MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on June 30, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Chicago White Sox logo CHW @ Baltimore Orioles logo BAL Tue, Jun 30 • 6:35 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Colson Montgomery logo
Colson Montgomery o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.97
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Colson Montgomery as baseball's 15th-best home run hitter.. Colson Montgomery is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. The #8 park in baseball for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. Colson Montgomery will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Trey Gibson in today's game.. Colson Montgomery pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.8% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest RF fences in today's game.
Total Bases
Pete Alonso logo
Pete Alonso o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 1.97
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Pete Alonso as Major League Baseball's 16th-best home run batter.. Pete Alonso is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game.. The #8 park in baseball for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. Pete Alonso has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Pete Alonso will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.
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Texas Rangers logo TEX @ Cleveland Guardians logo CLE Tue, Jun 30 • 6:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Josh Jung logo
Josh Jung o1.5 Total Bases (+127)
Projection 1.72
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Josh Jung's batting average ability is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Josh Jung is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game.. The #2 stadium in the game for boosting BABIP to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 4th-highest temperatures of all games today at 91°.
Total Bases
Brandon Nimmo logo
Brandon Nimmo o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 2.02
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #2 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 4th-highest temperatures of all games today at 91°.
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Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT @ Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI Tue, Jun 30 • 6:40 PM ET
9 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Bryce Harper logo
Bryce Harper o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 1.96
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 10th-best hitter in the league.. Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.1-mph in this contest, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for batters.. Batting from the opposite that Bubba Chandler throws from, Bryce Harper will have the upper hand in today's game.. Bryce Harper has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.
Total Hits
Jake Mangum logo
Jake Mangum u0.5 Total Hits (+175)
Projection 0.87
Best Odds
Pick made: 15 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Jake Mangum is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citizens Bank Park as the 8th-worst venue in the game for RHB base hits.. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations among all parks, which often leads to lower offensive output.. This matchup is forecasted to have the 4th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Typically, bats like Jake Mangum who hit a lot of groundballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Cristopher Sanchez.
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Detroit Tigers logo DET @ New York Yankees logo NYY Tue, Jun 30 • 7:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Colt Keith logo
Colt Keith o1.5 Total Bases (+240)
Projection 1.36
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Colt Keith's batting average talent is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Colt Keith is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game.. Yankee Stadium has the 5th-shortest fence height (on average) among all major league stadiums.. Colt Keith will hold the platoon advantage against Cam Schlitter today.
Total Bases
Spencer Torkelson logo
Spencer Torkelson o1.5 Total Bases (+205)
Projection 1.52
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his home run skill, Spencer Torkelson ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Spencer Torkelson has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (60% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. Yankee Stadium has the 5th-shortest fence height (on average) among all major league stadiums.
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New York Mets logo NYM @ Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR Tue, Jun 30 • 7:07 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Daulton Varsho logo
Daulton Varsho o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.88
Best Odds
Pick made: 17 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Daulton Varsho is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #5 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting home runs to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.. The 8th-shallowest CF dimensions among all parks are found in Rogers Centre.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.8-mph in this match-up, the 6th-most-favorable of the day for bats.. Daulton Varsho will hold the platoon advantage against Nolan McLean today.
Total Bases
Kazuma Okamoto logo
Kazuma Okamoto o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.57
Best Odds
Pick made: 17 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his home run ability, Kazuma Okamoto ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kazuma Okamoto is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game.. Rogers Centre grades out as the #5 ballpark in baseball for righty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The 8th-shallowest CF dimensions among all parks are found in Rogers Centre.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.8-mph in this match-up, the 6th-most-favorable of the day for bats.
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Washington Nationals logo WAS @ Boston Red Sox logo BOS Tue, Jun 30 • 7:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Anthony Seigler logo
Anthony Seigler u1.5 Total Bases (-220)
Projection 0.7
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his home run talent, Anthony Seigler ranks in the 21st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Anthony Seigler is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this game.. Fenway Park has the 2nd-highest average fence height among all parks.. The Washington Nationals outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-strongest among all the teams on the slate today.
Total Bases
Andres Chaparro logo
Andres Chaparro u1.5 Total Bases (-230)
Projection 0.73
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Andres Chaparro's BABIP talent is projected in the 16th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Fenway Park has the 2nd-highest average fence height among all parks.. Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which often leads to lower offensive output.. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense profiles as the best out of every team today.. Andres Chaparro will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game.
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St. Louis Cardinals logo STL @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Tue, Jun 30 • 7:15 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
JJ Wetherholt logo
JJ Wetherholt o1.5 Total Bases (+134)
Projection 1.7
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive talent, JJ Wetherholt ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. JJ Wetherholt is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 10th-best field in the league for boosting offensive stats to left-handed hitters.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 91°.
Total Bases
Austin Riley logo
Austin Riley o1.5 Total Bases (+121)
Projection 1.77
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his home run skill, Austin Riley ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Austin Riley is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today.. The #10 stadium in the game for boosting offensive stats to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 91°.
