MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on April 3, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ Washington Nationals logo WAS Fri, Apr 3 • 1:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Daylen Lile logo
Daylen Lile u0.5 Total Hits (+190)
Projection 0.86
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Nationals Park ranks as the #27 venue in the majors for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Daylen Lile has been cold recently, notching a 0% Barrel% (an advanced standard to study power) over the past week.. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Daylen Lile's swing has not been well optimized for home runs, hitting a mere 5.3% of his balls with a launch angle in the optimal range of 23° to 34°.
Total Bases
Luis Garcia Jr. logo
Luis Garcia Jr. o0.5 Total Bases (-210)
Projection 1.62
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Luis Garcia Jr.'s batting average skill is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Luis Garcia Jr. is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.. Nationals Park has the 8th-shallowest right field fences in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.3-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters.. Luis Garcia Jr. will have the handedness advantage over Emmet Sheehan today.
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St. Louis Cardinals logo STL @ Detroit Tigers logo DET Fri, Apr 3 • 1:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
JJ Wetherholt logo
JJ Wetherholt u0.5 Total Hits (+172)
Projection 0.8
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
JJ Wetherholt has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (100% of the time), but he is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in this game.. Batting from the same side that Framber Valdez throws from, JJ Wetherholt will have a disadvantage in today's matchup.. JJ Wetherholt hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 94th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game's 2nd-deepest CF fences in today's game.. JJ Wetherholt will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup.. JJ Wetherholt has had a particularly weak THE BAT X Spray Score over the past week, which measures a hitter's ability to hit the ball to all fields.
Total Hits
Ramon Urias logo
Ramon Urias u0.5 Total Hits (+136)
Projection 0.71
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Ramon Urias has been pinch hit for 11% of the time when starting against a left-handed pitcher since the start of last season.. Among all major league stadiums, Comerica Park's centerfield fences are the 2nd-deepest.. Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Ramon Urias today.. Sporting a .298 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Ramon Urias finds himself in the 23rd percentile for offensive ability.. Grading out in the 22nd percentile, the hardest ball Ramon Urias has hit since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 109.4 mph -- an advanced indication of underlying power ability.
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Miami Marlins logo MIA @ New York Yankees logo NYY Fri, Apr 3 • 1:35 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Spread
New York Yankees logo NYY -1.5 (+128)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 hours ago
Chris Vasile image
Chris Vasile
Publishing Editor

Despite the hot start, I'm not convinced the Marlins are a good team. They've beaten up on the Rockies and White Sox, and the Yankees present a whole new set of problems. Will Warren looked good on debut, and the Yankees, playing at home in their home opener, should run away with this one. 

Total Hits
Cody Bellinger logo
Cody Bellinger u0.5 Total Hits (+150)
Projection 0.74
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 16th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. The #3 venue in the majors for suppressing base hits to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Yankee Stadium.. Yankee Stadium's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense.. This matchup is predicted to have the 5th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Typically, bats like Cody Bellinger who hit a lot of flyballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Eury Perez.
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San Diego Padres logo SD @ Boston Red Sox logo BOS Fri, Apr 3 • 2:10 PM ET
9 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Wilyer Abreu logo
Wilyer Abreu u0.5 Total Hits (+170)
Projection 0.76
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The weather report projects temperatures in this matchup to drop to the 4th-lowest level on the slate today at 57°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. The San Diego Padres outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-best out of all the teams in action today.. San Diego's #3-ranked outfield defense of all teams on the slate today poses a formidable challenge for Wilyer Abreu, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.
Total Hits
Carlos Narvaez logo
Carlos Narvaez u0.5 Total Hits (+110)
Projection 0.56
Best Odds
Pick made: 17 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Narvaez in the 20th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. Carlos Narvaez is penciled in 9th in the batting order in this matchup.. The weather report projects temperatures in this matchup to drop to the 4th-lowest level on the slate today at 57°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. Batting from the same side that Michael King throws from, Carlos Narvaez will have a tough challenge today.. The San Diego Padres outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-best out of all the teams in action today.
