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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 5, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.05 |
+162 
|
o7.5 -122 
|
+1.5 -140 
|
|
5.24 |
-177
|
u8.5 -127 
|
-1.5 +120 
|
San Francisco
- Under is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Giants last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-1-2 in Giants last 7 overall.
NY Mets
- Under is 2-0-2 in Mets last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 2-0-2 in Mets last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Thorntons last 4 starts as a home underdog.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Mets last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.81 |
-130
|
o8.0 -115 
|
-1.5 +125
|
|
3.81 |
+120
|
u8.5 -120 
|
+1.5 -145
|
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 6-1 in Cubs last 7 overall.
- Over is 6-1 in Cubs last 7 on grass.
- Over is 8-2 in Cubs last 10 vs. National League East.
Miami
- Marlins are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Marlins last 4 games as a favorite.
- Marlins are 4-0 in Gustos last 4 starts as a home underdog.
- Marlins are 4-0 in Gustos last 4 home starts.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.53 |
+143
|
o7.5 -128
|
+1.5 -157 
|
|
5.16 |
-153
|
u8.5 -120
|
-1.5 +140 
|
Atlanta
- Under is 5-0 in Perezs last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 5-0 in Braves last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Perezs last 4 starts on grass.
Philadelphia
- Phillies are 7-0 in their last 7 home games.
- Over is 5-0 in Phillies last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League East.
- Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.90 |
+143
|
o7.0 -115
|
+1.5 -160
|
|
3.99 |
-152
|
u7.5 -120
|
-1.5 +143
|
Detroit
- Over is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 road games.
- Over is 5-0 in Valdezs last 5 road starts.
- Over is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 vs. American League Central.
- Over is 4-0 in Valdezs last 4 starts as a road favorite.
Cleveland
- Under is 4-0 in Messicks last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Guardians are 7-1 in Messicks last 8 starts as an underdog.
- Guardians are 7-1 in their last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Over is 4-1 in Guardians last 5 vs. American League Central.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.60 |
-157
|
o9.0 -120
|
-1.5 +105
|
|
4.88 |
+147
|
u9.5 -120
|
+1.5 -115
|
Milwaukee
- Under is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 vs. National League Central.
- Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 7-1-1 in Brewers last 9 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Brewers last 8 games as an underdog.
Cincinnati
- Reds are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Reds last 5 vs. National League Central.
- Reds are 4-0 in their last 4 home games.
- Reds are 4-0 in Abbotts last 4 starts as a home favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.88 |
+157
|
o7.5 -114
|
+1.5 -140
|
|
4.73 |
-172
|
u8.0 -115
|
-1.5 +130
|
LA Angels
- Under is 6-0 in Angels last 6 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 7-0-1 in Angels last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-0 in Kikuchis last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Under is 7-1-1 in Angels last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Pittsburgh
- Under is 5-0-1 in Pirates last 6 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0-2 in Pirates last 6 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 5-0 in Pirates last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.19 |
-134
|
o7.5 -121
|
-1.5 +125
|
|
4.29 |
+130
|
u8.5 -120
|
+1.5 -135
|
Boston
- Over is 6-0 in Red Sox last 6 overall.
- Red Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 6-0 in Red Sox last 6 on grass.
- Over is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 games as a favorite.
Baltimore
- Over is 8-0 in Bassitts last 8 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in Bassitts last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 3-1-1 in Orioles last 5 during game 3 of a series.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.73 |
-105
|
o6.5 -135
|
-1.5 +165
|
|
4.01 |
-105
|
u7.5 -134
|
+1.5 -190
|
Tampa Bay
- Under is 6-0 in Rays last 6 road games.
- Rays are 6-0 in Rasmussens last 6 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 6-0 in Rays last 6 on grass.
- Rays are 6-0 in Rasmussens last 6 starts during game 3 of a series.
Texas
- Over is 4-0-1 in Rangers last 5 games as a favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Rangers last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Rangers last 4 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.48 |
-104
|
o9.5 -114
|
-1.5 +150
|
|
5.60 |
-105
|
u9.5 -104
|
+1.5 -164
|
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite.
- Blue Jays are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 5-1 in Blue Jays last 6 overall.
- Blue Jays are 5-1 in their last 6 overall.
Kansas City
- Over is 6-0-2 in Royals last 8 games a home underdog.
- Royals are 7-1 in their last 8 games as a favorite.
- Royals are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Royals last 7 games as an underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.72 |
+106
|
o8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -192
|
|
4.54 |
-109
|
u8.5 -117
|
-1.5 +165
|
Minnesota
- Over is 2-0-2 in Twins last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 6-1 in Twins last 7 vs. American League Central.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Twins last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 5-1 in Twins last 6 games as a favorite.
Chi. White Sox
- Over is 4-0 in White Sox last 4 games as a home favorite.
- White Sox are 7-1 in their last 8 vs. American League Central.
- Under is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 overall.
- Over is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 home games.
DET
@
CLE
Sat, Sep 5 • 6:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Kevin McGonigle o1.5 Total RBIs (+910)
Projection 0.41
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Total RBIs
Chase DeLauter o1.5 Total RBIs (+760)
Projection 0.44
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
MIL
@
CIN
Sat, Sep 5 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Edwin Arroyo o1.5 Total Bases (+220)
Projection 1.32
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Great American Ball Park grades out as the #8 park in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. HRs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest among all parks.. This matchup is projected to have the 14th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 20.7-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hitters.
Total Bases
Tyler Stephenson o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
Projection 1.51
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Great American Ball Park grades out as the #8 park in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. HRs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest among all parks.. This matchup is projected to have the 14th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 20.7-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hitters.
TB
@
TEX
Sat, Sep 5 • 7:05 PM ET
Moneyline
TEX (-103)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
Texas is swinging the bats at an elite level, ranking second in MLB with a 124 wRC+ over the last fortnight. Jacob deGrom at home as a plus-money underdog against a flat Tampa Bay offense (84 wRC+) is the clearest form-versus-price discrepancy on the entire Saturday slate.
NYY
@
SD
Sat, Sep 5 • 7:15 PM ET
Moneyline
NYY (-105)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
Carlos Rodón and Robbie Ray should duel, but New York holds the offensive edge. The Yankees boast a 112 wRC+ over the last 14 days, compared to San Diego’s sluggish 91 wRC+. With pricing set essentially at pick'em, back the lineup producing extra-base hits at a higher rate.
AZ
@
HOU
Sat, Sep 5 • 7:15 PM ET
Moneyline
HOU (-105)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
At near pick'em odds, Houston has the decisive bullpen advantage. Houston relievers have dominated with a 3.02 FIP and 3.55 SIERA over the last two weeks. Arizona’s offense is sputtering down at an 84 wRC+, making Ethan Pecko and the Astros' superior bullpen the correct side tonight.
ATH
@
SEA
Sat, Sep 5 • 9:40 PM ET
Strikeouts Thrown
George Kirby o5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+116)
Projection 6.08
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
George Kirby has averaged 92.8 adjusted pitches per GS this year, grading out in the 81st percentile.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles T-Mobile Park as the 2nd-best park in MLB for strikeouts.. Built just 17 feet above sea level, T-Mobile Park has one of the lowest elevations in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark
More MLB Picks & Betting Tools
NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
When do we release our MLB picks?
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
What kinds of MLB picks do we make?
Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
