (+406)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Play up to 25%. Kyle Tucker is scorching hot, launching three homers over his last six games while posting a ridiculous .632 ISO. He's also recorded a 29.4% barrel rate over the last week, and both Lowder and Cincinnati's bullpen have allowed plenty of loud contact. Tucker is firmly on my radar tonight.
Total
o8.5 (-109)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Play up to 55%. Cincinnati's bullpen has been a major liability, allowing 2.08 HR/9 with a 5.72 FIP over the last week, while Rhett Lowder is also struggling. That's a dangerous combination against a Dodgers lineup sporting a 126 wRC+ and .237 ISO over its last six games. Cincinnati should contribute enough to help push this Over.
CHW
@
CLE
Tue, Sep 15 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Miguel Vargas o0.5 Total Home Runs (+440)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Vargas boasts a high-end .290 ISO against lefties, and Guardians starter Foster Griffin has allowed a 37.9% hard-hit rate to right-handed hitters this season. I also value Vargas snapping out of a 6-for-33 slump to go alongside a .410 OPS with his two-run homer in the series opener last night.
Total
o8.5 (-110)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
With ideal hitting conditions forecast at Progressive Field tonight, this Over has my attention to 54%. Guardians starter Foster Griffin sports a 5.18 xERA and 4.33 xFIP while allowing a healthy 35.8% hard-hit rate through his seven starts with the club, and the White Sox rank eighth in xwOBA across the past 30 days. Additionally, Chicago will have Davis Martin throwing bulk innings, and he's posted a 4.74 xERA and 5.46 xFIP across his two starts since returning from a finger blister.
ATH
@
TB
Tue, Sep 15 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Junior Caminero o0.5 Total Home Runs (+271)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
Junior Caminero finds himself in another favorable spot against Athletics right-hander Jack Perkins. Through 40 elite ratings this season, Caminero has homered over 25% of the time. He has also been swinging a hot bat lately, posting a .538 SLG and .282 ISO over his last 10 games, alongside a near 50% hard-contact rate and 15.2% barrel rate. Perkins has struggled against right-handed hitters recently, with his last 30 faced generating a 15% barrel rate, 70% elevation rate and .517 xSLG.
Total RBIs
Zack Gelof o0.5 Total RBIs (+249)
Projection 0.46
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zack Gelof in the 83rd percentile when estimating his home run skill.. Zack Gelof is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game.. Tropicana Field grades out as the #1 venue in MLB for right-handed home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense grades out as the worst among every team in action today.. Zack Gelof's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better lately, increasing from 14.3% on the season to 33.3% in the last two weeks.
MIL
@
PIT
Tue, Sep 15 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Ryan O'Hearn o1.5 Total Bases (+248)
Projection 1.33
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 84th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. Ryan O'Hearn is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup.. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to more offense.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today.. Batting from the opposite that Jacob Misiorowski throws from, Ryan O'Hearn will have an edge today.
Total RBIs
Bryan Reynolds o0.5 Total RBIs (+302)
Projection 0.49
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 97th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. Bryan Reynolds is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to more offense.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today.. The switch-hitting Bryan Reynolds will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Jacob Misiorowski.
PHI
@
WAS
Tue, Sep 15 • 6:45 PM ET
Spread
PHI -1.5 (-123)
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst
I love this price at 54%, and would play the Phillies up to 58%. Cristopher Sanchez has absolutely owned this Nationals team throughout his career, limiting them to a .225 xBA and .276 xwOBA across 109 plate appearances - a sample size that includes a 0-for-11 mark from James Woods. We'll take that. On the other side is the Nats' No. 8 prospect, Jackson Kent, who's had a rough rookie campaign so far, coming off a three-inning, eight-hit, five-earned-run outing against the San Diego Padres. His 5.49 xERA suggests this loaded Phillies lineup should be able to ambush the 23-year-old early.
Spread
PHI -1.5 (-126)
Chris Vasile
Publishing Editor
Cristopher Sanchez has been one of baseball’s most reliable starters this season, posting a 2.79 ERA with 210 strikeouts, and he gets an excellent matchup against Washington. Nationals starter Jackson Kent owns a 6.59 ERA, giving Philadelphia a significant pitching advantage before factoring in the superior lineup. At -126, I’d rather lay the 1.5 runs than pay the inflated moneyline price.
