MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on July 25, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Kansas City Royals logo KC @ Detroit Tigers logo DET Sat, Jul 25 • 1:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Riley Greene logo
Riley Greene o1.5 Total Bases (+109)
Projection 1.91
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene in the 96th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Riley Greene is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. Among all major league parks, Comerica Park has the lowest average fence height.. Batting from the opposite that Michael Wacha throws from, Riley Greene will have the upper hand today.. Among every team on the slate today, the worst outfield defense is that of the the Kansas City Royals.
Total Hits
Colt Keith logo
Colt Keith u0.5 Total Hits (+190)
Projection 0.88
Best Odds
Pick made: 20 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Among all major league stadiums, Comerica Park's CF fences are the 2nd-deepest.
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Los Angeles Angels logo LAA @ San Francisco Giants logo SF Sat, Jul 25 • 4:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Jo Adell logo
Jo Adell o1.5 Total Bases (+132)
Projection 1.89
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his home run skill, Jo Adell ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 18.6-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for hitters.. Hitting from the opposite that Robbie Ray throws from, Jo Adell will have the upper hand in today's game.
Total Bases
Mike Trout logo
Mike Trout o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.84
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Mike Trout ranks as the 6th-best batter in MLB.. Mike Trout is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 18.6-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for hitters.. Mike Trout will hold the platoon advantage against Robbie Ray in today's game.
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Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ Washington Nationals logo WAS Sat, Jul 25 • 4:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Andres Chaparro logo
Andres Chaparro u0.5 Total Hits (+118)
Projection 0.62
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Chaparro in the 19th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Nationals Park as the 3rd-worst field in the game for RHB batting average.. Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest elevations in the majors, which tends to lead to lower offensive output.. Among all the teams today, the 2nd-best infield defense belongs to the Arizona Diamondbacks.
Total Hits
Dylan Crews logo
Dylan Crews u0.5 Total Hits (+190)
Projection 0.87
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Nationals Park as the 3rd-worst field in the game for RHB batting average.. Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest elevations in the majors, which tends to lead to lower offensive output.. Among all the teams today, the 2nd-best infield defense belongs to the Arizona Diamondbacks.
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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Boston Red Sox logo BOS Sat, Jul 25 • 4:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
George Springer logo
George Springer o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.77
Best Odds
Pick made: 20 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. George Springer is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.. Fenway Park profiles as the #3 park in MLB for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences among all parks.
Total Bases
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. logo
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.83
Best Odds
Pick made: 20 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the 3rd-best batter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his batting average skill.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.. Fenway Park profiles as the #3 park in MLB for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (42.7% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
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San Diego Padres logo SD @ Miami Marlins logo MIA Sat, Jul 25 • 4:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Manny Machado logo
Manny Machado o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.63
Best Odds
Pick made: 20 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. Manny Machado is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. LoanDepot Park has the 6th-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball.
Total Bases
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
Fernando Tatis Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.77
Best Odds
Pick made: 20 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Fernando Tatis Jr. as the 12th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when it comes to his batting average skill.. Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game.. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (48.7% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Extreme groundball hitters like Fernando Tatis Jr. tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Eury Perez.
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Cleveland Guardians logo CLE @ Tampa Bay Rays logo TB Sat, Jul 25 • 6:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Junior Caminero logo
Junior Caminero o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 2.14
Best Odds
Pick made: 20 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Junior Caminero projects as the 14th-best batter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Junior Caminero is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.. The #3 field in Major League Baseball for boosting home runs to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Junior Caminero pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (53.4% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Junior Caminero will hold that advantage today.
Total Bases
Yandy Diaz logo
Yandy Diaz o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.82
Best Odds
Pick made: 20 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yandy Diaz as the 7th-best batter in the league when assessing his batting average ability.. Yandy Diaz is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game.. The #3 field in Major League Baseball for boosting home runs to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Yandy Diaz has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (51.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Yandy Diaz will hold that advantage in today's game.
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Chicago Cubs logo CHC @ Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT Sat, Jul 25 • 6:40 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Chicago Cubs logo Pittsburgh Pirates logo o7.5 (-116)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Chris Faria image
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst

Paul Skenes has a lofty 5.27 ERA over his last five starts, with the Pirates cashing the Over in each of those games.

Both bullpens are also shaky, with Pittsburgh’s pen owning the 10th-highest ERA in MLB (4.40), slightly worse than Chicago's (4.04).

Moneyline
Chicago Cubs logo CHC (+114)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Chris Faria image
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst

Paul Skenes’ ERA is up to 3.43 compared to his 2.35 career average, while Cubs starter Shota Imanaga is trending up with a stingy 1.62 ERA over his last three outings. 

Imanaga will dominate a Pirates lineup that’s missing three everyday players and ranks 19th in runs scored as well as 20th in SLG since the All-Star break.

