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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on July 31, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.55 |
+135 
|
o9.0 -114 
|
+1.5 -155 
|
|
4.95 |
-142
|
u9.5 -121
|
-1.5 +142
|
NY Yankees
- Under is 7-1 in Yankees last 8 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 6-1 in Yankees last 7 interleague games as a favorite.
- Yankees are 6-1 in their last 7 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 road games.
Chi. Cubs
- Under is 4-0-1 in Imanagas last 5 starts vs. American League East.
- Under is 5-0 in Imanagas last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Imanagas last 5 interleague starts.
- Cubs are 5-1 in Imanagas last 6 starts vs. American League East.
Top Projection
Trent Grisham o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
o1.5 +150
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.36 |
-126
|
o7.5 -112
|
-1.5 +136
|
|
4.22 |
+115 
|
u8.0 -120
|
+1.5 -145
|
Pittsburgh
- Over is 6-0 in Skenes' last 6 starts on grass.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Skenes' last 5 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 6-0 in Skenes' last 6 starts overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Skenes' last 4 starts vs. National League Central.
Cincinnati
- Reds are 6-0 in Greenes last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 6-0 in Reds last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Under is 6-2 in Reds last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 7-1 in Reds last 8 overall.
Top Projection
Brandon Lowe o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
o0.5 +180
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.04 |
+106
|
o8.5 -131
|
+1.5 -190
|
|
4.92 |
-120 
|
u9.0 -110
|
-1.5 +164
|
Philadelphia
- Under is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 6-1 in Phillies last 7 overall.
- Under is 8-1 in Phillies last 9 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 8-2-2 in Phillies last 12 interleague games as a favorite.
Baltimore
- Orioles are 6-0 in Youngs last 6 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 games as an underdog.
- Orioles are 6-0 in Youngs last 6 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0 in Youngs last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.
Top Projection
Bryson Stott o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
o1.5 +155
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.03 |
+158
|
o7.5 -112
|
+1.5 -138
|
|
4.59 |
-168
|
u8.0 -115
|
-1.5 +130
|
St. Louis
- Under is 5-0 in Leahys last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 7-0 in Leahys last 7 starts overall.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Cardinals last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Blue Jays last 7 interleague games as an underdog.
- Over is 6-2-1 in Blue Jays last 9 home games.
- Under is 6-1 in Ceases last 7 starts during game 1 of a series.
Top Projection
Jimmy Crooks o0.5 Total RBIs (+330)
o0.5 +352
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.59 |
+130
|
o8.0 -120
|
+1.5 -168
|
|
4.73 |
-142
|
u8.5 -116
|
-1.5 +155
|
Chi. White Sox
- Under is 8-2 in White Sox last 10 on fieldturf.
- Under is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 vs. American League East.
- Over is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 games as an underdog.
Tampa Bay
- Under is 4-0 in Rays last 4 home games.
- Under is 4-0 in Rays last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Rays last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Rays last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.51 |
+119
|
o8.5 -112
|
+1.5 -170
|
|
4.08 |
-131
|
u9.0 -134 
|
-1.5 +158
|
Arizona
- Diamondbacks are 4-0 in their last 4 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Diamondbacks are 6-1 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Diamondbacks are 8-2 in their last 10 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Diamondbacks are 6-2 in their last 8 vs. American League Central.
Cleveland
- Under is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 vs. National League West.
- Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.85 |
+114
|
o8.0 -130
|
+1.5 -190
|
|
4.73 |
-126
|
u8.5 -112
|
-1.5 +165
|
Miami
- Marlins are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League East.
- Under is 8-1 in Marlins last 9 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Marlins are 8-2 in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 games as a favorite.
NY Mets
- Over is 6-0 in Peraltas last 6 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Mets last 6 during game 2 of a series.
- Mets are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-0 in Mets last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.47 |
+108
|
o9.0 -110
|
+1.5 -190 
|
|
5.36 |
-121
|
u9.5 -131
|
-1.5 +165
|
Washington
- Nationals are 6-0 in Griffins last 6 starts vs. National League East.
- Nationals are 7-0 in Griffins last 7 starts as a road underdog.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Nationals last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
Atlanta
- Under is 6-0 in Elders last 6 starts as a home underdog.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Braves last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Braves are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
Top Projection
Dylan Crews o0.5 Total RBIs (+199)
o0.5 +199
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.94 |
+109
|
o7.5 -121
|
+1.5 -195
|
|
3.97 |
-121
|
u8.0 -108
|
-1.5 +173
|
Texas
- Over is 9-0 in Rangers last 9 games as a favorite.
