Los Angeles @ Philadelphia Picks & Props

LAD vs PHI Picks

MLB Picks
Hit a Home Run
Teoscar Hernandez logo Teoscar Hernandez Hit a Home Run (Yes: +500)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Hernandez is 5-for-12 against Phillies starter Christopher Sanchez with a pair of doubles and home runs, so it’s a little surprising to see his odds this long for a long fly Saturday. Of course, Hernandez also sports an elite .244 ISO against lefties over the past three years.

MoneyLine
Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD (+106)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Jon Metler image
Jon Metler
Betting Analyst

The Los Angeles Dodgers are +106 underdogs on the moneyline at FanDuel, and I’m backing them in Game 1 of the NLDS. I believe this line should be closer to -110. The Dodgers are in a great spot: they avoided any rust while also conserving their pitching staff thanks to a quick series against the Reds. Cristopher Sánchez is an elite left-handed starter, but the Dodgers lineup ranked third in wRC+ against lefties during the regular season. Shohei Ohtani has been tough on left-handed hitters this year, which should help neutralize Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber in the heart of the Phillies order. The Phillies may be the higher seed, but the Dodgers are the best team in baseball—and there’s a reason they’re favored in the series overall.

Strikeouts Thrown
Cristopher Sanchez logo Cristopher Sanchez u6.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-132)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Sanchez has fanned six or fewer batters in nine of his past 12 starts, and the Dodgers also just faced the lefty and were able to put four runs on the board across seven frames while striking out six times September 28. Additionally, Los Angeles finished the regular season with the 10th-lowest strikeout percentage while ranking third in wOBA and second in ISO against lefties.

Strikeouts Thrown
Cristopher Sanchez logo
Cristopher Sanchez u5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+125)
Projection 5.18 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cristopher Sanchez to throw 78 pitches in today's game (4th-least of all pitchers on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.. According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), J.T. Realmuto (the Phillies's expected catcher in today's matchup) projects as a weak pitch framer.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today.. The Los Angeles Dodgers have 6 hitters in the projected lineup that will hold the platoon advantage against Cristopher Sanchez in this matchup.. Considering that groundball batters hold a big advantage over flyball pitchers, Cristopher Sanchez and his 55.4% underlying GB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a troublesome spot in this matchup facing 2 opposing GB bats.
Total RBIs
Tommy Edman logo
Tommy Edman o0.5 Total RBIs (+228)
Projection 0.52 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tommy Edman in the 75th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.. Tommy Edman is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today.. Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.. The switch-hitting Tommy Edman will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Jesus Luzardo... and even better, Luzardo has a large platoon split.
Total RBIs
Teoscar Hernandez logo
Teoscar Hernandez o0.5 Total RBIs (+167)
Projection 0.68 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Teoscar Hernandez's BABIP talent is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Teoscar Hernandez is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today.. The #6 field in MLB for boosting home runs to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.. Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.
Total RBIs
Alec Bohm logo
Alec Bohm o0.5 Total RBIs (+228)
Projection 0.51 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 97th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.. Alec Bohm is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today.. Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.. Hitting from the opposite that Blake Snell throws from, Alec Bohm will have an edge today.
Total RBIs
Freddie Freeman logo
Freddie Freeman o0.5 Total RBIs (+202)
Projection 0.54 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Freddie Freeman as the 17th-best hitter in baseball when estimating his batting average skill.. Freddie Freeman is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.. Freddie Freeman has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. This year, the hardest ball Freddie Freeman has made contact with reached a maximum exit velocity of 114.1 mph (a reliable metric to measure power), placing in the 84th percentile.
Total RBIs
Mookie Betts logo
Mookie Betts o0.5 Total RBIs (+196)
Projection 0.53 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mookie Betts in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Mookie Betts is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.. Mookie Betts will have the handedness advantage over Jesus Luzardo today... and even better, Luzardo has a large platoon split.. Mookie Betts pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.2% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences today.
Total RBIs
Shohei Ohtani logo
Shohei Ohtani o0.5 Total RBIs (+162)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Shohei Ohtani ranks as the 2nd-best hitter in Major League Baseball.. Shohei Ohtani is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today.. Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.. Shohei Ohtani's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (21.5°) is considerably higher than his 15.8° angle last year.
Outs Recorded
Shohei Ohtani logo
Shohei Ohtani u14.5 Outs Recorded (+151)
Projection 13.83 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Shohei Ohtani to throw 79 pitches in today's game (2nd-least of all pitchers on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.. The Philadelphia Phillies projected lineup ranks as the 4th-worst of all teams on the slate in terms of overall offensive ability.. Citizens Bank Park grades out as the #6 venue in the game for home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The 2nd-shallowest left field dimensions in MLB are found in Citizens Bank Park.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today.
Total Bases
Kyle Schwarber logo
Kyle Schwarber u1.5 Total Bases (-148)
Projection 0.7 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Blake Snell will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Schwarber in today's game.. The Los Angeles Dodgers infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among all the teams today.
Total Bases
Max Kepler logo
Max Kepler o0.5 Total Bases (-105)
Projection 1.26 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The #6 stadium in the league for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for homers.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today.. Hitting from the opposite that Shohei Ohtani throws from, Max Kepler will have an edge in today's matchup.. Max Kepler will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.
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LAD vs PHI Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Total

