Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on May 14, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.
PHI
@
BOS
Thu, May 14 • 6:45 PM ET
u7.5 (-125)
Ranger Suárez, now facing a familiar Phillies lineup, has been dominant — scoreless in four of his last five starts with two eight-inning outings, backed by elite run values. Meanwhile, Jesús Luzardo has thrived on the road (2-0, 2.04 ERA, 12 K/9), holding opponents well below league average. With Boston struggling offensively at home (74 OPS+), this sets up as a low-scoring matchup.
BOS (-106)
The Boston Red Sox face lefty Jesus Luzardo who has a 5.77 ERA, although the underlying stats indicate that might be partially due to bad luck. Boston hits 96 OPS points higher against lefties and is 13% better than league average. The Philadelphia Phillies have also been hitting below league average on the season and face Boston southpaw Ranger Suarez. Philadelphia is hitting 10% below league average and 51 OPS worse against lefties.
CHC
@
ATL
Thu, May 14 • 7:15 PM ET
o7.5 (+100)
The Chicago Cubs pace the majors in wOBA against lefties, and the Atlanta Braves lead the way in the metric against righties. Additionally, Atlanta leads the league in runs per game (5.51), with Chicago tied for third most (5.07). Of course, the Cubbies have also played to the Over in 21 of their past 35 games (+6.75 Units / 17% ROI).
CHC (+158)
The Chicago Cubs have the lowest BABIP and scored just 3.0 runs per game over the past week, and they’re a huge underdog despite pacing the majors in wOBA against left-handed pitchers. Atlanta Braves southpaw Chris Sale is cruising to the tune of a 2.20 ERA, but there are still signs for slight concern. with his .223 BABIP and 88.4% strand rate notably better than his respective .313 and 81.0% marks over the previous two seasons.
KC
@
CHW
Thu, May 14 • 7:40 PM ET
Bobby Witt Jr. o0.5 Total Home Runs (+451)
It’s tough to go wrong with Bobby "bags" Witt Jr. on the home run card. The guy can do it the conventional way or the Little League way, and +450 is a great price on a tough board against lefty Anthony Kay, whom Witt has already seen this season. He’s also hitting lefties at the best rate of his career in 2026. Witt owns a 191 wRC+ over the last two weeks, along with the seventh-best slugging percentage in baseball. He’s gone deep five times during that stretch, including entering today on a two-game home run streak. He’s one of the hottest hitters in baseball right now and continues to climb the AL MVP odds board. I’d play Witt down to +400 in this matchup.
SF
@
LAD
Thu, May 14 • 10:10 PM ET
AZ
@
COL
Fri, May 15 • 8:40 PM ET
o12.5 (+100)
Kyle Freeland has surrendered a 1.032 OPS against Diamondbacks hitters, while Arizona right-hander Merrill Kelly has been a disaster in 2026, carrying a 9.92 xERA and a .346 xBA. Playing at the hitter-friendly confines of Coors Field, expect these two offenses to have a field day in the thin air.
MIL
@
STL
Tue, Jul 7 • 2:15 PM ET
u8.0 (-120)
If Brandon Sproat can hold his own early, the Brewers will turn to an excellent bullpen that ranks fifth in xFIP and tied for third in homers allowed per nine innings.
Colder weather and Andre Pallante’s high ground-ball rate (50%) should allow the Cardinals to limit the long ball. That’ll make it difficult to score runs in bulk, helping keep this game Under the total.
MIL (-110)
Brandon Sproat’s xFIP and SIERA are two full runs less than his ERA, suggesting he hasn’t pitched as poorly as it appears on the surface.
Andre Pallante has posted some concerning numbers against lefties (47.2% hard-hit rate, 13.2% barrel rate), and the Brewers have plenty of good ones in their lineup. This mismatch favors the visitors, and we'll take the Brewers on the ML.
Covers’ has more than 25 years of experience making smart MLB picks from the season’s first pitch to the World Series.
We find the best MLB odds and share our picks and baseball best bets for all the significant games of the baseball season right here on this page.
Our picks are researched and analyzed by experienced sports bettors looking for an edge to get the best value from their MLB betting.
Making smart MLB picks means looking beyond the favorites. Our free expert baseball picks will include a wide variety of bet types and markets.
Every day our baseball analysts look for quality baseball picks to share. You can expect well-researched picks on the money, run line, totals, player props, and much more.
Run lines are what other sports like football and basketball refer to as point spreads. Run lines even the odds between two teams, offering bettors as close to an even matchup as possible. Our analysts research vital stats, pitching matchups, injuries, and more to give you the best possible edge before making your MLB run line bets.
Covers’ analysts make MLB Over/Under picks throughout the baseball season. Betting on MLB Over/Unders means choosing whether you think the combined total runs scored in a game will be Over or Under a specific run total set by oddsmakers.
Betting on the MLB moneyline means picking which team will win a game outright. While less common than picking the run line or even a prop, our analysts will always look for high-value baseball moneyline picks if they feel it’s the best bet.
There’s always value in MLB props. Our team scours through game, team, and player props to try and find opportunity and value. From strikeouts to home runs, expect well-researched MLB prop picks from Covers.
Covers’ consensus MLB picks show you the odds and predictions that our vibrant community of bettors and players are making. Try our picks on with our free MLB contests for a chance at prizes and more.
If you’re ready to bet on MLB picks, you first need to find the right sportsbook. The best MLB betting sites offer secure banking, best odds, bonuses, and reliable customer service.
Covers’ staff of sports betting fans also offers a wide array of free picks for the NFL, NBA, NHL, NCAA basketball, and NCAA football.
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
Established in 1995,
All Picks
NFL
NCAAF
MLB
NBA
NCAAB
NHL
CFL
WNBA
Golf
World Cup
