MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on July 25, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Kansas City Royals logo KC @ Detroit Tigers logo DET Sat, Jul 25 • 1:10 PM ET
3 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Earned Runs Allowed
Casey Mize logo Casey Mize u1.5 Earned Runs Allowed (+101)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Casey Mize enters in excellent form, posting a 2.22 FIP over his last four outings while allowing just 0.40 HR/9. He has also pitched well at Comerica Park this season, and now faces a Royals lineup carrying a 90 wRC+ over the last week with limited power.

Total
Kansas City Royals logo Detroit Tigers logo u8.5 (-121)
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

The Under case starts with Mize’s strong Comerica Park profile and Kansas City’s recent offensive struggles. The Royals own a 90 wRC+ and .158 ISO over seven games, while Detroit’s bullpen has limited barrels and homers lately. Wacha is not getting blown up, keeping 8.5 runs in reach overall tonight.

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Los Angeles Angels logo LAA @ San Francisco Giants logo SF Sat, Jul 25 • 4:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Bryce Eldridge logo
Bryce Eldridge o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.76
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run talent, Bryce Eldridge ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bryce Eldridge is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 60% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.. The 2nd-shallowest RF dimensions in the majors are found in Oracle Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for hitters.. Given Ryan Johnson's large platoon split, Bryce Eldridge will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.
Total Bases
Heliot Ramos logo
Heliot Ramos o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.77
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heliot Ramos in the 91st percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.. Heliot Ramos is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for hitters.. Heliot Ramos has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 2nd-shallowest RF fences today.. Heliot Ramos will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.
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Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ Washington Nationals logo WAS Sat, Jul 25 • 4:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
3 LEG PARLAY
Arizona Diamondbacks logo Washington Nationals logo
o9.0
Total
Ildemaro Vargas profile picture
Ildemaro Vargas o0.5 Total Hits
Total Hits
Nasim Nunez profile picture
Nasim Nunez o0.5 Runs
Runs
Bet now
Pick made: 27 minutes ago
Robert Criscola image
Robert Criscola
Publishing Editor

Two vulnerable southpaws take on the Top 2 teams in baseball by OPS vs. lefties. I'd play this Over to 9.5. Mitch Bratt is being eased into the majors, offering potential for lots of exposure for a D-backs bullpen ranked 21st in xFIP over the last two weeks. The Nats' relief corps is even worse in that span (27th), and Foster Griffin's 2.68 ERA is due for regression based on his 3.88 xERA. I'll add lefty-masher Ildemaro Vargas to get a hit and Nasim Nunez to get on base and get driven in by a teammate at the top of the order. Play to +375.

Total Bases
CJ Abrams logo CJ Abrams o1.5 Total Bases (+111)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

CJ Abrams has been one of baseball’s hottest hitters, batting .440 with a .560 ISO and four homers across his last six games. He has cleared this total in six of seven contests and draws a favorable matchup against Mitch Bratt, who owns a 9.10 FIP across his last two outings.

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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Boston Red Sox logo BOS Sat, Jul 25 • 4:10 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Earned Runs Allowed
Sonny Gray logo Sonny Gray u2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-152)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Sonny Gray enters in strong form, posting a 3.18 FIP over the last month while allowing just 0.71 HR/9. He has stayed Under 2.5 earned runs in five straight appearances and now faces a struggling Blue Jays lineup carrying a 69 wRC+ across its last 10 games.

Total Bases
George Springer logo
George Springer o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.72
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. George Springer is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.. Fenway Park profiles as the #3 park in MLB for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences among all parks.. George Springer has been unlucky this year, compiling a .309 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .356 — a .047 deviation.
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San Diego Padres logo SD @ Miami Marlins logo MIA Sat, Jul 25 • 4:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Kyle Stowers logo
Kyle Stowers o0.5 Total RBIs (+182)
Projection 0.6
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Stowers in the 95th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Kyle Stowers is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today.. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Kyle Stowers will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Kyle Stowers's launch angle this year (17.2°) is significantly better than his 14.2° mark last year.. Compared to his seasonal average of 17.2°, Kyle Stowers has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 29.5° angle over the past two weeks.
Total RBIs
Heriberto Hernandez logo
Heriberto Hernandez o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.63
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his home run talent, Heriberto Hernandez ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Heriberto Hernandez is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. Given JP Sears's large platoon split, Heriberto Hernandez will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Heriberto Hernandez will hold that advantage today.. Heriberto Hernandez has made big strides with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 13.3% seasonal rate to 27.3% in the past two weeks' worth of games.
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New York Yankees logo NYY @ Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI Sat, Jul 25 • 6:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Ben Rice logo
Ben Rice o1.5 Total Bases (+103)
Projection 2.14
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ben Rice in the 97th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. Ben Rice is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citizens Bank Park as the 8th-best venue in the game for run-scoring.. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for dingers.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest weather of the day at 82°.
Total Bases
Trea Turner logo
Trea Turner o1.5 Total Bases (+113)
Projection 1.92
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 14th-best batter in MLB when assessing his batting average ability.. Trea Turner is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citizens Bank Park as the 8th-best venue in the game for run-scoring.. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for dingers.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest weather of the day at 82°.
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Cleveland Guardians logo CLE @ Tampa Bay Rays logo TB Sat, Jul 25 • 6:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Jose Ramirez logo
Jose Ramirez o1.5 Total Bases (+126)
Projection 1.82
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Ramirez in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. Jose Ramirez is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. Tropicana Field profiles as the #3 venue in Major League Baseball for lefty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Jose Ramirez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (63.2% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Among every team playing today, the weakest infield defense is that of the Tampa Bay Rays.
Total Bases
Chase DeLauter logo
Chase DeLauter o1.5 Total Bases (+133)
Projection 1.73
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chase DeLauter in the 86th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.. Chase DeLauter is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Tropicana Field profiles as the #3 venue in Major League Baseball for lefty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Chase DeLauter will have the handedness advantage against Nick Martinez today.. Chase DeLauter has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
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Chicago Cubs logo CHC @ Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT Sat, Jul 25 • 6:40 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Chicago Cubs logo Pittsburgh Pirates logo o7.5 (-116)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 hours ago
Chris Faria image
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst

