MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on July 26, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Cleveland Guardians logo CLE @ Tampa Bay Rays logo TB Sun, Jul 26 • 12:15 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Yandy Diaz logo
Yandy Diaz o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.77
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his batting average skill, Yandy Diaz is projected as the 8th-best batter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Yandy Diaz is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game.. Tropicana Field grades out as the #3 park in MLB for righty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Batting from the opposite that Parker Messick throws from, Yandy Diaz will have the upper hand in today's game.. Yandy Diaz has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.
Total Bases
Junior Caminero logo
Junior Caminero o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.92
Best Odds
Pick made: 26 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Junior Caminero projects as the 15th-best batter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Junior Caminero is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Tropicana Field grades out as the #3 park in MLB for righty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Batting from the opposite that Parker Messick throws from, Junior Caminero will have an edge in today's matchup.. Junior Caminero pulls many of his flyballs (39.7% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
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Chicago Cubs logo CHC @ Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT Sun, Jul 26 • 1:35 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Henry Davis logo
Henry Davis o1.5 Total Bases (+230)
Projection 1.5
Best Odds
Pick made: 17 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to more offense.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Henry Davis will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total Bases
Michael Busch logo
Michael Busch o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.75
Best Odds
Pick made: 17 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Michael Busch ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Michael Busch is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Hitting from the opposite that Braxton Ashcraft throws from, Michael Busch will have an advantage today.
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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Boston Red Sox logo BOS Sun, Jul 26 • 1:35 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Wilyer Abreu logo
Wilyer Abreu o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.8
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. Wilyer Abreu is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Fenway Park has the 3rd-shallowest right field dimensions in the league.. Wilyer Abreu will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kevin Gausman today.
Total RBIs
Anthony Seigler logo
Anthony Seigler o0.5 Total RBIs (+280)
Projection 0.35
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Anthony Seigler is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today.. The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Anthony Seigler will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kevin Gausman in today's game.. Anthony Seigler has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Anthony Seigler will hold that advantage today.
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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Baltimore Orioles logo BAL Sun, Jul 26 • 1:35 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Christian Encarnacion-Strand logo
Christian Encarnacion-Strand o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+105)
Projection 2.13
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Encarnacion-Strand in the 86th percentile when assessing his home run skill.. Christian Encarnacion-Strand is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 80% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.. The #6 field in the league for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. Christian Encarnacion-Strand hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Christian Encarnacion-Strand will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.
Total Bases
Jackson Holliday logo
Jackson Holliday o1.5 Total Bases (+270)
Projection 1.42
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 88th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. The #6 field in the league for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. Jackson Holliday will have the handedness advantage against Reynaldo Lopez in today's game.. Extreme flyball batters like Jackson Holliday usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Reynaldo Lopez.. Jackson Holliday will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
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Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ Washington Nationals logo WAS Sun, Jul 26 • 1:35 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Andres Chaparro logo
Andres Chaparro u1.5 Total Bases (-225)
Projection 0.62
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Andres Chaparro's BABIP talent is projected in the 19th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Nationals Park as the 3rd-worst park in baseball for RHB batting average.. Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which tends to lead to lower offensive output.. The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense projects as the 4th-best among all the teams today.
Total Bases
Nolan Arenado logo
Nolan Arenado o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.68
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Nolan Arenado is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today.. Nationals Park has the 10th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for long-balls.. Among all the teams playing today, the worst infield defense is that of the Washington Nationals.
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San Diego Padres logo SD @ Miami Marlins logo MIA Sun, Jul 26 • 1:40 PM ET
4 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Kyle Stowers logo
Kyle Stowers u0.5 Total Hits (+190)
Projection 0.91
Best Odds
Pick made: 15 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
LoanDepot Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which tends to lead to less offense.. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -12° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Kyle Stowers pulls many of his flyballs (34.8% — 80th percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB's 4th-deepest RF fences in today's matchup.
Total Hits
Heriberto Hernandez logo
Heriberto Hernandez u0.5 Total Hits (+190)
Projection 0.93
Best Odds
Pick made: 15 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
LoanDepot Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which tends to lead to less offense.. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -12° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Walker Buehler will hold the platoon advantage against Heriberto Hernandez in today's game.. Heriberto Hernandez pulls many of his flyballs (35.7% — 86th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game's 9th-deepest LF fences today.
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Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ New York Mets logo NYM Sun, Jul 26 • 1:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Francisco Lindor logo
Francisco Lindor o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
Projection 0.57
Best Odds
Pick made: 52 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Francisco Lindor is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. The shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Citi Field.. Francisco Lindor will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.. Francisco Lindor has made substantial strides with his Barrel% lately, improving his 9.1% seasonal rate to 15.4% in the last week's worth of games.
Total Bases
Francisco Lindor logo
Francisco Lindor o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.78
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Francisco Lindor is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. The shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Citi Field.. Francisco Lindor will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.. Francisco Lindor has made substantial strides with his Barrel% lately, improving his 9.1% seasonal rate to 15.4% in the last week's worth of games.
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Kansas City Royals logo KC @ Detroit Tigers logo DET Sun, Jul 26 • 1:40 PM ET
7 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Colt Keith logo
Colt Keith u0.5 Total Hits (+185)
Projection 0.89
Best Odds
Pick made: 19 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Colt Keith hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and will be challenged by the game's 2nd-deepest CF fences in today's game.
Total Hits
Dillon Dingler logo
Dillon Dingler u0.5 Total Hits (+195)
Projection 0.93
Best Odds
Pick made: 20 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Dillon Dingler has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (93% of the time), but he is penciled in 9th in the batting order in today's game.. In the majors, Comerica Park's CF dimensions are the 2nd-deepest.. Luinder Avila will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dillon Dingler today.
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Houston Astros logo HOU @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Sun, Jul 26 • 2:10 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Moneyline
Houston Astros logo HOU (-103)
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 hours ago
Phil Naessens image
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

