MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on July 8, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ San Francisco Giants logo SF Wed, Jul 8 • 3:45 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Daulton Varsho logo
Daulton Varsho o1.5 Total Bases (+193)
Projection 1.5
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 14-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for batters.. Hitting from the opposite that Logan Webb throws from, Daulton Varsho will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Daulton Varsho pulls many of his flyballs (38.8% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Extreme groundball batters like Daulton Varsho are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Logan Webb.. The San Francisco Giants outfield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest among all the teams in action today.
Total RBIs
Daulton Varsho logo
Daulton Varsho o0.5 Total RBIs (+272)
Projection 0.5
Best Odds
Pick made: 26 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 14-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for batters.. Hitting from the opposite that Logan Webb throws from, Daulton Varsho will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Daulton Varsho pulls many of his flyballs (38.8% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Extreme groundball batters like Daulton Varsho are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Logan Webb.. The San Francisco Giants outfield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest among all the teams in action today.
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Chicago Cubs logo CHC @ Baltimore Orioles logo BAL Wed, Jul 8 • 6:35 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Pete Crow-Armstrong logo
Pete Crow-Armstrong o0.5 Total Home Runs (+303)
Projection 0.33
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 94th percentile when assessing his home run skill.. Pete Crow-Armstrong is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. Pete Crow-Armstrong will have the handedness advantage over Dean Kremer today.. Pete Crow-Armstrong pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.5% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's game.
Total Bases
Gunnar Henderson logo
Gunnar Henderson o1.5 Total Bases (-105)
Projection 2.32
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Gunnar Henderson ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Gunnar Henderson is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game.. Hitting from the opposite that Colin Rea throws from, Gunnar Henderson will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Gunnar Henderson will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.
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New York Yankees logo NYY @ Tampa Bay Rays logo TB Wed, Jul 8 • 6:40 PM ET
5 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Trent Grisham logo
Trent Grisham o0.5 Total Home Runs (+650)
Projection 0.21
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trent Grisham in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Trent Grisham is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Junior Caminero logo
Junior Caminero o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-150)
Projection 2.57
Best Odds
Pick made: 15 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Junior Caminero ranks as the 15th-best batter in the game.. Junior Caminero is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. Junior Caminero pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.. Junior Caminero will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.
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Seattle Mariners logo SEA @ Miami Marlins logo MIA Wed, Jul 8 • 6:40 PM ET
3 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Luke Raley logo
Luke Raley u0.5 Total Hits (+150)
Projection 0.75
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Luke Raley is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Luke Raley pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.1% — 82nd percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league's 4th-deepest RF fences in today's game.. Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Luke Raley today.
Total RBIs
Kyle Stowers logo
Kyle Stowers o0.5 Total RBIs (+189)
Projection 0.57
Best Odds
Pick made: 26 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his home run talent, Kyle Stowers ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Stowers is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. Kyle Stowers will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against George Kirby in today's matchup.. Among all the teams today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the Seattle Mariners.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Kyle Stowers will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
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Athletics Athletics logo ATH @ Detroit Tigers logo DET Wed, Jul 8 • 6:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Matt Vierling logo
Matt Vierling o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.83
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Vierling in the 77th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. Matt Vierling is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 87°.. Matt Vierling will have the handedness advantage over Jeffrey Springs in today's matchup.. Out of all the teams in action today, the 4th-worst infield defense belongs to the Athletics.
Total Bases
Jahmai Jones logo
Jahmai Jones o1.5 Total Bases (+205)
Projection 1.33
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Jahmai Jones ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 87°.. Jahmai Jones will have the handedness advantage against Jeffrey Springs in today's matchup.. Out of all the teams in action today, the 4th-worst infield defense belongs to the Athletics.. Jahmai Jones will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.
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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT Wed, Jul 8 • 6:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Ryan O'Hearn logo
Ryan O'Hearn o1.5 Total Bases (+137)
Projection 1.69
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 85th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. Ryan O'Hearn is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 5th-hottest temperature on the slate at 85°.. Ryan O'Hearn will have the handedness advantage over Grant Holmes in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Ryan O'Hearn will hold that advantage today.
Total RBIs
Matt Olson logo
Matt Olson o0.5 Total RBIs (+157)
Projection 0.77
Best Odds
Pick made: 26 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Olson in the 97th percentile when estimating his home run ability.. Matt Olson is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 5th-hottest temperature on the slate at 85°.. Matt Olson will have the handedness advantage over Jared Jones in today's matchup.
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Houston Astros logo HOU @ Washington Nationals logo WAS Wed, Jul 8 • 6:45 PM ET
9 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Luis Garcia Jr. logo
Luis Garcia Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.83
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Garcia Jr. in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.. Luis Garcia Jr. is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.. Batting from the opposite that Spencer Arrighetti throws from, Luis Garcia Jr. will have an edge today.. Luis Garcia Jr. will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.
Strikeouts Thrown
Spencer Arrighetti logo
Spencer Arrighetti u4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+100)
Projection 4.22
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The Washington Nationals (19.7 K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are projected to have the 3rd-least strikeout-heavy set of batters on the slate today.. It is anticipated that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Mark Ripperger) in charge of the strike zone in this game.. According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Yainer Diaz (the Astros's expected catcher in today's matchup) profiles as a weak pitch framer.. The Washington Nationals have 7 bats in the projected batting order that will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Spencer Arrighetti in this game.. Playing on the road generally lessens pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Spencer Arrighetti today.
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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Wed, Jul 8 • 7:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Braden Montgomery logo
Braden Montgomery o1.5 Total Bases (+171)
Projection 1.81
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Colson Montgomery as MLB's 15th-best home run hitter.. Colson Montgomery is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 86°.. Colson Montgomery pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.1% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest RF fences today.. Colson Montgomery will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.
Total Bases
Willson Contreras logo
Willson Contreras o1.5 Total Bases (+136)
Projection 1.92
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Willson Contreras ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Willson Contreras is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 86°.. Willson Contreras pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.9% — 82nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
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Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Wed, Jul 8 • 7:45 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Jackson Chourio logo
Jackson Chourio o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 2.02
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Jackson Chourio's batting average talent is projected to be in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jackson Chourio is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game.. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Jackson Chourio hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences today.
Total RBIs
Jackson Chourio logo
Jackson Chourio o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
Projection 0.67
Best Odds
Pick made: 26 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Jackson Chourio's batting average talent is projected to be in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jackson Chourio is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game.. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Jackson Chourio hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences today.
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Los Angeles Angels logo LAA @ Texas Rangers logo TEX Wed, Jul 8 • 8:05 PM ET
3 Computer Picks
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Josh Lowe logo
Josh Lowe o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+180)
Projection 1.54
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Josh Lowe's BABIP ability is projected in the 79th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Evan Carter logo
Evan Carter o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+145)
Projection 1.58
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Evan Carter ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Evan Carter will have the handedness advantage over Walbert Urena today.. Among every team today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the Los Angeles Angels.. Evan Carter will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.
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Colorado Rockies logo COL @ Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD Wed, Jul 8 • 10:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Ezequiel Tovar logo
Ezequiel Tovar o0.5 Total RBIs (+240)
Projection 0.45
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Total Bases
Freddie Freeman logo
Freddie Freeman o1.5 Total Bases (+106)
Projection 2.08
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Freddie Freeman ranks as the 16th-best hitter in the league.. Freddie Freeman is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Freddie Freeman will have the handedness advantage against Ryan Feltner today.. Freddie Freeman will probably have an advantage against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies only has 1 same-handed RP.. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense grades out as the 5th-worst out of all the teams playing today.
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Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ San Diego Padres logo SD Wed, Jul 8 • 10:10 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Moneyline
San Diego Padres logo SD (-137)
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 hours ago
Trevor Knapp image
Trevor Knapp
Publishing Editor