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Tampa Bay Rays logo TB @ Kansas City Royals logo KC Tue, Jun 30 • 7:40 PM ET
7 Computer Picks
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Junior Caminero logo
Junior Caminero o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-184)
Projection 2.87
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Junior Caminero projects as the 15th-best batter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Junior Caminero is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.. The #5 venue in the league for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation in the majors, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 91°.
Total Hits
Carter Jensen logo
Carter Jensen u0.5 Total Hits (+194)
Projection 0.93
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Kauffman Stadium has the deepest RF dimensions among all major league parks.
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Cincinnati Reds logo CIN @ Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL Tue, Jun 30 • 7:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
David Hamilton logo
David Hamilton o1.5 Total Bases (+290)
Projection 1.26
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles American Family Field as the 9th-best stadium in the game for LHB home runs.. Among all stadiums, American Family Field's centerfield fences are the 6th-shallowest.. Among all parks, American Family Field has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the hottest temperature on the slate at 93°.. Hitting from the opposite that Rhett Lowder throws from, David Hamilton will have an edge in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Nathaniel Lowe logo
Nathaniel Lowe o1.5 Total Bases (+215)
Projection 1.33
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 75th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. Nathaniel Lowe is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles American Family Field as the 9th-best stadium in the game for LHB home runs.. Among all stadiums, American Family Field's centerfield fences are the 6th-shallowest.. Among all parks, American Family Field has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.
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San Diego Padres logo SD @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Tue, Jun 30 • 8:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
Fernando Tatis Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (-106)
Projection 2.35
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his batting average ability, Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected as the 13th-best hitter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which tends to lead to better offense.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 92°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 14.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats.
Total Bases
Seiya Suzuki logo
Seiya Suzuki o1.5 Total Bases (-120)
Projection 2.47
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Seiya Suzuki ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Seiya Suzuki is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. Among all stadiums, Wrigley Field's LF dimensions are the 7th-shallowest.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 92°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 14.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats.
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Minnesota Twins logo MIN @ Houston Astros logo HOU Tue, Jun 30 • 8:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Christian Walker logo
Christian Walker u1.5 Total Bases (-175)
Projection 0.78
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The #7 stadium in MLB for suppressing offensive stats to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Minute Maid Park.. Minute Maid Park has the 3rd-tallest fence height (on average) in the league.. The Minute Maid Park roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this game -15° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Joe Ryan will have the handedness advantage over Christian Walker in today's matchup... and it's an even larger mismatch considering Ryan's large platoon split.
Total Bases
Isaac Paredes logo
Isaac Paredes u1.5 Total Bases (-200)
Projection 0.73
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isaac Paredes in the 2nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.. The #7 stadium in MLB for suppressing offensive stats to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Minute Maid Park.. Minute Maid Park has the 3rd-tallest fence height (on average) in the league.. Built just 20 feet above sea level, Minute Maid Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.. The Minute Maid Park roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this game -15° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.
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Miami Marlins logo MIA @ Colorado Rockies logo COL Tue, Jun 30 • 8:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Otto Lopez logo
Otto Lopez o1.5 Total Bases (-150)
Projection 2.44
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez as the 9th-best hitter in MLB when assessing his batting average talent.. Otto Lopez is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best field in baseball for run-scoring.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to more offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of the day.
Total Bases
Edouard Julien logo
Edouard Julien o1.5 Total Bases (+270)
Projection 1.2
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his BABIP talent, Edouard Julien is projected as the 20th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best field in baseball for run-scoring.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to more offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of the day.. Hitting from the opposite that Eury Perez throws from, Edouard Julien will have the upper hand today.
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Los Angeles Angels logo LAA @ Seattle Mariners logo SEA Tue, Jun 30 • 9:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Dominic Canzone logo
Dominic Canzone u1.5 Total Bases (-180)
Projection 0.76
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles T-Mobile Park as the worst park in baseball for lefty batting average.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the most favorable for pitching of all games today.
Total Bases
Jo Adell logo
Jo Adell u1.5 Total Bases (-225)
Projection 0.78
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Jo Adell is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this matchup.. The #1 park in the league for suppressing batting average to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the most favorable for pitching of all games today.. Bryan Woo will hold the platoon advantage over Jo Adell in today's game... and it's an over-sized mismatch considering Woo's large platoon split.. Jo Adell will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup.
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Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ Athletics Athletics logo ATH Tue, Jun 30 • 9:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Freddie Freeman logo
Freddie Freeman o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 2.23
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Freddie Freeman ranks as the 16th-best hitter in the game.. Freddie Freeman is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Sutter Health Park as the 2nd-best venue in the league for run-scoring.. Sutter Health Park has the shortest fences among all stadiums.. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the Athletics.
Total Bases
Shea Langeliers logo
Shea Langeliers o1.5 Total Bases (-128)
Projection 2.51
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Shea Langeliers in the 97th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. Shea Langeliers is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Sutter Health Park as the 2nd-best venue in the league for run-scoring.. Sutter Health Park has the shortest fences among all stadiums.. Shea Langeliers will have the handedness advantage over Justin Wrobleski today.
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Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Thu, Jul 23 • 5:15 PM ET
6 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Game Prop
St. Louis Cardinals logo o2.5 Team Total (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 days ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

