MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on May 23, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

St. Louis Cardinals logo STL @ Cincinnati Reds logo CIN Sat, May 23 • 1:10 PM ET
3 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Jordan Walker logo
Jordan Walker o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 2.01
Best Odds
Pick made: 20 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his home run ability, Jordan Walker ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jordan Walker is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. The #1 field in Major League Baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The 8th-shallowest LF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Great American Ball Park.. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the most humid conditions on the slate today at 92%.
Total RBIs
Jordan Walker logo
Jordan Walker o0.5 Total RBIs (+125)
Projection 0.76
Best Odds
Pick made: 20 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his home run ability, Jordan Walker ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jordan Walker is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. The #1 field in Major League Baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The 8th-shallowest LF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Great American Ball Park.. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the most humid conditions on the slate today at 92%.
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Houston Astros logo HOU @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Sat, May 23 • 2:20 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Houston Astros logo Chicago Cubs logo u7.5 (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 hours ago
Eric Rosales image
Eric Rosales
Betting Analyst

Houston's Under record is 8-0-1 in its last nine games. 

Moneyline
Chicago Cubs logo CHC (-142)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 hours ago
Eric Rosales image
Eric Rosales
Betting Analyst

Colin Rea has allowed just four earned runs in his last three home starts, going 2-0 with a 2.37 ERA.

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Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT @ Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR Sat, May 23 • 3:07 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Strikeouts Thrown
Paul Skenes logo Paul Skenes o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-132)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Paul Skenes has cashed the Over in strikeouts in five straight outings and continues to pile up Ks despite a slight dip in form this season. The Toronto Blue Jays are struggling offensively right now, averaging 12 strikeouts over its last three games, while Skenes already has eight punchouts in 18 career at-bats against this lineup.

Total Bases
Marcell Ozuna logo
Marcell Ozuna o1.5 Total Bases (+156)
Projection 1.61
Best Odds
Pick made: 44 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his home run skill, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Marcell Ozuna is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.. The #3 park in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.. The 9th-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Rogers Centre.. The Rogers Centre roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 7° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense.
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Chicago White Sox logo CHW @ San Francisco Giants logo SF Sat, May 23 • 4:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Munetaka Murakami logo
Munetaka Murakami u0.5 Total Hits (+170)
Projection 0.81
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Built just 8 feet above sea level, Oracle Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. Munetaka Murakami will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game.. Over the past 7 days, Munetaka Murakami's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 21.4% down to 12.5%.. Munetaka Murakami's average exit velocity has fallen off lately; his 94.4-mph seasonal figure has fallen off to 92.3-mph in the past two weeks.
Total Bases
Bryce Eldridge logo
Bryce Eldridge o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.44
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryce Eldridge in the 89th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Among all stadiums, Oracle Park's RF dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Bryce Eldridge will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryan Hudson today.. Bryce Eldridge has a ton of pop (89th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's usually a big "IF" (30.6% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Bryan Hudson struggles to strike batters out (8th percentile K%) — great news for Eldridge.
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Detroit Tigers logo DET @ Baltimore Orioles logo BAL Sat, May 23 • 4:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Jeremiah Jackson logo
Jeremiah Jackson u0.5 Total Hits (+170)
Projection 0.78
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Jeremiah Jackson is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card today.. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-coldest weather of all games today at 56°.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 10.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for mound aces.. Jeremiah Jackson's launch angle this year (6.1°) is a significant dropoff from his 11.7° mark last season.. Posting a 9.56 K/BB rate this year, Jeremiah Jackson has shown bad plate discipline, grading out in the 1st percentile.
Total Hits
Weston Wilson logo
Weston Wilson u0.5 Total Hits (+105)
Projection 0.5
Best Odds
Pick made: 20 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Weston Wilson's batting average talent is projected to be in the 6th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Weston Wilson is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this matchup.. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the coldest weather of all games today at 53°.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 11.5-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for mound aces.. Weston Wilson's quickness has declined this year. His 28.15 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 26.71 ft/sec now.
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Cleveland Guardians logo CLE @ Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI Sat, May 23 • 4:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Brandon Marsh logo
Brandon Marsh u0.5 Total Hits (+185)
Projection 0.86
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The #7 park in MLB for suppressing base hits to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations among all stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.. Brandon Marsh's average exit velocity has dropped off in recent games; his 89.4-mph seasonal mark has dropped to 86-mph over the last week.. Brandon Marsh's launch angle in recent games (5.3° over the last two weeks) is considerably lower than his 10.8° seasonal mark.
Total Bases
Kyle Manzardo logo
Kyle Manzardo o1.5 Total Bases (+200)
Projection 1.28
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Manzardo in the 92nd percentile when assessing his home run skill.. Kyle Manzardo is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citizens Bank Park as the 9th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB home runs.. Dingers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. Because of Zack Wheeler's large platoon split, Kyle Manzardo will have a big advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in this game.
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Seattle Mariners logo SEA @ Kansas City Royals logo KC Sat, May 23 • 4:10 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Strikeouts Thrown
George Kirby logo George Kirby o4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-163)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

