MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Aug. 14, 2026.

New Computer Picks powered by Odds Shark
St. Louis Cardinals logo STL @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Fri, Aug 14 • 2:20 PM ET
Total Bases
Pete Crow-Armstrong logo
Pete Crow-Armstrong o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.73
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Pete Crow-Armstrong is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. This game is predicted to have the 2nd-most humidity on the slate (88%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid.. Pete Crow-Armstrong has a good chance to have the upper hand against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the St. Louis Cardinals only has 1 same-handed RP.
Total RBIs
Jordan Walker logo
Jordan Walker o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.55
Best Odds
Pick made: 23 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his home run skill, Jordan Walker ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jordan Walker is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.. Wrigley Field has the 6th-shallowest LF fences among all major league parks.. This game is predicted to have the 2nd-most humidity on the slate (88%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid.. In the last week's worth of games, Jordan Walker's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 13.3% up to 21.4%.
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Miami Marlins logo MIA @ Cincinnati Reds logo CIN Fri, Aug 14 • 6:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Eugenio Suarez logo
Eugenio Suarez o1.5 Total Bases (+161)
Projection 1.64
Best Odds
Pick made: 37 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Eugenio Suarez as baseball's 20th-best home run hitter.. Eugenio Suarez is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game.. The #4 field in baseball for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 85°.. Eugenio Suarez pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.7% — 95th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
Total Bases
JJ Bleday logo
JJ Bleday o1.5 Total Bases (+146)
Projection 1.85
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
JJ Bleday is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. The #4 field in baseball for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 85°.. Batting from the opposite that Sandy Alcantara throws from, JJ Bleday will have an advantage in today's game.. JJ Bleday pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.7% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.
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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT Fri, Aug 14 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Wilyer Abreu logo
Wilyer Abreu o1.5 Total Bases (+137)
Projection 1.77
Best Odds
Pick made: 37 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Wilyer Abreu is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today.. PNC Park projects as the #3 venue in the game for left-handed BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. This game is projected to have the 4th-most humidity on the slate today (76%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid.. Wilyer Abreu will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bubba Chandler in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Bryan Reynolds logo
Bryan Reynolds o1.5 Total Bases (+152)
Projection 1.56
Best Odds
Pick made: 37 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 97th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. Bryan Reynolds is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 3rd-best ballpark in the majors for righty BABIP.. This game is projected to have the 4th-most humidity on the slate today (76%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Bryan Reynolds will hold that advantage today.
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Chicago White Sox logo CHW @ Detroit Tigers logo DET Fri, Aug 14 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Hits
Kevin McGonigle logo
Kevin McGonigle u0.5 Total Hits (+205)
Projection 0.92
Best Odds
Pick made: 39 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Kevin McGonigle will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Urquidy in today's game.. Kevin McGonigle has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.2%) and will have to hit them out towards baseball's 5th-deepest LF fences today.. Out of every team playing today, the 5th-strongest infield defense is that of the Chicago White Sox.. Over the past 7 days, Kevin McGonigle's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.8% down to 0%.. Kevin McGonigle's average exit velocity has decreased of late; his 87.9-mph seasonal figure has fallen to 84.5-mph over the past week.
Total Hits
Javier Baez logo
Javier Baez u0.5 Total Hits (+160)
Projection 0.81
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Baez in the 15th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.. Javier Baez is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this matchup.. Comerica Park has the 2nd-deepest centerfield fences in MLB.. Out of every team playing today, the 5th-strongest infield defense is that of the Chicago White Sox.. Javier Baez's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 91.2-mph figure last year has dropped off to 84.4-mph.
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San Diego Padres logo SD @ Cleveland Guardians logo CLE Fri, Aug 14 • 7:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Jo Adell logo
Jo Adell o0.5 Total RBIs (+207)
Projection 0.58
Best Odds
Pick made: 34 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jo Adell in the 93rd percentile when estimating his home run talent.. Jo Adell is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game.. Progressive Field grades out as the #2 venue in baseball for right-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The 2nd-shallowest LF dimensions among all stadiums are found in Progressive Field.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Jo Adell will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total RBIs
Chase DeLauter logo
Chase DeLauter o0.5 Total RBIs (+212)
Projection 0.55
Best Odds
Pick made: 34 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chase DeLauter in the 86th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.. Chase DeLauter is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. Progressive Field grades out as the #2 venue in the game for lefty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which tends to lead to better offense.. Hitting from the opposite that Michael King throws from, Chase DeLauter will have an edge in today's game.
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Washington Nationals logo WAS @ New York Mets logo NYM Fri, Aug 14 • 7:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Dylan Crews logo
Dylan Crews o0.5 Total RBIs (+177)
Projection 0.6
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Dylan Crews is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 4th-hottest weather on the slate today at 83°.. Dylan Crews hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Over the last week, Dylan Crews's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.4-mph over the course of the season to 100.7-mph lately.. Compared to last season, Dylan Crews has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 13.1% to 22% this season.
Total RBIs
Abimelec Ortiz logo
Abimelec Ortiz o0.5 Total RBIs (+202)
Projection 0.51
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Abimelec Ortiz is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. In Major League Baseball, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 4th-hottest weather on the slate today at 83°.. Abimelec Ortiz will hold the platoon advantage against Robert Stock in today's game... and even better, Stock has a large platoon split.. Abimelec Ortiz has been hot in recent games, notching a a 22.2% Barrel% (a reliable metric to measure power) in the past week.
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Baltimore Orioles logo BAL @ Tampa Bay Rays logo TB Fri, Aug 14 • 7:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Pete Alonso logo
Pete Alonso o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.96
