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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Aug. 8, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.44 |
-134 
|
o7.5 +101 
|
-1.5 +129
|
|
3.86 |
+126 
|
u7.5 -112
|
+1.5 -142
|
Atlanta
- Under is 6-0 in Braves last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 8-0 in Braves last 8 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Braves are 6-0 in their last 6 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 5-0 in Braves last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
NY Yankees
- Under is 7-0 in Coles last 7 starts on grass.
- Under is 5-0 in Coles last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Under is 5-0 in Coles last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Top Projection
Matt Olson o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
o1.5 +141
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.50 |
+146
|
o7.5 +101
|
+1.5 -153
|
|
4.61 |
-154
|
u7.5 -110
|
-1.5 +142
|
LA Angels
- Under is 5-0 in Angels last 5 road games.
- Over is 5-0 in Urenas last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Angels last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Angels last 4 vs. National League East.
Miami
- Under is 6-0 in Alcantaras last 6 starts on grass.
- Under is 6-0 in Alcantaras last 6 starts overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Alcantaras last 4 starts as a favorite.
Top Projection
Mike Trout o0.5 Total RBIs (+225)
o0.5 +225
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.23 |
+235 
|
o9.0 -113
|
+2.5 -150
|
|
5.22 |
-240
|
u9.5 -131
|
-2.5 +110
|
Athletics
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Over is 5-1-1 in last 7 overall.
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 during game 2 of a series.
Boston
- Under is 6-0 in Bennetts last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in Bennetts last 4 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Red Sox are 4-0 in Bennetts last 4 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Red Sox are 7-1 in their last 8 vs. American League West.
Top Projection
Jonah Heim o0.5 Total RBIs (+214)
o0.5 +214
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.95 |
+152
|
o9.5 -103
|
+1.5 -137
|
|
5.98 |
-156
|
u9.5 -107
|
-1.5 +126
|
Toronto
- Under is 5-0 in Blue Jays last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 games as a favorite.
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
Philadelphia
- Over is 4-0-1 in Nolas last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Phillies are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Over is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Phillies last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Top Projection
Jesus Sanchez o0.5 Total RBIs (+205)
o0.5 +205
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.84 |
+116
|
o8.5 -131
|
+1.5 -183
|
|
5.85 |
-121
|
u9.0 -110 
|
-1.5 +164
|
NY Mets
- Mets are 5-0 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Mets are 5-0 in their last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Mets last 4 road games.
- Over is 4-0 in Mets last 4 overall.
Pittsburgh
- Over is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 games a home underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-1 in Pirates last 5 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Esmerlyn Valdez o0.5 Total RBIs (+182)
o0.5 +182
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.75 |
-137
|
o8.5 -112
|
-1.5 +119
|
|
4.31 |
+131
|
u8.5 +101
|
+1.5 -131
|
Cincinnati
- Under is 6-0 in Reds last 6 road games.
- Reds are 8-0 in Burns' last 8 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 6-0 in Burns' last 6 starts as a favorite.
- Reds are 5-0 in Burns' last 5 starts vs. National League East.
Washington
- Under is 5-0 in Alvarezs last 5 starts as an underdog.
- Nationals are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Alvarezs last 5 starts overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Alvarezs last 4 starts on grass.
Top Projection
Dylan Crews o0.5 Total RBIs (+219)
o0.5 +219
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.92 |
+138
|
o8.0 -110
|
+1.5 -161
|
|
4.69 |
-130
|
u8.5 -116
|
-1.5 +162
|
Minnesota
- Under is 6-0-1 in Twins last 7 during game 2 of a series.
- Twins are 7-0 in Bradleys last 7 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 5-0 in Bradleys last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 4-1 in Twins last 5 vs. National League Central.
Milwaukee
- Brewers are 5-0 in Gassers last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Gassers last 6 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Gassers last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Brewers last 4 games as an underdog.
Top Projection
Ryan Jeffers o0.5 Total RBIs (+221)
o0.5 +221
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.89 |
-153
|
o9.5 +105
|
-1.5 -101
|
|
4.53 |
+146
|
u9.5 -116
|
+1.5 -110
|
Chi. Cubs
- Cubs are 5-0 in their last 5 overall.
- Cubs are 5-0 in their last 5 games on grass.
- Under is 5-0 in Cubs last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Cubs are 4-0 in their last 4 games following a win.
Kansas City
- Over is 4-0-1 in Royals last 5 games a home underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Royals last 4 vs. National League Central.
