Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Josh Naylor o0.5 Total Home Runs (+425)
Cal Raleigh Hit a Home Run (Yes: +150)
Mariners slugger Cal Raleigh has a favorable matchup tonight against Orioles right-hander Dean Kremer. Although Raleigh is only 1-for-8 against Kremer, the SP is having a rough season, allowing 18 long balls in 23 appearances. Left-handed hitters have taken him deep 11 times, and the switch-hitting catcher is red-hot right now. He’s smacked 23 of his bombs on the road, too.
Dean Kremer o1.5 Walks Allowed (-105)
Kremer has a tough walk matchup vs. the Mariners, who rank second in the league in BB% over the last two weeks at 10.8% which is 0.1 point shorter than the best in baseball. It's a hot day in Camden, and Kremer has allowed at least one walk in 16 straight starts where he has been profitable to this Over. This should be a coinflip vs. a neutral matchup, but the setting (potential light showers) and opponent don't seem fully priced in here.
Jorge Polanco o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Jorge Polanco has hit right-handed pitching well this season. He owns a respectable .250 average and has generated real power, sporting a .225 ISO against righties. That power should come to light in a matchup against Dean Kremer. He has given up a lot of power to left-handed hitters, conceding 1.40 homers per nine innings while allowing barrels and flyballs at a noticeably higher rate than when facing right-handed bats. Polanco has only faced Kremer four times but has taken him yard. Don’t be surprised if he gets ahold of one again.
Gunnar Henderson has gone under 1.5 in 10 of his last 10 games.
Cole Young's batting average skill is projected to be in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #9 stadium in the league for lefty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Cole Young will have the handedness advantage over Dean Kremer in today's game. Cole Young pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.2% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's shallowest RF fences today.
Batting from the same side that George Kirby throws from, Jordan Westburg will be at a disadvantage in today's matchup.
Dean Kremer will have the handedness advantage against Randy Arozarena in today's matchup. Randy Arozarena will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup.
Jackson Holliday has gone under 1.5 in 9 of his last 10 games.
Hitting from the same side that Dean Kremer throws from, Julio Rodriguez encounters a tough challenge today. Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Julio Rodriguez today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.P. Crawford in the 80th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #9 stadium in the league for lefty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Dean Kremer throws from, J.P. Crawford will have an advantage in today's game.
Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #9 stadium in the league for lefty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all major league stadiums, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's RF fences are the shallowest. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Dylan Carlson will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #9 stadium in the league for lefty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all major league stadiums, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's RF fences are the shallowest. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Dean Kremer throws from, Dominic Canzone will have the upper hand in today's matchup.
Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #9 field in baseball for righty base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Coby Mayo hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 83rd percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 4th-shallowest CF fences today. Coby Mayo will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 87th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Eugenio Suarez is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #9 field in baseball for righty base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adley Rutschman in the 88th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Adley Rutschman is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #9 stadium in the league for lefty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all major league stadiums, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's RF fences are the shallowest. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Naylor in the 88th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Josh Naylor is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #9 stadium in the league for lefty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Dean Kremer throws from, Josh Naylor will have the upper hand in today's matchup.
Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #9 field in baseball for righty base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Jeremiah Jackson will hold that advantage in today's game.
Ryan Mountcastle's batting average skill is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ryan Mountcastle is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #9 field in baseball for righty base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Ryan Mountcastle has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's shallowest RF fences today.
Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #9 stadium in the league for lefty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Greg Allen will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against George Kirby in today's game. Greg Allen pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.2% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Greg Allen will hold that advantage in today's game.
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Cal Raleigh ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Cal Raleigh is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #9 stadium in the league for lefty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Cal Raleigh pulls a lot of his flyballs (43.7% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest RF fences today.
Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #9 stadium in the league for lefty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that George Kirby throws from, Ryan Noda will have an edge in today's matchup. Ryan Noda pulls many of his flyballs (35.1% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Ryan Noda will hold that advantage today.
Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #9 stadium in the league for lefty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level of all games on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jorge Polanco pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.2% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's shallowest RF fences today.
Last Meeting ( Jun 5, 2025 ) Baltimore 4, Seattle 3
The Seattle Mariners are one of the hottest teams in the major leagues, so they're the last team that the Baltimore Orioles probably want to see.
The teams begin a three-game series Tuesday night in Baltimore.
The Mariners have won seven straight games and nine of their last 10.
"Now it's time to take it on the road and just continue the momentum," said Seattle manager Dan Wilson.
Mariners catcher Cal Raleigh smacked his MLB-leading 45th home run Sunday.
"First thing that pops out is offense playing really well," Raleigh said. "Guys are getting on base and setting the tone."
Baltimore, which remains in last place in the American League East, has won only two of its last seven games.
The Orioles, who are 28-29 in home games, produced a total of 12 hits in a weekend series while losing two of three to the visiting Athletics.
Baltimore interim manager Tony Mansolino is counting on solid pitching to keep the team in games until the offense can get straightened out.
"I hope our starters go seven every night," Mansolino said. "That would be wonderful. The reality is that might not happen, which means if you're in the bullpen, you're going to pitch."
The Mariners and Orioles both had Monday off. It was a chance for Baltimore's bullpen to take a breather -- for now.
"We've had a lot of off-days here recently and we've been able to just rely on a few guys," Mansolino said. "That's going to go away here shortly."
But the best stretch of the season for the Orioles came in late May and early June. Part of that featured a three-game sweep in Seattle when they pulled off a pair of one-run victories and posted a cumulative scoring margin of 12-6.
The Mariners have right-hander George Kirby (7-5, 4.04 ERA) ready to pitch on Tuesday. Kirby, who'll work on five days' rest, has won three consecutive starts and owns a 6-1 record with a 2.83 ERA since the last day of June.
The Orioles topped Kirby on June 3, scoring two runs in five innings while compiling eight hits. He's 1-5 with a 3.80 ERA covering 42 2/3 innings in seven all-time starts vs. Baltimore.
Right-hander Dean Kremer (8-8, 4.35 ERA) will start for the Orioles. He has surrendered 12 runs across 17 innings in his last three outings. That includes taking the loss last Tuesday at Philadelphia.
In five career starts against the Mariners, Kremer is 1-0 with a 2.57 ERA. He has fanned 25 batters in 28 innings.
The Orioles are counting on leadership from the few veterans still on the roster. First baseman Ryan Mountcastle returned Friday from a 10-week stint on the injury list. He celebrated with his first homer since April 30.
"He just got back and I know he's looking around right now and he's kind of coming to the same conclusion that he's one of the guys now, he's one of the leaders in that clubhouse," Mansolino said. "And he's got such a good way about him, and it's so good to have him back, just in the clubhouse and just how he is."
--Field Level Media
Seattle Trends
Baltimore Trends