DET
@
TOR
Tue, Sep 15 • 7:07 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Total Home Runs (+600)
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst
Can you imagine getting +600 on Vladimir Guerrero Jr. to hit a home run just a year ago? Of course he's deserving of that price now, but after hitting his first bomb at home two nights ago, I'm going back to the well here. He's just one game removed from a 4-for-5 performance at the dish, and with the Blue Jays' season hanging in the balance, look for him to get to Drew Anderson - his 8.4% barrel rate is among the worst in baseball.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Kazuma Okamoto o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+105)
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst
Kazuma Okamoto has been playing the best baseball of his rookie season with the Toronto Blue Jays' playoff dreams hanging in the balance. He's rocking a 1.115 OPS to go with five homers in September, which is absolutely absurd, and over his last 30 games, Okamoto is slashing .280/.361/.617 (.977 OPS) with nine homers and 18 RBI. He's cashed this play in five of his last seven games.
His 13.9% barrel rate is in the 91st percentile across all qualified hitters this season, too; suffice it to say, he should be able to run into one today against a contact pitcher like Drew Anderson.
BAL
@
NYM
Tue, Sep 15 • 7:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Pete Alonso o0.5 Total Home Runs (+286)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
Pete Alonso is my favorite home run look against Sean Manaea and the Mets tonight. While many bettors will immediately target Coby Mayo because Manaea is a lefty, Alonso has been absolutely crushing southpaws lately. Over his last 30 at-bats against left-handed pitching, he owns a .565 SLG and .261 ISO while generating a hard-hit rate above 76% and a barrel rate over 23%. That power profile lines up perfectly with Manaea’s recent struggles against right-handed hitters. Over his last 30 faced, righties have posted a .408 xBA, .788 xSLG, and .307 ISO. Alonso is the Orioles’ power bat to target tonight.
Total Bases
Christian Encarnacion-Strand o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.71
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his home run talent, Christian Encarnacion-Strand ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Christian Encarnacion-Strand has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (56% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters.. Christian Encarnacion-Strand will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sean Manaea in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Manaea has a large platoon split.. Christian Encarnacion-Strand pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.1% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
ATL
@
CHC
Tue, Sep 15 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Alex Bregman o0.5 Total Home Runs (+620)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
With 47 career plate appearances against Atlanta starter Martin Perez, Bregman has the familiarity to cash in on this favorable matchup. Bregman has paced the majors in ISO against lefties in the second half while ranking second in ideal attack angle rate, after all.
Total
o8.5 (-103)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Atlanta starter Martin Perez sports an alarming 5.77 xERA and 5.13 xFIP across his past five starts, and Chicago veteran Kevin Gausman has surrendered three or more runs in four of his seven starts with the Cubbies. As a result, I like both offenses to put runs on the board and would play this Over 8.5 to -115. Chicago paces the majors in wOBA and ISO against lefties, and Atlanta ranks 10th in both metrics against righties, after all.
NYY
@
MIN
Tue, Sep 15 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Luis Garcia Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+100)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
Luis Garcia Jr. finds himself in a strong spot against Bailey Ober tonight. The Yankees first baseman enters with an elite rating on Batters-Box and clears nearly 92% of Ober's arsenal. Garcia Jr. has been one of the hottest hitters in New York's lineup, sporting a .500 SLG, .206 ISO, a hard-hit rate over 57% and a barrel rate near 20%. The last 60 left-handed hitters Ober has faced are generating a nearly 50% hard-hit rate, while owning a .342 xBA, .562 xSLG and .349 xwOBA.
Total Home Runs
Aaron Judge o0.5 Total Home Runs (+271)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
Run it back with the captain! Aaron Judge is once again my favorite home run look in this matchup against Bailey Ober. The Minnesota right-hander has been crushed by right-handed hitters, who have posted a 45.5% hard-hit rate, 13.6% barrel rate and 72.8% elevation rate over their last 60 matchups. Those hitters also own a .365 xBA and .573 xSLG. Judge enters with the highest Batters-Box rating in this matchup and has homered nearly 30% of the time across 165 games when rated elite over the last three seasons. Trust the captain to get hot and stay hot.
SF
@
STL
Tue, Sep 15 • 7:45 PM ET
Total RBIs
Ivan Herrera o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.55
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. Ivan Herrera is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest fence height (on average) among all parks.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Ivan Herrera hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 83rd percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Bryce Eldridge o0.5 Total RBIs (+250)
Projection 0.52
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run talent, Bryce Eldridge ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bryce Eldridge is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest fence height (on average) among all parks.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Batting from the opposite that Andre Pallante throws from, Bryce Eldridge will have an advantage in today's matchup.
BOS
@
TEX
Tue, Sep 15 • 8:05 PM ET
Total Hits
Josh Jung u0.5 Total Hits (+202)
Projection 0.95
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Globe Life Field profiles as the #29 stadium in MLB for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest -7° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for pitching.. Today, Josh Jung is at a disadvantage facing the league's 6th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39.8% rate (97th percentile).. Among every team in action today, the 4th-best infield defense is that of the the Boston Red Sox.. Josh Jung's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last season to this one, decreasing from 18.3% to 12%.