- Royals are 4-0 in Lugos last 4 starts vs. National League Central.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Royals last 6 home games.
Top Projection
Salvador Perez o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
o0.5 +185
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.68 |
-124
|
o7.5 +105
|
-1.5 +140
|
|
4.25 |
+116
|
u7.5 -118
|
+1.5 -155
|
Cleveland
- Over is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 games as a favorite.
- Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 road games.
- Over is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 on grass.
Chi. White Sox
- Under is 4-0 in Kays last 4 starts on grass.
- Under is 4-0 in Kays last 4 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- White Sox are 8-2 in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Kays last 4 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Top Projection
Colson Montgomery o0.5 Total RBIs (+213)
o0.5 +213
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.61 |
+108
|
o7.5 -112
|
+1.5 -200 
|
|
4.67 |
-116
|
u8.0 -115
|
-1.5 +173
|
Houston
- Astros are 7-0 in Lamberts last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Astros are 5-0 in Lamberts last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Astros are 6-0 in Lamberts last 6 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 road games.
San Diego
- Under is 5-0 in Kings last 5 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Padres last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Padres last 4 vs. American League West.
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series.
Top Projection
Manny Machado o0.5 Total RBIs (+176)
o0.5 +176
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.48 |
-112
|
o8.0 -110
|
-1.5 +146
|
|
4.29 |
+105
|
u8.5 -116
|
+1.5 -161
|
Detroit
- Tigers are 6-0 in Jobes last 6 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Tigers are 5-0 in Jobes last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 6-1 in Tigers last 7 games as a road favorite.
San Francisco
- Over is 5-0-2 in Roupps last 7 starts on grass.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Roupps last 5 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 7-0 in Roupps last 7 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Roupps last 6 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Top Projection
Willy Adames o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
o0.5 +196
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.63 |
+138
|
o8.5 -112
|
+1.5 -155
|
|
5.05 |
-148
|
u8.5 +101
|
-1.5 +140
|
Colorado
- Rockies are 4-0 in Freelands last 4 starts as a road favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 road games.
St. Louis
- Under is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Liberatores last 4 starts a home underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Under is 11-1 in Cardinals last 12 during game 2 of a series.
Top Projection
Jordan Walker o0.5 Total RBIs (+159)
o0.5 +159
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.67 |
+138
|
o7.5 +105
|
+1.5 -168
|
|
4.28 |
-146
|
u7.5 -115
|
-1.5 +155
|
Baltimore
- Under is 5-0-1 in Orioles last 6 overall.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Orioles last 6 on grass.
- Under is 5-0 in Orioles last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Bradishs last 5 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Texas
- Under is 5-0 in Rangers last 5 vs. American League East.
- Over is 5-0 in deGroms last 5 starts as a home favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in deGroms last 5 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 5-0 in deGroms last 5 home starts.
Top Projection
Christian Encarnacion-Strand u1.5 Total Bases (-175)
u1.5 -175
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.69 |
-171
|
o8.5 -103
|
-1.5 -104
|
|
4.24 |
+159
|
u8.5 -107
|
+1.5 -107
|
LA Dodgers
- Under is 4-0-1 in Dodgers last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 3-1-1 in Dodgers last 5 road games.
- Dodgers are 4-0 in Yamamotos last 4 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Dodgers last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Arizona
- Diamondbacks are 7-0 in Pfaadts last 7 starts on grass.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 4 home games.
- Diamondbacks are 6-0 in Pfaadts last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 5-0 in Pfaadts last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
Top Projection
Gabriel Moreno o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
o0.5 +238
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.19 |
+107
|
o6.5 -131
|
+1.5 -210
|
|
4.34 |
-112
|
u7.0 -110
|
-1.5 +188
|
Tampa Bay
- Rays are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Rays are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 7-1 in Rays last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 road games.
Seattle
- Over is 5-0 in Kirbys last 5 starts as a home favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Kirbys last 5 home starts.
- Mariners are 4-0 in Kirbys last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Mariners are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
Top Projection
Randy Arozarena o0.5 Total RBIs (+260)
o0.5 +260
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.24 |
-126
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
5.12 |
+109
|
-- |
-- |
Cincinnati
- Under is 6-0 in Reds last 6 road games.
- Under is 5-0 in Reds last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Reds are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Reds last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Washington
- Nationals are 7-1 in their last 8 games as a favorite.
