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MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 17, 2026.

New Computer Picks powered by Odds Shark

Predicted Score

MIL logo
MIL
MIL

5.18 @ 4.44

PIT
PIT logo
PIT

Brewers vs Pirates · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

MIL logo
MIL
MIL

5.18

-135

o8.5 -134

-1.5 +120

PIT logo
PIT
PIT

4.44

+123

u9.5 -150

+1.5 -134

LA Dodgers @ Cincinnati
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

LAD logo
LAD
LAD

6.76 @ 5.87

CIN
CIN logo
CIN

Dodgers vs Reds · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

LAD logo
LAD
LAD

6.76

-165

o9.5 -115

-1.5 -105

CIN logo
CIN
CIN

5.87

+150

u10.0 -116

+1.5 -107

Top Projection Eugenio Suarez o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
o1.5+163
Athletics @ Tampa Bay
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

ATH logo
ATH
ATH

3.77 @ 4.83

TB
TB logo
TB

Athletics vs Rays · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

ATH logo
ATH
ATH

3.77

+235

o7.5 -114

+1.5 +101

TB logo
TB
TB

4.83

-275

u8.0 -120

-1.5 -114

Top Projection Shea Langeliers o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+130)
o1.5+130
San Diego @ Colorado
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

SD logo
SD
SD

7.20 @ 5.63

COL
COL logo
COL

Padres vs Rockies · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

SD logo
SD
SD

7.20

-164

o10.5 -120

-1.5 -103

COL logo
COL
COL

5.63

+144

u11.0 -115

+1.5 -110

Kansas City @ Houston
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

KC logo
KC
KC

4.84 @ 4.99

HOU
HOU logo
HOU

Royals vs Astros · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

KC logo
KC
KC

4.84

+126

o8.5 -130

+1.5 -170

HOU logo
HOU
HOU

4.99

-145

u9.0 -110

-1.5 +146

Top Projection Vinnie Pasquantino o0.5 Total RBIs (+205)
o0.5+205
Philadelphia @ NY Mets
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

PHI logo
PHI
PHI

5.06 @ 5.12

NYM
NYM logo
NYM

Phillies vs Mets · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

PHI logo
PHI
PHI

5.06

+118

o8.0 -110

+1.5 -170

NYM logo
NYM
NYM

5.12

-125

u8.5 -125

-1.5 +158

Top Projection Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
o0.5+200
Detroit @ Chi. White Sox
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

DET logo
DET
DET

5.08 @ 3.95

CHW
CHW logo
CHW

Tigers vs White Sox · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

DET logo
DET
DET

5.08

+110

o8.5 -105

+1.5 -193

CHW logo
CHW
CHW

3.95

-125

u8.5 -113

-1.5 +176

Top Projection Riley Greene o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
o1.5+130
Boston @ Texas
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