63% picking LA Dodgers vs Philadelphia to go Over

63%
37%

Total PicksLAD 364, PHI 213

Total
Over
Under

LAD vs PHI Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Bryson Stott Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Bryson Stott
B. Stott
second base 2B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.79
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 87th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. As far as temperature and humidity go, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Bryson Stott has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Bryson Stott will hold that advantage in today's game. Over the last 14 days, Bryson Stott has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 5% to 11.8%.

Bryson Stott

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.79
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.79

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 87th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. As far as temperature and humidity go, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Bryson Stott has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Bryson Stott will hold that advantage in today's game. Over the last 14 days, Bryson Stott has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 5% to 11.8%.

Ben Rortvedt Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

Ben Rortvedt
B. Rortvedt
catcher C • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds

Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB. As far as temperature and humidity go, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.

Ben Rortvedt

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB. As far as temperature and humidity go, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.

Alex Call Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

Alex Call
A. Call
right outfield RF • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.79
Best Odds

Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB. As far as temperature and humidity go, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Given Jesus Luzardo's large platoon split, Alex Call will have a big advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish today. The standard deviation of Alex Call's launch angle this year (25.6°) is in the 88th percentile. A low deviation like this tends to lead to a higher batting average on balls in play. With a 1.54 K/BB rate this year, Alex Call has displayed impressive plate discipline, ranking in the 88th percentile.

Alex Call

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.79
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.79

Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB. As far as temperature and humidity go, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Given Jesus Luzardo's large platoon split, Alex Call will have a big advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish today. The standard deviation of Alex Call's launch angle this year (25.6°) is in the 88th percentile. A low deviation like this tends to lead to a higher batting average on balls in play. With a 1.54 K/BB rate this year, Alex Call has displayed impressive plate discipline, ranking in the 88th percentile.

Max Kepler Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Max Kepler
M. Kepler
left outfield LF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.68
Best Odds

Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for homers. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today. Hitting from the opposite that Shohei Ohtani throws from, Max Kepler will have an edge in today's matchup. Max Kepler will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Max Kepler has made significant gains with his Barrel%, improving his 6.2% rate last season to 12.1% this year.

Max Kepler

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.68
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.68

Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for homers. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today. Hitting from the opposite that Shohei Ohtani throws from, Max Kepler will have an edge in today's matchup. Max Kepler will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Max Kepler has made significant gains with his Barrel%, improving his 6.2% rate last season to 12.1% this year.

Brandon Marsh Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Brandon Marsh
B. Marsh
center outfield CF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.68
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 3rd-best hitter in the majors as it relates to his BABIP ability. As far as temperature and humidity go, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Brandon Marsh has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Brandon Marsh will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Compared to last season, Brandon Marsh has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 46.6% to 52.9% this season.

Brandon Marsh

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.68
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.68

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 3rd-best hitter in the majors as it relates to his BABIP ability. As far as temperature and humidity go, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Brandon Marsh has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Brandon Marsh will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Compared to last season, Brandon Marsh has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 46.6% to 52.9% this season.

Tommy Edman Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

Tommy Edman
T. Edman
second base 2B • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.01
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tommy Edman in the 75th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Tommy Edman is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB. As far as temperature and humidity go, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The switch-hitting Tommy Edman will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Jesus Luzardo... and even better, Luzardo has a large platoon split.

Tommy Edman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.01
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.01

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tommy Edman in the 75th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Tommy Edman is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB. As far as temperature and humidity go, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The switch-hitting Tommy Edman will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Jesus Luzardo... and even better, Luzardo has a large platoon split.

Teoscar Hernandez Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

Teoscar Hernandez
T. Hernandez
right outfield RF • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.07
Best Odds

Teoscar Hernandez's BABIP talent is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Teoscar Hernandez is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB. As far as temperature and humidity go, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Teoscar Hernandez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today's game... and even more favorably, Luzardo has a large platoon split.

