MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on June 19, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

TOR @

CHC Fri, Jun 19 • 2:20 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Dansby Swanson o1.5 Total Bases (+247)

Projection 1.33

Best Odds

o1.5 +250

Pick made: 17 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +247

o1.5 +240

o1.5 +230

o1.5 +250

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Among all major league stadiums, Wrigley Field's LF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Dansby Swanson will hold that advantage today.

+250 at BetMGM

Total Bases

Pete Crow-Armstrong o1.5 Total Bases (+115)

Projection 1.86

Best Odds

o1.5 +115

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +115

o1.5 -105

o1.5 -115

o1.5 +115

o1.5 +106

o1.5 +110

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his home run skill.. Pete Crow-Armstrong is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 57% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the league, which often leads to higher offensive output.. Batting from the opposite that Kevin Gausman throws from, Pete Crow-Armstrong will have the upper hand today.. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Pete Crow-Armstrong has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

+115 at DraftKings

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CHW @

DET Fri, Jun 19 • 6:40 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total RBIs

Braden Montgomery o0.5 Total RBIs (+300)

Projection 0.49

Best Odds

o0.5 +300

Pick made: 6 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +300

o0.5 +250

o0.5 +200

o0.5 +255

o0.5 +215

As it relates to his home run ability, Colson Montgomery ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Colson Montgomery is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today.. In MLB, Comerica Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.5-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for bats.

+300 at bet365

Total RBIs

Riley Greene o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)

Projection 0.71

Best Odds

o0.5 +159

Pick made: 21 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +159

o0.5 +155

o0.5 +135

o0.5 +125

o0.5 +135

o0.5 +125

Riley Greene's BABIP talent is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Riley Greene is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.5-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for bats.. Riley Greene will have the handedness advantage against Erick Fedde today.. Riley Greene has big-time HR ability (93rd percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a sure thing (28.3% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Erick Fedde struggles to strike batters out (16th percentile K%) — great news for Greene.

+159 at DraftKings

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CIN @

NYY Fri, Jun 19 • 7:05 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Ben Rice o1.5 Total Bases (-105)

Projection 2.32

Best Odds

o1.5 -105

Pick made: 5 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 -106

o1.5 -110

o1.5 -130

o1.5 -105

o1.5 -112

o1.5 -110

Ben Rice projects as the 18th-best batter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ben Rice is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game.. In the majors, Yankee Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 4th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 12.3-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

-105 at BetMGM

Total Bases

Cody Bellinger o1.5 Total Bases (+120)

Projection 1.99

Best Odds

o1.5 +120

Pick made: 8 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +106

o1.5 +105

o1.5 +100

o1.5 +115

o1.5 +106

o1.5 +120

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Cody Bellinger ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Cody Bellinger is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game.. In the majors, Yankee Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 4th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 12.3-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

+120 at Fanatics Sportsbook

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WAS @

TB Fri, Jun 19 • 7:10 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Junior Caminero o1.5 Total Bases (+115)

Projection 1.89

Best Odds

o1.5 +130

Pick made: 5 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +115

o1.5 +125

o1.5 -110

o1.5 +130

o1.5 +112

o1.5 +115

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Junior Caminero ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Junior Caminero is penciled in 4th in the lineup today.. Tropicana Field projects as the #3 ballpark in MLB for righty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Junior Caminero pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.7% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.. Junior Caminero will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

+130 at BetMGM

Total RBIs

Curtis Mead o0.5 Total RBIs (+225)

Projection 0.56

Best Odds

o0.5 +225

Pick made: 11 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +225

o0.5 +202

o0.5 +185

o0.5 +191

o0.5 +170

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Curtis Mead ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Curtis Mead is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.. Tropicana Field projects as the #3 ballpark in MLB for righty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Curtis Mead has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences today.. Out of all the teams in action today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the Tampa Bay Rays.

+225 at DraftKings

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MIL @

ATL Fri, Jun 19 • 7:15 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Michael Harris II o1.5 Total Bases (+182)

Projection 1.72

Best Odds

o1.5 +182

Pick made: 20 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +152

o1.5 +182

o1.5 +140

o1.5 +165

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. Michael Harris II has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (52% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. The #5 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to better offense.. The weather report projects temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level of all games today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

+182 at bet365

Total Bases

Drake Baldwin o1.5 Total Bases (+182)

Projection 1.63

Best Odds

o1.5 +182

Pick made: 27 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +166

o1.5 +182

o1.5 +155

o1.5 +165

o1.5 +180

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Drake Baldwin in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. Drake Baldwin is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. The #5 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. Truist Park has the shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to better offense.