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Pete Alonso projects as the 16th-best home run hitter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Pete Alonso is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.. The #4 ballpark in the game for boosting home runs to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Batting from the opposite that Steven Matz throws from, Pete Alonso will have an edge today.. Pete Alonso has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences today.
Total Bases
Gunnar Henderson logo
Gunnar Henderson o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.63
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gunnar Henderson in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Gunnar Henderson is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. The #4 park in MLB for boosting home runs to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. In the majors, Tropicana Field's RF fences are the 4th-shallowest.. Among all the teams playing today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the Tampa Bay Rays.
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New York Yankees logo NYY @ Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR Fri, Aug 14 • 7:15 PM ET
Total Bases
Trent Grisham logo
Trent Grisham o1.5 Total Bases (+127)
Projection 1.91
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Trent Grisham ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Trent Grisham is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game.. Rogers Centre ranks as the #6 ballpark in the majors for LHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Hitting from the opposite that Shane Bieber throws from, Trent Grisham will have an edge today.. Trent Grisham has a good chance to have an edge against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Toronto Blue Jays has just 1 same-handed RP.
Total Bases
Ryan McMahon logo
Ryan McMahon o1.5 Total Bases (+213)
Projection 1.36
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his home run skill, Ryan McMahon ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Rogers Centre ranks as the #6 ballpark in the majors for LHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In MLB, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 10th-shallowest.. Ryan McMahon will hold the platoon advantage over Shane Bieber in today's game.. Ryan McMahon may have an edge against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Toronto Blue Jays only has 1 same-handed RP.
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Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Fri, Aug 14 • 7:15 PM ET
Total Bases
Drake Baldwin logo
Drake Baldwin o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 2.02
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Drake Baldwin in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. Drake Baldwin is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game.. Truist Park projects as the #5 ballpark in the majors for overall LHB offense, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Total Bases
Ronald Acuna Jr. logo
Ronald Acuna Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 2.06
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Ronald Acuna Jr. projects as the 6th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ronald Acuna Jr. is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 5th-best park in the game for boosting offensive stats to right-handed hitters.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
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Seattle Mariners logo SEA @ Houston Astros logo HOU Fri, Aug 14 • 8:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Taylor Ward logo
Taylor Ward o1.5 Total Bases (+175)
Projection 1.6
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Taylor Ward ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Taylor Ward is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game.. Taylor Ward has made substantial gains with his Barrel% recently, upping his 5.8% seasonal rate to 14.3% over the last 7 days.. Taylor Ward's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved of late, increasing from 47.9% on the season to 56.5% over the last two weeks.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Taylor Ward's true offensive ability to be a .340, suggesting that he has been unlucky this year given the .016 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .324 wOBA.
Total Bases
Julio Rodriguez logo
Julio Rodriguez o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
Projection 1.74
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his batting average talent, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 10th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Julio Rodriguez is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game.. Over the last week, Julio Rodriguez's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93-mph over the course of the season to 100.8-mph recently.. In the last 7 days, Julio Rodriguez's 66.7% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 43.2%.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Julio Rodriguez's true offensive talent to be a .348, providing some evidence that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .026 disparity between that mark and his actual .322 wOBA.
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Kansas City Royals logo KC @ Los Angeles Angels logo LAA Fri, Aug 14 • 9:38 PM ET
Total Bases
Mike Trout logo
Mike Trout o1.5 Total Bases (+170)
Projection 1.74
Best Odds
Pick made: 23 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Mike Trout ranks as the 7th-best hitter in the majors.. Mike Trout is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. Among all major league stadiums, Angel Stadium has the 2nd-lowest average fence height.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Mike Trout will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. In the last week, Mike Trout's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 17.2% up to 22.2%.
Total Bases
Jose Siri logo
Jose Siri o1.5 Total Bases (+215)
Projection 1.38
Best Odds
Pick made: 25 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his home run talent, Jose Siri ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Among all major league stadiums, Angel Stadium has the 2nd-lowest average fence height.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Jose Siri will hold that advantage today.. Jose Siri has made substantial gains with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 13.4% seasonal rate to 30% in the past two weeks' worth of games.. Jose Siri has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.9-mph to 101.6-mph in the last two weeks.
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Texas Rangers logo TEX @ Athletics Athletics logo ATH Fri, Aug 14 • 9:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Jake Burger logo
Jake Burger o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 2.02
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 94th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Jake Burger is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today.. Sutter Health Park ranks as the #1 stadium in the league for righty home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all stadiums, Sutter Health Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate today at 85°.
Total Bases
Zack Gelof logo
Zack Gelof o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.83
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zack Gelof in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Zack Gelof is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 79% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.. Sutter Health Park ranks as the #1 stadium in the league for righty home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all stadiums, Sutter Health Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate today at 85°.
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Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL @ Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD Fri, Aug 14 • 10:10 PM ET
Moneyline
Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD (-175)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
Jon Metler image
Jon Metler
Betting Analyst

