Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on July 25, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.
CIN
@
STL
Fri, Jul 24 • 8:15 PM ET
Alec Burleson o0.5 Total Home Runs (+434)
Alec Burleson enters Friday with an elite Batters-Box rating while owning 100% pitch mix coverage against Reds right hander Rhett Lowder. The Cardinals slugger has been locked in against right handed pitching, posting a .308 BA, .343 wOBA, 45.5% hard hit rate, and 18.2% barrel rate over his last 30 plate appearances. Lowder has struggled against left handed hitters on the road, allowing a .350 BA, .583 SLG, and .444 wOBA. With Burleson heating up and holding a favorable matchup, this is a strong spot for the St. Louis slugger to make an impact.
Elly De La Cruz is on a roll since the second half started (1.060 OPS), and he brings a 93rd percentile hard-hit rate into a matchup with Dustin May's eighth percentile one. Alec Burleson is batting .414 since the break, and Rhett Lowder has been one of the worst pitchers in baseball all season (5.64 xERA). Two bullpens ranked in the bottom third in xFIP over the last two weeks will only help contribute to the Over tonight. Play to +400.
LAA
@
SF
Fri, Jul 24 • 10:15 PM ET
Bryce Eldridge o0.5 Total Home Runs (+392)
Bryce Eldridge enters Friday in a prime spot against Angels right hander Grayson Rodriguez, who has struggled throughout the season while allowing elevated hard contact and barrel rates. Eldridge owns an elite Batters-Box rating with 84.2% arsenal coverage against Rodriguez's pitch mix. The Giants slugger has also been locked in against right handed pitching recently, posting strong power metrics over his last 30 plate appearances. With Rodriguez struggling against left handed hitters and allowing elite contact numbers, Eldridge has the matchup advantage to deliver extra bases in this spot.
TOR
@
CHC
Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET
Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer.
Swanson is just 1-for-6 against Cease in his career. Cease has electric stuff, leading the American League with 110 Ks, while ranking in the 97th percentile in K-rate. Springer is turning a corner with a 1.089 OPS over his last nine games.
ATL
@
CHW
Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
o8.5 (-105)
Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.
ATL (-112)
I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.
BOS
@
NYY
Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
o8.5 (-110)
The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.
NYY (-135)
Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.
SF
@
ATL
Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
o7.5 (-116)
SF (+124)
The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.
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