This matchup sits at flat pick 'em odds on the board. Houston’s bullpen leads the entire slate with an elite 23.4 percent K-BB rate over the last two weeks. Backing Ronel Blanco and the Astros at nearly even money against a struggling White Sox lineup (85 wRC+) offers strong value. 

Total Bases
Yordan Alvarez logo
Yordan Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (-125)
Projection 2.66
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Yordan Alvarez ranks as the 2nd-best batter in the game.. Yordan Alvarez is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. The #8 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.. Dingers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest in the majors.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level on the schedule today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
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Colorado Rockies logo COL @ Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL Sun, Jul 26 • 2:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Cole Carrigg logo
Cole Carrigg o1.5 Total Bases (+265)
Projection 1.23
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Cole Carrigg is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game.. American Family Field projects as the #9 stadium in Major League Baseball for left-handed BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the 4th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which often leads to better offense.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the 4th-hottest weather on the slate today at 89°.
Total Bases
Hunter Goodman logo
Hunter Goodman o1.5 Total Bases (+190)
Projection 1.53
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Hunter Goodman projects as the 14th-best home run batter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Hunter Goodman is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. American Family Field grades out as the #9 venue in the game for RHB base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. American Family Field has the 8th-shallowest centerfield fences in the majors.. On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the 4th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.
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Athletics Athletics logo ATH @ Minnesota Twins logo MIN Sun, Jul 26 • 2:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Shea Langeliers logo
Shea Langeliers o0.5 Total RBIs (+150)
Projection 0.82
Best Odds
Pick made: 52 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Shea Langeliers as MLB's 16th-best home run hitter.. Shea Langeliers is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-highest temperatures of the day at 93°.. Batting from the opposite that Connor Prielipp throws from, Shea Langeliers will have the upper hand in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Byron Buxton logo
Byron Buxton o1.5 Total Bases (-121)
Projection 2.53
Best Odds
Pick made: 15 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Byron Buxton projects as the 8th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Byron Buxton is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-highest temperatures of the day at 93°.. Byron Buxton will hold the platoon advantage against Jeffrey Springs in today's game.. The Athletics outfield defense profiles as the 5th-worst among all the teams today.
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Cincinnati Reds logo CIN @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Sun, Jul 26 • 2:15 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Alec Burleson logo
Alec Burleson o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.61
Best Odds
Pick made: 52 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. Alec Burleson is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.. Among all major league stadiums, Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather of all games today at 93°.. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst out of every team playing today.
Total Bases
JJ Bleday logo
JJ Bleday o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.67
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
JJ Bleday is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. Among all major league stadiums, Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather of all games today at 93°.. JJ Bleday will have the handedness advantage against Kyle Leahy today.. JJ Bleday may have an edge against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the St. Louis Cardinals only has 1 same-handed RP.
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Seattle Mariners logo SEA @ Texas Rangers logo TEX Sun, Jul 26 • 2:35 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 7 Computer Picks
Moneyline
Seattle Mariners logo SEA (-107)
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 hours ago
Phil Naessens image
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Betting against Jacob deGrom requires caution, but Texas’s overall bullpen metrics have cratered recently, sitting at a 166 ERA- and 5.15 xFIP. Seattle’s pitching group remains far more reliable with Logan Gilbert taking the ball. Getting Seattle near pick 'em odds (-104) offers strong value.

