Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on June 19, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.
TOR
@
CHC
Fri, Jun 19 • 2:20 PM ET
YRFI/NRFI (No: -135)
Toronto Blue Jays starter Kevin Gausman has held opponents to a tidy .258 on-base percentage and in the opening frame and off the board in 11 of his 15 starts, and Cubs righty Ben Brown has been equally solid in the first inning. Brown has held opposing hitters to a miniscule .231 OBP in the first while blanking six of seven opening frames. Neither offense has started quick, either. The Blue Jays have only scored in the first in 24% of their games and rank 27th in xwOBA over the past 30 days, and the Cubbies check in at just 20% and 17th in the metric.
CHW
@
DET
Fri, Jun 19 • 6:40 PM ET
CIN
@
NYY
Fri, Jun 19 • 7:05 PM ET
u8.5 (+100)
Cam Schlittler has posted a 1.69 ERA over seven starts against teams ranking Bottom-15 in OPS vs. right-handed pitching. Only once did he concede more than a single run.
The New York Yankees are missing Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton, and Trent Grisham. Not to mention, Jazz Chisholm is nursing a groin issue. It’ll be harder for them to run up the score without them.
Play to -115.
NYY -1.5 (-125)
Rhett Lowder ranks in the 25th percentile or worse in xERA, xBA, strikeout rate, chase rate, and walk rate.
The New York Yankees are third in wOBA, second in OPS, and first in BB% against right-handed pitching at home.
Back the Yankees on the RL to -135.
WAS
@
TB
Fri, Jun 19 • 7:10 PM ET
SF
@
MIA
Fri, Jun 19 • 7:10 PM ET
The Giants are rolling along an 8-5 stretch while averaging 5.6 runs per game and ranking fourth in wOBA and ninth in xwOBA, while the Marlins rank below average in both metrics and are expected to piece together a bullpen game Friday. San Fran, on the other hand, has sneaky righty Landen Roupp set to toe the rubber. He ranks in the 93rd percentile in hard-hit rate with his 3.37 xERA and 3.44 xFIP both top-20 marks among qualified starters. Still, he’s only fanned six or more batters in four of his past five starts, so the Under strikeouts leg is a nice odds booster for this SGP. Finally, Jung Hoo Lee sports an elite .325 batting average, and his 42.4% squared-up contact rate ranks seventh among qualified hitters.
MIL
@
ATL
Fri, Jun 19 • 7:15 PM ET
u7.5 (+101)
Misiorowski has pitched into the seventh inning or later in three consecutive starts and tossed a complete-game shutout on June 12. Atlanta's bullpen owns a 2.66 ERA over its last 23.2 innings, while Milwaukee's relievers have posted a 3.86 FIP and limited opponents to a 29.8% hard-hit rate over the last week.
MIL -1.5 (+101)
Jacob Misiorowski has been nearly untouchable, posting a 1.35 ERA and 1.68 FIP this season. Over his last two starts, the right-hander owns a microscopic 0.97 FIP and 12.69 K/9. Milwaukee's offense is also rolling, carrying a 123 wRC+ and 38.6% hard-hit rate recently.
SD
@
TEX
Fri, Jun 19 • 8:05 PM ET
YRFI/NRFI (No: -120)
Neither San Diego or Texas have been prolific first-inning offenses this season and have respectively scored in first in just 21% and 28% of their games. Additionally, the Padres rank 27th in wOBA and 25th in xwOBA across the past 14 days, while the Rangers check in with 21st and 26th ranks. So, even with San Diego righty Randy Vasquez sporting a 4.50 ERA in the first, and Texas veteran Jacob deGrom at 6.43, I’m anticipating a scoreless opening frame given the slumping offenses they’re facing.
u7.5 (-126)
Jacob deGrom has allowed just four earned runs over his last four starts and owns a stellar 1.26 ERA at home, while the Padres rank 27th in OPS against right-handed pitching over the last two weeks. Randy Vásquez has been excellent on the road (2.08 ERA), and Texas ranks a pathetic 29th in OPS versus righties during that same two-week span. Add in San Diego’s red-hot bullpen (2.28 ERA over the last two weeks), and runs could be tough to come by.
CLE
@
HOU
Fri, Jun 19 • 8:10 PM ET
YRFI/NRFI (No: -108)
The Guardians are without star Jose Ramirez (hand), and Astros starter Tatsuya Imai has held opposing hitters to a .276 slugging percentage in the opening inning while pitching a scoreless first in seven of nine starts. Additionally, Cleveland righty Tanner Bibee has held opponents off the board in 10 of his 15 starts, and there’s statistical correction coming to his 4.80 ERA in the first this season after posting a 3.77 mark last year. Both teams rank below average in both wOBA and xwOBA over the past 14 days, too.
STL
@
KC
Fri, Jun 19 • 8:15 PM ET
o9.0 (-115)
Seth Lugo is sporting a 3.86 ERA despite a 5.30 xERA. The St. Louis Cardinals sit 10th in wOBA vs. right-handed pitching this month and will benefit from playing in a hitter-friendly park.
The alarm bells are ringing for Michael McGreevy, whose 2.99 ERA masks that he ranks in the 10th percentile with a 5.58 xERA.
Play the Over to -130.
STL (-120)
The St. Louis Cardinals sit 14th in SLG and 13th in runs while the Kansas City Royals rank outside the Top-20 in both categories.
The Cardinals are 19th in bullpen FIP while the Royals are 29th, giving them a pitching advantage after the first handful of innings.
Back the Cards to -130.
PIT
@
COL
Fri, Jun 19 • 8:40 PM ET
LAA
@
ATH
Fri, Jun 19 • 9:40 PM ET
MIN
@
AZ
Fri, Jun 19 • 9:45 PM ET
BOS
@
SEA
Fri, Jun 19 • 10:10 PM ET
BAL
@
LAD
Fri, Jun 19 • 10:10 PM ET
Dodgers righty Roki Sasaki sports a tidy 3.26 ERA at home, supported by an equally impressive 3.41 xFIP. The Orioles, on the flip side, haven’t traveled well with a 22nd-ranked road wOBA. Sasaki has also allowed just five hits across his past two home starts, and he’s surrendered four or fewer in four of his past five. Turning to Baltimore rookie Trey Gibson, he brings a lackluster 6.62 xERA and 5.19 xFIP against a lineup pacing the majors in xwOBA across the past 30 days. Finally, Dodgers third baseman Max Muncy hits in the heart of the potent lineup and has posted an impressive .387 wOBA, .906 OPS, and .252 ISO against right-handed pitchers over the past three years.
o9.5 (+101)
Baltimore's bullpen has been one of the worst in baseball lately, posting a 7.78 FIP and 46.9% hard-hit rate over the last week. The Orioles have also generated a 42.2% hard-hit rate and 105 wRC+ over the last two weeks, giving both teams paths to offense.
ATL
@
CHW
Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
o8.5 (-105)
Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.
ATL (-112)
I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.
BOS
@
NYY
Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
o8.5 (-110)
The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.
NYY (-135)
Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.
SF
@
ATL
Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
o7.5 (-116)
The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.
SF (+124)
The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.
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