MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on June 4, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

San Diego Padres logo SD @ Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI Thu, Jun 4 • 1:05 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
3 LEG PARLAY
Gavin Sheets profile picture
Gavin Sheets o1.5 Total Bases
Total Bases
Kyle Schwarber profile picture
Kyle Schwarber o1.5 Total Bases
Total Bases
San Diego Padres logo Philadelphia Phillies logo
o8.0
Total
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Pick made: 7 hours ago
Robert Criscola image
Robert Criscola
Publishing Editor

Both Lucas Giolito and Zack Wheeler were victimized by the longball in their latest starts, and the ball could be zipping around the yard in hot-and-sunny Philly on Thursday afternoon. Look for Gavin Sheets and Kyle Schwarber to contribute to the Over in this getaway game.

Total Bases
Manny Machado logo
Manny Machado o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.59
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Manny Machado is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all major league stadiums — generally good for dingers.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 85°.. Manny Machado has made big improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 8.6% seasonal rate to 18.5% over the last 14 days.
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Cleveland Guardians logo CLE @ New York Yankees logo NYY Thu, Jun 4 • 1:35 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Ryan McMahon logo
Ryan McMahon o1.5 Total Bases (+170)
Projection 1.54
Best Odds
Pick made: 22 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan McMahon in the 85th percentile when assessing his home run ability.. Among all major league stadiums, Yankee Stadium has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Hitting from the opposite that Slade Cecconi throws from, Ryan McMahon will have an edge in today's game.. Ryan McMahon will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.
Total Bases
David Fry logo
David Fry o1.5 Total Bases (+210)
Projection 1.31
Best Odds
Pick made: 22 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects David Fry in the 84th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.. David Fry is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game.. Among all major league stadiums, Yankee Stadium has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. David Fry will have the handedness advantage over Carlos Rodon in today's game.
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Baltimore Orioles logo BAL @ Boston Red Sox logo BOS Thu, Jun 4 • 1:35 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Strikeouts Thrown
Trevor Rogers logo
Trevor Rogers o4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+108)
Projection 5
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Trevor Rogers has averaged 92.6 adjusted pitches per outing this year, placing in the 79th percentile.. Per the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 3rd-most strikeout-heavy lineup on the slate today is the Boston Red Sox with a 23.6% underlying K%.. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which often leads to worse offense.. Out of all SPs, Trevor Rogers's fastball spin rate of 2441 rpm grades out in the 85th percentile this year.
Total RBIs
Leody Taveras logo
Leody Taveras o0.5 Total RBIs (+245)
Projection 0.46
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in baseball for run-scoring.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the hottest temperature of the day at 87°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for batters.. Leody Taveras has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's shallowest LF fences today.. Leody Taveras's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved in recent games, going from 48.1% on the season to 56.5% over the past 14 days.
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San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL Thu, Jun 4 • 2:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Casey Schmitt logo
Casey Schmitt o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 1.84
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his home run ability, Casey Schmitt ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Casey Schmitt is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.. American Family Field grades out as the #6 venue in Major League Baseball for righty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In the majors, American Family Field's CF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest.. American Family Field has the lowest fence height (on average) among all major league stadiums.
Total Bases
Willy Adames logo
Willy Adames o1.5 Total Bases (+134)
Projection 1.86
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his home run skill, Willy Adames ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Willy Adames is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today.. American Family Field grades out as the #6 venue in Major League Baseball for righty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In the majors, American Family Field's CF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest.. American Family Field has the lowest fence height (on average) among all major league stadiums.
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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Thu, Jun 4 • 7:15 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Ronald Acuna Jr. logo
Ronald Acuna Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.92
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Ronald Acuna Jr. projects as the 6th-best hitter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ronald Acuna Jr. is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game.. Truist Park profiles as the #5 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to better offense.. Ronald Acuna Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (37.9% — 75th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
Total Bases
Michael Harris II logo
Michael Harris II o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.89
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. Michael Harris II is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 62% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 5th-best venue in the league for left-handed batting average.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to better offense.. Michael Harris II will have the handedness advantage against Chad Dallas today.
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Kansas City Royals logo KC @ Minnesota Twins logo MIN Thu, Jun 4 • 7:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Victor Caratini logo
Victor Caratini o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
Projection 1.47
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Target Field projects as the #7 field in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. The switch-hitting Victor Caratini will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Seth Lugo.. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Victor Caratini will hold that advantage today.
Total RBIs
Byron Buxton logo
Byron Buxton o0.5 Total RBIs (+164)
Projection 0.82
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Byron Buxton projects as the 6th-best home run hitter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Byron Buxton is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. Target Field projects as the #7 field in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Byron Buxton will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
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Athletics Athletics logo ATH @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Thu, Jun 4 • 8:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Shea Langeliers logo
Shea Langeliers o1.5 Total Bases (-106)
Projection 2.49
Best Odds
Pick made: 22 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Shea Langeliers as Major League Baseball's 15th-best home run batter.. Shea Langeliers is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense.. The weather report predicts the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters.
Total Bases
Pete Crow-Armstrong logo
Pete Crow-Armstrong o1.5 Total Bases (-104)
Projection 2.25
Best Odds
Pick made: 22 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his home run ability, Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Pete Crow-Armstrong has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (70% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense.. The weather report predicts the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters.
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Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT @ Houston Astros logo HOU Thu, Jun 4 • 8:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Christian Walker logo
Christian Walker o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.68
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 95th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.. Christian Walker is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.. Christian Walker pulls many of his flyballs (33.9% — 75th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 2nd-shallowest LF fences today.. Out of all the teams playing today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Christian Walker will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Yordan Alvarez logo
Yordan Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 2.08
Best Odds
Pick made: 22 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Yordan Alvarez ranks as the 2nd-best batter in the majors.. Yordan Alvarez is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. Hitting from the opposite that Jared Jones throws from, Yordan Alvarez will have the upper hand in today's game.. Out of all the teams playing today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates.. Pittsburgh's 3rd-worst outfield defense of all teams on the slate creates a favorable matchup for Yordan Alvarez, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.
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Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ Thu, Jun 4 • 9:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Corbin Carroll logo
Corbin Carroll o1.5 Total Bases (+112)
Projection 1.86
Best Odds
Pick made: 22 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Corbin Carroll is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 3rd-best field in the league for left-handed batting average.. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. Corbin Carroll will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.
Total Bases
Nolan Arenado logo
Nolan Arenado o1.5 Total Bases (+137)
Projection 1.66
Best Odds
Pick made: 22 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Nolan Arenado is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 3rd-best ballpark in baseball for right-handed batting average.. Nolan Arenado will have the handedness advantage over Justin Wrobleski today.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Nolan Arenado will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Nolan Arenado has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 7.1% seasonal rate to 25% in the last week.
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Tampa Bay Rays logo TB @ New York Yankees logo NYY Tue, Sep 22 • 1:05 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 8 Computer Picks
Strikeouts Thrown
Drew Rasmussen logo Drew Rasmussen o5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+122)
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 days ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Drew Rasmussen has cleared this number in three of his last five starts and struck out seven Yankees hitters the last time he faced them. He’s also dominated New York historically, holding the lineup to a .181 average with 36 strikeouts across 89 at-bats.

Total Bases
Aaron Judge logo
Aaron Judge o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.87
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 days ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Aaron Judge projects as the best home run batter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Aaron Judge is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Yankee Stadium as the 7th-best ballpark in the league for RHB home runs.. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all parks.. Hitters such as Aaron Judge with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Drew Rasmussen who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.
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