Washington @ Kansas City picks
Kauffman Stadium
WAS vs KC Picks
MLB Picks
Strikeouts Thrown


Jason Wilson
Publishing Editor
Cade Cavalli looked sharp in his return to an MLB mound, punching out six in just 4 1/3 innings of work against the A's. He generated 19 whiffs and averaged 35.5 mph on his fastball. The Royals aren't a strikeout-heavy lineup, but Cavalli was touted as an overpowering hurler as a prospect before his injury, and the stuff looked good to start.
Total RBIs

Josh Bell o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Josh Bell ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Josh Bell is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in the league, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate today.. Josh Bell has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 10.5% seasonal rate has fallen off to 5% in the past two weeks.
Total RBIs

CJ Abrams o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 79th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.. CJ Abrams is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in the league, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate today.. CJ Abrams's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, going from 14.6% to 18.2%.
Total RBIs

Brady House o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brady House in the 95th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.. Brady House has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (82% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in the league, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate today.. Brady House will hold the platoon advantage against Bailey Falter in today's game.
Total RBIs

Luis Garcia Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Garcia Jr. in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in the league, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate today.. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (18.7) provides evidence that Luis Garcia Jr. has had bad variance on his side this year with his 13.8 actual HR/600.. Sporting a .271 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , Luis Garcia Jr. grades out in the 76th percentile.
Total RBIs

Nathaniel Lowe o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 75th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.. Nathaniel Lowe is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in the league, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate today.. Nathaniel Lowe has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 7.6% seasonal rate to 21.4% in the last week.
Total RBIs

Paul DeJong o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Paul DeJong is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 73% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in the league, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate today.. Hitting from the opposite that Bailey Falter throws from, Paul DeJong will have an edge in today's game.. Paul DeJong has a ton of pop (83rd percentile) if he makes contact, but that's usually a big "IF" (30% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Bailey Falter has a pitch-to-contact profile (10th percentile K%) — great news for DeJong.
Total RBIs

James Wood o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the best batter in baseball when assessing his BABIP talent.. James Wood is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in the league, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate today.. James Wood has big-time power (94th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's usually a big "IF" (28.5% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Bailey Falter has a pitch-to-contact profile (16th percentile K%) — great news for Wood.
Total Bases

James Wood o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 2.1 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the best batter in baseball when assessing his BABIP talent.. James Wood is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in the league, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate today.. James Wood has big-time power (94th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's usually a big "IF" (28.5% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Bailey Falter has a pitch-to-contact profile (16th percentile K%) — great news for Wood.
Total Bases

Luis Garcia Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Garcia Jr. in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in the league, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate today.. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (18.7) provides evidence that Luis Garcia Jr. has had bad variance on his side this year with his 13.8 actual HR/600.. Sporting a .271 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , Luis Garcia Jr. grades out in the 76th percentile.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

James Wood o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-141)
Projection 2.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the best batter in baseball when assessing his BABIP talent.. James Wood is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in the league, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate today.. James Wood has big-time power (94th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's usually a big "IF" (28.5% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Bailey Falter has a pitch-to-contact profile (16th percentile K%) — great news for Wood.