MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on June 19, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

TOR @

CHC Fri, Jun 19 • 2:20 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Dansby Swanson o1.5 Total Bases (+247)

Projection 1.33

Best Odds

o1.5 +250

Pick made: 8 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +247

o1.5 +240

o1.5 +230

o1.5 +250

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Among all major league stadiums, Wrigley Field's LF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Dansby Swanson will hold that advantage today.

+250 at Fanatics Sportsbook

Total Bases

Pete Crow-Armstrong o1.5 Total Bases (+115)

Projection 1.86

Best Odds

o1.5 +115

Pick made: 32 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +115

o1.5 -105

o1.5 -115

o1.5 +106

o1.5 +115

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his home run skill.. Pete Crow-Armstrong is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 57% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the league, which often leads to higher offensive output.. Batting from the opposite that Kevin Gausman throws from, Pete Crow-Armstrong will have the upper hand today.. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Pete Crow-Armstrong has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

+115 at DraftKings

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CHW @

DET Fri, Jun 19 • 6:40 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Braden Montgomery o1.5 Total Bases (+202)

Projection 1.41

Best Odds

o1.5 +202

Pick made: 3 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +200

o1.5 +202

o1.5 +165

o1.5 +155

As it relates to his home run ability, Colson Montgomery ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Colson Montgomery is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today.. In MLB, Comerica Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.5-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for bats.

+202 at bet365

Total RBIs

Braden Montgomery o0.5 Total RBIs (+300)

Projection 0.49

Best Odds

o0.5 +300

Pick made: 3 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +274

o0.5 +300

o0.5 +250

o0.5 +205

o0.5 +250

+300 at bet365

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CIN @

NYY Fri, Jun 19 • 7:05 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Noelvi Marte o1.5 Total Bases (+257)

Projection 1.44

Best Odds

o1.5 +257

Pick made: 18 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +257

o1.5 +210

o1.5 +200

o1.5 +240

Noelvi Marte's batting average ability is projected to be in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. In the majors, Yankee Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 4th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 12.3-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

+257 at DraftKings

Total Bases

Spencer Jones o1.5 Total Bases (+190)

Projection 1.52

Best Odds

o1.5 +190

Pick made: 18 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +190

o1.5 +175

o1.5 +160

o1.5 +175

As it relates to his BABIP skill, Spencer Jones is projected as the 13th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. In the majors, Yankee Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 4th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 12.3-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Hitting from the opposite that Rhett Lowder throws from, Spencer Jones will have the upper hand today.

+190 at DraftKings

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WAS @

TB Fri, Jun 19 • 7:10 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Home Runs

Cedric Mullins o0.5 Total Home Runs (+690)

Projection 0.15

Best Odds

o0.5 +690

Pick made: 18 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +690

o0.5 +625

o0.5 +610

o0.5 +575

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cedric Mullins in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his home run skill.. Cedric Mullins has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (78% of the time), but he is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.. The #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting home runs to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Cedric Mullins will have the handedness advantage over Cade Cavalli today.. Cedric Mullins pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.9% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

+690 at DraftKings

Total RBIs

Cedric Mullins o0.5 Total RBIs (+209)

Projection 0.6

Best Odds

o0.5 +209

Pick made: 18 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +209

o0.5 +200

o0.5 +175

o0.5 +190

o0.5 +175

Cedric Mullins has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (78% of the time), but he is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.. The #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting home runs to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Cedric Mullins will have the handedness advantage over Cade Cavalli today.. Cedric Mullins pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.9% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Cedric Mullins will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

+209 at DraftKings

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MIL @

ATL Fri, Jun 19 • 7:15 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Austin Riley o1.5 Total Bases (+215)

Projection 1.35

Best Odds

o1.5 +215

Pick made: 19 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +205

o1.5 +215

o1.5 +200

o1.5 +210

When it comes to his home run talent, Austin Riley ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The #5 field in the majors for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to better offense.. The weather report projects temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level of all games today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Austin Riley will hold that advantage today.

