MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Aug. 25, 2026.

New Computer Picks powered by Odds Shark

Predicted Score

BOS logo
BOS
BOS

4.53 @ 3.57

MIA
MIA logo
MIA

Red Sox vs Marlins · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

BOS logo
BOS
BOS

4.53

-140

o7.0 -115

-1.5 +120

MIA logo
MIA
MIA

3.57

+132

u7.5 -125

+1.5 -130

Tampa Bay @ Detroit
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

TB logo
TB
TB

4.35 @ 4.12

DET
DET logo
DET

Rays vs Tigers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

TB logo
TB
TB

4.35

-125

o7.5 -115

-1.5 +140

DET logo
DET
DET

4.12

+120

u8.0 -115

+1.5 -150

Colorado @ Washington
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

COL logo
COL
COL

3.58 @ 4.35

WAS
WAS logo
WAS

Rockies vs Nationals · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

COL logo
COL
COL

3.58

+140

o8.5 +100

+1.5 -150

WAS logo
WAS
WAS

4.35

-145

u8.5 -110

-1.5 +145

Top Projection Daylen Lile o0.5 Total RBIs (+163)
o0.5+163
Houston @ NY Yankees
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

HOU logo
HOU
HOU

4.58 @ 5.02

NYY
NYY logo
NYY

Astros vs Yankees · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

HOU logo
HOU
HOU

4.58

+131

o8.5 -115

+1.5 -155

NYY logo
NYY
NYY

5.02

-140

u8.5 +105

-1.5 +145

Top Projection Yordan Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (-109)
o1.5-105
Kansas City @ Toronto
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

KC logo
KC
KC

4.87 @ 4.64

TOR
TOR logo
TOR

Royals vs Blue Jays · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

KC logo
KC
KC

4.87

+120

o8.5 -115

+1.5 -190

TOR logo
TOR
TOR

4.64

-125

u8.5 +105

-1.5 +170

Top Projection Salvador Perez o0.5 Total RBIs (+182)
o0.5+182
Milwaukee @ NY Mets
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

MIL logo
MIL
MIL

4.57 @ 3.99

NYM
NYM logo
NYM

Brewers vs Mets · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

MIL logo
MIL
MIL

4.57

-156

o7.5 +105

-1.5 +115

NYM logo
NYM
NYM

3.99

+150

u7.5 -115

+1.5 -120

Top Projection Francisco Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (+280)
o1.5+280
LA Dodgers @ Atlanta
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

LAD logo
LAD
LAD

5.88 @ 4.84

ATL
ATL logo
ATL

Dodgers vs Braves · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

LAD logo
LAD
LAD

5.88

-148

o8.5 -110

-1.5 +115

ATL logo
ATL
ATL

4.84

+143

u8.5 +100

+1.5 -125

Top Projection Austin Riley o0.5 Total RBIs (+275)
o0.5+275
Texas @ Chi. White Sox
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

TEX logo
TEX
TEX

4.72 @ 4.01

CHW
CHW logo
CHW

Rangers vs White Sox · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

TEX logo
TEX
TEX

4.72

-105

o7.5 +105

-1.5 +160

CHW logo
CHW
CHW

4.01

+100

u7.5 -115

+1.5 -170

Top Projection Wyatt Langford o0.5 Total RBIs (+201)
o0.5+201
Baltimore @ St. Louis
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

BAL logo
BAL
BAL

4.25 @ 4.65

STL
STL logo
STL

Orioles vs Cardinals · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

BAL logo
BAL
BAL

4.25

+116

o8.0 -115

+1.5 -180

STL logo
STL
STL

4.65

-124

u8.5 -115

-1.5 +170

Top Projection Coby Mayo u1.5 Total Bases (-180)
u1.5-180
Cleveland @ LA Angels
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

CLE logo
CLE
CLE

3.82 @ 3.31

LAA
LAA logo
LAA

Guardians vs Angels · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CLE logo
CLE
CLE

3.82

-135

o7.0 -110

-1.5 +125

LAA logo
LAA
LAA

3.31

+132

u7.5 -130

+1.5 -135

Top Projection Moises Ballesteros o0.5 Total RBIs (+303)
o0.5+303
Chi. Cubs @ Arizona
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

CHC logo
CHC
CHC

5.00 @ 4.37

AZ
AZ logo
AZ

Cubs vs Diamondbacks · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CHC logo
CHC
CHC

