MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on July 3, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

St. Louis Cardinals logo STL @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Fri, Jul 3 • 4:05 PM ET
4 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Seiya Suzuki logo
Seiya Suzuki o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 1.89
Best Odds
Pick made: 26 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Seiya Suzuki ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Seiya Suzuki is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. In the league, Wrigley Field's LF fences are the 6th-shallowest.. Extreme groundball hitters like Seiya Suzuki are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Andre Pallante.. Seiya Suzuki will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Michael Busch logo
Michael Busch o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-143)
Projection 2.29
Best Odds
Pick made: 26 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Busch in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. Michael Busch is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. Michael Busch will have the handedness advantage against Andre Pallante today.. The St. Louis Cardinals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Michael Busch can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.. Michael Busch will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.
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Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT @ Washington Nationals logo WAS Fri, Jul 3 • 6:45 PM ET
7 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Luis Garcia Jr. logo
Luis Garcia Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (-106)
Projection 2.02
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Luis Garcia Jr.'s batting average talent is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Luis Garcia Jr. is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. The 7th-shallowest right field fences among all parks are found in Nationals Park.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 98°.. Luis Garcia Jr. will hold the platoon advantage over Mitch Keller today.
Total Bases
James Wood logo
James Wood o1.5 Total Bases (-105)
Projection 2.32
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his BABIP ability, James Wood is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. James Wood is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 98°.. James Wood will have the handedness advantage over Mitch Keller in today's game.. James Wood will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.
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Minnesota Twins logo MIN @ New York Yankees logo NYY Fri, Jul 3 • 7:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Ben Rice logo
Ben Rice o1.5 Total Bases (-130)
Projection 2.51
Best Odds
Pick made: 26 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ben Rice in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. Ben Rice is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today.. Yankee Stadium has the 8th-lowest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the hottest weather on the slate at 98°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.9-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats.
Total Bases
Cody Bellinger logo
Cody Bellinger o1.5 Total Bases (+100)
Projection 2.12
Best Odds
Pick made: 26 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Cody Bellinger is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. Yankee Stadium has the 8th-lowest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the hottest weather on the slate at 98°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.9-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats.
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Baltimore Orioles logo BAL @ Cincinnati Reds logo CIN Fri, Jul 3 • 7:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Gunnar Henderson logo
Gunnar Henderson o1.5 Total Bases (-102)
Projection 2.6
Best Odds
Pick made: 26 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gunnar Henderson in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. Gunnar Henderson is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the best stadium in baseball for left-handed home runs.. Great American Ball Park has the 5th-shallowest right field fences among all major league stadiums.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 4th-hottest temperature of all games today at 93°.
Total Bases
Spencer Steer logo
Spencer Steer o1.5 Total Bases (+116)
Projection 1.89
Best Odds
Pick made: 26 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Steer in the 75th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. Spencer Steer is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 57% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the best park in the league for righty home runs.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 4th-hottest temperature of all games today at 93°.. Batting from the opposite that Trevor Rogers throws from, Spencer Steer will have the upper hand in today's game.
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Chicago White Sox logo CHW @ Cleveland Guardians logo CLE Fri, Jul 3 • 7:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Braden Montgomery logo
Braden Montgomery o0.5 Total Home Runs (+375)
Projection 0.22
Best Odds
Pick made: 48 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Colson Montgomery projects as the 15th-best home run batter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Colson Montgomery is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 5th-highest temperatures on the slate today at 93°.. Colson Montgomery will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Gavin Williams in today's matchup.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Braden Montgomery logo
Braden Montgomery o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+110)
Projection 2.02
Best Odds
Pick made: 48 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Colson Montgomery projects as the 15th-best home run batter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Colson Montgomery is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. Progressive Field projects as the #2 park in MLB for left-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 5th-highest temperatures on the slate today at 93°.
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New York Mets logo NYM @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Fri, Jul 3 • 7:15 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Carson Benge logo
Carson Benge o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.79
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Carson Benge's BABIP ability is projected in the 87th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Carson Benge is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today.. The #10 ballpark in the league for boosting offensive stats to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to better offense.. Batting from the opposite that Grant Holmes throws from, Carson Benge will have the upper hand in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Juan Soto logo
Juan Soto o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 2.09
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 3rd-best batter in the league.. Juan Soto is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. The #10 ballpark in the league for boosting offensive stats to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to better offense.. Juan Soto will have the handedness advantage over Grant Holmes in today's matchup.
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Tampa Bay Rays logo TB @ Houston Astros logo HOU Fri, Jul 3 • 8:15 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Jonathan Aranda logo
Jonathan Aranda o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.65
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan Aranda in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. Jonathan Aranda is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Minute Maid Park has the shallowest among all stadiums.. Batting from the opposite that Spencer Arrighetti throws from, Jonathan Aranda will have an advantage in today's game.. Using Statcast data, Jonathan Aranda is in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .290.
Total Bases
Cedric Mullins logo
Cedric Mullins o1.5 Total Bases (+180)