BOS logo
BOS
BOS

4.55 @ 4.11

TEX
TEX logo
TEX

Red Sox vs Rangers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

BOS logo
BOS
BOS

4.55

-134

o8.0 -115

-1.5 +125

TEX logo
TEX
TEX

4.11

+122

u8.5 -120

+1.5 -142

Minnesota @ LA Angels
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

MIN logo
MIN
MIN

4.20 @ 3.95

LAA
LAA logo
LAA

Twins vs Angels · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

MIN logo
MIN
MIN

4.20

-129

o7.5 -110

-1.5 +140

LAA logo
LAA
LAA

3.95

+115

u7.5 -104

+1.5 -156

Top Projection Mike Trout o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
o0.5+210
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail MIL @ Pittsburgh Pirates image thumbnail PIT Thu, Sep 17 • 12:35 PM ET
Total Bases
Oneil Cruz logo
Oneil Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+170)
Projection 1.78
Best Odds
Pick made: 49 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Oneil Cruz as MLB's 17th-best home run batter.. Oneil Cruz is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 8th-best venue in the majors for run-scoring.. The weather report projects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Extreme groundball bats like Oneil Cruz tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Kyle Harrison.
Total Bases
Gary Sanchez logo
Gary Sanchez o1.5 Total Bases (+190)
Projection 1.5
Best Odds
Pick made: 49 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Gary Sanchez is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 8th-best venue in the majors for run-scoring.. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. The weather report projects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Among every team today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the Pittsburgh Pirates.
View 10 Picks
Los Angeles Dodgers image thumbnail LAD @ Cincinnati Reds image thumbnail CIN Thu, Sep 17 • 12:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Elly De La Cruz logo
Elly De La Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+100)
Projection 2.22
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his BABIP skill, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. The #9 ballpark in the game for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 90°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.8-mph in this contest, the best of the day for bats.
Total Bases
Sal Stewart logo
Sal Stewart o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 2.13
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Sal Stewart's batting average ability is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Sal Stewart is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.. The #9 ballpark in the game for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 90°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.8-mph in this contest, the best of the day for bats.
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Athletics Athletics image thumbnail ATH @ Tampa Bay Rays image thumbnail TB Thu, Sep 17 • 1:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Jorge Mateo logo
Jorge Mateo u1.5 Total Bases (-225)
Projection 0.63
Best Odds
Pick made: 49 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Mateo in the 17th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. Jorge Mateo is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in today's game.. This year, Jorge Mateo has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 53% of his appearances when starting against southpaw.. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest -6° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Jorge Mateo hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 94th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league's 9th-deepest CF fences in today's game.
Total Home Runs
Shea Langeliers logo
Shea Langeliers o0.5 Total Home Runs (+500)
Projection 0.25
Best Odds
Pick made: 49 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Shea Langeliers in the 97th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Shea Langeliers is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Shea Langeliers pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.8% — 80th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Shea Langeliers's launch angle this season (19.4°) is significantly higher than his 16.3° mark last season.. Sporting a .348 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Shea Langeliers grades out in the 82nd percentile for offensive skills.
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San Diego Padres image thumbnail SD @ Colorado Rockies image thumbnail COL Thu, Sep 17 • 3:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Mickey Moniak logo
Mickey Moniak o1.5 Total Bases (+132)
Projection 1.85
Best Odds
Pick made: 49 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mickey Moniak in the 91st percentile when assessing his home run ability.. The #1 field in MLB for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in the majors, which generally leads to more offense.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.. Mickey Moniak will hold the platoon advantage over Michael King in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Xander Bogaerts logo
Xander Bogaerts o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.69
Best Odds
Pick made: 49 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 91st percentile when assessing his batting average ability.. The #1 field in MLB for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in the majors, which generally leads to more offense.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.. Bats such as Xander Bogaerts with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Tanner Gordon who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.
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Kansas City Royals image thumbnail KC @ Houston Astros image thumbnail HOU Thu, Sep 17 • 7:15 PM ET
Total RBIs
Vinnie Pasquantino logo
Vinnie Pasquantino o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.58
Best Odds
Pick made: 49 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Vinnie Pasquantino is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today.. Vinnie Pasquantino will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Miguel Ullola in today's game.. Among every team playing today, the worst infield defense is that of the the Houston Astros.. Vinnie Pasquantino has made big gains with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 8.6% seasonal rate to 22.2% in the past week.. Vinnie Pasquantino's launch angle this season (20.1°) is significantly higher than his 16.2° angle last season.
Strikeouts Thrown
Miguel Ullola logo
Miguel Ullola o1.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+185)
Projection 1.68
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The #1 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Minute Maid Park.. Built just 20 feet above sea level, Minute Maid Park has one of the lowest elevations among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.. The Minute Maid Park roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest -6° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for pitching.. Miguel Ullola will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats across the board.
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Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail PHI @ New York Mets image thumbnail NYM Thu, Sep 17 • 7:15 PM ET
Total Bases
Kyle Schwarber logo
Kyle Schwarber o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.82
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Kyle Schwarber as Major League Baseball's 3rd-best home run batter.. Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today.. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks.. The weather report calls for the 4th-most suitable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters.
Total Bases
Francisco Alvarez logo
Francisco Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (+210)
Projection 1.41
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run ability, Francisco Alvarez ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The weather report calls for the 4th-most suitable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters.. Francisco Alvarez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Francisco Alvarez will hold that advantage in today's game.
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Detroit Tigers image thumbnail DET @ Chicago White Sox image thumbnail CHW Thu, Sep 17 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Spencer Torkelson logo
Spencer Torkelson o1.5 Total Bases (+175)
Projection 1.5
Best Odds
Pick made: 49 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his home run ability.. Spencer Torkelson has strong power (93rd percentile) if he makes contact, but that's usually a big "IF" (27.7% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Erick Fedde is a pitch-to-contact type (17th percentile K%) — great news for Torkelson.. Spencer Torkelson pulls many of his flyballs (40.5% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. With a 30.400 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Spencer Torkelson grades out in the 89th percentile for power.. In notching a .300 Isolated Power (ISO) this year, Spencer Torkelson is positioned in the 77th percentile.
Strikeouts Thrown
Erick Fedde logo
Erick Fedde o3.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+114)
Projection 3.95
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The Detroit Tigers have 3 bats in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Riley Greene, Spencer Torkelson, John Peck).. According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Jake Rogers (the White Sox's expected catcher in today's matchup) is considered to be a good pitch framer.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the most suitable for pitching of the day.. Erick Fedde will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats in all categories.. Erick Fedde has utilized his slider 11.9% more often this year (37.2%) than he did last season (25.3%).
View 10 Picks
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail BOS @ Texas Rangers image thumbnail TEX Thu, Sep 17 • 8:05 PM ET
Moneyline
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail BOS (-124)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
Jon Metler logo
Jon Metler
Betting Analyst

