MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on July 27, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

SEA @ $Texas Rangers logo$ TEX Mon, Jul 27 • 2:35 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total RBIs

Evan Carter o0.5 Total RBIs (+298)

Projection 0.47

Best Odds

o0.5 +298

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +225

o0.5 +290

o0.5 +230

o0.5 +298

o0.5 +250

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Evan Carter ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Evan Carter is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today.. Hitting from the opposite that George Kirby throws from, Evan Carter will have an edge today.. Among every team in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners.. Evan Carter will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

+298 at DraftKings

Total RBIs

Brandon Nimmo o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)

Projection 0.64

Best Odds

o0.5 +178

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +155

o0.5 +175

o0.5 +178

o0.5 +165

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. Brandon Nimmo is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game.. Batting from the opposite that George Kirby throws from, Brandon Nimmo will have an edge in today's game.. Among every team in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Brandon Nimmo will hold that advantage today.

+178 at DraftKings

View 10 Picks

AZ @

PIT Mon, Jul 27 • 6:40 PM ET

1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks

Total

o9.0 (+100)

Best Odds

o8.5 -121

Pick made: 6 hours ago

o9.0 -105

o9.0 -110

o8.5 -122

o9.0 -105

o8.5 -127

o8.5 -121

I don't trust either starter even a lick, and considering the Pirates have scored the most runs in baseball in the last 30 days and the Diamondbacks are seventh on that list, this has the makings of a night to forget for Merrill Kelly and Mitch Keller.

Total Bases

Ryan O'Hearn o1.5 Total Bases (+136)

Projection 1.75

Best Odds

o1.5 +136

Pick made: 15 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +110

o1.5 +136

Ryan O'Hearn's batting average ability is projected to be in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ryan O'Hearn is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game.. Ryan O'Hearn will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Merrill Kelly in today's game.. The Arizona Diamondbacks have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Ryan O'Hearn stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Ryan O'Hearn will hold that advantage today.

+136 at DraftKings

View 11 Picks

BAL @

DET Mon, Jul 27 • 6:40 PM ET

9 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Pete Alonso o1.5 Total Bases (+110)

Projection 2.19

Best Odds

o1.5 +110

Pick made: 36 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 -102

o1.5 +100

o1.5 -110

o1.5 +105

o1.5 +110

o1.5 +105

Pete Alonso projects as the 20th-best hitter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Pete Alonso is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.

+110 at Fanatics Sportsbook

Total Bases

Christian Encarnacion-Strand o1.5 Total Bases (+135)

Projection 1.86

Best Odds

o1.5 +135

Pick made: 36 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +120

o1.5 +110

o1.5 +105

o1.5 +128

o1.5 +135

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Encarnacion-Strand in the 87th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.. Christian Encarnacion-Strand is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game.

+135 at Fanatics Sportsbook

View 9 Picks

PHI @

MIA Mon, Jul 27 • 6:40 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Bryce Harper o1.5 Total Bases (+120)

Projection 1.76

Best Odds

o1.5 +120

Pick made: 11 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +110

o1.5 +100

o1.5 +120

o1.5 +110

o1.5 +119

Bryce Harper projects as the 12th-best hitter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Hitting from the opposite that Tyler Phillips throws from, Bryce Harper will have the upper hand in today's game.. In the past 7 days, Bryce Harper's 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.2%.. Using Statcast metrics, Bryce Harper ranks in the 95th percentile for offensive ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .377.

+120 at DraftKings

Total Bases

J.T. Realmuto o1.5 Total Bases (+170)

Projection 1.5

Best Odds

o1.5 +170

Pick made: 29 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +170

o1.5 +135

o1.5 +156

o1.5 +150

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 89th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

+170 at bet365

View 10 Picks

TOR @

WAS Mon, Jul 27 • 6:45 PM ET

1 Expert Pick 8 Computer Picks

Total

o10.0 (-105)

Best Odds

o9.5 -121

Pick made: 7 hours ago

o10.0 -105

o9.5 -125

o10.0 -110

o10.0 -105

o9.5 -126

o9.5 -121

Aggressively fading Max Scherzer is not something I ever thought I'd do, but here we are. He returns to the Blue Jays rotation out of necessity and to show whatever is left in the tank. Not much, if the early returns of 2026 are to be believed. Plus, the Nationals own the highest-scoring offense in baseball. By a lot. The reason they're not better is that their pitching staff has the fourth-worst ERA, so even an anemic offense like Toronto's can scratch across a few runs against Andrew Alvarez & Co.