Teoscar Hernandez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.07
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.07

Teoscar Hernandez's BABIP talent is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Teoscar Hernandez is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB. As far as temperature and humidity go, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Teoscar Hernandez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today's game... and even more favorably, Luzardo has a large platoon split.

Andy Pages Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

Andy Pages
A. Pages
center outfield CF • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.92
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andy Pages in the 83rd percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB. As far as temperature and humidity go, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Andy Pages will hold the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today's game... and the cherry on top, Luzardo has a large platoon split. Andy Pages has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 92.9-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal figure of 90.5-mph.

Andy Pages

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.92
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.92

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andy Pages in the 83rd percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB. As far as temperature and humidity go, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Andy Pages will hold the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today's game... and the cherry on top, Luzardo has a large platoon split. Andy Pages has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 92.9-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal figure of 90.5-mph.

Trea Turner Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Trea Turner
T. Turner
shortstop SS • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.06
Best Odds

As it relates to his batting average ability, Trea Turner is projected as the 8th-best batter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Trea Turner is penciled in 1st in the lineup today. Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB. As far as temperature and humidity go, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Trea Turner will hold the platoon advantage against Blake Snell in today's matchup.

Trea Turner

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.06
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.06

As it relates to his batting average ability, Trea Turner is projected as the 8th-best batter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Trea Turner is penciled in 1st in the lineup today. Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB. As far as temperature and humidity go, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Trea Turner will hold the platoon advantage against Blake Snell in today's matchup.

J.T. Realmuto Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

J.T. Realmuto
J. Realmuto
catcher C • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.83
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. J.T. Realmuto is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB. As far as temperature and humidity go, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Hitting from the opposite that Blake Snell throws from, J.T. Realmuto will have an advantage today.

J.T. Realmuto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.83
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.83

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. J.T. Realmuto is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB. As far as temperature and humidity go, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Hitting from the opposite that Blake Snell throws from, J.T. Realmuto will have an advantage today.

Shohei Ohtani Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

Shohei Ohtani
S. Ohtani
designated hitter DH • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.04
Best Odds

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Shohei Ohtani ranks as the 2nd-best hitter in Major League Baseball. Shohei Ohtani is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today. Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB. As far as temperature and humidity go, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Shohei Ohtani's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (21.5°) is considerably higher than his 15.8° angle last year.

Shohei Ohtani

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.04
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.04

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Shohei Ohtani ranks as the 2nd-best hitter in Major League Baseball. Shohei Ohtani is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today. Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB. As far as temperature and humidity go, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Shohei Ohtani's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (21.5°) is considerably higher than his 15.8° angle last year.

Freddie Freeman Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

Freddie Freeman
F. Freeman
first base 1B • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Freddie Freeman as the 17th-best hitter in baseball when estimating his batting average skill. Freddie Freeman is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game. As far as temperature and humidity go, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Freddie Freeman has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. This year, the hardest ball Freddie Freeman has made contact with reached a maximum exit velocity of 114.1 mph (a reliable metric to measure power), placing in the 84th percentile.

Freddie Freeman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Freddie Freeman as the 17th-best hitter in baseball when estimating his batting average skill. Freddie Freeman is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game. As far as temperature and humidity go, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Freddie Freeman has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. This year, the hardest ball Freddie Freeman has made contact with reached a maximum exit velocity of 114.1 mph (a reliable metric to measure power), placing in the 84th percentile.

Enrique Hernandez Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

Enrique Hernandez
E. Hernandez
first base 1B • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.81
Best Odds

Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB. As far as temperature and humidity go, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Given Jesus Luzardo's large platoon split, Enrique Hernandez will have a gigantic advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in this game. Last season, Enrique Hernandez had an average launch angle of 7.7° on his hardest-hit balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 18.5°. Enrique Hernandez has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .203 rate is considerably lower than his .223 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Enrique Hernandez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.81
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.81

Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB. As far as temperature and humidity go, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Given Jesus Luzardo's large platoon split, Enrique Hernandez will have a gigantic advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in this game. Last season, Enrique Hernandez had an average launch angle of 7.7° on his hardest-hit balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 18.5°. Enrique Hernandez has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .203 rate is considerably lower than his .223 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Mookie Betts Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

Mookie Betts
M. Betts
shortstop SS • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.06
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mookie Betts in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Mookie Betts is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game. As far as temperature and humidity go, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Mookie Betts will have the handedness advantage over Jesus Luzardo today... and even better, Luzardo has a large platoon split. Mookie Betts pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.2% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences today.