At 55%, I'm definitely buying the Boston Red Sox on Polymarket, as I price them closer to a 60% favorite. That's a much larger edge than we typically see in the market. Sonny Gray has been an ace for the Red Sox this season, and this matchup against the Rangers sets up very well for him. Texas has some free swingers in the lineup, such as Josh Jung and Jake Burger, who are always looking to pull the ball. Gray carves up aggressive hitters by expanding the zone and forcing them to chase breaking balls off the plate. It's not like I expect the left-handed bats to get much going either. Brandon Nimmo and Corey Seager will have to deal with Gray's two-seamer running in on their hands, and neither hitter profiles particularly well against Gray.

Moneyline
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail BOS (-119)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
Trevor Knapp logo
Trevor Knapp
Publishing Editor

Sonny Gray has become somewhat of an ageless wonder for the Red Sox, and the veteran right-hander has limited Texas hitters to a lifetime .505 OPS. With Gray on the hill, Boston is playable to -135. 

View 12 Picks
Minnesota Twins image thumbnail MIN @ Los Angeles Angels image thumbnail LAA Thu, Sep 17 • 9:38 PM ET
Total Bases
Ryan Kreidler logo
Ryan Kreidler o1.5 Total Bases (+290)
Projection 1.08
Best Odds
Pick made: 49 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Angel Stadium has the lowest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions of the day.. The Los Angeles Angels infield defense projects as the 2nd-worst among all the teams in action today.. Ryan Kreidler's 93.6-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable stat to evaluate power) ranks in the 76th percentile this year.
Total RBIs
Josh Lowe logo
Josh Lowe o0.5 Total RBIs (+300)
Projection 0.39
Best Odds
Pick made: 49 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Lowe in the 75th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. Angel Stadium has the lowest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions of the day.. Hitting from the opposite that Taj Bradley throws from, Josh Lowe will have an edge in today's matchup.. The Minnesota Twins outfield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest among every team playing today.
View 10 Picks
Tampa Bay Rays image thumbnail TB @ New York Yankees image thumbnail NYY Tue, Sep 22 • 1:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Aaron Judge logo
Aaron Judge o1.5 Total Bases (+124)
Projection 1.87
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Aaron Judge projects as the best home run batter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Aaron Judge is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Yankee Stadium as the 7th-best ballpark in the league for RHB home runs.. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all parks.. Hitters such as Aaron Judge with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Drew Rasmussen who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.
Total RBIs
Austin Wells logo
Austin Wells o0.5 Total RBIs (+305)
Projection 0.41
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Yankee Stadium ranks as the #7 ballpark in the majors for left-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all parks.. Hitting from the opposite that Drew Rasmussen throws from, Austin Wells will have an edge in today's matchup.. Extreme flyball batters like Austin Wells generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Drew Rasmussen.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest among every team on the slate today.
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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?

MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.

How To Use MLB Computer Picks

You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.

This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.

If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.

Moneyline

This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.

It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.

Run line

The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.

The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.

Totals (Over/Under)

Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.

Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark

More MLB Picks & Betting Tools

NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks

A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.

First Five Innings MLB Picks

The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.

MLB Picks And Parlays

If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.

But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.

If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.

MLB Player Props

Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?

You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.

MLB Futures Picks

Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.

MLB Free Picks FAQs

When do we release our MLB picks?

Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.

What kinds of MLB picks do we make?

Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.