+215 at bet365

Total Bases

Michael Harris II o1.5 Total Bases (+182)

Projection 1.72

Best Odds

o1.5 +182

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +182

o1.5 +145

o1.5 +165

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. Michael Harris II has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (52% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. The #5 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to better offense.. The weather report projects temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level of all games today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

+182 at bet365

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SD @ $Texas Rangers logo$ TEX Fri, Jun 19 • 8:05 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Jake Burger o1.5 Total Bases (+170)

Projection 1.52

Best Odds

o1.5 +170

Pick made: 4 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +163

o1.5 +155

o1.5 +140

o1.5 +170

When assessing his home run ability, Jake Burger ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Globe Life Field has the 7th-lowest fences in the league.. Jake Burger will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

+170 at Fanatics Sportsbook

Total Bases

Brandon Nimmo o1.5 Total Bases (+135)

Projection 1.62

Best Odds

o1.5 +135

Pick made: 4 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +110

o1.5 +122

o1.5 +135

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game.. Globe Life Field has the 7th-lowest fences in the league.. Brandon Nimmo will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Randy Vasquez in today's game.. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Brandon Nimmo will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

+135 at Fanatics Sportsbook

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CLE @

HOU Fri, Jun 19 • 8:10 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Jeremy Pena o1.5 Total Bases (+132)

Projection 1.75

Best Odds

o1.5 +132

Pick made: 18 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +132

o1.5 +115

o1.5 +121

o1.5 +125

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena as the 20th-best hitter in baseball when estimating his batting average skill.. Jeremy Pena is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today.. Jeremy Pena pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.3% — 80th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Jeremy Pena will hold that advantage in today's game.

+132 at DraftKings

Strikeouts Thrown

Tatsuya Imai o4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-140)

Projection 5.84

Best Odds

o4.5 -123

Pick made: 18 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o4.5 -123

o4.5 -140

o4.5 -134

o4.5 -127

o4.5 -140

Throwing 97.2 adjusted pitches per outing this year on average, Tatsuya Imai checks in at the 97th percentile.. The Cleveland Guardians have 3 batters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Petey Halpin, Rhys Hoskins, David Fry).. The Minute Maid Park roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest -8° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Home field advantage generally boosts pitcher metrics in all categories, and Tatsuya Imai will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

-123 at DraftKings

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STL @

KC Fri, Jun 19 • 8:15 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Jac Caglianone o1.5 Total Bases (+115)

Projection 1.77

Best Odds

o1.5 +120

Pick made: 3 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +115

o1.5 +120

o1.5 -110

o1.5 +115

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jac Caglianone in the 87th percentile when assessing his home run skill.. Jac Caglianone has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (68% of the time), but he is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Jac Caglianone will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael McGreevy today.

+120 at bet365

Total Bases

Jordan Walker o1.5 Total Bases (+100)

Projection 2.03

Best Odds

o1.5 +100

Pick made: 3 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 -108

o1.5 +100

o1.5 -130

o1.5 -114

o1.5 +100

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 94th percentile when assessing his home run ability.. Jordan Walker is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

+100 at bet365

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PIT @

COL Fri, Jun 19 • 8:40 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Spencer Horwitz o1.5 Total Bases (+110)

Projection 1.83

Best Odds

o1.5 +112

Pick made: 8 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +112

o1.5 +110

o1.5 +109

o1.5 +110

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Horwitz in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. Spencer Horwitz is penciled in 5th in the lineup today.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 87°.. The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Spencer Horwitz can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

+112 at DraftKings

Total Bases

Cole Carrigg o1.5 Total Bases (+137)

Projection 1.7

Best Odds

o1.5 +140

Pick made: 14 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +137

o1.5 +132

o1.5 +100

o1.5 +127

o1.5 +140

Cole Carrigg is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 89% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best venue in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 87°.. Cole Carrigg will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

+140 at Fanatics Sportsbook

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LAA @

ATH Fri, Jun 19 • 9:40 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Vaughn Grissom o1.5 Total Bases (+119)

Projection 1.92

Best Odds

o1.5 +119

Pick made: 8 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +119

o1.5 +105

o1.5 +100

o1.5 +110

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vaughn Grissom in the 88th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.. Vaughn Grissom is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. The #2 field in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Sutter Health Park.. Sutter Health Park has the 4th-shortest fences among all parks.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the slate today at 96°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

+119 at DraftKings

Total Bases

Zach Neto o1.5 Total Bases (+104)