- Rangers are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 road games.
- Over is 8-1 in Rangers last 9 during game 1 of a series.
Houston
- Astros are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Astros are 4-1 in their last 5 home games.
- Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Astros are 8-1 in their last 9 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.89 |
-107
|
o11.0 -113
|
-1.5 +140
|
|
6.06 |
-103
|
u11.5 -120
|
+1.5 -160
|
Kansas City
- Under is 5-0-1 in Royals last 6 road games.
- Under is 5-0-2 in Royals last 7 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Royals last 6 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in Royals last 5 games as a road favorite.
Colorado
- Rockies are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Suganos last 4 interleague starts.
- Rockies are 4-0 in Suganos last 4 home starts.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.13 |
-162
|
o9.0 -105
|
-1.5 -103
|
|
4.73 |
+152
|
u9.5 -131
|
+1.5 -107
|
Milwaukee
- Over is 4-0-1 in Brewers last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Drohans last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Brewers last 4 games as an underdog.
- Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 games following a loss.
LA Angels
- Under is 5-0-1 in Angels last 6 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Angels last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-0 in Angels last 4 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 5-1 in Angels last 6 games as a favorite.
Top Projection
Mike Trout o0.5 Total RBIs (+205)
o0.5 +205
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.84 |
-154
|
o10.5 -112
|
-1.5 +100
|
|
5.78 |
+135
|
u11.0 -120
|
+1.5 -115
|
Detroit
- Under is 6-0 in Tigers last 6 vs. American League West.
- Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Tigers last 4 overall.
Athletics
- Under is 6-0 in last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Under is 4-0 in last 4 home games.
- Under is 4-0 in last 4 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.90 |
+124
|
-- |
-- |
|
4.89 |
-142
|
-- |
-- |
San Francisco
- Over is 3-0-3 in Giants last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 5-1-2 in Giants last 8 overall.
- Under is 5-1-2 in Giants last 8 on grass.
- Under is 5-1-2 in Giants last 8 vs. a team with a losing record.
San Diego
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 overall.
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 games on grass.
- Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 home games.
- Padres are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.84 |
+146
|
-- |
-- |
|
4.93 |
-168
|
-- |
-- |
Boston
- Under is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 road games.
- Under is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 overall.
- Red Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 on grass.
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Dodgers are 12-3 in their last 15 vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.13 |
+158
|
o7.5 -121
|
+1.5 -135
|
|
4.98 |
-175
|
u8.0 -115
|
-1.5 +120
|
Minnesota
- Over is 8-0 in Twins last 8 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 7-1 in Twins last 8 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Twins last 8 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 5-1 in Twins last 6 overall.
Seattle
- Over is 5-0-1 in Mariners last 6 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
- Under is 6-1 in Mariners last 7 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 5-1 in Mariners last 6 overall.
Top Projection
Randy Arozarena o0.5 Total RBIs (+255)
o0.5 +255
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+114
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-137
|
-- |
-- |
St. Louis
- Under is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Cardinals last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Cardinals last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 9-1 in Cardinals last 10 during game 2 of a series.
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Gausmans last 7 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 6-0 in Gausmans last 6 starts as a home underdog.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Gausmans last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+134
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-175
|
-- |
-- |
Chi. White Sox
- Under is 8-2 in White Sox last 10 on fieldturf.
- Under is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 vs. American League East.
- Over is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 games as an underdog.
Tampa Bay
- Under is 4-0 in Rays last 4 home games.
- Under is 4-0 in Rays last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Rays last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Rays last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+114
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-142
|
-- |
-- |
Miami
- Marlins are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League East.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Phillips' last 4 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 games as a favorite.
- Marlins are 8-2 in their last 10 games as a road favorite.
NY Mets
- Under is 5-0 in Mets last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Mets are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-1 in Mets last 6 vs. National League East.
- Over is 5-1 in Mets last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+129
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-161
|
-- |
-- |
Minnesota
- Over is 8-0 in Twins last 8 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Twins last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 7-1 in Twins last 8 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Twins are 5-1 in their last 6 during game 2 of a series.
Seattle
- Under is 6-1 in Mariners last 7 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 5-1 in Mariners last 6 overall.
- Over is 5-1 in Mariners last 6 games as an underdog.