5.00

-105

o8.0 -114

+2.5 -500

AZ logo
AZ
AZ

4.37

+101

u8.5 -115

-2.5 +285

Top Projection Michael Busch o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
o0.5+200
Pittsburgh @ San Diego
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

PIT logo
PIT
PIT

4.21 @ 3.73

SD
SD logo
SD

Pirates vs Padres · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

PIT logo
PIT
PIT

4.21

+112

o7.0 -120

+1.5 -205

SD logo
SD
SD

3.73

-119

u7.5 -120

-1.5 +180

Top Projection Spencer Horwitz o0.5 Total RBIs (+302)
o0.5+302
Minnesota @ Athletics
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

MIN logo
MIN
MIN

5.78 @ 4.72

ATH
ATH logo
ATH

Twins vs Athletics · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

MIN logo
MIN
MIN

5.78

-144

o10.5 +100

-1.5 +105

ATH logo
ATH
ATH

4.72

+140

u13.5 -375

+1.5 -115

Philadelphia @ Seattle
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

PHI logo
PHI
PHI

4.77 @ 4.61

SEA
SEA logo
SEA

Phillies vs Mariners · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

PHI logo
PHI
PHI

4.77

+100

o7.5 -115

+2.5 -500

SEA logo
SEA
SEA

4.61

-102

u8.0 -110

-2.5 +285

Top Projection Taylor Ward o1.5 Total Bases (+240)
o1.5+240
Cincinnati @ San Francisco
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

CIN logo
CIN
CIN

4.41 @ 4.36

SF
SF logo
SF

Reds vs Giants · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CIN logo
CIN
CIN

4.41

+100

o7.5 -110

+1.5 -220

SF logo
SF
SF

4.36

-105

u7.5 +100

-1.5 +180

Top Projection Rafael Devers o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
o0.5+170
Tampa Bay @ Detroit
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

TB logo
TB
TB

4.28 @ 4.26

DET
DET logo
DET

Rays vs Tigers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

TB logo
TB
TB

4.28

+105

o7.5 -115

-1.5 +180

DET logo
DET
DET

4.26

-115

u8.0 -110

+1.5 -190

Chi. Cubs @ Arizona
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

CHC logo
CHC
CHC

4.77 @ 4.46

AZ
AZ logo
AZ

Cubs vs Diamondbacks · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CHC logo
CHC
CHC

4.77

-105

o8.5 -110

-1.5 +160

AZ logo
AZ
AZ

4.46

-105

u8.5 +100

+1.5 -170

Cincinnati @ San Francisco
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

CIN logo
CIN
CIN

4.01 @ 3.57

SF
SF logo
SF

Reds vs Giants · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CIN logo
CIN
CIN

4.01

+100

o7.5 -120

-1.5 +180

SF logo
SF
SF

3.57

-105

u8.0 -105

+1.5 -190

Cleveland @ LA Angels
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

CLE logo
CLE
CLE

4.14 @ 3.85

LAA
LAA logo
LAA

Guardians vs Angels · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CLE logo
CLE
CLE

