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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Aug. 1, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.67 |
+129 
|
o8.5 -103
|
+1.5 -168
|
|
4.80 |
-136 
|
u8.5 -107
|
-1.5 +152
|
St. Louis
- Under is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Cardinals last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Cardinals last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 9-1 in Cardinals last 10 during game 2 of a series.
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Gausmans last 7 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 6-0 in Gausmans last 6 starts as a home underdog.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Gausmans last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.93 |
+148
|
o8.0 -105
|
+1.5 -145 
|
|
4.37 |
-160
|
u8.5 -120 
|
-1.5 +134
|
Chi. White Sox
- Over is 4-0 in Schultzs last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-0 in Schultzs last 4 starts overall.
- Over is 6-1 in Schultzs last 7 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 vs. American League East.
Tampa Bay
- Under is 5-0 in Rays last 5 home games.
- Under is 5-0 in Rays last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Rays last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Rasmussens last 8 starts during game 2 of a series.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.95 |
+118
|
o8.5 -121
|
+1.5 -182
|
|
5.19 |
-125 
|
u9.0 -115 
|
-1.5 +165
|
Miami
- Under is 3-0-1 in Phillips' last 4 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 games as a favorite.
- Marlins are 8-2 in their last 10 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
NY Mets
- Under is 5-0 in Mets last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Under is 6-1 in Mets last 7 vs. National League East.
- Mets are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Mets are 4-1 in their last 5 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.82 |
+150
|
o7.5 -116
|
+1.5 -145
|
|
4.05 |
-161
|
u8.0 -119 
|
-1.5 +134
|
Minnesota
- Over is 8-0 in Twins last 8 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 6-0 in Prielipps last 6 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Twins last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 4-0 in Prielipps last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.
Seattle
- Over is 3-0-1 in Gilberts last 4 starts overall.
- Mariners are 9-1 in Gilberts last 10 starts on grass.
- Under is 6-1 in Mariners last 7 games as a home underdog.
- Mariners are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.11 |
-114
|
o8.0 -125
|
-1.5 +146
|
|
4.70 |
+106
|
u8.5 -112
|
+1.5 -160
|
Pittsburgh
- Over is 8-0 in Ashcrafts last 8 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Pirates are 5-0 in Ashcrafts last 5 starts vs. National League Central.
- Pirates are 6-0 in Ashcrafts last 6 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Pirates are 5-0 in Ashcrafts last 5 starts as a favorite.
Cincinnati
- Under is 4-0 in Reds last 4 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 8-1 in Reds last 9 overall.
- Under is 8-1 in Reds last 9 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 8-1 in Reds last 9 on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.19 |
-130
|
o8.0 -110
|
-1.5 +129
|
|
3.82 |
+124
|
u8.5 -116
|
+1.5 -140
|
Philadelphia
- Phillies are 8-0 in Sanchezs last 8 starts vs. American League East.
- Under is 5-0 in Phillies last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 6-1 in Sanchezs last 7 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 6-1 in Phillies last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
Baltimore
- Over is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Orioles last 5 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 interleague home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Orioles are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.81 |
-120
|
o8.5 +101
|
-1.5 +134
|
|
4.02 |
+114
|
u8.5 -112
|
+1.5 -148
|
Texas
- Over is 9-0 in Rangers last 9 games as a favorite.
- Rangers are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 road games.
- Over is 6-1 in Rangers last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Houston
- Astros are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Astros are 5-0 in Blancos last 5 home starts.
- Astros are 4-0 in Blancos last 4 starts as a home favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.30 |
+142
|
o8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -155
|
|
4.74 |
-148
|
u8.5 -112
|
-1.5 +140
|
Arizona
- Diamondbacks are 6-1 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Diamondbacks are 6-2 in their last 8 vs. American League Central.
- Diamondbacks are 6-2 in their last 8 interleague games as a favorite.
- Diamondbacks are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Cleveland
- Guardians are 6-0 in Messicks last 6 interleague starts.
- Under is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 vs. National League West.
- Under is 4-0 in Messicks last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.38 |
-120
|
o6.0 -125
|
-1.5 +152
|
|
3.41 |
+110
|
u6.5 -107
|
+1.5 -168
|
NY Yankees
- Under is 7-1 in Yankees last 8 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 6-1 in Yankees last 7 interleague games as a favorite.
- Yankees are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague games as a favorite.
- Yankees are 5-1 in Frieds last 6 starts as a favorite.
Chi. Cubs
- Cubs are 6-0 in their last 6 during game 2 of a series.
