Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on May 25, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.
HOU
@
TEX
Mon, May 25 • 7:05 PM ET
Jake Burger o0.5 Total Home Runs (+494)
Jake Burger is swinging one of the hottest bats in baseball of late and gets a strong matchup vs. a struggling starter in Tatsuya Imai and a Houston bullpen that has allowed the most home runs in baseball with 37 across 217 innings of work. Burger ranks 20th in slugging over the last two weeks while also posting one of the best BlastContact rates in baseball over that same span. He draws an indoor setting vs. a starter in Imai, who is still adjusting to North American baseball, carries one of the worst HR/FB rates among MLB starters, and has already allowed four home runs in just over 17 innings. He has shown little ability to work deep into games, and the bullpen behind him offers limited relief, especially if Houston is forced into its secondary arms. Burger has homered in four straight series and just saw the Astros 10 days ago. I have this fair price around +400, giving clear room on this home run prop.
u8.0 (-105)
MIA
@
TOR
Mon, May 25 • 7:07 PM ET
Trey Yesavage has been lights-out since returning from injury, and draws a Marlins side that strikes out 30% of the time against the splitter. The Jays, from Jesus Sanchez on down, match up well against Miami starter Janson Junk, making the run line the preferred play with the moneyline juiced.
Daulton Varsho o0.5 Total Home Runs (+450)
COL
@
LAD
Mon, May 25 • 9:10 PM ET
o2.5 Team Total (-154)
Los Angeles has crushed right-handed pitching like Rockies starter Tanner Gordon at home over its last 12 games, owning a 113 wRC+, .730 OPS, and .328 wOBA, while also carrying a 13.7% walk rate.
Overall, the Dodgers rank second in first-five scoring, averaging nearly three runs in the first five innings per game. Meanwhile, Colorado is allowing the second-most runs in the first five frames at 3.22 per game.
Rockies righty Tanner Gordan has surrendered an equally poor .398 wOBA to left-handed batters and .390 mark to righty bats during his career, so it’s no surprise he’s been saddled with a 6.96 ERA and 5.68 xERA across 137 career innings. So, with the wind blowing out at Dodger Stadium, I’m targeting the heart of the Los Angeles lineup. Freddie Freeman (.371), Will Smith (.375) and Kyle Tucker (.352) all sport high-end wOBAs against right-handed pitchers since the beginning of the 2025 campaign, and the Dodgers already teed off on Gordon earlier this season for six runs across just four innings on April 20.
SEA
@
ATH
Mon, May 25 • 9:40 PM ET
Luke Raley o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+102)
Luke Raley has been seeing the ball extremely well this season, especially on the road, where he owns a .522 SLG, .842 OPS, and 137 wRC+, while making 55.6% hard contact with a 20% barrel rate.
He matches up very well against Athletics right-hander Aaron Civale, who owns the seventh-worst pitcher rating on the day.
Julio Rodriguez o0.5 Total Home Runs (+364)
This one checks a lot of boxes and is a great way to start the week. Julio Rodríguez is in great form with the 18th-best slugging mark in baseball over the last week and the 15th-best BlastContact rate. He went deep yesterday at Kauffman Stadium and has multiple hits in three of his last four games. He also gets the best hitting environment on the slate in Sacramento with double-digit winds blowing out to center at 13 mph. He’ll get a crack at Aaron Civale, who has allowed five home runs over his last two starts. J-Rod has also done damage against the Athletics starter in a solid sample, going 7-for-15 with a homer across 15 at-bats. The +EV dinger carries a fair price around +300. It’s a great number for a late-night Memorial Day dinger.
TB
@
BAL
Tue, May 26 • 6:35 PM ET
TB (-108)
AZ
@
SF
Tue, May 26 • 9:45 PM ET
AZ (-110)
The Diamondbacks have been tearing the cover off the ball, ranking second in OPS over the last two weeks, and they just hung six runs over five innings on Giants SP Tyler Mahle last week. San Fran is a modest 19th in OPS vs. lefties, and they'll take on Eduardo Rodriguez (2.24 ERA) on Tuesday night.
STL
@
CIN
Mon, Aug 17 • 1:40 PM ET
Jordan Walker o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-156)
The St. Louis Cardinals have scored 14 times in two meetings vs. the Reds, and they'll do plenty more damage against Brady Singer, who has an 8.47 ERA this month.
Jordan Walker already has three runs, four hits, and seven RBI in the series. His hot streak continues today.
Jordan Walker o0.5 Total Home Runs (+335)
Reds starter Brady Singer has allowed three dingers in two straight starts, and 2+ homers in four of his last five. Jordan Walker has gone yard in two straight games and has feasted on right-handed pitching, batting .311 with 11 of his 15 home runs vs. righties.
TB
@
NYY
Tue, Sep 22 • 1:05 PM ET
u7.0 (+102)
I'm on the market here and wouldn't play this below 7, but at a plus-money price with how the Yankees are swinging lately, I'm inclined to lean towards the Under. The Yankees' offense, one of the best in the sport for long stretches over the past three years, has really struggled lately. It's been held to three runs or fewer in nine of its past 14 games. It should be ugly conditions in Yankee Stadium today, add in Ryan Weathers' strikeout rate, which ranks in the 97th percentile of baseball, and both offenses should stay fairly quiet.
TB (+122)
Rasmussen has been a New York Yankees nightmare, posting a 1.03 ERA across eight career outings against the Bronx Bombers. This type of stat is meaningless without context, and we have it here. He's been able to do this because the Yankees are constantly reliant on their power, and Rasmussen is one of the best barrel suppression arms in baseball, sitting in the 96th percentile in such rates this season. Playbale to +100.
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