- Over is 5-1 in Mariners last 6 on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-121
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-103
|
-- |
-- |
Pittsburgh
- Over is 8-0 in Ashcrafts last 8 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Pirates are 5-0 in Ashcrafts last 5 starts vs. National League Central.
- Pirates are 6-0 in Ashcrafts last 6 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Pirates are 5-0 in Ashcrafts last 5 starts as a favorite.
Cincinnati
- Under is 6-2 in Reds last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 7-1 in Reds last 8 overall.
- Under is 7-1 in Reds last 8 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 7-1 in Reds last 8 on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-137
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
+119
|
-- |
-- |
Philadelphia
- Phillies are 8-0 in Sanchezs last 8 starts vs. American League East.
- Under is 5-0 in Phillies last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 6-1 in Sanchezs last 7 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 6-1 in Phillies last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
Baltimore
- Over is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Orioles last 5 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 interleague home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Orioles are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-132
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
+105
|
-- |
-- |
Texas
- Over is 9-0 in Rangers last 9 games as a favorite.
- Rangers are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 road games.
- Over is 6-1 in Rangers last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Houston
- Astros are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Astros are 5-0 in Blancos last 5 home starts.
- Astros are 4-0 in Blancos last 4 starts as a home favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+124
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-149
|
-- |
-- |
Arizona
- Diamondbacks are 6-1 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Diamondbacks are 6-2 in their last 8 vs. American League Central.
- Diamondbacks are 6-2 in their last 8 interleague games as a favorite.
- Diamondbacks are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Cleveland
- Guardians are 6-0 in Messicks last 6 interleague starts.
- Under is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 vs. National League West.
- Under is 4-0 in Messicks last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-116
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-103
|
-- |
-- |
NY Yankees
- Under is 7-1 in Yankees last 8 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 6-1 in Yankees last 7 interleague games as a favorite.
- Yankees are 8-2 in their last 10 road games.
- Yankees are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague games as a favorite.
Chi. Cubs
- Cubs are 6-0 in their last 6 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 7-1 in Cubs last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Under is 9-1-1 in Cubs last 11 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-1 in Cubs last 5 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+152
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-217
|
-- |
-- |
Washington
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 6-0 in Mikolas' last 6 starts on grass.
- Over is 5-0 in Mikolas' last 5 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 7-1 in Nationals last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Atlanta
- Over is 5-0 in Lopezs last 5 starts vs. National League East.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Lopezs last 6 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Braves are 6-0 in their last 6 during game 3 of a series.
- Braves are 7-0 in Lopezs last 7 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-121
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
+101
|
-- |
-- |
Kansas City
- Under is 5-0-1 in Royals last 6 road games.
- Under is 9-0 in Royals last 9 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 5-0-2 in Royals last 7 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Royals last 6 games as a road underdog.
Colorado
- Rockies are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Feltners last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+114
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-149
|
-- |
-- |
San Francisco
- Over is 3-0-3 in Giants last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 5-1-2 in Giants last 8 overall.
- Under is 5-1-2 in Giants last 8 on grass.
- Under is 5-1-2 in Giants last 8 vs. a team with a losing record.
San Diego
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 overall.
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 games on grass.
- Padres are 5-0 in Buehlers last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Padres are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+134
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-168
|
-- |
-- |
Boston
- Under is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 road games.
- Under is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 overall.
- Red Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 on grass.
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 5-1 in Dodgers last 6 home games.
- Over is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-148
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
+109
|
-- |
-- |
Milwaukee
- Over is 4-0-1 in Brewers last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Brewers last 4 games as an underdog.
- Brewers are 4-0 in Gassers last 4 starts as a favorite.
- Brewers are 6-1 in Gassers last 7 starts on grass.
LA Angels
- Under is 5-0-1 in Angels last 6 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Angels last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-0 in Angels last 4 vs. National League Central.
- Angels are 4-0 in Sorianos last 4 starts as a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
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-142
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+105
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Detroit
- Under is 6-0 in Tigers last 6 vs. American League West.
- Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Tigers last 4 overall.
Athletics
- Under is 5-0 in last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 4-0 in last 4 home games.
- Under is 4-0 in last 4 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 overall.
NYY
@
CHC
Fri, Jul 31 • 2:20 PM ET
Total
o9.5 (+109)
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst
I’m playing the Over because both sides have a scoring path tied to the starters. New York’s case is obvious.
The Cubs can contribute against Will Warren, too. He owns a 4.59 xERA with a 41.0% hard-hit rate. The Cubs aren't a crazy explosive group, but a .340 OBP along with a solid walk rate can create the traffic Warren has struggled to navigate. I'd play this to -105.