- Cubs are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Over is 7-1 in Cubs last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Cubs are 6-1 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.48 |
+170
|
o9.5 +102
|
+1.5 -125
|
|
5.70 |
-183
|
u9.5 -116
|
-1.5 +114
|
Washington
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 6-0 in Mikolas' last 6 starts on grass.
- Over is 5-0 in Mikolas' last 5 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 7-1 in Nationals last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Atlanta
- Over is 5-0 in Lopezs last 5 starts vs. National League East.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Lopezs last 6 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Braves are 6-0 in their last 6 during game 3 of a series.
- Braves are 7-0 in Lopezs last 7 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.61 |
+101
|
o11.5 -112
|
-1.5 +152
|
|
6.60 |
-112
|
u12.0 -115
|
+1.5 -161
|
Kansas City
- Under is 6-0-1 in Royals last 7 road games.
- Under is 6-0-2 in Royals last 8 games as an underdog.
- Under is 9-0 in Royals last 9 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 6-0-1 in Royals last 7 games as a road underdog.
Colorado
- Rockies are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Feltners last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Feltners last 4 starts on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.69 |
+124
|
o8.5 -110
|
+1.5 -165
|
|
4.94 |
-134
|
u8.5 -102
|
-1.5 +152
|
San Francisco
- Under is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 road games.
- Under is 4-0 in Giants last 4 vs. National League West.
- Giants are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Under is 5-1-2 in Giants last 8 overall.
San Diego
- Padres are 5-0 in Buehlers last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Padres are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
- Padres are 7-1 in Buehlers last 8 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Padres are 5-1 in their last 6 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.88 |
+142
|
o8.0 -110
|
+1.5 -155
|
|
5.19 |
-154
|
u8.5 -120
|
-1.5 +140
|
Boston
- Under is 6-0 in Red Sox last 6 overall.
- Under is 6-0 in Red Sox last 6 road games.
- Red Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 games as an underdog.
- Under is 6-0 in Red Sox last 6 on grass.
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 5-1 in Dodgers last 6 home games.
- Over is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Teoscar Hernandez o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
o0.5 +185
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.93 |
-114
|
o8.5 -121
|
-1.5 +140
|
|
4.67 |
+106
|
u9.0 -120
|
+1.5 -155
|
Milwaukee
- Over is 4-0-1 in Brewers last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Brewers last 4 games as an underdog.
- Brewers are 4-0 in Gassers last 4 starts as a favorite.
- Brewers are 6-1 in Gassers last 7 starts on grass.
LA Angels
- Under is 5-0-1 in Angels last 6 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Angels last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-0 in Angels last 4 vs. National League Central.
- Angels are 4-0 in Sorianos last 4 starts as a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.24 |
-130
|
o10.5 -116
|
-1.5 +124
|
|
4.98 |
+122
|
u11.0 -120
|
+1.5 -132
|
Detroit
- Under is 6-0 in Tigers last 6 vs. American League West.
- Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 road games.
Athletics
- Under is 5-0 in last 5 home games.
- Under is 5-0 in last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 3-0-2 in Perkins' last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+105
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-126
|
-- |
-- |
Washington
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Nationals last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Nationals last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Cavallis last 4 starts as a road underdog.
Atlanta
- Over is 4-0-1 in Braves last 5 during game 4 of a series.
- Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Over is 6-0 in Braves last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Braves last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-126
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
+105
|
-- |
-- |
Philadelphia
- Phillies are 6-0 in Wheelers last 6 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Phillies are 6-0 in Wheelers last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Over is 7-1 in Wheelers last 8 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 6-1 in Phillies last 7 overall.
Baltimore
- Over is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 games as an underdog.
- Orioles are 4-0 in Bradishs last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Orioles are 4-0 in Bradishs last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 6-1 in Bradishs last 7 starts as a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-112
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-116
|
-- |
-- |
St. Louis
- Under is 7-0-1 in McGreevys last 8 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0-1 in McGreevys last 5 starts as a road underdog.
- Under is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Cardinals last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Scherzers last 5 starts a home underdog.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Blue Jays last 7 interleague games as an underdog.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Blue Jays last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+105
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-126
|
-- |
-- |
Miami
- Marlins are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League East.
- Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 games as a favorite.
- Marlins are 8-2 in their last 10 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 4-1 in Marlins last 5 vs. National League East.
NY Mets
- Mets are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-1 in Mets last 6 vs. National League East.
- Over is 5-1 in Mets last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Mets last 6 games as an underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+119
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-142
|
-- |
-- |
Pittsburgh
- Pirates are 4-0 in Kellers last 4 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 5-1 in Pirates last 6 games as an underdog.
