MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on May 3, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

TOR @

MIN Sun, May 3 • 12:45 PM ET

1 Expert Pick 5 Computer Picks

Moneyline

MIN (-110)

Best Odds

-105

Pick made: 14 hours ago

-110

-112

-105

-110

Although Trey Yesavage looked solid in his 2026 debut, Joe Ryan has had the Blue Jays' number over the years, limiting Toronto hitters to a .708 lifetime OPS. Expect the Twins to take the series finale at home.

Total Bases

Kazuma Okamoto o1.5 Total Bases (+165)

Projection 1.53

Best Odds

o1.5 +165

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +158

o1.5 +132

o1.5 +150

o1.5 +165

As it relates to his home run talent, Kazuma Okamoto ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kazuma Okamoto is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game.

+165 at Fanatics Sportsbook

View 6 Picks

BAL @

NYY Sun, May 3 • 1:35 PM ET

1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks

Total Home Runs

Aaron Judge o0.5 Total Home Runs (+205)

Best Odds

o0.5 +230

Pick made: 3 hours ago

o0.5 +202

o0.5 +230

o0.5 +210

o0.5 +198

o0.5 +215

Aaron Judge is coming off a vintage month of April, where he hit 10 dingers with a .659 slugging percentage.

The Yankees star will square up against Orioles starter Trey Gibson, who is making his MLB debut. Baltimore's bullpen has also been pretty shaky, giving up 17 home runs - tied for seventh most in the MLB.

Total Hits

Ben Rice u0.5 Total Hits (+200)

Projection 0.94

Best Odds

u0.5 +200

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +175

u0.5 +174

u0.5 +200

Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 4th-coldest temperature on the slate today at 59°.

+200 at Fanatics Sportsbook

View 11 Picks

MIL @

WAS Sun, May 3 • 1:35 PM ET

1 Expert Pick 8 Computer Picks

Total Home Runs

William Contreras o0.5 Total Home Runs (+540)

Best Odds

o0.5 +582

Pick made: 3 hours ago

o0.5 +582

o0.5 +500

o0.5 +540

o0.5 +500

o0.5 +575

William Contreras only has three homers this year (including one on Thursday), but he'll be able to pick on a brutal Nationals pitching staff today.

Starter Zack Littell has already allowed 13 homers, including 2+ in four straight outings, while the Nats have surrendered an MLB-worst 51 dingers.

Total Bases

Jake Bauers o1.5 Total Bases (+140)

Projection 1.64

Best Odds

o1.5 +140

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +118

o1.5 +140

o1.5 -105

o1.5 +110

o1.5 +115

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Bauers in the 88th percentile when estimating his home run talent.. Jake Bauers is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.. Jake Bauers will hold the platoon advantage against Zack Littell in today's matchup.. Among every team playing today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the Washington Nationals.

+140 at bet365

View 9 Picks

HOU @

BOS Sun, May 3 • 1:35 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Hits

Dustin Harris u0.5 Total Hits (+130)

Projection 0.65

Best Odds

u0.5 +130

Pick made: 30 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +130

u0.5 -105

u0.5 +127

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Dustin Harris ranks in the 23rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Dustin Harris is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card today.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to drop to the 2nd-lowest level of all games on the slate today at 57°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. Ranger Suarez will have the handedness advantage against Dustin Harris today.. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.

+130 at DraftKings

Total Hits

Jarren Duran u0.5 Total Hits (+190)

Projection 0.87

Best Odds

u0.5 +190

Pick made: 3 hours ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +190

u0.5 +175

u0.5 +185

The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to drop to the 2nd-lowest level of all games on the slate today at 57°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. The Houston Astros outfield defense grades out as the 5th-best among every team in action today.

+190 at bet365

View 10 Picks

CIN @

PIT Sun, May 3 • 1:35 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Sal Stewart o1.5 Total Bases (+135)

Projection 1.67

Best Odds

o1.5 +135

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +130

o1.5 +135

o1.5 +120

o1.5 +126

o1.5 +125

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Stewart as the 20th-best hitter in MLB when it comes to his batting average skill.. Sal Stewart is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.3-mph in this game, the 4th-best of the day for hitters.. Among every team today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates.

+135 at bet365

Total RBIs

Ryan O'Hearn o0.5 Total RBIs (+235)

Projection 0.51

Best Odds

o0.5 +235

Pick made: 4 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +235

o0.5 +180

o0.5 +176

o0.5 +190

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.. Ryan O'Hearn is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.3-mph in this game, the 4th-best of the day for hitters.. Ryan O'Hearn will have the handedness advantage over Chase Burns in today's game.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Ryan O'Hearn will hold that advantage today.