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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Baltimore Orioles logo BAL Sat, Jul 25 • 7:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Michael Harris II logo
Michael Harris II o1.5 Total Bases (-110)
Projection 2.08
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.. Michael Harris II is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game.. The #6 park in the majors for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. The shallowest right field fences among all major league parks are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. Michael Harris II will hold the platoon advantage over Brandon Young in today's game.
Total Bases
Taylor Ward logo
Taylor Ward o1.5 Total Bases (+185)
Projection 1.74
Best Odds
Pick made: 20 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Taylor Ward in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.. Taylor Ward is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game.. The #6 park in the majors for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. Taylor Ward hits many of his flyballs to center field (43% — 93rd percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Taylor Ward will hold that advantage today.
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Houston Astros logo HOU @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Sat, Jul 25 • 7:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Miguel Vargas logo
Miguel Vargas o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.96
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Vargas in the 97th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Miguel Vargas is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Guaranteed Rate Field projects as the #8 field in the majors for overall RHB offense, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. Miguel Vargas pulls many of his flyballs (43.1% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences today.
Total Bases
Yordan Alvarez logo
Yordan Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (-105)
Projection 2.44
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Yordan Alvarez projects as the 2nd-best batter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Yordan Alvarez is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game.. Guaranteed Rate Field profiles as the #8 stadium in baseball for overall LHB offense, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest fences among all parks — generally good for long-balls.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.
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Colorado Rockies logo COL @ Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL Sat, Jul 25 • 7:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Brice Turang logo
Brice Turang o1.5 Total Bases (+122)
Projection 1.79
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang in the 96th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.. Brice Turang is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.. On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the 4th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level on the schedule today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Total Bases
Mickey Moniak logo
Mickey Moniak o1.5 Total Bases (+200)
Projection 1.63
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run ability, Mickey Moniak ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the 4th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level on the schedule today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The Milwaukee Brewers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Mickey Moniak stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.
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Athletics Athletics logo ATH @ Minnesota Twins logo MIN Sat, Jul 25 • 7:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Royce Lewis logo
Royce Lewis o1.5 Total Bases (+132)
Projection 1.83
Best Odds
Pick made: 20 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Royce Lewis in the 88th percentile when assessing his home run talent.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the highest temperatures of the day at 95°.. Out of all the teams today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Athletics.. Royce Lewis is an extreme flyball hitter and faces the weak outfield defense of Sacramento (#2-worst on the slate).. Royce Lewis will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.
Total Bases
Shea Langeliers logo
Shea Langeliers o1.5 Total Bases (-110)
Projection 2.16
Best Odds
Pick made: 20 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Shea Langeliers projects as the 17th-best home run batter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Shea Langeliers is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the highest temperatures of the day at 95°.. Shea Langeliers will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Connor Prielipp in today's matchup.. Among every team on the slate today, the 5th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins.
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Seattle Mariners logo SEA @ Texas Rangers logo TEX Sat, Jul 25 • 7:15 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Jake Burger logo
Jake Burger o1.5 Total Bases (+172)
Projection 1.46
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 94th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. In MLB, Globe Life Field has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Among all the teams in action today, the 3rd-worst infield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Jake Burger will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total Bases
Cal Raleigh logo
Cal Raleigh u1.5 Total Bases (-190)
Projection 0.75
Best Odds
Pick made: 20 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Cal Raleigh is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in today's game, which would be a downgrade from his 93% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.. The #1 park in baseball for suppressing offensive stats to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.. The 6th-deepest CF fences among all parks are found in Globe Life Field.. The Globe Life Field roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up -11° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. The Texas Rangers outfield defense projects as the 5th-best among all the teams in action today.
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Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ New York Mets logo NYM Sat, Jul 25 • 7:15 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Shohei Ohtani logo
Shohei Ohtani o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 2.1
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Shohei Ohtani ranks as the 4th-best hitter in the majors.. Shohei Ohtani is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions in the majors.. Shohei Ohtani will hold the platoon advantage over Nolan McLean in today's game.
Total Bases
Luis Robert Jr. logo
Luis Robert Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+229)
Projection 1.39
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run talent, Luis Robert Jr. ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions in the majors.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Luis Robert Jr. will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
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Cincinnati Reds logo CIN @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Sat, Jul 25 • 7:15 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Elly De La Cruz logo
Elly De La Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+129)
Projection 1.69
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his BABIP skill, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 8th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Elly De La Cruz is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today.. On average, the fence height at Busch Stadium is the 7th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 86°.. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Elly De La Cruz will get to bat from his strong side against Andre Pallante today.
Total Bases
Jordan Walker logo
Jordan Walker o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 1.84
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. Jordan Walker is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. On average, the fence height at Busch Stadium is the 7th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 86°.. Jordan Walker hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (44.2% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences today.
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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET
4 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto logo Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer. 

3 LEG PARLAY
Dansby Swanson profile picture
Dansby Swanson u0.5 Total Hits
Total Hits
Dylan Cease profile picture
Dylan Cease o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown
Strikeouts Thrown
George Springer profile picture
George Springer o1.5 Total Bases
Total Bases
Bet now
Pick made: one month ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Swanson is just 1-for-6 against Cease in his career. Cease has electric stuff, leading the American League with 110 Ks, while ranking in the 97th percentile in K-rate. Springer is turning a corner with a 1.089 OPS over his last nine games.

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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
5 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Atlanta Braves logo Chicago White Sox logo o8.5 (-105)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Moneyline
Atlanta Braves logo ATL (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

View 15 Picks
Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Boston Red Sox logo New York Yankees logo o8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

View 12 Picks
San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 1 Computer Pick
Total
San Francisco Giants logo Atlanta Braves logo o7.5 (-116)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

Moneyline
San Francisco Giants logo SF (+124)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

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