4.14

-135

o9.0 +100

-1.5 +125

LAA logo
LAA
LAA

3.85

+130

u9.5 -130

+1.5 -135

Philadelphia @ Seattle
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

PHI logo
PHI
PHI

4.34 @ 3.23

SEA
SEA logo
SEA

Phillies vs Mariners · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

PHI logo
PHI
PHI

4.34

-121

o6.5 -125

-1.5 +145

SEA logo
SEA
SEA

3.23

+115

u7.0 -115

+1.5 -155

Pittsburgh @ San Diego
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

PIT logo
PIT
PIT

4.46 @ 4.39

SD
SD logo
SD

Pirates vs Padres · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

PIT logo
PIT
PIT

4.46

+110

o8.5 -105

+1.5 -210

SD logo
SD
SD

4.39

-120

u8.5 -105

-1.5 +172

Boston @ Miami
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

BOS logo
BOS
BOS

4.45 @ 3.79

MIA
MIA logo
MIA

Red Sox vs Marlins · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

BOS logo
BOS
BOS

4.45

-150

o7.5 -110

-1.5 +115

MIA logo
MIA
MIA

3.79

+143

u7.5 +100

+1.5 -125

Colorado @ Washington
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

COL logo
COL
COL

4.40 @ 4.77

WAS
WAS logo
WAS

Rockies vs Nationals · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

COL logo
COL
COL

4.40

--

--

--

WAS logo
WAS
WAS

4.77

--

--

--

Houston @ NY Yankees
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

HOU logo
HOU
HOU

4.01 @ 4.73

NYY
NYY logo
NYY

Astros vs Yankees · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

HOU logo
HOU
HOU

4.01

--

--

--

NYY logo
NYY
NYY

4.73

--

--

--

Kansas City @ Toronto
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

KC logo
KC
KC

4.46 @ 4.48

TOR
TOR logo
TOR

Royals vs Blue Jays · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

KC logo
KC
KC

4.46

+114

--

--

TOR logo
TOR
TOR

4.48

-134

--

--

Milwaukee @ NY Mets
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Brewers vs Mets · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

MIL logo
MIL
MIL

--

-150

o8.0 -120

-1.5 +112

NYM logo
NYM
NYM

--

+143

u8.5 -115

+1.5 -134

LA Dodgers @ Atlanta
Matchup Stats
Texas @ Chi. White Sox
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Rangers vs White Sox · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

TEX logo
TEX
TEX

--

+120

o8.0 +100

+1.5 -194

CHW logo
CHW
CHW

--

-130

u8.0 -110

-1.5 +160

Baltimore @ St. Louis
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Orioles vs Cardinals · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

BAL logo
BAL
BAL

--

+100

o8.0 -115

-1.5 +165

STL logo
STL
STL

--

-108

u8.0 -105

+1.5 -175

Minnesota @ Athletics
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Twins vs Athletics · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

MIN logo
MIN
MIN

--

-130

o10.0 -105

-1.5 +115

ATH logo
ATH
ATH

--

+120

u10.0 +100

+1.5 -125

Colorado @ Washington
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Rockies vs Nationals · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

COL logo
COL
COL

--

--

--

--

WAS logo
WAS
WAS

--

--

--

--

Baltimore @ St. Louis
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Orioles vs Cardinals · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

BAL logo
BAL
BAL

--

--

--

--

STL logo
STL
STL

--

--

--

--

Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ Miami Marlins logo MIA Tue, Aug 25 • 6:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Ceddanne Rafaela logo
Ceddanne Rafaela o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.48
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 84th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. Ceddanne Rafaela is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.. Ceddanne Rafaela has posted a .285 batting average this year, ranking in the 91st percentile.
Total Bases
Heriberto Hernandez logo
Heriberto Hernandez u1.5 Total Bases (-200)
Projection 0.75
Best Odds
Pick made: 20 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
LoanDepot Park grades out as the #30 venue in baseball for righty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations among all stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense.. The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for pitching.. Today, Heriberto Hernandez is at a disadvantage facing the league's 9th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 37.1% rate (92nd percentile).. Among every team today, the 2nd-best infield defense belongs to the Boston Red Sox.
View 4 Picks
Tampa Bay Rays logo TB @ Detroit Tigers logo DET Tue, Aug 25 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Yandy Diaz logo Yandy Diaz o0.5 Total Home Runs (+800)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

Sometimes it's all about price, and that's where I am with Yandy Diaz vs. Jackson Jobe on Tuesday night at +700 or better. It's a favorable matchup against Jobe, who has allowed two dingers over 14 innings this year and should see his ground-ball rate regress closer to his career numbers. Diaz hits right-handed pitching well, with an OPS that's five points better than against lefties, which is why I'm scratching my head over why today's HR price is 250 points longer than yesterday's in a similar, if not better, matchup. It's a .300 hitter with 25-HR potential getting priced like a No. 9 hitter in a good matchup. Sign me up.

Strikeouts Thrown
Jackson Jobe logo Jackson Jobe u3.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-132)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

The Tampa Bay Rays have been one of the hardest teams in baseball to strike out, owning the lowest strikeout rate on the season and the second lowest over their last 21 games. They also lead baseball in contact rate during that stretch at 81.8%. That sets up poorly for Detroit Tigers right hander Jackson Jobe, who has struggled since returning from injury and owns a 5.49 xERA, 1.36 WHIP and 18% strikeout rate on the season. With eight Rays bats under a 20% strikeout rate, including six under 17.9%, Jobe should struggle to reach four strikeouts tonight. Take this down to -135.