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Cincinnati Reds logo CIN @ Texas Rangers logo TEX Fri, Apr 3 • 4:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Eugenio Suarez logo
Eugenio Suarez o0.5 Total Bases (-130)
Projection 1.43
Best Odds
Pick made: 33 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Eugenio Suarez as the majors's 12th-best home run batter.. Eugenio Suarez is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game.. Globe Life Field has the 6th-shortest average fence height among all parks.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-best for hitting on the slate today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15.5-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for bats.
Total Bases
Evan Carter logo
Evan Carter o0.5 Total Bases (-145)
Projection 1.37
Best Odds
Pick made: 33 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Globe Life Field has the 6th-shortest average fence height among all parks.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-best for hitting on the slate today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15.5-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for bats.. Evan Carter will have the handedness advantage over Brady Singer in today's game... and even better, Singer has a huge platoon split.. Evan Carter will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
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Chicago Cubs logo CHC @ Cleveland Guardians logo CLE Fri, Apr 3 • 4:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Miguel Amaya logo
Miguel Amaya u0.5 Total Hits (+105)
Projection 0.56
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Amaya in the 19th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. Miguel Amaya is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this matchup.. Miguel Amaya will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup.. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.274) suggests that Miguel Amaya has had positive variance on his side since the start of last season with his .358 actual wOBA.. Since the start of last season, Miguel Amaya's flyball exit velocity (an advanced standard to measure power) ranks in the 12th percentile at 87.4 mph.
Total Bases
Ian Happ logo
Ian Happ o0.5 Total Bases (-190)
Projection 1.46
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Ian Happ ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ian Happ is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. The #3 venue in the league for boosting BABIP to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.. The 3rd-shallowest left field dimensions among all parks are found in Progressive Field.. Ian Happ has been hot of late, notching a an 18.2% Barrel% (an advanced metric to measure power) in the past week's worth of games.
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Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI @ Colorado Rockies logo COL Fri, Apr 3 • 4:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Ezequiel Tovar logo
Ezequiel Tovar o1.5 Total Bases (+139)
Projection 1.75
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Tovar in the 77th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. Ezequiel Tovar is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best stadium in the majors for run-scoring.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which often leads to higher offensive output.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Ezequiel Tovar will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Hunter Goodman logo
Hunter Goodman o1.5 Total Bases (+111)
Projection 1.92
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his home run ability, Hunter Goodman ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Hunter Goodman is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best stadium in the majors for run-scoring.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which often leads to higher offensive output.. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Hunter Goodman will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
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Tampa Bay Rays logo TB @ Minnesota Twins logo MIN Fri, Apr 3 • 4:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Royce Lewis logo
Royce Lewis o0.5 Total Bases (-115)
Projection 1.08
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Target Field as the 5th-best ballpark in the league for run-scoring.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense projects as the worst among all the teams playing today.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Royce Lewis will hold that advantage in today's game.. Over the past week, Royce Lewis has displayed impressive power, recording a a 28.6% Barrel% (an advanced stat to assess power).. Royce Lewis's 17.7° launch angle (a reliable metric to evaluate a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the most flyball-inducing in the league: 83rd percentile.
Total Bases
Junior Caminero logo
Junior Caminero o0.5 Total Bases (-200)
Projection 1.64
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his home run talent, Junior Caminero ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Junior Caminero is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Target Field as the 5th-best ballpark in the league for run-scoring.. Junior Caminero has hit one of the hardest balls in MLB in the last two weeks — 116.9-mph — which is a favorable indicator of recent form and raw power.. Placing in the 96th percentile, the hardest ball Junior Caminero has made contact with since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 116.9 mph -- an advanced indication of underlying power skill.
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Baltimore Orioles logo BAL @ Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT Fri, Apr 3 • 4:12 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Oneil Cruz logo
Oneil Cruz o0.5 Total Bases (-170)
Projection 1.69
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Oneil Cruz projects as the 13th-best home run hitter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Oneil Cruz is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Bradish throws from, Oneil Cruz will have an advantage in today's game.. Out of all the teams today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Baltimore Orioles.
Total Bases
Taylor Ward logo
Taylor Ward o0.5 Total Bases (-200)
Projection 1.72
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Taylor Ward in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. Taylor Ward is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. Among all the teams playing today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates.. Taylor Ward's 13.6% Barrel% (an advanced standard to evaluate power) ranks in the 86th percentile since the start of last season.