Cincinnati
- Over is 5-0 in Burns' last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Reds are 8-0 in Burns' last 8 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Under is 7-1 in Reds last 8 overall.
- Under is 7-1 in Reds last 8 games as a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+129
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-148
|
-- |
-- |
Chi. White Sox
- White Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 8-2 in White Sox last 10 on fieldturf.
- Under is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 vs. American League East.
- Over is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 games as a road underdog.
Tampa Bay
- Under is 4-0 in Rays last 4 home games.
- Under is 4-0 in Rays last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Rays last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Rays last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+109
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-137
|
-- |
-- |
Arizona
- Under is 7-0 in Kellys last 7 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Under is 5-0 in Kellys last 5 starts as a road underdog.
- Under is 7-0 in Kellys last 7 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Kellys last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Cleveland
- Under is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 vs. National League West.
- Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
- Guardians are 4-0 in Williams' last 4 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Guardians are 4-1 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+105
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-137
|
-- |
-- |
Texas
- Over is 9-0 in Rangers last 9 games as a favorite.
- Rangers are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 road games.
- Over is 7-1 in Rangers last 8 during game 3 of a series.
Houston
- Astros are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Astros are 8-1 in their last 9 overall.
- Astros are 4-1 in their last 5 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-112
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-107
|
-- |
-- |
NY Yankees
- Under is 4-0-1 in Yankees last 5 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 7-1 in Yankees last 8 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 6-1 in Yankees last 7 interleague games as a favorite.
- Under is 7-1 in Yankees last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 3-0-2 in Reas last 5 starts vs. American League East.
- Cubs are 6-0 in Reas last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Reas last 4 starts a home underdog.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Reas last 4 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-112
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-107
|
-- |
-- |
Kansas City
- Under is 5-0-1 in Royals last 6 road games.
- Under is 5-0-2 in Royals last 7 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Royals last 6 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in Royals last 5 games as a road favorite.
Colorado
- Rockies are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 overall.
- Under is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 on grass.
- Under is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-229
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
+188
|
-- |
-- |
Milwaukee
- Over is 4-0-1 in Brewers last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Brewers last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Misiorowskis last 4 starts as a road favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Misiorowskis last 4 starts during game 3 of a series.
LA Angels
- Under is 5-0-1 in Angels last 6 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Angels last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-0 in Angels last 4 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 5-1 in Angels last 6 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-121
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-103
|
-- |
-- |
Detroit
- Under is 6-0 in Tigers last 6 vs. American League West.
- Under is 6-0 in Monteros last 6 starts vs. American League West.
- Under is 6-0 in Monteros last 6 starts as a road underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Athletics
- Under is 6-0 in last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Under is 4-0 in last 4 home games.
- Under is 4-0 in last 4 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 6-2 in last 8 during game 3 of a series.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+119
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-148
|
-- |
-- |
Minnesota
- Over is 8-0 in Twins last 8 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 7-1 in Twins last 8 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-1 in Twins last 6 overall.
- Under is 5-1 in Twins last 6 vs. American League West.
Seattle
- Under is 6-1 in Mariners last 7 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 5-1 in Mariners last 6 overall.
- Over is 5-1 in Mariners last 6 games as an underdog.
- Over is 5-1 in Mariners last 6 on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+124
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-148
|
-- |
-- |
San Francisco
- Over is 3-0-3 in Giants last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 5-1-2 in Giants last 8 overall.
- Under is 5-1-2 in Giants last 8 on grass.
- Under is 5-1-2 in Giants last 8 vs. a team with a losing record.
San Diego
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 overall.
- Under is 5-0 in Kings last 5 starts as an underdog.
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 games on grass.
- Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+134
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-183
|
-- |
-- |
Boston
- Under is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 road games.
- Under is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 overall.
- Red Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 on grass.
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Dodgers are 12-3 in their last 15 vs. a team with a losing record.
STL
@
TOR
Sat, Aug 1 • 3:07 PM ET
Total Bases
Jordan Walker o1.5 Total Bases (+126)
Projection 1.89
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 91st percentile as it relates to his home run talent.. Jordan Walker is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. Jordan Walker hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences today.. The Toronto Blue Jays infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among every team playing today.
Total Bases
Kazuma Okamoto u1.5 Total Bases (-181)
Projection 0.77
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Kazuma Okamoto is penciled in 6th in the batting order today, which would be a downgrade from his 75% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.. The #6 venue in Major League Baseball for suppressing batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.. Rogers Centre has the 8th-tallest fence height (on average) among all major league stadiums.. Out of every team playing today, the 5th-best infield defense is that of the St. Louis Cardinals.