Moneyline
NYY (+124)
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst
For a second straight start, I find myself in the position of backing New York Yankees arm Will Warren. And, for the second straight start, it's not because of him but his opponent. This is a decent misprice, and I'd play the Yankees down to +100 for two units.
Shota Imanaga’s barrel profile is a real concern against this lineup. He has allowed a 9.4% barrel rate, which sits in the bottom quarter of MLB, while the Bombers own a 9.6% team barrel rate, the best mark in baseball. That’s the biggest advantage for either team in this matchup.
PIT
@
CIN
Fri, Jul 31 • 6:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Tyler Stephenson u1.5 Total Bases (-235)
Projection 0.78
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Hitting from the same side that Paul Skenes throws from, Tyler Stephenson will have a tough challenge today.. Tyler Stephenson has put up a .230 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, checking in at the 24th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Total Bases
Brandon Lowe o1.5 Total Bases (+128)
Projection 2.08
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his home run talent, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brandon Lowe is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game.. Great American Ball Park ranks as the #3 venue in MLB for lefty home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report projects the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 88°.. Hitting from the opposite that Hunter Greene throws from, Brandon Lowe will have an edge in today's game.
PHI
@
BAL
Fri, Jul 31 • 7:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Taylor Ward o1.5 Total Bases (+195)
Projection 1.56
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Taylor Ward in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. Taylor Ward is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 5th-hottest weather of the day at 85°.. Taylor Ward has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Taylor Ward will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.
Total Bases
Bryce Harper o1.5 Total Bases (+100)
Projection 2.14
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Bryce Harper projects as the 11th-best batter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 5th-hottest weather of the day at 85°.. Hitting from the opposite that Brandon Young throws from, Bryce Harper will have an advantage today.
STL
@
TOR
Fri, Jul 31 • 7:07 PM ET
Total Bases
Jordan Walker o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.56
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. Jordan Walker is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Jordan Walker hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences today.. Jordan Walker's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 40.9% to 46.1%.. By putting up a .511 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year, Jordan Walker is ranked in the 92nd percentile.
Total Bases
Kazuma Okamoto o1.5 Total Bases (+132)
Projection 1.65
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his home run skill, Kazuma Okamoto ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kazuma Okamoto is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield fences in the majors.. Kazuma Okamoto will possess the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.. Kazuma Okamoto has averaged 34.6 dingers per 600 plate appearances this year, placing in the 94th percentile for power.
CHW
@
TB
Fri, Jul 31 • 7:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Junior Caminero o1.5 Total Bases (+109)
Projection 2.03
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Junior Caminero projects as the 17th-best hitter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Junior Caminero is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.. The #4 ballpark in the majors for boosting home runs to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Junior Caminero pulls many of his flyballs (40% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Junior Caminero will hold that advantage today.
Total Bases
Andrew Benintendi o1.5 Total Bases (+170)
Projection 1.4
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Andrew Benintendi is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today.. The #4 park in the game for boosting home runs to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Andrew Benintendi will hold the platoon advantage over Nick Martinez today.. Andrew Benintendi pulls many of his flyballs (37.7% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences today.. Andrew Benintendi's launch angle recently (33° in the past 7 days) is a considerable increase over his 16.1° seasonal figure.
AZ
@
CLE
Fri, Jul 31 • 7:10 PM ET
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Nolan Arenado o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+120)
Projection 1.83
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Progressive Field as the 2nd-best field in baseball for righty base hits.. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. Nolan Arenado pulls a lot of his flyballs (42% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Nolan Arenado's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 38.1% to 45.5%.. Over the last two weeks, Nolan Arenado's 63.3% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 45.5%.
MIA
@
NYM
Fri, Jul 31 • 7:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Kyle Stowers o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.78
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his home run talent, Kyle Stowers ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Stowers is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game.. Among all major league parks, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest.. Kyle Stowers will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Freddy Peralta in today's game.. Over the past week, Kyle Stowers's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 12.1% up to 25%.
Total Bases
Brett Baty o1.5 Total Bases (+215)
Projection 1.43
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Hitting from the opposite that Janson Junk throws from, Brett Baty will have an edge in today's game.. Brett Baty has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Brett Baty will hold that advantage in today's game.. Brett Baty's launch angle this year (11.3°) is quite a bit higher than his 5.7° mark last year.. Compared to his seasonal average of 11.3°, Brett Baty has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 26.8° mark in the past two weeks' worth of games.
