MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on June 18, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

TOR @

BOS Thu, Jun 18 • 1:35 PM ET

6 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Wilyer Abreu o1.5 Total Bases (+125)

Projection 1.75

Best Odds

o1.5 +125

Pick made: 5 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +118

o1.5 +105

o1.5 +100

o1.5 +112

o1.5 +125

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. Wilyer Abreu is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best park in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. Among all stadiums, Fenway Park's right field fences are the shallowest.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.

+125 at Fanatics Sportsbook

Total Bases

Kazuma Okamoto o1.5 Total Bases (+150)

Projection 1.79

Best Odds

o1.5 +150

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +144

o1.5 +132

o1.5 +140

o1.5 +150

When assessing his home run skill, Kazuma Okamoto ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kazuma Okamoto is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.. Kazuma Okamoto pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.7% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences today.

+150 at Fanatics Sportsbook

View 6 Picks

CLE @

MIL Thu, Jun 18 • 2:10 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Gabriel Arias o1.5 Total Bases (+271)

Projection 1.19

Best Odds

o1.5 +271

Pick made: 22 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +271

o1.5 +250

o1.5 +200

o1.5 +215

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Arias in the 78th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.. American Family Field has the 3rd-lowest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to better offense.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.3-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for bats.. Gabriel Arias will hold the platoon advantage against Shane Drohan in today's matchup.

+271 at DraftKings

Total RBIs

Kyle Manzardo o0.5 Total RBIs (+237)

Projection 0.5

Best Odds

o0.5 +237

Pick made: 22 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +237

o0.5 +210

o0.5 +215

o0.5 +200

When estimating his home run skill, Kyle Manzardo ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Manzardo is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game.. American Family Field has the 3rd-lowest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to better offense.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.3-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for bats.

+237 at DraftKings

View 10 Picks

MIN @ $Texas Rangers logo$ TEX Thu, Jun 18 • 2:35 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Byron Buxton o1.5 Total Bases (+108)

Projection 2

Best Odds

o1.5 +108

Pick made: 2 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +108

o1.5 -110

o1.5 -120

o1.5 +106

o1.5 +105

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Byron Buxton as baseball's 4th-best home run hitter.. Byron Buxton is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.. Among all major league parks, Globe Life Field has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. Byron Buxton has hit one of the hardest balls in the game over the past 14 days — 109.6-mph — which is a good indicator of recent form and raw power.. Placing in the 100th percentile for power, Byron Buxton has averaged 56.9 HRs per 600 plate appearances this year.

+108 at DraftKings

Total Bases

Brandon Nimmo o1.5 Total Bases (+123)

Projection 1.78

Best Odds

o1.5 +130

Pick made: 29 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +123

o1.5 +110

o1.5 -105

o1.5 +116

o1.5 +130

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. Brandon Nimmo is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game.. Brandon Nimmo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Joe Ryan in today's game... and even more favorably, Ryan has a large platoon split.. Out of all the teams playing today, the 2nd-worst infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins.. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Brandon Nimmo will hold that advantage today.

+130 at Fanatics Sportsbook

View 10 Picks

BAL @

SEA Thu, Jun 18 • 4:10 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Taylor Ward o1.5 Total Bases (+202)

Projection 1.61

Best Odds

o1.5 +202

Pick made: 41 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +159

o1.5 +202

o1.5 +145

o1.5 +170

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Taylor Ward in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Taylor Ward is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. Taylor Ward has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences today.. Among all the teams in action today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners.

+202 at bet365

Total RBIs

Taylor Ward o0.5 Total RBIs (+295)

Projection 0.43

Best Odds

o0.5 +295

Pick made: 41 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +277

o0.5 +295

o0.5 +260

o0.5 +245

o0.5 +260

+295 at bet365

View 10 Picks

NYM @

PHI Thu, Jun 18 • 6:40 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Jared Young o1.5 Total Bases (+155)

Projection 1.58

Best Odds

o1.5 +160

Pick made: 9 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +155

o1.5 +135

o1.5 +160

Jared Young is penciled in 4th in the batting order today.. Citizens Bank Park profiles as the #10 venue in baseball for LHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Dingers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the league.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 2nd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 88°.. Hitting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, Jared Young will have an advantage in today's game.