Projection 1.46
Best Odds
Pick made: 15 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Batting from the opposite that Spencer Arrighetti throws from, Cedric Mullins will have an advantage in today's matchup.. In the past week's worth of games, Cedric Mullins's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 4.5% up to 15.4%.. Cedric Mullins has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 100.3-mph average in the last week to his seasonal EV of 91.7-mph.. There has been a significant improvement in Cedric Mullins's launch angle from last year's 23.3° to 28.9° this year.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Cedric Mullins's true offensive ability to be a .315, providing some evidence that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .038 gap between that mark and his actual .277 wOBA.
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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ Los Angeles Angels logo LAA Fri, Jul 3 • 9:38 PM ET
2 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Oswald Peraza logo
Oswald Peraza o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.44
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Oswald Peraza has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (74% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. Angel Stadium has the 2nd-lowest fences in the majors.. Hitting from the opposite that Jake Bennett throws from, Oswald Peraza will have an advantage today.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Oswald Peraza will hold that advantage today.. Oswald Peraza's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 38.4% to 45.8%.
Total RBIs
Andruw Monasterio logo
Andruw Monasterio o0.5 Total RBIs (+310)
Projection 0.35
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Angel Stadium has the 2nd-lowest fences in the majors.. Andruw Monasterio will have the handedness advantage over Reid Detmers in today's game.. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Andruw Monasterio ranks in the 93rd percentile with a 21.3° launch angle, which is one of the highest angles in the majors.
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Miami Marlins logo MIA @ Athletics Athletics logo ATH Fri, Jul 3 • 9:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Nick Kurtz logo
Nick Kurtz o1.5 Total Bases (-104)
Projection 2.41
Best Odds
Pick made: 26 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Nick Kurtz ranks as the 8th-best batter in the league.. Nick Kurtz is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. The #2 stadium in MLB for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Sutter Health Park.. Among all stadiums, Sutter Health Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of the day at 96°.
Total Hits
Carlos Cortes logo
Carlos Cortes u0.5 Total Hits (+190)
Projection 0.91
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Cortes in the 15th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.. In today's matchup, Carlos Cortes is at a disadvantage facing the league's 6th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 33.5% rate (79th percentile).
View 10 Picks
Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL @ Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ Fri, Jul 3 • 9:45 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Brice Turang logo
Brice Turang o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.76
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Brice Turang's BABIP talent is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brice Turang is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. The #3 park in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Brice Turang will hold the platoon advantage against Jose Cabrera in today's game.
Total Bases
Ketel Marte logo
Ketel Marte o1.5 Total Bases (+106)
Projection 2.13
Best Odds
Pick made: 26 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ketel Marte ranks as the 17th-best batter in the league.. Ketel Marte is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 3rd-best park in baseball for righty base hits.. The switch-hitting Ketel Marte will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Kyle Harrison.. Ketel Marte will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.
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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Seattle Mariners logo SEA Fri, Jul 3 • 10:10 PM ET
8 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Julio Rodriguez logo
Julio Rodriguez o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
Projection 0.48
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his batting average skill, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 10th-best hitter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Julio Rodriguez is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. In the majors, T-Mobile Park has the 10th-lowest average fence height.. T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-smallest outfield in the majors — generally good for dingers.. Julio Rodriguez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.
Total Bases
Julio Rodriguez logo
Julio Rodriguez o1.5 Total Bases (+170)
Projection 1.57
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his batting average skill, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 10th-best hitter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Julio Rodriguez is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. In the majors, T-Mobile Park has the 10th-lowest average fence height.. T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-smallest outfield in the majors — generally good for dingers.. Julio Rodriguez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.
View 8 Picks
San Diego Padres logo SD @ Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD Fri, Jul 3 • 10:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Freddie Freeman logo
Freddie Freeman o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.76
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Freddie Freeman projects as the 16th-best hitter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Freddie Freeman is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today.. Dodger Stadium profiles as the #2 venue in baseball for lefty home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Dodger Stadium has the 5th-shallowest CF dimensions in the majors.. In the majors, Dodger Stadium has the lowest average fence height.
Total Bases
Mookie Betts logo
Mookie Betts o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.61
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mookie Betts in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.. Mookie Betts is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game.. Dodger Stadium grades out as the #2 field in the league for RHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In the majors, Dodger Stadium has the lowest average fence height.. Mookie Betts hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 97th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
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Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Tue, Jul 7 • 2:15 PM ET
2 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Brice Turang logo
Brice Turang o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.52
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang in the 96th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.. Brice Turang is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.. Batting from the opposite that Andre Pallante throws from, Brice Turang will have an edge today.. Brice Turang has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 97.3-mph average to last season's 94-mph average.
Total RBIs
Alec Burleson logo
Alec Burleson o0.5 Total RBIs (+174)
Projection 0.56
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. Alec Burleson is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today.. Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.. Hitting from the opposite that Brandon Sproat throws from, Alec Burleson will have an edge today.. Alec Burleson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
View 2 Picks
Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Thu, Jul 23 • 5:15 PM ET
6 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Game Prop
St. Louis Cardinals logo o2.5 Team Total (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 days ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