Paul Skenes has a lofty 5.27 ERA over his last five starts, with the Pirates cashing the Over in each of those games. Both bullpens are also shaky, with Pittsburgh’s pen owning the 10th-highest ERA in MLB (4.40), slightly worse than Chicago's (4.04).

Moneyline
Chicago Cubs logo CHC (+114)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 hours ago
Chris Faria image
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst

Paul Skenes’ ERA is up to 3.43 compared to his 2.35 career average, while Cubs starter Shota Imanaga is trending up with a stingy 1.62 ERA over his last three outings. Imanaga will dominate a Pirates lineup that’s missing three everyday players and ranks 19th in runs scored as well as 20th in SLG since the All-Star break.

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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Baltimore Orioles logo BAL Sat, Jul 25 • 7:05 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
3 LEG PARLAY
Taylor Ward profile picture
Taylor Ward o0.5 Runs
Runs
Pete Alonso profile picture
Pete Alonso o1.5 Total Bases
Total Bases
Matt Olson profile picture
Matt Olson o1.5 Total Bases
Total Bases
Bet now
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
Robert Criscola image
Robert Criscola
Publishing Editor

Generous prices all around here, take this SGP to +550. Taylor Ward has come across to score in four of his last six overall, including twice last night. He often hits ahead of Pete Alonso, who has an elite-rated matchup on Batters-Box.com with Braves SP Bryce Elder, whom he's 4-for-14 against all-time with a dinger. Matt Olson homered last night and brings a solid .929 OPS vs. righties into this tilt.