- Under is 6-1 in Nationals last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1-1 in Nationals last 7 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Nationals last 6 games as a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.85 |
+119
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
5.91 |
-137
|
-- |
-- |
Atlanta
- Braves are 8-0 in their last 8 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 6-0 in Braves last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Braves are 8-1 in their last 9 overall.
NY Yankees
- Over is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Under is 6-1 in Yankees last 7 vs. National League East.
- Yankees are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. National League East.
- Under is 6-1 in Yankees last 7 interleague games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.02 |
+188
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
5.17 |
-240
|
-- |
-- |
Athletics
- Over is 5-1-1 in last 7 overall.
- Over is 5-1-1 in last 7 games as an underdog.
- Over is 5-1-1 in last 7 on grass.
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Boston
- Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 3 of a series.
- Red Sox are 7-1 in their last 8 vs. American League West.
- Red Sox are 11-1 in their last 12 games as an underdog.
- Under is 25-4-1 in Red Sox last 30 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.94 |
+146
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
5.63 |
-200
|
-- |
-- |
Toronto
- Under is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Blue Jays last 6 during game 3 of a series.
Philadelphia
- Over is 4-0-1 in Phillies last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 5-1 in Phillies last 6 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 4-1 in Phillies last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Phillies are 4-1 in their last 5 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.60 |
+119
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.94 |
-137
|
-- |
-- |
NY Mets
- Over is 4-0 in Mets last 4 road games.
- Over is 4-0 in Mets last 4 overall.
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 road games.
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
Pittsburgh
- Over is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 games a home underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-1 in Pirates last 5 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.45 |
+119
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.59 |
-142
|
-- |
-- |
LA Angels
- Under is 5-0 in Angels last 5 road games.
- Under is 4-0 in Angels last 4 vs. National League East.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Angels last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Angels last 4 games as a road underdog.
Miami
- Under is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 games as a favorite.
- Marlins are 6-1 in their last 7 interleague games as an underdog.
- Marlins are 10-1 in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Marlins are 8-1 in their last 9 games as a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
6.83 |
-155
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.50 |
+134
|
-- |
-- |
Chi. Cubs
- Cubs are 5-0 in their last 5 overall.
- Cubs are 5-0 in their last 5 games on grass.
- Cubs are 7-1 in their last 8 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 5-1 in Cubs last 6 games as a road favorite.
Kansas City
- Over is 4-0-1 in Royals last 5 games a home underdog.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Royals last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 4-0 in Royals last 4 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Royals last 6 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.71 |
+206
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.57 |
-265
|
-- |
-- |
Minnesota
- Over is 7-1 in Twins last 8 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-1 in Twins last 5 vs. National League Central.
- Over is 10-1 in Twins last 11 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Twins last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
Milwaukee
- Over is 3-0-1 in Brewers last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 7-1 in Brewers last 8 overall.
- Under is 7-1 in Brewers last 8 on grass.
- Under is 6-1 in Brewers last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.79 |
+105
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.38 |
-121
|
-- |
-- |
Cleveland
- Over is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 games as a favorite.
- Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 road games.
- Over is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 on grass.
Chi. White Sox
- Over is 4-0 in White Sox last 4 during game 3 of a series.
- White Sox are 8-2 in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- White Sox are 6-1 in their last 7 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.66 |
+134
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
5.32 |
-155
|
-- |
-- |
Colorado
- Under is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 road games.
- Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 games as a road underdog.
St. Louis
- Under is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 games as a favorite.
- Cardinals are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Cardinals last 8 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+114
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-142
|
-- |
-- |
Baltimore
- Under is 5-0-1 in Orioles last 6 overall.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Orioles last 6 on grass.
- Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 6-1 in Orioles last 7 road games.
Texas
- Under is 5-0 in Rangers last 5 vs. American League East.
- Rangers are 4-1 in their last 5 home games.
- Rangers are 7-2 in their last 9 vs. American League East.
- Over is 4-1 in Rangers last 5 games a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-116
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-103
|
-- |
-- |
Detroit
- Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Tigers last 8 games as a favorite.
- Under is 6-1 in Tigers last 7 games as a road favorite.
San Francisco
- Over is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Giants are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Giants last 6 interleague games as an underdog.
- Giants are 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-116
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
+101
|
-- |
-- |
Tampa Bay
- Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 road games.
- Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
- Under is 7-1 in Rays last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Rays last 4 vs. American League West.