View 16 Picks
Colorado Rockies logo COL @ Washington Nationals logo WAS Tue, Aug 25 • 6:45 PM ET
Total Bases
CJ Abrams logo
CJ Abrams o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.84
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive ability, CJ Abrams ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. CJ Abrams is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today.. Hitting from the same side that Kyle Freeland throws from, CJ Abrams encounters a tough challenge in today's matchup.. CJ Abrams pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.6% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and CJ Abrams will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total RBIs
Willi Castro logo
Willi Castro o0.5 Total RBIs (+219)
Projection 0.47
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Willi Castro is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Nationals Park has the 8th-shallowest in Major League Baseball.. Willi Castro's launch angle this season (18.6°) is significantly higher than his 11.6° angle last year.. Willi Castro's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved in recent games, rising from 48% on the season to 75% in the last week.. In notching a .320 BABIP this year, Willi Castro is positioned in the 80th percentile.
View 9 Picks
Houston Astros logo HOU @ New York Yankees logo NYY Tue, Aug 25 • 7:05 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Yordan Alvarez logo Yordan Alvarez o0.5 Total Home Runs (+220)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Will Warren has allowed a .297 ISO and 2.28 HR/9 over his last 10 starts. He is really struggling to keep the ball in the park, and playing at Yankee Stadium won’t help the cause.

Yordan Alvarez is the most likely candidate to take advantage. He owns a .313 ISO and 13.8% barrel rate against Warren’s two most-used pitches vs. lefties, the fastball and changeup.

Spread
Houston Astros logo HOU +1.5 (-155)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Houston Astros are ninth in SLG and second in HR/FB against righties this season. They hit for power, playing into Will Warren's weaknesses.

The New York Yankees rank 24th in wOBA vs. righties in August, and are unlikely to score enough to separate.

Back Houston +1.5 to -165.

View 13 Picks
Kansas City Royals logo KC @ Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR Tue, Aug 25 • 7:07 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. logo Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Total Home Runs (+540)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
Dustin Saracini image
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst

Tonight is a perfect night to rip the monkey off his back. Lugo will live in the zone, is not overpowering, and is getting barreled this season. It's time for Vlad to get one; we'll take advantage at this price.

Moneyline
Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR (-130)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
Dustin Saracini image
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst

While the Royals have won eight straight, the Jays are catching them with the struggling Seth Lugo on the bump tonight. The former ace has allowed five earned runs in three of his last four starts and is in the middle of the worst season of his career, sporting a career-high 5.18 xERA and .280 xBA. He's simply not missing bats, and the Jays are about to take advantage at home.

View 14 Picks
Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL @ New York Mets logo NYM Tue, Aug 25 • 7:10 PM ET
Total Bases
William Contreras logo
William Contreras o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.65
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.. William Contreras is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Hitting from the opposite that Zach Thornton throws from, William Contreras will have the upper hand today.. William Contreras hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's shallowest CF fences today.. William Contreras has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 8% seasonal rate to 15.4% in the past 14 days.
Total Bases
A.J. Ewing logo
A.J. Ewing o1.5 Total Bases (+255)
Projection 1.27
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects A.J. Ewing as the 10th-best hitter in the majors as it relates to his BABIP ability.. A.J. Ewing has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.. A.J. Ewing will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.. A.J. Ewing's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased recently, going from 16.5% on the season to 25% in the last 14 days.. Despite posting a .301 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes A.J. Ewing has suffered from bad luck given the .013 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .314.
View 10 Picks
Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Tue, Aug 25 • 7:15 PM ET
Strikeouts Thrown
Tyler Glasnow logo Tyler Glasnow u5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+124)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

This is a big price for a pitcher who hasn't pitched in the MLB in four months on a roster that is handling its pitching staff very carefully with the postseason in sight. Glasnow is coming off the IL with a back injury that has sidelined him since early May. He has built up to 77 pitches in his rehab outings, but the Dodgers have no reason to push the right-hander today, making the projected 87-pitch workload feel aggressive. The Under is already showing value at this number. Covers projects Glasnow for 5.51 Ks on 87 pitches, which feels high to me. The Dodgers were off yesterday, so the bullpen is fully rested and ready to pick up the slack. The fair price based on those projections is around -115. Glasnow is an elite pitcher, but this is the spot to fade him. I see a shorter leash and fewer outs than the market is pricing in.