Projection 2.35

Best Odds

o1.5 +105

Pick made: 18 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +104

o1.5 -110

o1.5 -120

o1.5 +105

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zach Neto in the 88th percentile when estimating his home run talent.. Zach Neto is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today.. The #2 field in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Sutter Health Park.. Sutter Health Park has the 4th-shortest fences among all parks.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the slate today at 96°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

+105 at Fanatics Sportsbook

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MIN @

AZ Fri, Jun 19 • 9:45 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total RBIs

Nolan Arenado o0.5 Total RBIs (+192)

Projection 0.57

Best Odds

o0.5 +192

Pick made: 4 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +192

o0.5 +185

o0.5 +170

o0.5 +179

o0.5 +175

Nolan Arenado is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. Chase Field grades out as the #3 field in the majors for overall righty offense, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Hitting from the opposite that Connor Prielipp throws from, Nolan Arenado will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Out of every team on the slate today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Nolan Arenado will hold that advantage today.

+192 at DraftKings

Total RBIs

Josh Bell o0.5 Total RBIs (+221)

Projection 0.48

Best Odds

o0.5 +221

Pick made: 4 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +221

o0.5 +202

o0.5 +200

o0.5 +198

o0.5 +190

Josh Bell is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game.. Chase Field ranks as the #3 ballpark in baseball for overall left-handed offense, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The switch-hitting Josh Bell will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Mike Soroka.

+221 at DraftKings

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BOS @

SEA Fri, Jun 19 • 10:10 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total RBIs

Willson Contreras o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)

Projection 0.56

Best Odds

o0.5 +192

Pick made: 6 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +192

o0.5 +170

o0.5 +175

o0.5 +173

o0.5 +175

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willson Contreras in the 97th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. Willson Contreras is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game.. Among all parks, T-Mobile Park has the 10th-lowest average fence height.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Willson Contreras pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.6% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

+192 at DraftKings

Total RBIs

Jarren Duran o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)

Projection 0.51

Best Odds

o0.5 +234

Pick made: 10 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +234

o0.5 +202

o0.5 +210

o0.5 +200

Jarren Duran's BABIP talent is projected in the 87th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jarren Duran is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup.. Among all parks, T-Mobile Park has the 10th-lowest average fence height.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Batting from the opposite that Bryce Miller throws from, Jarren Duran will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

+234 at DraftKings

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BAL @

LAD Fri, Jun 19 • 10:10 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Andy Pages o1.5 Total Bases (+112)

Projection 2.04

Best Odds

o1.5 +112

Pick made: 46 seconds ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +112

o1.5 +110

o1.5 -110

o1.5 +104

o1.5 +105

Andy Pages's batting average ability is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Andy Pages is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Dodger Stadium as the 2nd-best stadium in the game for RHB home runs.. The 5th-shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Dodger Stadium.. On average, the fence height at Dodger Stadium is the shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.

+112 at DraftKings

Total RBIs

Andy Pages o0.5 Total RBIs (+167)

Projection 0.71

Best Odds

o0.5 +167

Pick made: 2 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +167

o0.5 +155

o0.5 +150

o0.5 +148

o0.5 +150

+167 at DraftKings

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ATL @

CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET

5 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks

Total

o8.5 (-105)

Pick made: 7 days ago

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Read Full Analysis

Moneyline

ATL (-112)

Best Odds

-115

Pick made: 7 days ago

-120

-115

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

Read Full Analysis

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BOS @

NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET

2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks

Total

o8.5 (-110)

Best Odds

o8.0 -125

Pick made: 12 days ago

o8.5 -102

o8.0 -125

o8.5 -102

o8.5 +100

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Read Full Analysis

Moneyline

NYY (-135)

Best Odds

-110

Pick made: 12 days ago

-118

-110

-112

-110

-115

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

Read Full Analysis

View 12 Picks

SF @

ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET

2 Expert Picks

Total

o7.5 (-116)

Best Odds

o4.5 -526

Pick made: 16 hours ago

o4.5 -670

o8.0 -104

o8.0 -102

o4.5 -699

o4.5 -654

o4.5 -526

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

Read Full Analysis

Moneyline

SF (+124)

Best Odds

+110

Pick made: 17 hours ago

+110

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

Read Full Analysis

View 2 Picks

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