MIA
@
NYM
Sat, Aug 1 • 4:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Luis Robert Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+144)
Projection 1.77
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Robert Jr. in the 83rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.. Luis Robert Jr. is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game.. The shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums are found in Citi Field.. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this contest to reach the 4th-highest level of all games on the slate at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.7-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.
Total Bases
Carson Benge o1.5 Total Bases (+136)
Projection 1.66
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carson Benge in the 87th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.. Carson Benge is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game.. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this contest to reach the 4th-highest level of all games on the slate at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.7-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Hitting from the opposite that Tyler Phillips throws from, Carson Benge will have the upper hand in today's matchup.
PIT
@
CIN
Sat, Aug 1 • 6:40 PM ET
Moneyline
PIT (-112)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
Pittsburgh’s pitching efficiency carries the day here, posting a sixth-ranked 3.10 SIERA alongside a robust 19.7% K-BB% rate. Braxton Ashcraft matches up against Andrew Abbott, where Cincinnati’s offensive struggles (83 wRC+) and high strikeout tendency (26.4% K%) make the Pirates a clean road target.
Total Bases
Elly De La Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+129)
Projection 1.85
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his BABIP skill, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. Great American Ball Park ranks as the #3 stadium in the majors for lefty home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest humidity of all games on the slate at 90%.. The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Braxton Ashcraft.
TEX
@
HOU
Sat, Aug 1 • 7:10 PM ET
Moneyline
TEX (-122)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
Total Bases
Corey Seager o1.5 Total Bases (+108)
Projection 1.91
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Corey Seager ranks as the 13th-best hitter in MLB.. Corey Seager is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. Dingers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Minute Maid Park has the shallowest in Major League Baseball.. Batting from the opposite that Ronel Blanco throws from, Corey Seager will have an advantage in today's matchup.
NYY
@
CHC
Sat, Aug 1 • 7:15 PM ET
Total
u6.5 (-121)
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst
We saw just how ineffective these offenses can be with barrel suppression yesterday in a 2-0 Yankees win. I'm backing another low-scoring affair and would play the Under to 6, particularly considering the weather in store.
Rain and wind blowing in at Wrigley are not small variables, especially with the pitchers in mind.
Fried fits the weather. His 50% ground-ball rate and almost non-existent barrel rate make it difficult for the Cubbies to create power. Peterson’s overall profile is shakier, but he still owns a 49% ground-ball rate, and the weather helps cover some of his air-contact risk.
Moneyline
NYY (-127)
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst
I'm backing the New York Yankees and I'd play them down to -130. The reason is simple: Max Fried.
He has allowed just a 2% barrel rate and .247 xwOBA this season. That’s a strong fit against an up-and-down Chicago Cubs offense.
Veteran David Peterson hasn't been a disaster, but he will be more solvable. He owns a 5.14 xERA, .429 xSLG allowed, and just a 18% strikeout rate. It gets most of his success out of his 80th percentile ground-ball rate. That could keep the Yankees' bats quiet for long stretches, but eventually the underlying metrics will catch up with him in a game of thin margins.
WAS
@
ATL
Sat, Aug 1 • 7:15 PM ET
Strikeouts Thrown
Miles Mikolas o2.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+125)
Projection 2.82
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Considering the 1.14 gap between Miles Mikolas's 4.59 K/9 and his 5.73 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the least fortunate pitchers in Major League Baseball this year as it relates to strikeouts and should see better results the rest of the season.
Total RBIs
CJ Abrams o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.77
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The #9 venue in the game for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. The 5th-shallowest CF fences among all stadiums are found in Truist Park.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.. High humidity has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 3rd-most humidity of all games on the slate at 89%.
BOS
@
LAD
Sat, Aug 1 • 9:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Teoscar Hernandez o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
Projection 0.57
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Dodger Stadium ranks as the #1 stadium in the game for RHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Dodger Stadium has the 9th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball.. Dodger Stadium has the shortest fences in the majors.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 89°.
Total RBIs
Wilyer Abreu o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.59
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Dodger Stadium grades out as the #1 venue in Major League Baseball for lefty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Dodger Stadium has the 9th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball.. Dodger Stadium has the shortest fences in the majors.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 89°.
TOR
@
CHC
Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst
Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer.
Total Hits
Dansby Swanson u0.5 Total Hits (-130)
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst
ATL
@
CHW
Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-105)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.
Moneyline
ATL (-112)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.
BOS
@
NYY
Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-110)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.
Moneyline
NYY (-135)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.
SF
@
ATL
Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
Total
o7.5 (-116)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.
Moneyline
SF (+124)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
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Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
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Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