Total Bases
Matt Olson logo
Matt Olson o1.5 Total Bases (+109)
Projection 2.1
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run talent, Matt Olson ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Matt Olson is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. The #6 park in the majors for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. The shallowest right field fences among all major league parks are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. Matt Olson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brandon Young in today's game.
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Houston Astros logo HOU @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Sat, Jul 25 • 7:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Christian Walker logo
Christian Walker o1.5 Total Bases (+170)
Projection 1.82
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run skill, Christian Walker ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Guaranteed Rate Field projects as the #8 field in the majors for overall RHB offense, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. Christian Walker pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.9% — 82nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Using Statcast data, Christian Walker ranks in the 78th percentile for power via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 26.400.
Total Bases
Isaac Paredes logo
Isaac Paredes o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.63
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Isaac Paredes is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.. Guaranteed Rate Field projects as the #8 field in the majors for overall RHB offense, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. Isaac Paredes pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (68.1% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest LF fences today.. Isaac Paredes's 23.9° launch angle (a reliable metric to assess a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the highest in the game: 99th percentile.
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Colorado Rockies logo COL @ Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL Sat, Jul 25 • 7:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Kyle Karros logo
Kyle Karros o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
Projection 1.5
Best Odds
Pick made: 20 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Kyle Karros's BABIP skill is projected in the 83rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Karros has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (83% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. American Family Field has the 8th-shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the 4th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Hitting from the opposite that Robert Gasser throws from, Kyle Karros will have an advantage in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Cole Carrigg logo
Cole Carrigg o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.59
Best Odds
Pick made: 20 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Cole Carrigg is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game.. American Family Field has the 8th-shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the 4th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Cole Carrigg's 30% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.6%.
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Athletics Athletics logo ATH @ Minnesota Twins logo MIN Sat, Jul 25 • 7:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Byron Buxton logo
Byron Buxton o1.5 Total Bases (-112)
Projection 2.39
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Byron Buxton projects as the 8th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Byron Buxton is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the highest temperatures of the day at 90°.. Byron Buxton will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.. Byron Buxton has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.8-mph to 94.7-mph over the past week.
Total RBIs
Shea Langeliers logo
Shea Langeliers o0.5 Total RBIs (+130)
Projection 0.83
Best Odds
Pick made: 23 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Shea Langeliers projects as the 17th-best home run batter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Shea Langeliers is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the highest temperatures of the day at 94°.. Shea Langeliers will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Connor Prielipp in today's matchup.. Among every team on the slate today, the 5th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins.
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Seattle Mariners logo SEA @ Texas Rangers logo TEX Sat, Jul 25 • 7:15 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Weston Wilson logo
Weston Wilson o1.5 Total Bases (+294)
Projection 1.09
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
In MLB, Globe Life Field has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.256) may lead us to conclude that Weston Wilson has had some very poor luck since the start of last season with his .208 actual batting average.. By putting up a .333 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Weston Wilson is ranked in the 80th percentile for offensive ability.. Weston Wilson grades out in the 81st percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (18.1% rate since the start of last season).. Weston Wilson has paced 22.9 long-balls per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, placing in the 82nd percentile for power.
Total RBIs
Weston Wilson logo
Weston Wilson o0.5 Total RBIs (+360)
Projection 0.32
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
In MLB, Globe Life Field has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.256) may lead us to conclude that Weston Wilson has had some very poor luck since the start of last season with his .208 actual batting average.. By putting up a .333 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Weston Wilson is ranked in the 80th percentile for offensive ability.. Weston Wilson grades out in the 81st percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (18.1% rate since the start of last season).. Weston Wilson has paced 22.9 long-balls per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, placing in the 82nd percentile for power.
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Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ New York Mets logo NYM Sat, Jul 25 • 7:15 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Marcus Semien logo
Marcus Semien o1.5 Total Bases (+255)
Projection 1.33
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Marcus Semien pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (52.5% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.. Extreme flyball hitters like Marcus Semien are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Yoshinobu Yamamoto.. Marcus Semien will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Marcus Semien's true offensive talent to be a .318, providing some evidence that he has been unlucky this year given the .052 gap between that figure and his actual .266 wOBA.
Total Bases
Luis Robert Jr. logo
Luis Robert Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+239)
Projection 1.39
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run talent, Luis Robert Jr. ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions in the majors.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Luis Robert Jr. will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. When it comes to his batting average, Luis Robert Jr. has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .220 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .238.. Luis Robert Jr.'s maximum exit velocity (a reliable metric to measure power) has been 115.8 mph since the start of last season, checking in at the 93rd percentile.
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Cincinnati Reds logo CIN @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Sat, Jul 25 • 7:15 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Ivan Herrera logo
Ivan Herrera o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.56
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 90th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. Ivan Herrera is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. On average, the fence height at Busch Stadium is the 7th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 87°.. Ivan Herrera hits many of his flyballs to center field (41.1% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences today.
Strikeouts Thrown
Hunter Greene logo
Hunter Greene u6.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-114)
Projection 5.72
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The St. Louis Cardinals (19 K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the 2nd-least strikeout-prone team of batters on the slate today.. Projected catcher Tyler Stephenson projects as a weak pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Busch Stadium as the worst field in the majors for strikeouts.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 87°.. Given that groundball pitchers are least effective against flyball hitters, Hunter Greene (40.6% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this matchup with 3 FB hitters in St. Louis's projected lineup.
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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET
4 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto logo Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer. 

3 LEG PARLAY
Dansby Swanson profile picture
Dansby Swanson u0.5 Total Hits
Total Hits
Dylan Cease profile picture
Dylan Cease o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown
Strikeouts Thrown
George Springer profile picture
George Springer o1.5 Total Bases
Total Bases
Bet now
Pick made: one month ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Swanson is just 1-for-6 against Cease in his career. Cease has electric stuff, leading the American League with 110 Ks, while ranking in the 97th percentile in K-rate. Springer is turning a corner with a 1.089 OPS over his last nine games.

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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
5 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Atlanta Braves logo Chicago White Sox logo o8.5 (-105)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Moneyline
Atlanta Braves logo ATL (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Boston Red Sox logo New York Yankees logo o8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

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San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 1 Computer Pick
Total
San Francisco Giants logo Atlanta Braves logo o7.5 (-116)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

Moneyline
San Francisco Giants logo SF (+124)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

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Covers’ analysts make MLB Over/Under picks throughout the baseball season. Betting on MLB Over/Unders means choosing whether you think the combined total runs scored in a game will be Over or Under a specific run total set by oddsmakers.

Free MLB Moneyline Picks

Betting on the MLB moneyline means picking which team will win a game outright. While less common than picking the run line or even a prop, our analysts will always look for high-value baseball moneyline picks if they feel it’s the best bet.

Free MLB Prop Picks

There’s always value in MLB props. Our team scours through game, team, and player props to try and find opportunity and value. From strikeouts to home runs, expect well-researched MLB prop picks from Covers.

MLB Consensus Picks

Covers’ consensus MLB picks show you the odds and predictions that our vibrant community of bettors and players are making. Try our picks on with our free MLB contests for a chance at prizes and more.

Best Baseball Betting Sites

If you’re ready to bet on MLB picks, you first need to find the right sportsbook. The best MLB betting sites offer secure banking, best odds, bonuses, and reliable customer service.

More Free Picks

Covers’ staff of sports betting fans also offers a wide array of free picks for the NFL, NBA, NHL, NCAA basketball, and NCAA football.

MLB Free Picks FAQs

When do we release our MLB picks?

Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.

What kinds of MLB picks do we make?

Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.