The Cardinals are in a premium offensive spot against Zac Gallen, who enters the day with the second-worst pitcher rating in Batters-Box's current season model. Gallen has struggled to limit power and hard contact, carrying poorly rated matchup marks in ISO, hard contact rate, and ground ball rate. St. Louis counters with seven elite-rated hitters and an offense averaging more than 2.5 first five innings runs per game at home. The Cardinals have also been red hot lately, posting a 122 wRC+ over their last 12 games. With so many favorable individual matchups, backing the offense as a whole makes plenty of sense.

Earned Runs Allowed
Zac Gallen logo Zac Gallen o2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-141)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 days ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

Zac Gallen has been one of the most vulnerable pitchers on the board, especially away from Arizona, where he owns a 7.68 ERA and 6.00 xERA while surrendering plenty of hard contact and barrels. Things do not get any easier against a Cardinals lineup loaded with seven elite-rated hitters according to Batters-Box. St. Louis has been one of the hotter offenses in baseball recently, producing a 122 wRC+, .782 OPS, and .345 wOBA over its last 12 games. With Gallen's struggles and the Cardinals continuing to swing hot bats, this sets up as an excellent spot to back St. Louis early and often.

View 16 Picks
Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET
4 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto logo Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 days ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer. 

3 LEG PARLAY
Dansby Swanson profile picture
Dansby Swanson u0.5 Total Hits
Total Hits
Dylan Cease profile picture
Dylan Cease o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown
Strikeouts Thrown
George Springer profile picture
George Springer o1.5 Total Bases
Total Bases
Bet now
Pick made: 11 days ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Swanson is just 1-for-6 against Cease in his career. Cease has electric stuff, leading the American League with 110 Ks, while ranking in the 97th percentile in K-rate. Springer is turning a corner with a 1.089 OPS over his last nine games.

View 14 Picks
Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
5 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Atlanta Braves logo Chicago White Sox logo o8.5 (-105)
Pick made: 21 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Moneyline
Atlanta Braves logo ATL (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

View 15 Picks
Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Boston Red Sox logo New York Yankees logo o8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 26 days ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: 26 days ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

View 12 Picks
San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks
Total
San Francisco Giants logo Atlanta Braves logo o7.5 (-116)
Pick made: 14 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

Moneyline
San Francisco Giants logo SF (+124)
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

View 2 Picks

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