+182 at bet365

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SD @ $Texas Rangers logo$ TEX Fri, Jun 19 • 8:05 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Jackson Merrill o1.5 Total Bases (+153)

Projection 1.63

Best Odds

o1.5 +155

Pick made: 2 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +153

o1.5 +130

o1.5 +125

o1.5 +155

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.. Jackson Merrill is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. Globe Life Field has the 7th-lowest fences in the league.. Jackson Merrill will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jacob deGrom in today's game.

+155 at Fanatics Sportsbook

Total Bases

Manny Machado o1.5 Total Bases (+175)

Projection 1.47

Best Odds

o1.5 +180

Pick made: 2 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +170

o1.5 +175

o1.5 +150

o1.5 +180

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. Manny Machado is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game.. Globe Life Field has the 7th-lowest fences in the league.

+180 at Fanatics Sportsbook

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CLE @

HOU Fri, Jun 19 • 8:10 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Kyle Manzardo o1.5 Total Bases (+160)

Projection 1.63

Best Odds

o1.5 +160

Pick made: 6 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +151

o1.5 +150

o1.5 +145

o1.5 +160

As it relates to his home run talent, Kyle Manzardo ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Manzardo is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Kyle Manzardo will hold the platoon advantage over Tatsuya Imai in today's matchup... and moreover, Imai has a large platoon split.. Among every team today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the the Houston Astros.

+160 at Fanatics Sportsbook

Total Bases

Christian Walker o1.5 Total Bases (+125)

Projection 1.84

Best Odds

o1.5 +130

Pick made: 6 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +120

o1.5 +125

o1.5 +105

o1.5 +116

o1.5 +130

When estimating his home run talent, Christian Walker ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Christian Walker is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. Christian Walker pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.7% — 75th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Christian Walker will hold that advantage today.

+130 at Fanatics Sportsbook

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STL @

KC Fri, Jun 19 • 8:15 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

JJ Wetherholt o1.5 Total Bases (+105)

Projection 2

Best Odds

o1.5 +105

Pick made: 8 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +103

o1.5 +100

o1.5 -120

o1.5 +100

o1.5 +105

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects JJ Wetherholt in the 88th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.. JJ Wetherholt is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Hitting from the opposite that Seth Lugo throws from, JJ Wetherholt will have the upper hand today.

+105 at Fanatics Sportsbook

Total Bases

Blaze Jordan o1.5 Total Bases (+155)

Projection 1.55

Best Odds

o1.5 +155

Pick made: 8 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +149

o1.5 +140

o1.5 +135

o1.5 +155

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Blaze Jordan in the 87th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

+155 at Fanatics Sportsbook

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PIT @

COL Fri, Jun 19 • 8:40 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Spencer Horwitz o1.5 Total Bases (+110)

Projection 1.83

Best Odds

o1.5 +112

Pick made: 21 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +112

o1.5 +110

o1.5 +109

o1.5 +110

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Horwitz in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. Spencer Horwitz is penciled in 5th in the lineup today.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 87°.. The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Spencer Horwitz can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

+112 at DraftKings

Total Bases

Cole Carrigg o1.5 Total Bases (+137)

Projection 1.7

Best Odds

o1.5 +140

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +137

o1.5 +132

o1.5 +100

o1.5 +127

o1.5 +140

Cole Carrigg is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 89% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best venue in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 87°.. Cole Carrigg will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

+140 at Fanatics Sportsbook

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LAA @

ATH Fri, Jun 19 • 9:40 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Shea Langeliers o1.5 Total Bases (-107)

Projection 2.31

Best Odds

o1.5 +105

Pick made: a minute ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 -107

o1.5 -110

o1.5 -140

o1.5 +105

o1.5 -105

Shea Langeliers projects as the 15th-best home run hitter in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Shea Langeliers is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.. The #2 field in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Sutter Health Park.. Sutter Health Park has the 4th-shortest fences among all parks.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the slate today at 96°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

+105 at BetMGM

Total Bases

Vaughn Grissom o1.5 Total Bases (+119)

Projection 1.92

Best Odds

o1.5 +120

Pick made: a minute ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +119

o1.5 +105

o1.5 +100

o1.5 +120

o1.5 +110

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vaughn Grissom in the 88th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.. Vaughn Grissom is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. The #2 field in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Sutter Health Park.. Sutter Health Park has the 4th-shortest fences among all parks.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the slate today at 96°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

+120 at BetMGM

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MIN @

AZ Fri, Jun 19 • 9:45 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Royce Lewis o1.5 Total Bases (+170)

Projection 1.56

Best Odds

o1.5 +175

Pick made: 37 seconds ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +163

o1.5 +170

o1.5 +135

o1.5 +145

o1.5 +175

Royce Lewis has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (88% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today.