+235 at DraftKings

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SF @

TB Sun, May 3 • 1:40 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Hits

Jerar Encarnacion u0.5 Total Hits (+119)

Projection 0.59

Best Odds

u0.5 +119

Pick made: 44 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +114

u0.5 -110

u0.5 +119

u0.5 +110

Jerar Encarnacion is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jerar Encarnacion in today's game.

+119 at Caesars

Total Hits

Richie Palacios u0.5 Total Hits (+100)

Projection 0.58

Best Odds

u0.5 +102

Pick made: 3 hours ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +101

u0.5 -105

u0.5 +102

u0.5 +100

Richie Palacios's BABIP talent is projected in the 13th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Richie Palacios is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.

+102 at Caesars

View 10 Picks

PHI @

MIA Sun, May 3 • 1:40 PM ET

9 Computer Picks

Total Hits

Kyle Stowers u0.5 Total Hits (+155)

Projection 0.73

Best Odds

u0.5 +155

Pick made: 1 hours ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +129

u0.5 +155

u0.5 +136

u0.5 +130

Because of Jesus Luzardo's large platoon split, Kyle Stowers will be at a big disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate in this game.. Kyle Stowers pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.4% — 80th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game's 4th-deepest RF fences in today's matchup.. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense grades out as the 4th-strongest among all the teams on the slate today.

+155 at bet365

Total Bases

Kyle Schwarber o1.5 Total Bases (+120)

Projection 1.82

Best Odds

o1.5 +120

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +113

o1.5 +100

o1.5 +109

o1.5 +120

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 3rd-best home run hitter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up 7° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense.. Batting from the opposite that Chris Paddack throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have an edge in today's matchup.. Kyle Schwarber has strong power (100th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's usually a big "IF" (27.7% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Chris Paddack has a pitch-to-contact profile (19th percentile K%) — great news for Schwarber.

+120 at Fanatics Sportsbook

View 9 Picks

LAD @

STL Sun, May 3 • 2:15 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

JJ Wetherholt o1.5 Total Bases (+202)

Projection 1.6

Best Odds

o1.5 +202

Pick made: 1 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +153

o1.5 +202

o1.5 +110

o1.5 +145

When estimating his overall offensive skill, JJ Wetherholt ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. JJ Wetherholt is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 16.9-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for bats.. JJ Wetherholt will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

+202 at bet365

Total Bases

Pedro Pages o1.5 Total Bases (+206)

Projection 1.43

Best Odds

o1.5 +206

Pick made: 5 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +206

o1.5 +180

Pedro Pages has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (100% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 16.9-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for bats.. Hitting from the opposite that Justin Wrobleski throws from, Pedro Pages will have an advantage in today's game.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Pedro Pages will hold that advantage today.

+206 at DraftKings

View 10 Picks

AZ @

CHC Sun, May 3 • 2:20 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Hits

Gabriel Moreno u0.5 Total Hits (+200)

Projection 0.86

Best Odds

u0.5 +200

Pick made: 4 hours ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +200

Gabriel Moreno is penciled in 8th in the batting order today, which would be a downgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.. Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast projects the coldest temperature of all games on the slate at 57°.. Today, Gabriel Moreno is at a disadvantage facing the league's 5th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 38.4% rate (97th percentile).. The Chicago Cubs outfield defense profiles as the strongest among all the teams in action today.. Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Gabriel Moreno in today's matchup.

+200 at bet365

Total Hits

Carson Kelly u0.5 Total Hits (+178)

Projection 0.83

Best Odds

u0.5 +178

Pick made: 20 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +178

u0.5 +140

u0.5 +158

u0.5 +160

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carson Kelly in the 16th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. Carson Kelly is projected to hit 9th in the batting order today.. Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast projects the coldest temperature of all games on the slate at 57°.. Batting from the same side that Merrill Kelly throws from, Carson Kelly encounters a tough challenge in today's game.. The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-best out of every team in action today.

+178 at DraftKings

View 10 Picks

ATL @

COL Sun, May 3 • 3:10 PM ET

1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks

Total Home Runs

Matt Olson o0.5 Total Home Runs (+310)

Best Odds

o0.5 +333

Pick made: 3 hours ago

o0.5 +333

o0.5 +270

o0.5 +310

o0.5 +305

o0.5 +320

Matt Olson has gone yard in two straight games, and four of his last six outings. He'll be batting out of Coors Field today, one of the most hitter-friendly parks in the majors.

The Rockies have allowed 46 dingers already - the third most among all clubs - while starter Kyle Freeland has surrendered a homer in two straight games.