Total Bases
Cal Raleigh logo
Cal Raleigh u1.5 Total Bases (-239)
Projection 0.67
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Cal Raleigh is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 93% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Globe Life Field as the worst stadium in the game for boosting offensive stats to lefties.. The 6th-deepest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in Globe Life Field.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up -14° colder than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for pitching.. Among all the teams playing today, the 5th-strongest infield defense is that of the the Texas Rangers.
View 8 Picks
Los Angeles Angels logo LAA @ San Francisco Giants logo SF Sun, Jul 26 • 4:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Zach Neto logo
Zach Neto o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.91
Best Odds
Pick made: 29 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zach Neto in the 90th percentile when assessing his home run ability.. Zach Neto is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 19.2-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for batters.. Zach Neto will have the handedness advantage over Carson Whisenhunt today.
Total RBIs
Mike Trout logo
Mike Trout o0.5 Total RBIs (+198)
Projection 0.65
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 19.2-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for batters.
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New York Yankees logo NYY @ Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI Sun, Jul 26 • 7:20 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Trea Turner logo
Trea Turner o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.81
Best Odds
Pick made: 26 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 16th-best batter in the league when assessing his batting average skill.. Trea Turner is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citizens Bank Park as the 8th-best stadium in MLB for run-scoring.. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in Major League Baseball — generally good for homers.. Trea Turner will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.
Total Bases
Bryce Harper logo
Bryce Harper o1.5 Total Bases (+138)
Projection 1.94
Best Odds
Pick made: 37 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Bryce Harper projects as the 11th-best hitter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citizens Bank Park as the 8th-best stadium in MLB for run-scoring.. Given Will Warren's large platoon split, Bryce Harper will have a gigantic advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game.. Bryce Harper has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET
4 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto logo Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer. 

3 LEG PARLAY
Dansby Swanson profile picture
Dansby Swanson u0.5 Total Hits
Total Hits
Dylan Cease profile picture
Dylan Cease o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown
Strikeouts Thrown
George Springer profile picture
George Springer o1.5 Total Bases
Total Bases
Bet now
Pick made: one month ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Swanson is just 1-for-6 against Cease in his career. Cease has electric stuff, leading the American League with 110 Ks, while ranking in the 97th percentile in K-rate. Springer is turning a corner with a 1.089 OPS over his last nine games.

View 14 Picks
Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
5 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Atlanta Braves logo Chicago White Sox logo o8.5 (-105)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Moneyline
Atlanta Braves logo ATL (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

View 15 Picks
Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Boston Red Sox logo New York Yankees logo o8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

View 12 Picks
San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 1 Computer Pick
Total
San Francisco Giants logo Atlanta Braves logo o7.5 (-116)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

Moneyline
San Francisco Giants logo SF (+124)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

View 3 Picks

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