The Cardinals are in a premium offensive spot against Zac Gallen, who enters the day with the second-worst pitcher rating in Batters-Box's current season model. Gallen has struggled to limit power and hard contact, carrying poorly rated matchup marks in ISO, hard contact rate, and ground ball rate. St. Louis counters with seven elite-rated hitters and an offense averaging more than 2.5 first five innings runs per game at home. The Cardinals have also been red hot lately, posting a 122 wRC+ over their last 12 games. With so many favorable individual matchups, backing the offense as a whole makes plenty of sense.

Earned Runs Allowed
Zac Gallen logo Zac Gallen o2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-141)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 days ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

Zac Gallen has been one of the most vulnerable pitchers on the board, especially away from Arizona, where he owns a 7.68 ERA and 6.00 xERA while surrendering plenty of hard contact and barrels. Things do not get any easier against a Cardinals lineup loaded with seven elite-rated hitters according to Batters-Box. St. Louis has been one of the hotter offenses in baseball recently, producing a 122 wRC+, .782 OPS, and .345 wOBA over its last 12 games. With Gallen's struggles and the Cardinals continuing to swing hot bats, this sets up as an excellent spot to back St. Louis early and often.

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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET
4 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto logo Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 days ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer. 

3 LEG PARLAY
Dansby Swanson profile picture
Dansby Swanson u0.5 Total Hits
Total Hits
Dylan Cease profile picture
Dylan Cease o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown
Strikeouts Thrown
George Springer profile picture
George Springer o1.5 Total Bases
Total Bases
Bet now
Pick made: 8 days ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Swanson is just 1-for-6 against Cease in his career. Cease has electric stuff, leading the American League with 110 Ks, while ranking in the 97th percentile in K-rate. Springer is turning a corner with a 1.089 OPS over his last nine games.

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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
5 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Atlanta Braves logo Chicago White Sox logo o8.5 (-105)
Pick made: 18 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Moneyline
Atlanta Braves logo ATL (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

View 15 Picks
Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Boston Red Sox logo New York Yankees logo o8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 23 days ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: 23 days ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

View 12 Picks
San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks
Total
San Francisco Giants logo Atlanta Braves logo o7.5 (-116)
Pick made: 11 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

Moneyline
San Francisco Giants logo SF (+124)
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

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