Total Hits

Jorge Mateo u0.5 Total Hits (+160)

Projection 0.65

Best Odds

u0.5 +160

Pick made: 4 hours ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +142

u0.5 +160

u0.5 +145

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Jorge Mateo ranks in the 11th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jorge Mateo is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this game.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hurlers.. Jorge Mateo will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

+160 at bet365

View 11 Picks

CLE @

ATH Sun, May 3 • 4:05 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Kyle Manzardo o1.5 Total Bases (+200)

Projection 1.66

Best Odds

o1.5 +200

Pick made: 42 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +190

o1.5 +140

o1.5 +130

o1.5 +200

Kyle Manzardo is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Hitting from the opposite that Aaron Civale throws from, Kyle Manzardo will have an edge today.. Kyle Manzardo may have an edge against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Athletics only has 1 same-handed RP.

+200 at Fanatics Sportsbook

Total Bases

Brent Rooker o1.5 Total Bases (+135)

Projection 1.87

Best Odds

o1.5 +135

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +128

o1.5 +135

o1.5 +120

o1.5 +124

o1.5 +135

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Brent Rooker ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Brent Rooker is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Hitting from the opposite that Parker Messick throws from, Brent Rooker will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Brent Rooker will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

+135 at bet365

View 10 Picks

NYM @

LAA Sun, May 3 • 4:07 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Hits

Nolan Schanuel u0.5 Total Hits (+185)

Projection 0.88

Best Odds

u0.5 +185

Pick made: 4 hours ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +171

u0.5 +185

u0.5 +162

u0.5 +170

Total Bases

MJ Melendez o1.5 Total Bases (+185)

Projection 1.57

Best Odds

o1.5 +185

Pick made: 1 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +124

o1.5 +185

o1.5 +100

o1.5 +118

o1.5 +135

MJ Melendez is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. Hitting from the opposite that Jack Kochanowicz throws from, MJ Melendez will have an advantage today.. MJ Melendez has big-time power (86th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a sure thing (27.6% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Jack Kochanowicz is a pitch-to-contact type (20th percentile K%) — great news for Melendez.. Extreme flyball hitters like MJ Melendez tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Jack Kochanowicz.. The Los Angeles Angels outfield defense projects as the 2nd-worst among every team today.

+185 at bet365

View 10 Picks

KC @

SEA Sun, May 3 • 4:10 PM ET

1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks

Moneyline

SEA (-120)

Best Odds

-120

Pick made: 11 hours ago

-126

-125

-120

-125

-120

Luis Castillo has been a shell of his former self, but the Mariners right-hander should bounce back against a putrid Royals offense that is hitting just .205 off of him. Side with Seattle on Sunday afternoon.

Total Bases

Jac Caglianone o1.5 Total Bases (+182)

Projection 1.62

Best Odds

o1.5 +182

Pick made: 1 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +142

o1.5 +182

o1.5 +110

o1.5 +145

When it comes to his home run talent, Jac Caglianone ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. This matchup is predicted to have the 13th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Because of Luis Castillo's large platoon split, Jac Caglianone will have a big advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup.. The Seattle Mariners outfield defense profiles as the worst among all the teams in action today.

+182 at bet365

View 11 Picks

CHW @

SD Sun, May 3 • 4:10 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Hits

Munetaka Murakami u0.5 Total Hits (+142)

Projection 0.69

Best Odds

u0.5 +142

Pick made: 3 hours ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +142

u0.5 +110

u0.5 +141

u0.5 +140

The San Diego Padres infield defense projects as the 2nd-strongest among all the teams in action today.. Munetaka Murakami will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

+142 at DraftKings

Total Bases

Munetaka Murakami o1.5 Total Bases (+195)

Projection 1.51

Best Odds

o1.5 +195

Pick made: 1 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +134

o1.5 +195

o1.5 +115

o1.5 +129

o1.5 +135

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Munetaka Murakami as the league's 2nd-best home run batter.. Munetaka Murakami is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.. Munetaka Murakami will hold the platoon advantage over Griffin Canning in today's game.. Munetaka Murakami hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

+195 at bet365

View 10 Picks

$Texas Rangers logo$ TEX @

DET Sun, May 3 • 7:20 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Ezequiel Duran o1.5 Total Bases (+240)

Projection 1.32

Best Odds

o1.5 +240

Pick made: 4 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +173

o1.5 +240

o1.5 +145

Total Bases

Riley Greene o1.5 Total Bases (+150)

Projection 1.69

Best Odds

o1.5 +150

Pick made: 28 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +150

o1.5 +135

o1.5 +115

o1.5 +127

o1.5 +140

When estimating his BABIP talent, Riley Greene is projected as the 20th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Riley Greene is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game.. Riley Greene will hold the platoon advantage against Jack Leiter in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Riley Greene will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

+150 at DraftKings

View 10 Picks

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