Total Bases

George Springer o1.5 Total Bases (+140)

Projection 1.71

Best Odds

o1.5 +140

Pick made: 4 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +122

o1.5 +135

o1.5 +110

o1.5 +128

o1.5 +140

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. George Springer is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game.. Nationals Park has the 7th-least fair ground in MLB — generally good for long-balls.. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. George Springer will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andrew Alvarez today.

+140 at Fanatics Sportsbook

View 9 Picks

CLE @

CIN Mon, Jul 27 • 7:10 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Petey Halpin o1.5 Total Bases (+265)

Projection 1.25

Best Odds

o1.5 +265

Pick made: 3 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +265

o1.5 +200

o1.5 +249

o1.5 +250

The #2 venue in the league for boosting home runs to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The 7th-shallowest right field fences among all stadiums are found in Great American Ball Park.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 88°.. Petey Halpin will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chase Burns in today's matchup.. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense grades out as the weakest among every team playing today.

+265 at bet365

Total Bases

Angel Martinez o1.5 Total Bases (+175)

Projection 1.56

Best Odds

o1.5 +175

Pick made: 3 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +175

o1.5 +145

o1.5 +166

o1.5 +165

Angel Martinez is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup.. The #2 venue in the league for boosting home runs to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 88°.. Angel Martinez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.7% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense grades out as the weakest among every team playing today.

+175 at bet365

View 10 Picks

ATL @

NYM Mon, Jul 27 • 7:10 PM ET

8 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Bo Bichette o1.5 Total Bases (+123)

Projection 1.76

Best Odds

o1.5 +123

Pick made: 15 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +118

o1.5 +105

o1.5 +120

o1.5 +123

o1.5 +120

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bo Bichette as the 6th-best hitter in the league when it comes to his batting average skill.. Bo Bichette is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. Batting from the opposite that Martin Perez throws from, Bo Bichette will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Bo Bichette will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

+123 at DraftKings

Hits+Runs+RBIs

Jorge Polanco o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+150)

Projection 2.17

Best Odds

o1.5 +150

Pick made: 44 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +150

o1.5 +130

Jorge Polanco is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. Jorge Polanco pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.2% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Jorge Polanco will hold that advantage today.

+150 at FanDuel

View 8 Picks

NYY @

CHW Mon, Jul 27 • 7:40 PM ET

2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks

Total

o8.5 (-105)

Best Odds

o8.5 +101

Pick made: 5 hours ago

o8.5 -105

o8.5 -110

o8.5 -116

o8.5 -110

o8.5 -108

o8.5 -110

o8.5 -108

o8.5 +101

I’m playing the Over because Schultz gives New York too many ways to build offense. The Yankees do not need a perfect travel spot if they are getting free traffic and airborne contact from a pitcher allowing a 63.3% air-ball rate.

Chicago can contribute enough on the other side, too. The White Sox are not a pure power offense, but their .324 OBP and 381 walks give them a path to pressure Max Fried into traffic. Fried is Fried but you get the sense that the White Sox offense won't have to do much here. I'd play this to 9.

Moneyline

NYY (-137)

Best Odds

-138

Pick made: 6 hours ago

-145

-140

-149

-138

-142

-145

-143

-142

I’m backing the New York Yankees and would play them up to -150.

Noah Schultz’s profile is a poor fit against this lineup. He owns a 6.07 xERA, near-11% barrel rate, and a bottom-15th percentile walk rate. That is a bad mix against a Yankees offense built to punish free traffic and loud contact. Even without Aaron Judge, New York remains in the AL East race because of strong pitching and impact contact, ranking first in barrel rate and third in hard-hit rate. This is the right matchup for the Yankees to do damage early

View 12 Picks

CHC @

STL Mon, Jul 27 • 7:45 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Michael Busch o1.5 Total Bases (+140)

Projection 1.64

Best Odds

o1.5 +140

Pick made: a minute ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +140

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Busch in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Michael Busch is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today.. Busch Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 96°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.2-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for hitters.

+140 at bet365

Total Bases

Pete Crow-Armstrong o1.5 Total Bases (+110)

Projection 1.96

Best Odds

o1.5 +110

Pick made: a minute ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +110

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. Pete Crow-Armstrong is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today.. Busch Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 96°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.2-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for hitters.

+110 at bet365

View 10 Picks

HOU @

LAA Mon, Jul 27 • 9:38 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Yordan Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (-101)

Projection 2.24

Best Odds

o1.5 +101

Pick made: 4 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 -113

o1.5 -105

o1.5 -130

o1.5 -101

o1.5 +100

o1.5 +101

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Yordan Alvarez ranks as the 2nd-best batter in the game.. Yordan Alvarez is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Batting from the opposite that Walbert Urena throws from, Yordan Alvarez will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Extreme groundball batters like Yordan Alvarez tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Walbert Urena.. The Los Angeles Angels infield defense profiles as the worst out of all the teams on the slate today.