+160 at Fanatics Sportsbook

Total Bases

Bo Bichette o1.5 Total Bases (-102)

Projection 1.98

Best Odds

o1.5 +100

Pick made: 9 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 -102

o1.5 -110

o1.5 -120

o1.5 -104

o1.5 +100

As it relates to his batting average talent, Bo Bichette is projected as the 6th-best batter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bo Bichette is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.. Citizens Bank Park profiles as the #10 venue in the league for right-handed home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Dingers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the league.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 2nd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 88°.

+100 at Fanatics Sportsbook

View 10 Picks

CHW @

NYY Thu, Jun 18 • 7:05 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Home Runs

Colson Montgomery o0.5 Total Home Runs (+540)

Projection 0.22

Best Odds

o0.5 +540

Pick made: 20 seconds ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +533

o0.5 +350

o0.5 +540

o0.5 +500

o0.5 +375

When it comes to his home run ability, Colson Montgomery ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Colson Montgomery is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. The #8 park in the game for boosting home runs to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Yankee Stadium.. Among all parks, Yankee Stadium has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level on the schedule today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

+540 at FanDuel

Total Bases

Miguel Vargas o1.5 Total Bases (+107)

Projection 2.09

Best Odds

o1.5 +107

Pick made: 8 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +107

o1.5 +105

o1.5 -115

o1.5 +101

o1.5 +105

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Miguel Vargas ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Miguel Vargas is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Among all parks, Yankee Stadium has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level on the schedule today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.7-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats.

+107 at DraftKings

View 10 Picks

SF @

ATL Thu, Jun 18 • 7:15 PM ET

2 Computer Picks

Hits+Runs+RBIs

Casey Schmitt o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-110)

Projection 2.35

Best Odds

o1.5 -110

Pick made: 35 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 -121

o1.5 -135

o1.5 -110

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Casey Schmitt in the 83rd percentile when estimating his home run skill.. Casey Schmitt is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. Casey Schmitt will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Martin Perez today.

-110 at Fanatics Sportsbook

Total Bases

Casey Schmitt o1.5 Total Bases (+115)

Projection 1.92

Best Odds

o1.5 +115

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +114

o1.5 +100

o1.5 +115

+115 at Fanatics Sportsbook

View 2 Picks

STL @

KC Thu, Jun 18 • 7:40 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Jac Caglianone o1.5 Total Bases (+130)

Projection 1.62

Best Odds

o1.5 +130

Pick made: a minute ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +124

o1.5 +130

o1.5 +105

o1.5 +117

o1.5 +125

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jac Caglianone in the 87th percentile when assessing his home run talent.. Jac Caglianone is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 70% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which tends to lead to more offense.. The weather report predicts the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Jac Caglianone will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

+130 at bet365

Total Bases

Jordan Walker o1.5 Total Bases (+110)

Projection 1.9

Best Odds

o1.5 +110

Pick made: a minute ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +103

o1.5 +105

o1.5 -120

o1.5 -104

o1.5 +110

When assessing his home run talent, Jordan Walker ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jordan Walker is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which tends to lead to more offense.. The weather report predicts the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Hitting from the opposite that Noah Cameron throws from, Jordan Walker will have the upper hand in today's game.

+110 at Fanatics Sportsbook

View 10 Picks

ATL @

CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET

5 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks

Total

o8.5 (-105)

Pick made: 6 days ago

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Read Full Analysis

Moneyline

ATL (-112)

Best Odds

-115

Pick made: 6 days ago

-120

-115

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

Read Full Analysis

View 15 Picks

BOS @

NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET

2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks

Total

o8.5 (-110)

Best Odds

o8.0 -125

Pick made: 11 days ago

o8.5 -102

o8.0 -125

o8.5 -102

o8.5 +100

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Read Full Analysis

Moneyline

NYY (-135)

Best Odds

-110

Pick made: 11 days ago

-118

-110

-112

-110

-115

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

Read Full Analysis

View 12 Picks

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