Seattle
- Under is 3-0-1 in Mariners last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Mariners last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Mariners are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Mariners last 6 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-131
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
+114
|
-- |
-- |
LA Dodgers
- Over is 5-1 in Dodgers last 6 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 3-1-1 in Dodgers last 5 road games.
- Over is 5-1 in Dodgers last 6 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 during game 3 of a series.
Arizona
- Under is 3-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 4 home games.
- Diamondbacks are 5-1 in their last 6 games as an underdog.
- Diamondbacks are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 4-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+105
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-126
|
-- |
-- |
Houston
- Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 road games.
- Over is 4-0 in Astros last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Astros last 4 during game 3 of a series.
- Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
San Diego
- Over is 4-0 in Padres last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Padres last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Padres last 4 vs. American League West.
ATL
@
NYY
Sat, Aug 8 • 3:05 PM ET
Total
u7.5 (-116)
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst
I'd play the Under to 7.
Both starters can control the shape of this game. Sale gives Atlanta strikeout upside against a Yankees lineup that has been flat-out bad, while Cole is still more than capable of limiting traffic even if his barrel profile creates some concern.
If Sale handles the Yankees’ cold stretches and Cole avoids the multi-run homer, this profiles more like a lower-scoring road favorite script than a full offensive eruption. In fact, it could look a lot like last night.
Moneyline
ATL (-137)
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst
I'm on the Atlanta Braves in this spot for two units down to -155. The New York Yankees were lucky to get a win last night. The offense has remained dreadful for a few weeks now (just look at a wOBA near the bottom of the league over the last 30 days) and this is a strength-on-weakness matchup against Gerrit Cole.
Cole has allowed a 9.5% barrel rate, 42.6% hard-hit rate, and 67% air-ball rate this season, which is not ideal against an Atlanta lineup that ranks fourth in baseball in barrel rate.
We could debate about who's the better pitcher longterm but there's no doubt Chris Sale has had a better season than Cole on the other side. His strikeout-heavy profile matches up well against a lineup that is whiffing more than ever lately at a 26% strikeout rate over the last seven days.
LAA
@
MIA
Sat, Aug 8 • 4:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Oswald Peraza o1.5 Total Bases (+260)
Projection 1.23
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Oswald Peraza hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Oswald Peraza's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 38.4% to 43.5%.. With a .323 BABIP this year, Oswald Peraza finds himself in the 84th percentile.
Total RBIs
Mike Trout o0.5 Total RBIs (+225)
Projection 0.62
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Mike Trout ranks as the 7th-best hitter in the game.. Mike Trout is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.. The 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums are found in LoanDepot Park.. Over the last week, Mike Trout's 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 20.9%.. Mike Trout has posted a .358 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 88th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
ATH
@
BOS
Sat, Aug 8 • 4:10 PM ET
Total
u9.5 (-131)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
The Under 9.5 works because Oakland is doing little offensively and Boston’s bullpen has been dominant. The Red Sox relief corps owns a 1.93 xERA over its last 26.1 innings with minimal homer damage. If Oakland’s bullpen limits Boston after Jump exits, this stays under ten runs at Fenway today overall.
Spread
BOS -1.5 (-131)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Boston has a strong path to create separation against Oakland with its offense rolling and Gage Jump battling command issues. The Red Sox own a 158 wRC+ over the last week, while Jake Bennett has limited hard contact. Oakland’s cold offense gives Boston a cleaner full-game profile at Fenway today.
TOR
@
PHI
Sat, Aug 8 • 6:05 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Jesus Sanchez o0.5 Total Home Runs (+390)
Ethan Diamandas
Betting Analyst
Total Bases
Alejandro Kirk o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Ethan Diamandas
Betting Analyst
NYM
@
PIT
Sat, Aug 8 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Marcus Semien o1.5 Total Bases (+191)
Projection 1.43
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Marcus Semien's launch angle of late (43.3° in the past 7 days) is significantly higher than his 18.5° seasonal mark.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Marcus Semien's true offensive skill to be a .315, suggesting that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .046 gap between that mark and his actual .269 wOBA.
Total Bases
Luis Robert Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+154)
Projection 1.56
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his home run skill, Luis Robert Jr. ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Luis Robert Jr. is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game.. Luis Robert Jr. has made notable gains with his Barrel% recently, improving his 3.3% seasonal rate to 20% in the last week.. Luis Robert Jr. has been unlucky this year, notching a .265 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .323 — a .058 gap.
