Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on April 8, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.
DET
@
MIN
Wed, Apr 8 • 7:40 PM ET
u8.5 (-125)
Framber Valdez fell apart in the final two months last season but still finished with good overall numbers. He had a sparkling 3.06 ERA with two All-Star appearances over the previous three years. It looks like he's recaptured that form, pitching to a 0.75 ERA through two starts with his new team. He'll shut down a Twins lineup that struggles against lefties. Minnesota's Baily Ober had a brutal 5.10 ERA last season, but his xERA was 4.36. He also looked much better in the previous two years, pitching to a 3.73 ERA with a 1.03 WHIP across 57 starts. With neither team impressing at the dish and cool temperatures in Minnesota tonight, back the Under.
DET (-142)
Despite struggling down the stretch last season, Framber Valdez still finished with an impressive 3.37 FIP. He's looked extremely sharp with his new team, posting a 2.24 FIP through two starts with Detroit. The Twins counter with Bailey Ober who had a 5.10 ERA with an OBA of .275 last year. He's off to another rough season, surrendering three runs in four innings in both of his starts. These teams have been mediocre at the dish but Detroit has the superior lineup on paper and the analytics indicate positive regression. The Tigers are seventh in the majors in xSLG (.411) while the Twins are 27th (.345). Minnesota is also batting just .196 against lefties like Valdez.
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