Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on July 28, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.
HOU
@
LAA
Mon, Jul 27 • 9:38 PM ET
BOS
@
ATH
Mon, Jul 27 • 9:40 PM ET
Willson Contreras o0.5 Total Home Runs (+291)
Willson Contreras finds himself in an outstanding home run spot against Athletics right hander Jack Perkins. Perkins has been crushed by right handed hitters, allowing a 3.00 HR/9 and 7.50 ERA over the last 30 righties he has faced, while giving up plenty of loud contact. Contreras enters the matchup swinging one of the hottest bats in the Red Sox lineup, posting a .320 batting average, .520 SLG, and .953 OPS over his last 30 at-bats against right handed pitching. Add in the hitter friendly conditions in Sacramento with temperatures in the mid 90s, and this is one of my favorite longball looks of the night.
BOS -1.5 (+101)
I actually like A's starter Jack Perkins in spite of his 6.75 ERA. His under-the-hood metrics all grade out better than the results have shown, but pitching at Sutter Health Park has proven to be a minefield for him and most of the Athletics' hurlers. The Over is also in play, but I like Boston's bats, which should include a debuting Curtis Mead, enough to take the run line for the red-hot visitors.
MIL
@
SF
Mon, Jul 27 • 9:45 PM ET
Bryce Eldridge o0.5 Total Home Runs (+414)
Bryce Eldridge is in an excellent spot to deliver against Brandon Sproat on Monday night. The Giants slugger carries an elite Batters-Box rating into the matchup while covering 80.2% of Sproat's pitch mix. Eldridge has also been scorching right handed pitching, posting a .583 SLG, 1.016 OPS, and .291 ISO over his last 30 plate appearances, along with a 69.2% hard hit rate and 15.4% barrel rate. Sproat has struggled against left handed hitters, allowing plenty of quality contact and very few ground balls. With both the matchup and current form working in his favor, Eldridge is set up for a strong extra base performance.
CLE
@
CIN
Tue, Jul 28 • 1:40 PM ET
u8.5 (-112)
The Under 8.5 fits because neither offense is bringing much recent firepower into this matchup. Cincinnati owns a 59 wRC+ and .131 ISO over the last week, while Cleveland sits at 96 and .169. With both bullpens in solid form, this profiles more like a controlled game overall.
CIN (-155)
Chase Burns gives Cincinnati the cleaner pitching edge against a Cleveland lineup making very little loud contact lately. The Guardians have just a 28.7% hard-hit rate over the last seven games, while Slade Cecconi has struggled with a 5.48 xERA and 47.8% hard-hit rate across his last four appearances overall.
TOR
@
WAS
Tue, Jul 28 • 6:45 PM ET
TOR (+120)
TOR
@
CHC
Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET
Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer.
Swanson is just 1-for-6 against Cease in his career. Cease has electric stuff, leading the American League with 110 Ks, while ranking in the 97th percentile in K-rate. Springer is turning a corner with a 1.089 OPS over his last nine games.
ATL
@
CHW
Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
o8.5 (-105)
Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.
ATL (-112)
I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.
BOS
@
NYY
Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
o8.5 (-110)
The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.
NYY (-135)
Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.
SF
@
ATL
Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
o7.5 (-116)
SF (+124)
The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.
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