George Kirby has compiled 52 strikeouts in 62.2 innings of work this season, and he's cashed the Over in punchouts in four consecutive appearances. The right-hander struck out six last time out against the San Diego Padres. Kirby faces the Kansas City Royals tonight, who he's held to a .210 average across 62 at-bats. KC is around the middle of the pack in team Ks, but they're striking out nearly 10 times per game across their previous three contests. 

Total Bases
Bobby Witt Jr. logo
Bobby Witt Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (-105)
Projection 2.27
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bobby Witt Jr. as the 2nd-best hitter in the league when estimating his batting average talent.. Bobby Witt Jr. is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.. The #6 ballpark in the majors for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 2nd-most suitable hitting conditions of all games today.
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New York Mets logo NYM @ Miami Marlins logo MIA Sat, May 23 • 4:10 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Game Prop
New York Mets logo Miami Marlins logo YRFI/NRFI (No: -122)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Freddy Peralta has allowed a first-inning run only once in 10 starts this season, while Max Meyer owns an impressive 8-2 NRFI/YRFI record. Both offenses have struggled to score early lately, making this matchup a strong spot for another scoreless opening inning.

Total Home Runs
Juan Soto logo Juan Soto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+308)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Juan Soto is red-hot at the plate, batting .423 over the last week with four home runs, including homers in three of his last four games. While Max Meyer has limited long balls this season, Soto’s current form and recent power surge make him a strong value play.

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Washington Nationals logo WAS @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Sat, May 23 • 4:10 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
CJ Abrams logo CJ Abrams o0.5 Total Home Runs (+560)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

CJ Abrams has been one of baseball’s best hitters this season, already launching 11 homers while batting .299 with 45 RBIs. He’s also homered twice in his last three games, and Grant Holmes has shown vulnerability against left-handed hitters.

Runs
Ronald Acuna Jr. logo Ronald Acuna Jr. o0.5 Runs (-149)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Ronald Acuna Jr. has scored in five of his last six games and continues to make an immediate impact since returning from injury. He also has strong numbers against Jake Irvin, while the Atlanta Braves elite offense and Washington’s shaky bullpen create another favorable spot for Acuna to cross the plate.

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Minnesota Twins logo MIN @ Boston Red Sox logo BOS Sat, May 23 • 4:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Mickey Gasper logo
Mickey Gasper u0.5 Total Hits (+149)
Projection 0.81
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mickey Gasper in the 22nd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.. Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which generally leads to less offense.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report expects the 3rd-most suitable pitching conditions of the day.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for pitchers.. Mickey Gasper has been cold recently, putting up a 0% Barrel% (a reliable standard to evaluate power) over the last week.
Total Hits
Willson Contreras logo
Willson Contreras u0.5 Total Hits (+170)
Projection 0.83
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which generally leads to less offense.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report expects the 4th-most suitable pitching conditions of the day.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 12-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for pitchers.. Hitting from the same side that Taj Bradley throws from, Willson Contreras will be in a tough position in today's matchup.. In the past week, Willson Contreras's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 15.5% down to 10%.
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St. Louis Cardinals logo STL @ Cincinnati Reds logo CIN Sat, May 23 • 7:15 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Game Prop
St. Louis Cardinals logo Cincinnati Reds logo YRFI/NRFI (No: -105)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Neither St. Louis nor Cincinnati has been producing early offense lately, with the Reds scoreless in the first inning in seven straight games. Kyle Leahy also owns an 8-1 NRFI/YRFI record this season, while Chase Petty tossed a scoreless first inning in his MLB debut earlier this month.