Total Hits
Corey Seager u0.5 Total Hits (+185)
Projection 0.86
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Globe Life Field ranks as the #29 venue in baseball for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The 6th-deepest centerfield fences among all parks are found in Globe Life Field.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest -7° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for pitching.. Because of Patrick Sandoval's large platoon split, Corey Seager will be at an enormous disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate in today's game.. Among every team in action today, the 4th-best infield defense is that of the the Boston Red Sox.
KC
@
HOU
Tue, Sep 15 • 8:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Isaac Paredes u1.5 Total Bases (-190)
Projection 0.85
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isaac Paredes in the 2nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.. The #6 field in the game for suppressing offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Minute Maid Park.. Minute Maid Park has the 3rd-highest fences in MLB.. Minute Maid Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.. The Minute Maid Park roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this game -5° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.
Total Bases
Bobby Witt Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+134)
Projection 2.05
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bobby Witt Jr. as the 2nd-best batter in MLB as it relates to his batting average talent.. Bobby Witt Jr. is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. Bats such as Bobby Witt Jr. with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Hunter Brown who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.. Among every team on the slate today, the 4th-worst infield defense belongs to the Houston Astros.. Bobby Witt Jr. has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 94.1-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal average of 91.8-mph.
SD
@
COL
Tue, Sep 15 • 8:40 PM ET
Earned Runs Allowed
Kyle Freeland o2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-128)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
The Padres are in a prime spot to keep mashing against Kyle Freeland, who has struggled mightily at home this season. Freeland owns a 5.10 ERA and 1.48 WHIP at Coors Field while allowing a near-10% barrel rate to opposing hitters. San Diego's lineup has been red-hot, posting a 143 wRC+, .852 OPS and .372 wOBA over its last six games. Batters-Box also gives Freeland the worst pitcher rating on the slate, with seven elite-rated hitters and another carrying a strong rating. With the Padres rolling offensively, they should be able to produce 3+ runs on Freeland.
Total Home Runs
Jackson Merrill o0.5 Total Home Runs (+419)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Play up to 25%. Jackson Merrill is seeing the ball extremely well, combining three homers over the last week with elite contact quality. His 60.9% hard-hit rate and 26.1% barrel rate during that stretch jump off the page, and both Freeland and Colorado’s bullpen have been vulnerable to the long ball.
SEA
@
LAA
Tue, Sep 15 • 9:38 PM ET
Total Bases
Julio Rodriguez o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.85
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his batting average talent, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 12th-best batter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Julio Rodriguez is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game.. Angel Stadium has the lowest fences in Major League Baseball.. Out of every team on the slate today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the Los Angeles Angels.. Julio Rodriguez has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.2-mph to 97.8-mph over the past week.
Total Bases
Mike Trout o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.78
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Mike Trout projects as the 8th-best hitter in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mike Trout is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.. Angel Stadium has the lowest fences in Major League Baseball.. High humidity has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the highest humidity on the slate today at 77%.. Among every team today, the worst infield defense is that of the Seattle Mariners.
MIA
@
AZ
Tue, Sep 15 • 9:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Otto Lopez o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.77
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez as the 9th-best hitter in the majors when assessing his batting average ability.. Otto Lopez is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 3rd-best ballpark in MLB for boosting offensive stats to right-handed batters.. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in the league, which often leads to higher offensive output.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.
Total Bases
Kyle Stowers o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 1.93
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Stowers in the 96th percentile when estimating his home run skill.. Kyle Stowers is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 3rd-best park in baseball for boosting offensive stats to lefties.. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in the league, which often leads to higher offensive output.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.
TB
@
NYY
Tue, Sep 22 • 1:05 PM ET
Total RBIs
Austin Wells o0.5 Total RBIs (+305)
Projection 0.41
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Yankee Stadium ranks as the #7 ballpark in the majors for left-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all parks.. Hitting from the opposite that Drew Rasmussen throws from, Austin Wells will have an edge in today's matchup.. Extreme flyball batters like Austin Wells generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Drew Rasmussen.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest among every team on the slate today.
Total RBIs
Cody Bellinger o0.5 Total RBIs (+206)
Projection 0.55
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. Cody Bellinger is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game.. Yankee Stadium ranks as the #7 ballpark in the majors for left-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all parks.. Hitting from the opposite that Drew Rasmussen throws from, Cody Bellinger will have an edge in today's game.
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Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
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MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
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