MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on May 21, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

New York Mets logo NYM @ Washington Nationals logo WAS Thu, May 21 • 4:05 PM ET
1 Computer Pick
Strikeouts Thrown
David Peterson logo
David Peterson o4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+100)
Projection 5.11
Best Odds
Pick made: 49 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Nationals Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 11.1-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hurlers.
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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Miami Marlins logo MIA Thu, May 21 • 6:40 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 1 Computer Pick
Moneyline
Atlanta Braves logo ATL (-140)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Aisha Quiñones image
Aisha Quiñones
Senior Publishing Editor

Spencer Strider has consistently handled the Miami Marlins, going 2-2 with a 2.38 ERA and 25 strikeouts over five career appearances. With the Atlanta Braves well ahead of their NL East rival, don’t expect him to ease up now.

Strikeouts Thrown
Spencer Strider logo
Spencer Strider u5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+100)
Projection 5.42
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.
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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ New York Yankees logo NYY Thu, May 21 • 7:05 PM ET
1 Expert Pick
Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-160)
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
Aisha Quiñones image
Aisha Quiñones
Senior Publishing Editor

Carlos Rodón has some redemption on his mind after a shaky, costly return in the Subway Series for the New York Yankees. As they wrap up their current series against an AL East rival, he’ll need to capitalize on a Toronto Blue Jays lineup that’s hitting just .225 against left-handers this season. Rodón has a 2-3 record with an ERA of 4.72 and 54 strikeouts in 9 appearances against the Blue Jays in his career, but this Toronto team looks like a shell of themselves to start the season. Take the home team to best the Jays as Rodón shakes off the rust and slowly, but surely finds his rhythm again on the mound.

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Athletics Athletics logo ATH @ Los Angeles Angels logo LAA Thu, May 21 • 9:38 PM ET
1 Expert Pick
Moneyline
Athletics Athletics logo ATH (-104)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Aisha Quiñones image
Aisha Quiñones
Senior Publishing Editor

José Soriano has struggled mightily against the Athletics, going 1-3 with a 9.00 ERA and 33 strikeouts in eight career outings — numbers that should have the AL West-leading A’s feeling confident heading into Thursday’s finale. It also sets the stage for Shea Langeliers, who’s been on fire with a .328 average, hitting .326 against right-handers and already launching 12 home runs this season. Expect Soriano to run into trouble again, with Langeliers likely playing a major role.

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Covers’ has more than 25 years of experience making smart MLB picks from the season’s first pitch to the World Series.

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