D-backs starter Jose Cabrera struggled to find the strike zone in his last outing, surrendering three earned runs over 3 1/3 innings against Milwaukee. Arizona will also have a tough time against Michael King, who has held D-backs hitters to a .546 OPS across 62 at-bats. The Padres are playable to -150.

Total Bases
Jackson Merrill logo
Jackson Merrill o1.5 Total Bases (+128)
Projection 1.92
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. Jackson Merrill is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game.. Hitting from the opposite that Jose Cabrera throws from, Jackson Merrill will have an advantage in today's matchup.. The Arizona Diamondbacks have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jackson Merrill stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.. Jackson Merrill will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.
View 11 Picks
Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Thu, Jul 23 • 5:15 PM ET
6 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Game Prop
St. Louis Cardinals logo o2.5 Team Total (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 days ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

The Cardinals are in a premium offensive spot against Zac Gallen, who enters the day with the second-worst pitcher rating in Batters-Box's current season model. Gallen has struggled to limit power and hard contact, carrying poorly rated matchup marks in ISO, hard contact rate, and ground ball rate. St. Louis counters with seven elite-rated hitters and an offense averaging more than 2.5 first five innings runs per game at home. The Cardinals have also been red hot lately, posting a 122 wRC+ over their last 12 games. With so many favorable individual matchups, backing the offense as a whole makes plenty of sense.

Earned Runs Allowed
Zac Gallen logo Zac Gallen o2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-141)
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 days ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

Zac Gallen has been one of the most vulnerable pitchers on the board, especially away from Arizona, where he owns a 7.68 ERA and 6.00 xERA while surrendering plenty of hard contact and barrels. Things do not get any easier against a Cardinals lineup loaded with seven elite-rated hitters according to Batters-Box. St. Louis has been one of the hotter offenses in baseball recently, producing a 122 wRC+, .782 OPS, and .345 wOBA over its last 12 games. With Gallen's struggles and the Cardinals continuing to swing hot bats, this sets up as an excellent spot to back St. Louis early and often.

View 16 Picks
Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET
4 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto logo Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 days ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer. 

3 LEG PARLAY
Dansby Swanson profile picture
Dansby Swanson u0.5 Total Hits
Total Hits
Dylan Cease profile picture
Dylan Cease o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown
Strikeouts Thrown
George Springer profile picture
George Springer o1.5 Total Bases
Total Bases
Bet now
Pick made: 16 days ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Swanson is just 1-for-6 against Cease in his career. Cease has electric stuff, leading the American League with 110 Ks, while ranking in the 97th percentile in K-rate. Springer is turning a corner with a 1.089 OPS over his last nine games.

View 14 Picks
Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
5 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Atlanta Braves logo Chicago White Sox logo o8.5 (-105)
Pick made: 26 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Moneyline
Atlanta Braves logo ATL (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: 26 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

View 15 Picks
Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Boston Red Sox logo New York Yankees logo o8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

View 12 Picks
San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks
Total
San Francisco Giants logo Atlanta Braves logo o7.5 (-116)
Pick made: 19 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

Moneyline
San Francisco Giants logo SF (+124)
Best Odds
Pick made: 19 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

View 2 Picks

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