WAS
@
ATL
Fri, Jul 31 • 7:15 PM ET
Total Bases
CJ Abrams o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 2.12
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, CJ Abrams ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. CJ Abrams is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. Truist Park grades out as the #5 venue in MLB for overall LHB offense, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Truist Park has the 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to better offense.
Total Bases
James Wood o1.5 Total Bases (+111)
Projection 2.33
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his BABIP talent, James Wood is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. James Wood is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today.. Truist Park grades out as the #5 venue in MLB for overall LHB offense, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to better offense.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games today at 89°.
TEX
@
HOU
Fri, Jul 31 • 8:15 PM ET
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Wyatt Langford o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+100)
Projection 2.18
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Wyatt Langford is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.. Wyatt Langford pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.9% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Hitters such as Wyatt Langford with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Hunter Brown who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.. Wyatt Langford has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.4-mph to 94.2-mph in the last 7 days.
Total Bases
Joc Pederson u1.5 Total Bases (-235)
Projection 0.72
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Minute Maid Park ranks as the #28 park in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In the majors, the 3rd-tallest fence height (on average) are at Minute Maid Park.. Minute Maid Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.. The Minute Maid Park roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest -13° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. In today's matchup, Joc Pederson is at a disadvantage facing the league's 9th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 36.9% rate (91st percentile).
KC
@
COL
Fri, Jul 31 • 8:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Hunter Goodman o1.5 Total Bases (-115)
Projection 2.52
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Hunter Goodman as baseball's 14th-best home run hitter.. Hunter Goodman is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.. Coors Field profiles as the #1 ballpark in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude in the league, which tends to lead to more offense.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level on the schedule today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Total Bases
Michael Massey o1.5 Total Bases (-105)
Projection 2.1
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Michael Massey is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 80% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. Coors Field profiles as the #1 ballpark in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude in the league, which tends to lead to more offense.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level on the schedule today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Michael Massey will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tomoyuki Sugano in today's matchup.
MIL
@
LAA
Fri, Jul 31 • 9:38 PM ET
Total Bases
Zach Neto o1.5 Total Bases (+138)
Projection 1.84
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zach Neto in the 89th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.. Zach Neto is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game.. In the league, Angel Stadium has the 2nd-lowest average fence height.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-most suitable for hitting on the slate today.. Batting from the opposite that Shane Drohan throws from, Zach Neto will have an advantage today.
Total Bases
Brice Turang o1.5 Total Bases (+109)
Projection 1.86
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang in the 97th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. Brice Turang is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. In the league, Angel Stadium has the 2nd-lowest average fence height.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-most suitable for hitting on the slate today.. Because of Ryan Johnson's large platoon split, Brice Turang will have a tremendous advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish today.
DET
@
ATH
Fri, Jul 31 • 9:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Riley Greene o1.5 Total Bases (-105)
Projection 2.26
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene in the 96th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.. Riley Greene is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game.. The #2 park in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Sutter Health Park.. In MLB, Sutter Health Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 105°.
Total RBIs
Kevin McGonigle o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.69
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kevin McGonigle in the 91st percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.. Kevin McGonigle is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. The #2 park in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Sutter Health Park.. In MLB, Sutter Health Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 105°.
MIN
@
SEA
Fri, Jul 31 • 10:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Kody Clemens o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.87
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his home run skill, Kody Clemens ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kody Clemens is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. T-Mobile Park has the 10th-lowest fences among all stadiums.. Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-shallowest among all parks.. Batting from the opposite that Bryce Miller throws from, Kody Clemens will have an advantage today.
Total Bases
Luke Raley o1.5 Total Bases (+200)
Projection 1.48
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run skill, Luke Raley ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. T-Mobile Park has the 10th-lowest fences among all stadiums.. Batting from the opposite that Zebby Matthews throws from, Luke Raley will have an advantage in today's game.. Luke Raley pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.3% — 83rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Luke Raley will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.
TOR
@
CHC
Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst
Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer.
Total Hits
Dansby Swanson u0.5 Total Hits (-130)
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst
ATL
@
CHW
Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-105)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.
Moneyline
ATL (-112)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.
BOS
@
NYY
Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-110)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.
Moneyline
NYY (-135)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.
SF
@
ATL
Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
Total
o7.5 (-116)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.
Moneyline
SF (+124)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.
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Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
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MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
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