MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on July 27, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Seattle Mariners logo SEA @ Texas Rangers logo TEX Mon, Jul 27 • 2:35 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Brandon Nimmo logo
Brandon Nimmo o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.75
Best Odds
Pick made: 34 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. Brandon Nimmo is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game.. In Major League Baseball, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Batting from the opposite that George Kirby throws from, Brandon Nimmo will have an edge in today's game.. Among every team in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners.
Total Bases
Joc Pederson logo
Joc Pederson o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.54
Best Odds
Pick made: 34 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Joc Pederson ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Joc Pederson is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game.. In Major League Baseball, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Joc Pederson will hold the platoon advantage against George Kirby in today's game.. Among every team in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners.
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Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT Mon, Jul 27 • 6:40 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Total
Arizona Diamondbacks logo Pittsburgh Pirates logo o9.0 (+100)
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 hours ago
Jason Wilson image
Jason Wilson
Publishing Editor

I don't trust either starter even a lick, and considering the Pirates have scored the most runs in baseball in the last 30 days and the Diamondbacks are seventh on that list, this has the makings of a night to forget for Merrill Kelly and Mitch Keller.

Total Bases
Tyler Locklear logo
Tyler Locklear o1.5 Total Bases (+195)
Projection 1.48
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Locklear in the 75th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.. Tyler Locklear has been hot in recent games, notching a a 23.1% Barrel% (a reliable standard to assess power) in the past week.. Tyler Locklear has hit one of the hardest balls in baseball over the last 7 days — 111.5-mph — which is a good measure of recent form and raw power.. In the last 7 days, Tyler Locklear's swing has been well optimized for base hits, notching a 61.5% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of -4° to 26°.
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Baltimore Orioles logo BAL @ Detroit Tigers logo DET Mon, Jul 27 • 6:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Kevin McGonigle logo
Kevin McGonigle o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.77
Best Odds
Pick made: 38 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Kevin McGonigle ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Kevin McGonigle is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. Comerica Park has the 2nd-shortest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. Kevin McGonigle will hold the platoon advantage over Kyle Bradish in today's game.
Total Bases
Gunnar Henderson logo
Gunnar Henderson o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 1.95
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gunnar Henderson in the 91st percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. Gunnar Henderson is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.. Comerica Park has the 2nd-shortest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. Gunnar Henderson will hold the platoon advantage against Keider Montero in today's game.
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Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI @ Miami Marlins logo MIA Mon, Jul 27 • 6:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Trea Turner logo
Trea Turner o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.82
Best Odds
Pick made: 17 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his batting average ability, Trea Turner is projected as the 16th-best batter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Trea Turner is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today.. Trea Turner hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 85th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Trea Turner has made big gains with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 6.7% seasonal rate to 16.7% over the last 7 days.. Trea Turner has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 101.4-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal figure of 91.3-mph.
Total Bases
Bryce Harper logo
Bryce Harper o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.79
Best Odds
Pick made: 38 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Bryce Harper projects as the 12th-best hitter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Hitting from the opposite that Tyler Phillips throws from, Bryce Harper will have the upper hand in today's game.. In the past 7 days, Bryce Harper's 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.2%.. Using Statcast metrics, Bryce Harper ranks in the 95th percentile for offensive ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .377.
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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Washington Nationals logo WAS Mon, Jul 27 • 6:45 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Total
Toronto Blue Jays logo Washington Nationals logo o10.0 (-105)
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 hours ago
Jason Wilson image
Jason Wilson
Publishing Editor

Aggressively fading Max Scherzer is not something I ever thought I'd do, but here we are. He returns to the Blue Jays rotation out of necessity and to show whatever is left in the tank. Not much, if the early returns of 2026 are to be believed. Plus, the Nationals own the highest-scoring offense in baseball. By a lot. The reason they're not better is that their pitching staff has the fourth-worst ERA, so even an anemic offense like Toronto's can scratch across a few runs against Andrew Alvarez & Co.

Total RBIs
CJ Abrams logo
CJ Abrams o0.5 Total RBIs (+119)
Projection 0.8
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 88th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. CJ Abrams is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game.. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. CJ Abrams will have the handedness advantage over Max Scherzer in today's matchup.. CJ Abrams pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.6% — 85th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.
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Cleveland Guardians logo CLE @ Cincinnati Reds logo CIN Mon, Jul 27 • 7:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Elly De La Cruz logo
Elly De La Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (-103)
Projection 2.3
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his BABIP skill, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 6th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game.. The #2 venue in the league for boosting home runs to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 90°.. The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Slade Cecconi.
Total Bases
JJ Bleday logo
JJ Bleday o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 2.08
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
JJ Bleday is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. The #2 venue in the league for boosting home runs to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 90°.. JJ Bleday will have the handedness advantage over Slade Cecconi in today's matchup.. JJ Bleday pulls many of his flyballs (37.5% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.
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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ New York Mets logo NYM Mon, Jul 27 • 7:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Jorge Polanco logo
Jorge Polanco o1.5 Total Bases (+210)
Projection 1.72
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Jorge Polanco pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.2% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Jorge Polanco will hold that advantage today.. Jorge Polanco has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 98-mph average over the last week to his seasonal EV of 89.1-mph.. Despite posting a .197 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jorge Polanco has been unlucky given the .126 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .323.
Total Bases
Ronald Acuna Jr. logo
Ronald Acuna Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 2.02
Best Odds
Pick made: 26 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Ronald Acuna Jr. projects as the 7th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ronald Acuna Jr. is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game.. Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions in the majors.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Batting from the opposite that Zach Thornton throws from, Ronald Acuna Jr. will have the upper hand in today's game.
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New York Yankees logo NYY @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Mon, Jul 27 • 7:40 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
New York Yankees logo Chicago White Sox logo o8.5 (-105)
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 hours ago
Chris Hatfield image
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst

I’m playing the Over because Schultz gives New York too many ways to build offense. The Yankees do not need a perfect travel spot if they are getting free traffic and airborne contact from a pitcher allowing a 63.3% air-ball rate.