CIN
@
WAS
Sat, Aug 8 • 6:45 PM ET
Total Bases
Daylen Lile o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.64
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daylen Lile in the 88th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.. Daylen Lile is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game.. Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest RF fences in MLB.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the 5th-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 87°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for hitters.
Total Bases
Dylan Crews o1.5 Total Bases (+175)
Projection 1.53
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Dylan Crews is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.. HRs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Nationals Park has the 10th-shallowest in MLB.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the 5th-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 87°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Dylan Crews will hold that advantage in today's game.
MIN
@
MIL
Sat, Aug 8 • 7:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Victor Caratini o1.5 Total Bases (+235)
Projection 1.44
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
American Family Field ranks as the #7 venue in MLB for RHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all parks, American Family Field's CF dimensions are the 7th-shallowest.. American Family Field has the 2nd-lowest average fence height in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 6th-most-favorable of the day for bats.. Despite posting a .288 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Victor Caratini has suffered from bad luck given the .021 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .309.
Total Bases
Luke Keaschall o1.5 Total Bases (+194)
Projection 1.59
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Luke Keaschall's batting average ability is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. American Family Field ranks as the #7 venue in MLB for RHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. American Family Field has the 2nd-lowest average fence height in the league.. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which often leads to more offense.. Hitting from the opposite that Robert Gasser throws from, Luke Keaschall will have the upper hand in today's game.
CHC
@
KC
Sat, Aug 8 • 7:10 PM ET
Total
u9.5 (-116)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
Newly acquired right hander Clay Holmes is likely to make his Cubs debut tonight, and I think he is in a strong spot to help keep the Royals’ struggling offense quiet. Kansas City’s bats have been ice cold, and while Seth Lugo has struggled this season, I am not expecting the Cubs to completely explode offensively. Chicago is certainly capable of putting up eight or more runs on any given night, but I expect a more controlled offensive performance here. After last night’s higher scoring affair, I’m looking for both sides to settle in and produce a lower scoring game.
Moneyline
CHC (-168)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
The Kansas City Royals have struggled badly at the plate over the last month, posting a 91 wRC+, .685 OPS, 38% hard-hit rate, and 5.8% barrel rate. Meanwhile, the Chicago Cubs have been one of the better offenses during that same stretch, carrying a 119 wRC+, .345 wOBA, and .779 OPS. Tonight's matchup also favors Chicago, with Royals starter Seth Lugo drawing three elite-rated hitters and four others with strong ratings on Batters-Box. Lugo owns the second-worst pitcher rating on the slate, while Chicago has the second-highest average hitter matchup rating. Despite the juice, the Cubs are worth backing, especially on the runline.
CLE
@
CHW
Sat, Aug 8 • 7:15 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Munetaka Murakami o0.5 Total Home Runs (+307)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
Chicago White Sox slugger Munetaka Murakami is one of the most mispriced players on Saturday's slate, especially with his 1+ hit prop hovering around -110. Murakami enters the day with the third-highest matchup rating on Batters-Box and 80.4% arsenal coverage against Cleveland Guardians right hander Gavin Williams. While his recent form has dipped, his numbers against right handed pitching remain strong, including a .280 BA, .720 SLG, 1.120 OPS and .440 ISO over his last 30 at-bats. Williams has also struggled with left handed hitters recently, allowing a 46.7% hard-hit rate. At +300, Murakami's home run price is worth consideration.
Moneyline
CLE (-122)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
Gavin Williams faces Anthony Kay in an evenly priced pick 'em spot. In their past 14 days, Cleveland holds a decisive edge in overall run prevention, boasting a 3.78 bullpen SIERA and a 25.8% strikeout rate compared to Chicago's 4.33 SIERA. With identical moneyline odds, trust the stronger pitching staff to pull it out.
HOU
@
SD
Sat, Aug 8 • 7:15 PM ET
Total Bases
Daulton Varsho o1.5 Total Bases (+184)
Projection 1.56
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Daulton Varsho is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today.. In Major League Baseball, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. Hitting from the opposite that Michael King throws from, Daulton Varsho will have an advantage today.. Using Statcast metrics, Daulton Varsho ranks in the 79th percentile for offensive ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .332.. Daulton Varsho has paced 40.3 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, grading out in the 99th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Total Bases
Jackson Merrill o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.66
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average ability.. Jackson Merrill is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game.. Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. In Major League Baseball, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. Jackson Merrill will hold the platoon advantage against Peter Lambert in today's game.