Total Home Runs
Mookie Betts logo Mookie Betts o0.5 Total Home Runs (+510)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
Jason Wilson image
Jason Wilson
Publishing Editor

Bryce Elder has been much worse against righties than he has been against lefties, opening the door for Mookie Betts to take him deep tonight at Truist Park with a better number than what we're getting for Max Muncy or Shohei Ohtani.

View 15 Picks
Texas Rangers logo TEX @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Tue, Aug 25 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Ezequiel Duran logo Ezequiel Duran o0.5 Total Home Runs (+850)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Ezequiel Duran is a value power look despite only one recent homer. His 64.7% hard-hit rate, .300 ISO, and 50% air-contact profile show he is squaring the ball up. Kay’s recent fly-ball rate and the White Sox bullpen’s Monday vulnerability give Duran a path to leave Rate Field tonight.

Total
Texas Rangers logo Chicago White Sox logo u7.5 (-107)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

The Under 7.5 is built on pitching and bullpen form. deGrom is locked in after arguably his best start of the season, while Kay has been steady enough to avoid a blowup. Both relief corps have strong recent FIP numbers, and Chicago must solve deGrom to threaten this total tonight overall.

View 13 Picks
Baltimore Orioles logo BAL @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Tue, Aug 25 • 7:45 PM ET
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Coby Mayo logo Coby Mayo o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+111)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

Coby Mayo finds himself in a great spot against Matthew Liberatore, who has struggled against right handed hitters. So far this season on the road against them, he is allowing a 67.9% elevation rate and 40.6% hard hit rate, while the last 60 he has faced own a .315 xBA, .497 xSLG and 10.8% barrel rate. Mayo has been on a tear over his last ten games, producing a 55% hard hit rate and 20% barrel rate, with a .591 xSLG and .258 ISO. In his last 60 at-bats against left handed pitching, he has a .764 SLG and .455 ISO.

Total Bases
Alec Burleson logo Alec Burleson o1.5 Total Bases (-102)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

Alec Burleson has been hitting the cover off the ball over his last 10 games, posting a .605 SLG, .237 ISO, 51.7% hard-hit rate, and 10.3% barrel rate. He has failed to homer in eight of those games, however, making this an intriguing spot to finally leave the yard. Baltimore right-hander Chris Bassitt has struggled recently, sporting a 5.25 xERA, 1.79 WHIP, and 15.6% strikeout rate. The last 30 left-handed hitters he faced own a .328 xBA, .544 xSLG, and .454 xwOBA. Burleson covers almost 100% of Bassitt's arsenal and owns an elite Batters-Box rating.

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Cleveland Guardians logo CLE @ Los Angeles Angels logo LAA Tue, Aug 25 • 9:38 PM ET
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Mike Trout logo
Mike Trout o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+135)
Projection 1.8
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Mike Trout projects as the 7th-best hitter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mike Trout is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.. In the league, Angel Stadium has the lowest average fence height.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 2nd-most suitable for hitting of the day.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters.
Total Bases
Mike Trout logo
Mike Trout o1.5 Total Bases (+195)
Projection 1.51
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Mike Trout projects as the 7th-best hitter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mike Trout is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.. In the league, Angel Stadium has the lowest average fence height.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 2nd-most suitable for hitting of the day.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters.
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Chicago Cubs logo CHC @ Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ Tue, Aug 25 • 9:40 PM ET
Total
Chicago Cubs logo Arizona Diamondbacks logo o8.5 (-103)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

The Over 8.5 works because both lineups are producing and Arizona’s bullpen is leaking runs. The Cubs own a 140 wRC+ lately, while the Diamondbacks sit at 116. Pfaadt’s homer issues create early scoring upside, and Arizona’s 6.57 bullpen FIP gives Chicago a late path too at Chase Field.

Moneyline
Chicago Cubs logo CHC (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Chicago has the cleaner edge with Clay Holmes limiting walks, barrels, and homers since arriving at the deadline. Brandon Pfaadt is also pitching respectably, but his recent homer issues meet a Cubs lineup carrying a .261 ISO and 140 wRC+ over the last week. Chicago owns the stronger power profile tonight.