+175 at Fanatics Sportsbook

Total RBIs

Nolan Arenado o0.5 Total RBIs (+192)

Projection 0.57

Best Odds

o0.5 +192

Pick made: 21 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +192

o0.5 +185

o0.5 +170

o0.5 +165

o0.5 +177

o0.5 +155

Nolan Arenado is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. Chase Field grades out as the #3 field in the majors for overall righty offense, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Hitting from the opposite that Connor Prielipp throws from, Nolan Arenado will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Out of every team on the slate today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Nolan Arenado will hold that advantage today.

+192 at DraftKings

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BOS @

SEA Fri, Jun 19 • 10:10 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Wilyer Abreu o1.5 Total Bases (+145)

Projection 1.84

Best Odds

o1.5 +145

Pick made: 10 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +130

o1.5 +125

o1.5 +120

o1.5 +127

o1.5 +145

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Wilyer Abreu is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game.. Among all parks, T-Mobile Park has the 10th-lowest average fence height.. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all major league stadiums.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

+145 at Fanatics Sportsbook

Total RBIs

Jarren Duran o0.5 Total RBIs (+234)

Projection 0.51

Best Odds

o0.5 +234

Pick made: 21 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +234

o0.5 +202

o0.5 +210

o0.5 +215

o0.5 +190

Jarren Duran's BABIP talent is projected in the 87th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jarren Duran is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup.. Among all parks, T-Mobile Park has the 10th-lowest average fence height.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Batting from the opposite that Bryce Miller throws from, Jarren Duran will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

+234 at DraftKings

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BAL @

LAD Fri, Jun 19 • 10:10 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Andy Pages o1.5 Total Bases (+112)

Projection 2.04

Best Odds

o1.5 +115

Pick made: 2 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +112

o1.5 +105

o1.5 -110

o1.5 +110

o1.5 +104

o1.5 +115

Andy Pages's batting average ability is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Andy Pages is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Dodger Stadium as the 2nd-best stadium in the game for RHB home runs.. The 5th-shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Dodger Stadium.. On average, the fence height at Dodger Stadium is the shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.

+115 at Fanatics Sportsbook

Total Bases

Taylor Ward o1.5 Total Bases (+155)

Projection 1.64

Best Odds

o1.5 +175

Pick made: 3 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +142

o1.5 +140

o1.5 +130

o1.5 +175

o1.5 +138

o1.5 +155

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Taylor Ward in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. Taylor Ward is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Dodger Stadium as the 2nd-best stadium in the game for RHB home runs.. On average, the fence height at Dodger Stadium is the shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Taylor Ward hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

+175 at BetMGM

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ATL @

CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET

5 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks

Total

o8.5 (-105)

Pick made: 7 days ago

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Read Full Analysis

Moneyline

ATL (-112)

Best Odds

-115

Pick made: 7 days ago

-120

-115

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

Read Full Analysis

View 15 Picks

BOS @

NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET

2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks

Total

o8.5 (-110)

Best Odds

o8.0 -125

Pick made: 12 days ago

o8.5 -102

o8.0 -125

o8.5 -102

o8.5 +100

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Read Full Analysis

Moneyline

NYY (-135)

Best Odds

-110

Pick made: 12 days ago

-118

-110

-112

-110

-115

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

Read Full Analysis

View 12 Picks

SF @

ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET

2 Expert Picks

Total

o7.5 (-116)

Best Odds

o4.5 -526

Pick made: 17 hours ago

o4.5 -670

o8.0 -104

o8.0 -102

o4.5 -699

o4.5 -654

o4.5 -526

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

Read Full Analysis

Moneyline

SF (+124)

Best Odds

+110

Pick made: 17 hours ago

+110

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

Read Full Analysis

View 2 Picks

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Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.

What kinds of MLB picks do we make?

Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.