+101 at Kalshi Sports

Total Bases

Jeremy Pena o1.5 Total Bases (+132)

Projection 1.76

Best Odds

o1.5 +132

Pick made: 15 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +126

o1.5 +130

o1.5 +105

o1.5 +132

o1.5 +130

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena as the 13th-best batter in the game when assessing his batting average talent.. Jeremy Pena is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game.. The Los Angeles Angels infield defense profiles as the worst out of all the teams on the slate today.

+132 at DraftKings

View 10 Picks

BOS @

ATH Mon, Jul 27 • 9:40 PM ET

1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks

Spread

BOS -1.5 (+101)

Best Odds

-1.5 +100

Pick made: 6 hours ago

-1.5 -105

-1.5 +100

-1.5 -104

-1.5 -105

-1.5 -111

-1.5 -105

-1.5 -112

-1.5 -107

I actually like A's starter Jack Perkins in spite of his 6.75 ERA. His under-the-hood metrics all grade out better than the results have shown, but pitching at Sutter Health Park has proven to be a minefield for him and most of the Athletics' hurlers. The Over is also in play, but I like Boston's bats, which should include a debuting Curtis Mead, enough to take the run line for the red-hot visitors.

Total Bases

Tyler Soderstrom o1.5 Total Bases (+124)

Projection 2.18

Best Odds

o1.5 +124

Pick made: 15 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +117

o1.5 +115

o1.5 +110

o1.5 +124

o1.5 +120

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Tyler Soderstrom ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Tyler Soderstrom is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 104°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 12.6-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Tyler Soderstrom will hold that advantage in today's game.

+124 at DraftKings

View 11 Picks

MIL @

SF Mon, Jul 27 • 9:45 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Bryce Eldridge o1.5 Total Bases (+165)

Projection 1.58

Best Odds

o1.5 +165

Pick made: 10 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +140

o1.5 +160

o1.5 +165

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryce Eldridge in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Bryce Eldridge has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (58% of the time), but he is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Oracle Park has the shallowest RF dimensions in Major League Baseball.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 18.3-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for bats.. Bryce Eldridge will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brandon Sproat in today's matchup.

+165 at Fanatics Sportsbook

Total Bases

Jake Bauers o1.5 Total Bases (+200)

Projection 1.4

Best Odds

o1.5 +200

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +200

o1.5 +150

o1.5 +177

o1.5 +185

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Bauers in the 87th percentile when estimating his home run skill.. Jake Bauers is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 18.3-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for bats.. Hitting from the opposite that Tyler Mahle throws from, Jake Bauers will have an edge in today's game.

+200 at bet365

View 10 Picks

TOR @

CHC Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET

4 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks

Total Home Runs

Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)

Best Odds

o0.5 +425

Pick made: one month ago

o0.5 +425

o0.5 +370

Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer.

3 LEG PARLAY

Dansby Swanson u0.5 Total Hits

Total Hits

Dylan Cease o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown

Strikeouts Thrown

George Springer o1.5 Total Bases

Total Bases

Bet now

+280

Pick made: one month ago

Swanson is just 1-for-6 against Cease in his career. Cease has electric stuff, leading the American League with 110 Ks, while ranking in the 97th percentile in K-rate. Springer is turning a corner with a 1.089 OPS over his last nine games.

View 14 Picks

ATL @

CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET

5 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks

Total

o8.5 (-105)

Best Odds

o9.5 -219

Pick made: one month ago

o9.5 -219

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Read Full Analysis

Moneyline

ATL (-112)

Best Odds

-115

Pick made: one month ago

-120

-115

-116

-121

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

Read Full Analysis

View 15 Picks

BOS @

NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET

2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks

Total

o8.5 (-110)

Best Odds

o8.0 -125

Pick made: one month ago

o8.5 +100

o8.0 -125

o8.5 -102

o8.5 +100

o8.5 -108

o8.5 +101

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Read Full Analysis

Moneyline

NYY (-135)

Best Odds

-107

Pick made: one month ago

-110

-112

-118

-115

-111

-107

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

Read Full Analysis

View 12 Picks

SF @

ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET

2 Expert Picks 1 Computer Pick

Total

o7.5 (-116)

Best Odds

o7.5 -470

Pick made: one month ago

o7.5 -470

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

Read Full Analysis

Moneyline

SF (+124)

Best Odds

+110

Pick made: one month ago

+110

+105

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

Read Full Analysis

View 3 Picks

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