Mookie Betts

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.06
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.06

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mookie Betts in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Mookie Betts is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game. As far as temperature and humidity go, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Mookie Betts will have the handedness advantage over Jesus Luzardo today... and even better, Luzardo has a large platoon split. Mookie Betts pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.2% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences today.

Harrison Bader Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Harrison Bader
H. Bader
left outfield LF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.67
Best Odds

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today. Harrison Bader pulls many of his flyballs (38.7% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Harrison Bader will hold that advantage today. Compared to his seasonal average of 12.7°, Harrison Bader has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 21° mark in the past 14 days. Harrison Bader has recorded a .350 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 82nd percentile.

Harrison Bader

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.67
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.67

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today. Harrison Bader pulls many of his flyballs (38.7% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Harrison Bader will hold that advantage today. Compared to his seasonal average of 12.7°, Harrison Bader has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 21° mark in the past 14 days. Harrison Bader has recorded a .350 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 82nd percentile.

Alec Bohm Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Alec Bohm
A. Bohm
third base 3B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.97
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 97th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Alec Bohm is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today. Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB. As far as temperature and humidity go, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Hitting from the opposite that Blake Snell throws from, Alec Bohm will have an edge today.

Alec Bohm

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.97
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.97

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 97th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Alec Bohm is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today. Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB. As far as temperature and humidity go, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Hitting from the opposite that Blake Snell throws from, Alec Bohm will have an edge today.

Miguel Rojas Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

Miguel Rojas
M. Rojas
shortstop SS • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.81
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.81
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB. As far as temperature and humidity go, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Miguel Rojas will have the handedness advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today's matchup... and even better, Luzardo has a large platoon split. Miguel Rojas has seen a big increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 87.1-mph average to last season's 85-mph figure. Miguel Rojas's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (9.6°) is a considerable increase over his 3.7° angle last season.

Miguel Rojas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.81
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.81

Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB. As far as temperature and humidity go, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Miguel Rojas will have the handedness advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today's matchup... and even better, Luzardo has a large platoon split. Miguel Rojas has seen a big increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 87.1-mph average to last season's 85-mph figure. Miguel Rojas's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (9.6°) is a considerable increase over his 3.7° angle last season.

Will Smith Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

Will Smith
W. Smith
catcher C • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.88
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.88
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Smith in the 97th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Will Smith is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today. Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB. As far as temperature and humidity go, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Given Jesus Luzardo's large platoon split, Will Smith will have a huge advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in this game.

Will Smith

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.88
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.88

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Smith in the 97th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Will Smith is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today. Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB. As far as temperature and humidity go, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Given Jesus Luzardo's large platoon split, Will Smith will have a huge advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in this game.

Bryce Harper Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Bryce Harper
B. Harper
first base 1B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 12th-best batter in the majors. Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game. As far as temperature and humidity go, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Bryce Harper has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Bryce Harper will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Bryce Harper

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 12th-best batter in the majors. Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game. As far as temperature and humidity go, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Bryce Harper has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Bryce Harper will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Kyle Schwarber Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Kyle Schwarber
K. Schwarber
left outfield LF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Schwarber ranks as the 13th-best hitter in baseball. Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today. Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB. As far as temperature and humidity go, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Kyle Schwarber will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Kyle Schwarber

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Schwarber ranks as the 13th-best hitter in baseball. Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today. Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB. As far as temperature and humidity go, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Kyle Schwarber will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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LA Dodgers Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 boedad 5-4-1 +17865
2 mikers 6-4-0 +17205
3 OMREBEL02 4-5-1 +16165
4 BeeRAD 7-2-1 +15700
5 glen2003 5-4-1 +15625
6 katscore 8-2-0 +14665
7 Alexandr1966 4-5-1 +14540
8 cjrissgoodin 7-3-0 +14010
9 lusvegasluva 2-8-0 +13260
10 vitom 6-4-0 +12480
All Dodgers Money Leaders

Philadelphia Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 fatrats 8-2-0 +21045
2 jlayne089 5-5-0 +20155
3 jakringle 4-6-0 +19940
4 Alayne 9-1-0 +19467
5 dragon5868 5-5-0 +19235
6 tonloc4554 6-4-0 +17610
7 KSBreview 6-4-0 +15789
8 JL023 3-7-0 +15387
9 DavePaliwoda 7-3-0 +15330
10 nolajay 7-3-0 +15250
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