This is just an all-around tough matchup for Brewers starting pitcher Robert Gasser, who struggles to work deep into games and will most likely force Pat Murphy to dip into his middle-relief arms. Gasser is a deceptive but low-velocity lefty who relies heavily on his slider when pitching to right-handed hitters. If he isn't locating that pitch, he's going to be leaving sliders over the heart of the plate to a lineup that features a ton of pull power from the right side against left-handed pitching. The Dodgers' patience and ability to work counts give them an advantage, especially with Gasser's tendency to exit games early and Yoshinobu Yamamoto on the mound. The Dodgers are trading as a 64-cent favorite on Polymarket, and I have them priced as a 67-cent favorite, which means there's an edge we can exploit.

Total Bases
Gary Sanchez logo
Gary Sanchez o1.5 Total Bases (+230)
Projection 1.34
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Gary Sanchez is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Dodger Stadium as the 2nd-best stadium in the majors for RHB home runs.. Among all major league stadiums, Dodger Stadium has the lowest average fence height.. Gary Sanchez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Gary Sanchez has paced 25.4 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, placing in the 82nd percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
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Colorado Rockies logo COL @ San Francisco Giants logo SF Fri, Aug 14 • 10:15 PM ET
Total Hits
Jake McCarthy logo
Jake McCarthy u0.5 Total Hits (+195)
Projection 0.95
Best Odds
Pick made: 27 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
16% of the time that Jake McCarthy has started against a right-handed pitcher this year, he has been pulled from the game early.. Oracle Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most suitable for pitching on the slate.. Extreme groundball bats like Jake McCarthy tend to perform worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Landen Roupp.. Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jake McCarthy in today's matchup.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Hunter Goodman logo
Hunter Goodman o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+110)
Projection 2.02
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Hunter Goodman projects as the 14th-best home run hitter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Hunter Goodman is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 12.4-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for batters.. Extreme flyball hitters like Hunter Goodman generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Landen Roupp.. Out of every team in action today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the San Francisco Giants.
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St. Louis Cardinals logo STL @ Cincinnati Reds logo CIN Mon, Aug 17 • 1:40 PM ET
Total Bases
JJ Wetherholt logo
JJ Wetherholt o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 2.03
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, JJ Wetherholt ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. JJ Wetherholt is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game.. The #1 field in MLB for boosting home runs to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest RF dimensions in Major League Baseball.. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-least humidity on the slate today at 89%.
Total RBIs
Nolan Gorman logo
Nolan Gorman o0.5 Total RBIs (+153)
Projection 0.67
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run talent, Nolan Gorman ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Nolan Gorman is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. The #1 field in MLB for boosting home runs to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-least humidity on the slate today at 89%.. Because of Brady Singer's huge platoon split, Nolan Gorman will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup.
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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
Total
Atlanta Braves logo Chicago White Sox logo o8.5 (-105)
Pick made: 2 months ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Moneyline
Atlanta Braves logo ATL (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
Total
Boston Red Sox logo New York Yankees logo o8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

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San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
Total
San Francisco Giants logo Atlanta Braves logo o7.5 (-116)
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

Moneyline
San Francisco Giants logo SF (+124)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?

MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.

How To Use MLB Computer Picks

You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.

This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.

If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.

Moneyline

This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.

It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.

Run line

The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.

The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.

Totals (Over/Under)

Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.

Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark

More MLB Picks & Betting Tools

NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks

A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.

First Five Innings MLB Picks

The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.

MLB Picks And Parlays

If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.

But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.

If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.

MLB Player Props

Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?

You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.

MLB Futures Picks

Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.

MLB Free Picks FAQs

When do we release our MLB picks?

Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.

What kinds of MLB picks do we make?

Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.