DET
@
SF
Sat, Aug 8 • 7:15 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (+105)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
I am expecting plenty of offense tonight in San Francisco, with both the Giants and Tigers entering the matchup swinging hot bats. The Giants draw Jackson Jobe in his season debut, and several of their hitters have started to heat up against right handed pitching. Rafael Devers and Jung Hoo Lee have been especially important pieces of the offense as of late. On the other side, Detroit has been scorching over its last 12 games, posting a 150 wRC+, .383 wOBA and .879 OPS. While the weather could create some challenges, I believe the momentum from both offenses will outweigh the conditions.
Moneyline
SF (-103)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
I am backing the San Francisco Giants as a slight home underdog against the Detroit Tigers. Detroit sends right hander Jackson Jobe to the mound for his season debut after he posted a 4.22 ERA and 1.49 WHIP across 10 starts in 2025. Jobe also carries a poor matchup rating on Batters-Box, along with poor matchup marks in ISO and strikeout rate. On the other side, Landen Roupp has been significantly better at home, posting a 2.97 xERA and 1.17 WHIP while allowing just 22% hard contact and a 3% barrel rate. Despite their sub-100 wRC+, San Francisco's bats have been heating up against right handed pitching.
COL
@
STL
Sat, Aug 8 • 7:15 PM ET
Total Bases
JJ Wetherholt o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.75
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive skill, JJ Wetherholt ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. JJ Wetherholt is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today.. Busch Stadium has the 5th-lowest fences among all major league stadiums.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 89°.. JJ Wetherholt hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 88th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
Total RBIs
Jordan Walker o0.5 Total RBIs (+159)
Projection 0.71
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Jordan Walker ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jordan Walker is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.. Busch Stadium has the 5th-lowest fences among all major league stadiums.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 89°.. Batting from the opposite that Kyle Freeland throws from, Jordan Walker will have an edge today.
BAL
@
TEX
Sat, Aug 8 • 7:15 PM ET
Total
u7.5 (-115)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Jacob deGrom has done a much better job of limiting damage at home. He owns a 3.04 ERA and 0.80 HR/9 in Texas compared to a 4.87 ERA and 1.73 HR/9 on the road.
Kyle Bradish’s strong hard hit rate (31.8%) should help him limit power, as he has done effectively all year (0.97 HR/9).
I make fair value -132.
Moneyline
TEX (-150)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Jacob deGrom is not in great form but he has been very good on the year, pitching to a 3.26 xFIP.
He is in a nice spot to rebound against a Baltimore Orioles team that pulled the plug at the trade deadline, selling multiple everyday bats for futures.
He won't need much run support to position the Texas Rangers to win.
Bet to -160.
LAD
@
AZ
Sat, Aug 8 • 8:10 PM ET
Moneyline
LAD (-175)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
The Los Angeles Dodgers rank first in OPS and wOBA vs. righties despite their recent struggles.
They are a breakout waiting to happen, and Yoshinobu Yamamoto has allowed two runs or fewer in seven of nine road starts with better underlyings to boot.
Back LA to end its losing streak up to -185.
Total
u8.5 (-110)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Yoshinobu Yamamoto has allowed a modest 1.01 homers per nine innings and ranks in the 90th percentile with a 5.7% walk rate.
His ability to keep the ball in the park, and limit free baserunners, makes it very difficult on opponents to put together big innings.
Brandon Pfaadt has been even better at limiting the longball (0.92 HR/9), and has conceded just one bomb over his last 40.1 innings of work.
Bet to -120.
TB
@
SEA
Sat, Aug 8 • 9:50 PM ET
Moneyline
SEA (-116)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
Total Bases
Jonathan Aranda o1.5 Total Bases (+143)
Projection 1.68
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan Aranda in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.. Jonathan Aranda is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.. T-Mobile Park has the 6th-lowest average fence height among all major league parks.. Batting from the opposite that George Kirby throws from, Jonathan Aranda will have an advantage today.. Jonathan Aranda has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
ATL
@
CHW
Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-105)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.
Moneyline
ATL (-112)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.
BOS
@
NYY
Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-110)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.
Moneyline
NYY (-135)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.
SF
@
ATL
Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
Total
o7.5 (-116)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Moneyline
SF (+124)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.
Our experts and prediction models are hard at work analyzing the data. Check back shortly for today's picks, or explore our Computer Picks for inspiration.
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Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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First Five Innings MLB Picks
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MLB Picks And Parlays
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