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Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT @ San Diego Padres logo SD Tue, Aug 25 • 9:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Oneil Cruz logo
Oneil Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+175)
Projection 1.61
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Oneil Cruz projects as the 12th-best home run batter in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Oneil Cruz is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game.. Petco Park has the 4th-shortest fence height (on average) among all major league stadiums.. Oneil Cruz will have the handedness advantage over Michael King in today's matchup.. Oneil Cruz hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.
Total Bases
Brandon Lowe logo
Brandon Lowe o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.57
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 90th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Brandon Lowe is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. Petco Park has the 4th-shortest fence height (on average) among all major league stadiums.. Hitting from the opposite that Michael King throws from, Brandon Lowe will have an edge in today's matchup.. Brandon Lowe has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.2-mph to 95.1-mph over the past 7 days.
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Minnesota Twins logo MIN @ Athletics Athletics logo ATH Tue, Aug 25 • 9:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Kody Clemens logo
Kody Clemens o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.76
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kody Clemens in the 90th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Kody Clemens is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game.. Sutter Health Park projects as the #1 venue in MLB for left-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all parks, Sutter Health Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the highest temperatures of the day at 99°.
Total Bases
Lawrence Butler logo
Lawrence Butler u1.5 Total Bases (-180)
Projection 0.86
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Today, Lawrence Butler is at a disadvantage facing the league's 6th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 37.4% rate (96th percentile).. Lawrence Butler has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 7.7% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the past week.. Lawrence Butler's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off recently; his 92.8-mph seasonal average has dropped to 64.7-mph over the last 7 days.. Lawrence Butler's launch angle recently (-6.3° over the last week) is significantly lower than his 6.6° seasonal mark.. Grading out in the 13th percentile, Lawrence Butler sports a .340 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year.
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Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI @ Seattle Mariners logo SEA Tue, Aug 25 • 9:40 PM ET
Outs Recorded
Aaron Nola logo Aaron Nola u17.5 Outs Recorded (+100)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

Aaron Nola hasn't pitched terribly of late, but this is still a pitcher on the downswing of his career who remains one of the hardest-hit pitchers in baseball. Only nine other MLB starters have a worse BlastContact% than the Philadelphia right-hander. Nola is also coming off a 100-pitch outing, something he hadn't done in 20 straight starts. That extra workload could negatively affect his efficiency today, and it's not like he has been regularly getting to 18 outs. He's 4-11 O/U on this number over his last 15 starts. It's a road start against a Mariners team that finally got Cal Raleigh going, while the Phillies have all three of their left-handed reliever options available today. Fading Nola is a no-doubt look.

 

Total Home Runs
Bryce Harper logo Bryce Harper o0.5 Total Home Runs (+380)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

George Kirby attacks lefties most prominently with a fastball-sweeper combination, and that’s a recipe for disaster against Bryce Harper.

He has absolutely crushed those two pitches this season, posting ISOs of .536 and .875 against right-handed pitching while hitting 15 homers. 

Play to +350.

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Cincinnati Reds logo CIN @ San Francisco Giants logo SF Tue, Aug 25 • 9:45 PM ET
Total Home Runs
DC
Drew Cavanaugh o0.5 Total Home Runs (+1300)
Projection 0.08
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Drew Cavanaugh has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (100% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Oracle Park has the shallowest right field dimensions among all major league stadiums.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters.. Drew Cavanaugh will hold the platoon advantage over Brady Singer today... and moreover, Singer has a huge platoon split.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Drew Cavanaugh will hold that advantage today.
Total Bases
Grant McCray logo
Grant McCray u1.5 Total Bases (-250)
Projection 0.68
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Grant McCray's batting average talent is projected to be in the 10th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Grant McCray is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in this game.. When starting against a right-handed starter since the start of last season, Grant McCray has been pinch hit for 17% of the time.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oracle Park as the 4th-worst stadium in MLB for LHB home runs.. In the majors, the tallest average fence height are at Oracle Park.
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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
Total
Boston Red Sox logo New York Yankees logo o8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

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San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
Total
San Francisco Giants logo Atlanta Braves logo o7.5 (-116)
Pick made: 2 months ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

Moneyline
San Francisco Giants logo SF (+124)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?

MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.

How To Use MLB Computer Picks

You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.

This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.

If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.

Moneyline

This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.

It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.

Run line

The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.

The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.

Totals (Over/Under)

Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.

Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark

More MLB Picks & Betting Tools

NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks

A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.

First Five Innings MLB Picks

The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.

MLB Picks And Parlays

If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.

But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.

If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.

MLB Player Props

Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?

You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.

MLB Futures Picks

Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.

MLB Free Picks FAQs

When do we release our MLB picks?

Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.

What kinds of MLB picks do we make?

Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.