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Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL @ Kansas City Royals logo KC Fri, Apr 3 • 7:45 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Salvador Perez logo
Salvador Perez u0.5 Total Hits (+185)
Projection 0.86
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 11th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.. Chad Patrick will have the handedness advantage over Salvador Perez in today's matchup.. In today's game, Salvador Perez is at a disadvantage facing the league's deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 37.9% rate (94th percentile).. Typically, batters like Salvador Perez who hit a lot of flyballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Chad Patrick.. The Milwaukee Brewers outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-strongest out of all the teams on the slate today.
Total Bases
Vinnie Pasquantino logo
Vinnie Pasquantino o0.5 Total Bases (-245)
Projection 1.7
Best Odds
Pick made: 15 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 7th-best venue in baseball for run-scoring.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.. Vinnie Pasquantino will have the handedness advantage over Chad Patrick in today's game.
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Seattle Mariners logo SEA @ Los Angeles Angels logo LAA Fri, Apr 3 • 9:38 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Brendan Donovan logo
Brendan Donovan u0.5 Total Hits (+190)
Projection 0.9
Best Odds
Pick made: 37 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Brendan Donovan is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card today, which would be a downgrade from his 71% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.. Reid Detmers will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brendan Donovan in today's matchup.. Brendan Donovan has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and will have to hit them out towards the game's 11th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup.. Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Brendan Donovan in today's matchup.. This season, there has been a decline in Brendan Donovan's quickness with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 26.55 ft/sec last year to 24.34 ft/sec currently.
Total Hits
Josh Naylor logo
Josh Naylor u0.5 Total Hits (+185)
Projection 0.9
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Naylor in the 11th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. Reid Detmers will have the handedness advantage against Josh Naylor in today's game.. Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Josh Naylor in today's matchup.. Josh Naylor's quickness has declined this season. His 24.42 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 21.54 ft/sec now.. Posting a -2.7° launch angle over the past 14 days suggests that Josh Naylor has been finding it challenging to lift the ball of late, which is a key component of hitting for power.
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Houston Astros logo HOU @ Athletics Athletics logo ATH Fri, Apr 3 • 9:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Brice Matthews logo
Brice Matthews u0.5 Total Hits (+125)
Projection 0.59
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Matthews in the 7th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.. Brice Matthews is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this matchup.. Brice Matthews has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 32% of the time when starting against a lefty hurler since the start of last season.. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report expects the driest conditions on the schedule today at 11%.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 10.2-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hurlers.
Total Bases
Nick Kurtz logo
Nick Kurtz o0.5 Total Bases (-185)
Projection 1.73
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Nick Kurtz projects as the 8th-best home run hitter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Nick Kurtz is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game.. Sutter Health Park projects as the #4 venue in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all parks, Sutter Health Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. Hitting from the opposite that Cristian Javier throws from, Nick Kurtz will have an advantage in today's matchup.
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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ Fri, Apr 3 • 9:45 PM ET
8 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Corbin Carroll logo
Corbin Carroll o0.5 Total Bases (-235)
Projection 1.84
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Corbin Carroll ranks as the 17th-best hitter in the majors.. Corbin Carroll is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best stadium in the league for left-handed batting average.. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. The weather forecast calls for the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.
Total Bases
Ozzie Albies logo
Ozzie Albies o0.5 Total Bases (-230)
Projection 1.8
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Ozzie Albies is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 67% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best field in baseball for righty batting average.. The weather forecast calls for the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The switch-hitting Ozzie Albies will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Eduardo Rodriguez.. Ozzie Albies and his 17.4° launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls rank in 90th percentile, among the highest in MLB since the start of last season.
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New York Mets logo NYM @ San Francisco Giants logo SF Fri, Apr 3 • 10:15 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Juan Soto logo
Juan Soto o0.5 Total Bases (-210)
Projection 1.82
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 2nd-best batter in the majors.. Juan Soto is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. The #4 park in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park.. In the majors, Oracle Park's RF fences are the shallowest.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 11-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for bats.
Total Bases
Francisco Lindor logo
Francisco Lindor o0.5 Total Bases (-220)
Projection 1.7
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Francisco Lindor is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today.. The #4 park in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 11-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for bats.. Francisco Lindor pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.9% — 90th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.
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