Chicago can contribute enough on the other side, too. The White Sox are not a pure power offense, but their .324 OBP and 381 walks give them a path to pressure Max Fried into traffic. Fried is Fried but you get the sense that the White Sox offense won't have to do much here. I'd play this to 9.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-137)
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 hours ago
Chris Hatfield image
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst

I’m backing the New York Yankees and would play them up to -150.

Noah Schultz’s profile is a poor fit against this lineup. He owns a 6.07 xERA, near-11% barrel rate, and a bottom-15th percentile walk rate. That is a bad mix against a Yankees offense built to punish free traffic and loud contact. Even without Aaron Judge, New York remains in the AL East race because of strong pitching and impact contact, ranking first in barrel rate and third in hard-hit rate. This is the right matchup for the Yankees to do damage early

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Chicago Cubs logo CHC @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Mon, Jul 27 • 7:45 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Ivan Herrera logo
Ivan Herrera o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
Projection 0.56
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Ivan Herrera ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ivan Herrera is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. Busch Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 96°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Batting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, Ivan Herrera will have the upper hand today.
Total Bases
Ian Happ logo
Ian Happ u1.5 Total Bases (-170)
Projection 0.91
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Ian Happ has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (91% of the time), but he is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in today's game.. The #2 venue in baseball for suppressing home runs to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.. The switch-hitting Ian Happ will bat from his bad side (0) today against Matthew Liberatore. Ian Happ pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.2% — 82nd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 7th-deepest LF fences in today's game.. The St. Louis Cardinals infield defense projects as the 5th-strongest out of all the teams on the slate today.
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Houston Astros logo HOU @ Los Angeles Angels logo LAA Mon, Jul 27 • 9:38 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Jorge Soler logo
Jorge Soler o1.5 Total Bases (+215)
Projection 1.5
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his home run skill, Jorge Soler ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jorge Soler is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game.. On average, the fence height at Angel Stadium is the lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Jorge Soler will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.. Jorge Soler has been unlucky this year, posting a .291 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .321 — a .030 difference.
Total Bases
Christian Walker logo
Christian Walker o1.5 Total Bases (+185)
Projection 1.58
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his home run skill, Christian Walker ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. On average, the fence height at Angel Stadium is the lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. The Los Angeles Angels infield defense profiles as the 7th-worst out of all the teams on the slate today.. Compared to his seasonal average of 15.5°, Christian Walker has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 31.9° angle in the last two weeks' worth of games.. Based on Statcast metrics, Christian Walker ranks in the 78th percentile for power per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 26.400.
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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ Athletics Athletics logo ATH Mon, Jul 27 • 9:40 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Spread
Boston Red Sox logo BOS -1.5 (+101)
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 hours ago
Jason Wilson image
Jason Wilson
Publishing Editor

I actually like A's starter Jack Perkins in spite of his 6.75 ERA. His under-the-hood metrics all grade out better than the results have shown, but pitching at Sutter Health Park has proven to be a minefield for him and most of the Athletics' hurlers. The Over is also in play, but I like Boston's bats, which should include a debuting Curtis Mead, enough to take the run line for the red-hot visitors.

Total Bases
Wilyer Abreu logo
Wilyer Abreu o1.5 Total Bases (+100)
Projection 2.25
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Wilyer Abreu is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.. The #2 field in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Sutter Health Park.. Sutter Health Park has the 3rd-lowest fences among all parks.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 103°.
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Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL @ San Francisco Giants logo SF Mon, Jul 27 • 9:45 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Rafael Devers logo
Rafael Devers o1.5 Total Bases (+159)
Projection 1.72
Best Odds
Pick made: 17 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run talent, Rafael Devers ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Rafael Devers is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. Oracle Park has the shallowest RF dimensions in Major League Baseball.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 20-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for bats.. Rafael Devers will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brandon Sproat in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Brice Turang logo
Brice Turang o0.5 Total RBIs (+193)
Projection 0.62
Best Odds
Pick made: 22 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang in the 97th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. Brice Turang is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.. Oracle Park has the shallowest RF dimensions in Major League Baseball.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 20-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for bats.. Brice Turang will hold the platoon advantage against Tyler Mahle in today's game.
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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET
4 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto logo Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer. 

3 LEG PARLAY
Dansby Swanson profile picture
Dansby Swanson u0.5 Total Hits
Total Hits
Dylan Cease profile picture
Dylan Cease o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown
Strikeouts Thrown
George Springer profile picture
George Springer o1.5 Total Bases
Total Bases
Bet now
Pick made: one month ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Swanson is just 1-for-6 against Cease in his career. Cease has electric stuff, leading the American League with 110 Ks, while ranking in the 97th percentile in K-rate. Springer is turning a corner with a 1.089 OPS over his last nine games.

View 14 Picks
Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
5 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Atlanta Braves logo Chicago White Sox logo o8.5 (-105)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Moneyline
Atlanta Braves logo ATL (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

View 15 Picks
Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Boston Red Sox logo New York Yankees logo o8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

View 12 Picks
San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 1 Computer Pick
Total
San Francisco Giants logo Atlanta Braves logo o7.5 (-116)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

Moneyline
San Francisco Giants logo SF (+124)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

View 3 Picks

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