Miami @ Texas Picks & Props

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for bats. Patrick Corbin will have the handedness advantage against Graham Pauley in today's game. Out of all the teams in action today, the weakest infield defense is that of the the Texas Rangers. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Graham Pauley ranks in the 77th percentile with a 17.6° launch angle, which is one of the highest angles in baseball. Sporting a 1.83 K/BB rate this year, Graham Pauley has shown favorable plate discipline, placing in the 83rd percentile.

Otto Lopez's batting average ability is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Otto Lopez is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for bats. Out of all the teams in action today, the weakest infield defense is that of the the Texas Rangers. Otto Lopez has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .296 mark is a fair amount lower than his .336 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Duran in the 77th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for bats. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Ezequiel Duran will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Ezequiel Duran has posted a .328 BABIP this year, grading out in the 83rd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eric Wagaman in the 80th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for bats. Out of all the teams in action today, the weakest infield defense is that of the the Texas Rangers. Eric Wagaman has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91-mph to 96.3-mph over the last 14 days.

Agustin Ramirez is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for bats. Out of all the teams in action today, the weakest infield defense is that of the the Texas Rangers. Agustin Ramirez has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .232 mark is significantly deflated relative to his .263 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. This year, the hardest ball Agustin Ramirez has connected with reached a maximum exit velocity of 116.9 mph (an advanced stat to measure power), checking in at the 96th percentile.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Adam Mazur throws from, Josh Smith will have the upper hand today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Josh Smith will hold that advantage today. In the last week, Josh Smith's 30.8% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 14%. As it relates to plate discipline, Josh Smith's talent is quite impressive, posting a 1.75 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 78th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Sanoja in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for bats. Out of all the teams in action today, the weakest infield defense is that of the the Texas Rangers. Javier Sanoja has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 92.9-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 88.7-mph figure. In terms of his batting average, Javier Sanoja has been unlucky this year. His .243 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .282.

Xavier Edwards's batting average ability is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Xavier Edwards is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for bats. As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the plate, Xavier Edwards will bat from his worse side against Patrick Corbin in this game. Out of all the teams in action today, the weakest infield defense is that of the the Texas Rangers.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Jake Burger has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (66% of the time), but he is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for bats. Jake Burger will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Jake Burger has been unlucky this year, putting up a .301 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .346 — a .045 disparity.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Jung in the 88th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for bats. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Josh Jung will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Josh Jung has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 99.6-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal mark of 93.3-mph. Over the last 7 days, Josh Jung's 60% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 48.8%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Norby in the 97th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for bats. Out of all the teams in action today, the weakest infield defense is that of the the Texas Rangers. In the past week, Connor Norby's 42.9% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.7%. Connor Norby has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .295 mark is a good deal lower than his .316 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for bats. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Jonah Heim will hold that advantage in today's game. Jonah Heim's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 11.1% to 15.9%.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for bats. Out of all the teams in action today, the weakest infield defense is that of the the Texas Rangers. Over the last 7 days, Heriberto Hernandez's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.4% up to 22.2%. Heriberto Hernandez has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 100.2-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal EV of 94-mph. Heriberto Hernandez's launch angle in recent games (25.3° over the last 7 days) is quite a bit better than his 14.7° seasonal mark.

Cody Freeman has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (88% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for bats. Cody Freeman will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Compared to his seasonal average of 12°, Cody Freeman has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 27.3° angle over the last 7 days.

Liam Hicks has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (57% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for bats. Batting from the same side that Patrick Corbin throws from, Liam Hicks will have a tough challenge in today's game. Out of all the teams in action today, the weakest infield defense is that of the the Texas Rangers. Liam Hicks has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 84.8-mph to 90.9-mph over the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adolis Garcia in the 81st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Adolis Garcia is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for bats. Adolis Garcia will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Adolis Garcia's true offensive skill to be a .325, implying that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .038 difference between that mark and his actual .287 wOBA.

Kyle Higashioka has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (88% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for bats. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Kyle Higashioka will hold that advantage today.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for bats. Michael Helman will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Rowdy Tellez is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 81% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for bats. Rowdy Tellez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Adam Mazur in today's matchup. Rowdy Tellez will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Rowdy Tellez has made notable improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 8.1% rate last season to 14% this season.

Alejandro Osuna is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 79% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for bats. Alejandro Osuna will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Adam Mazur today. Alejandro Osuna will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Alejandro Osuna has been unlucky this year. His .264 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .331.

Jakob Marsee is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for bats. Patrick Corbin will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jakob Marsee today. Out of all the teams in action today, the weakest infield defense is that of the the Texas Rangers. Launch angles in the range of -4° to 26° tend to become base hits at a high rate; Jakob Marsee and his 56.1% this year rank in the 96th percentile by this measure.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Joc Pederson ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Joc Pederson is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for bats. Joc Pederson will have the handedness advantage against Adam Mazur today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Joc Pederson will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for bats. Hitting from the same side that Patrick Corbin throws from, Troy Johnston will have a disadvantage in today's game. Out of all the teams in action today, the weakest infield defense is that of the the Texas Rangers. Over the last week, Troy Johnston's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.1% up to 22.2%. In the past week's worth of games, Troy Johnston's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.5-mph over the course of the season to 104.9-mph of late.

Wyatt Langford has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.