Total Hits
Spencer Steer logo
Spencer Steer u0.5 Total Hits (+185)
Projection 0.88
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Hitting from the same side that Kyle Leahy throws from, Spencer Steer has a tough challenge today.. Spencer Steer has been lucky this year, compiling a .342 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .318 — a .024 deviation.. Spencer Steer has recorded a .218 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, checking in at the 12th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
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Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL Sat, May 23 • 7:15 PM ET
3 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Moneyline
Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD (-117)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
Aisha Quiñones image
Aisha Quiñones
Senior Publishing Editor

Roki Sasaki is on the bump for the Los Angeles Dodgers as they look to rebound from a Game 1 loss to the Milwaukee Brewers in this series. His 5.09 ERA is a bit inflated, but his electric strikeout stuff means he can dominate any lineup when he's on. Expect a strong response from L.A. behind their young right-hander.

Total
Los Angeles Dodgers logo Milwaukee Brewers logo u9.0 (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 hours ago
Chris Faria image
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst

The Dodgers (2.98; 2nd) and Brewers (3.22; 6th) both have elite bullpens, while the pitchers will benefit from a field with the fifth-lowest Park factor (97) in the majors.

LA will also likely be without top slugger Max Muncy, who left Friday's game after taking a heater to the wrist.

View 13 Picks
Athletics Athletics logo ATH @ San Diego Padres logo SD Sat, May 23 • 9:40 PM ET
3 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Gavin Sheets logo Gavin Sheets o0.5 Total Home Runs (+540)
Best Odds
Pick made: 37 minutes ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Gavin Sheets has been heating up, smacking three home runs across the last week while hitting .353. He's hit all nine of his bombs this season off right-handed pitchers, and he'll face righty JT Ginn of the Athletics tonight. Sheets is also 2-for-2 lifetime against Ginn with a long ball.

Game Prop
Athletics Athletics logo San Diego Padres logo YRFI/NRFI (No: -115)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

JT Ginn has been excellent in the opening inning this season with a 7-1 NRFI/YRFI record, and San Diego is batting just .140 in the first inning. The Athletics have also struggled offensively early in games, while Lucas Giolito looked sharp in his season debut with a scoreless first frame.

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Texas Rangers logo TEX @ Los Angeles Angels logo LAA Sat, May 23 • 10:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Brandon Nimmo logo
Brandon Nimmo u0.5 Total Hits (+185)
Projection 0.88
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Angel Stadium as the 6th-worst ballpark in MLB for left-handed batting average.. Brandon Nimmo has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and will have to hit them out towards baseball's 11th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup.. Brandon Nimmo will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup.
Total Hits
Evan Carter logo
Evan Carter u0.5 Total Hits (+125)
Projection 0.68
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Evan Carter is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.. 14% of the time that Evan Carter has started against a righty on the mound this year, he has been pulled from the game early.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Angel Stadium as the 6th-worst ballpark in MLB for left-handed batting average.. Evan Carter will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.. Over the last week, Evan Carter's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal average of 91.2 mph to 88.4 mph.
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Colorado Rockies logo COL @ Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ Sat, May 23 • 10:10 PM ET
9 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Nolan Arenado logo
Nolan Arenado o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.69
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Nolan Arenado has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (56% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 3rd-best park in the majors for righty batting average.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report predicts the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 83°.. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams on the slate today.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Nolan Arenado will hold that advantage today.
Total Bases
Corbin Carroll logo
Corbin Carroll o1.5 Total Bases (+100)
Projection 2.04
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Corbin Carroll projects as the 20th-best batter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Corbin Carroll is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 3rd-best field in baseball for left-handed batting average.. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report predicts the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 83°.
View 9 Picks
Tampa Bay Rays logo TB @ New York Yankees logo NYY Tue, Sep 22 • 1:05 PM ET
5 Expert Picks 8 Computer Picks
Total
Tampa Bay Rays logo New York Yankees logo u7.0 (+102)
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
Chris Hatfield image
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst

I'm on the market here and wouldn't play this below 7, but at a plus-money price with how the Yankees are swinging lately, I'm inclined to lean towards the Under. The Yankees' offense, one of the best in the sport for long stretches over the past three years, has really struggled lately. It's been held to three runs or fewer in nine of its past 14 games. It should be ugly conditions in Yankee Stadium today, add in Ryan Weathers' strikeout rate, which ranks in the 97th percentile of baseball, and both offenses should stay fairly quiet.

Moneyline
Tampa Bay Rays logo TB (+122)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
Chris Hatfield image
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst

Rasmussen has been a New York Yankees nightmare, posting a 1.03 ERA across eight career outings against the Bronx Bombers. This type of stat is meaningless without context, and we have it here. He's been able to do this because the Yankees are constantly reliant on their power, and Rasmussen is one of the best barrel suppression arms in baseball, sitting in the 96th percentile in such rates this season. Playbale to +100. 

View 13 Picks

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