Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on July 28, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.
CLE
@
CIN
Tue, Jul 28 • 1:40 PM ET
u8.5 (-112)
The Under 8.5 fits because neither offense is bringing much recent firepower into this matchup. Cincinnati owns a 59 wRC+ and .131 ISO over the last week, while Cleveland sits at 96 and .169. With both bullpens in solid form, this profiles more like a controlled game overall.
CIN (-155)
Chase Burns gives Cincinnati the cleaner pitching edge against a Cleveland lineup making very little loud contact lately. The Guardians have just a 28.7% hard-hit rate over the last seven games, while Slade Cecconi has struggled with a 5.48 xERA and 47.8% hard-hit rate across his last four appearances overall.
PHI
@
MIA
Tue, Jul 28 • 6:40 PM ET
AZ
@
PIT
Tue, Jul 28 • 6:40 PM ET
BAL
@
DET
Tue, Jul 28 • 6:40 PM ET
TEX
@
TB
Tue, Jul 28 • 6:40 PM ET
TOR
@
WAS
Tue, Jul 28 • 6:45 PM ET
TOR (+120)
ATL
@
NYM
Tue, Jul 28 • 7:10 PM ET
o7.5 (+101)
The Over has a path despite strong starters because both offenses are producing right now. Atlanta owns a .204 ISO over the last two weeks, while the Mets carry a 134 wRC+ and .217 ISO across their last six games. Atlanta’s struggling bullpen also gives New York late scoring upside.
ATL (-155)
Chris Sale gives Atlanta the higher floor on the mound after posting a 0.96 FIP with elite walk suppression since the All-Star break. Christian Scott has been excellent lately, but his Citi Field profile is more vulnerable, and Atlanta’s 121 wRC+ over its last 11 games gives Sale enough support.
KC
@
MIN
Tue, Jul 28 • 7:40 PM ET
NYY
@
CHW
Tue, Jul 28 • 7:40 PM ET
CHC
@
STL
Tue, Jul 28 • 7:45 PM ET
HOU
@
LAA
Tue, Jul 28 • 9:38 PM ET
BOS
@
ATH
Tue, Jul 28 • 9:40 PM ET
COL
@
SD
Tue, Jul 28 • 9:40 PM ET
MIL
@
SF
Tue, Jul 28 • 9:45 PM ET
SEA
@
LAD
Tue, Jul 28 • 10:10 PM ET
TOR
@
CHC
Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET
Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer.
Swanson is just 1-for-6 against Cease in his career. Cease has electric stuff, leading the American League with 110 Ks, while ranking in the 97th percentile in K-rate. Springer is turning a corner with a 1.089 OPS over his last nine games.
ATL
@
CHW
Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
o8.5 (-105)
Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.
ATL (-112)
I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.
BOS
@
NYY
Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
o8.5 (-110)
The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.
NYY (-135)
Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.
SF
@
ATL
Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
o7.5 (-116)
SF (+124)
The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.
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