Braves vs Red Sox Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's MLB Game
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Let’s stay on the getaway angle today with an afternoon game on a small slate, as both teams head into new series on Friday. The Angels travel to Tampa after today’s game, while the Tigers hit the road to face the White Sox. This total feels inflated at first glance because of the pitching matchup, but Jack Flaherty has at least started to rein in the wild walk rate, and both his BABIP and LOB% help explain why the expected metrics are pointing toward better results ahead. Grayson Rodriguez is still working his way back after missing all of last season and now draws a Tigers offense that ranks dead last in the American League in OPS over the last 30 days. These are also the No. 28 and No. 29 offenses in wOBA over that same stretch. The fair price for this Under at the 9 is -125.
Davis Martin has quietly become one of the most electric arms in the White Sox rotation, and tonight’s matchup sets up beautifully for another strong outing. The right-hander is averaging 6.6 strikeouts per start this season and an even stronger 7.25 at home. Over his last five starts, Martin owns an elite 32.5% strikeout rate with impressive swing-and-miss metrics across the board. He now faces a Twins lineup that has struggled with strikeouts on the road, carrying the fifth-highest road strikeout rate in baseball. With several Minnesota hitters trending poorly in that department, Martin is in a prime spot to clear this number.
Davis Martin has been nearly untouchable at Rate Field, and the Twins lineup has struggled throughout this series. While Chicago should still generate offense against Minnesota’s bullpen game, this projects as a more controlled matchup overall. Expect the White Sox pitching staff to limit damage enough for the Under to cash.
The veteran righty owns a 5.51 ERA through his first 10 outings as an Oriole, while ranking in the 9th percentile in opponent xBA. Opponents are consistently squaring Bassitt up this season as he owns a .311 opponent batting average, while exceeding tonight’s earned runs total in four of his last six starts.
Drew Rasmussen vs. the New York Yankees is a mismatch on paper — the righty is 4-1 with a 1.03 ERA and 51 punchouts in eight career games against New York. Coming off a thrilling comeback win on Friday, the division-leading Tampa Bay Rays are primed to keep the foot on the gas behind their dynamic arm to create more separation in the AL East.
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