Philadelphia @ Texas picks

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Globe Life Field as the 2nd-worst park in baseball for RHB batting average. Globe Life Field has the 7th-deepest CF fences in the majors. The Globe Life Field roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up -12° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for pitching. Playing on the road typically lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Trea Turner in today's matchup.

Josh Smith is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Josh Smith will hold the platoon advantage over Zack Wheeler in today's matchup. Among all the teams on the slate today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Josh Smith will hold that advantage today. In the last 7 days, Josh Smith's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.4% up to 16.7%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 79th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Hitting from the opposite that Patrick Corbin throws from, Edmundo Sosa will have an edge today. Edmundo Sosa has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 107.9-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal EV of 89.3-mph. Checking in at the 84th percentile, Edmundo Sosa sports a .329 BABIP this year.

Harrison Bader will have the handedness advantage over Patrick Corbin in today's matchup. In the last 14 days, Harrison Bader's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.3-mph over the course of the season to 95.9-mph recently. Compared to his seasonal average of 12.2°, Harrison Bader has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 37.3° figure over the past week.

Sam Haggerty's BABIP ability is projected in the 83rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Sam Haggerty is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today. Among all the teams on the slate today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Sam Haggerty will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Checking in at the 79th percentile, Sam Haggerty has put up a .265 batting average this year.

Otto Kemp's BABIP talent is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Otto Kemp will have the handedness advantage over Patrick Corbin in today's game. Otto Kemp's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased in recent games, rising from 20.4% on the season to 42.1% over the past two weeks. Otto Kemp has been hot of late, notching a a 15.8% Barrel% (an advanced metric to evaluate power) in the last 14 days. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.327) may lead us to conclude that Otto Kemp has been unlucky this year with his .302 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 86th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. In the past two weeks, Bryson Stott has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 30.7° compared to his seasonal mark of 12.7°. Compared to last year, Bryson Stott has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 16.2% to 20.6% this season. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Bryson Stott has been unlucky this year. His .297 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .316. Bryson Stott has displayed strong plate discipline this year, checking in at the 77th percentile with a 1.8 K/BB rate.

Corey Seager projects as the 7th-best hitter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Corey Seager is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Corey Seager will hold the platoon advantage over Zack Wheeler today. Among all the teams on the slate today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Corey Seager will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 95th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. J.T. Realmuto has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (58% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today. J.T. Realmuto will hold the platoon advantage over Patrick Corbin in today's game. In the last week's worth of games, J.T. Realmuto's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.5-mph over the course of the season to 96.9-mph of late. Despite posting a .312 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes J.T. Realmuto has suffered from bad luck given the .019 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .331.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adolis Garcia is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. Among all the teams on the slate today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Adolis Garcia will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Adolis Garcia has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.5-mph to 98.5-mph over the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Among all the teams on the slate today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Wyatt Langford will hold that advantage in today's game. Wyatt Langford has made notable improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 13.4% seasonal rate to 21.9% in the last two weeks. Wyatt Langford has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 94.3-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 91.2-mph figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Nick Castellanos is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. Nick Castellanos will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Patrick Corbin today. Last season, Nick Castellanos had an average launch angle of 13.9° on his highest exit velocity balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 17.3°. Nick Castellanos has notched a .271 Expected Batting Average this year, ranking in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Josh Jung's BABIP talent is projected in the 88th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Among all the teams on the slate today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Josh Jung will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Josh Jung has made significant strides with his Barrel% recently, upping his 8.5% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the past 7 days. Josh Jung has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.2-mph to 94.4-mph in the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joc Pederson in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Joc Pederson is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. Hitting from the opposite that Zack Wheeler throws from, Joc Pederson will have an advantage in today's game. Among all the teams on the slate today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Joc Pederson will hold that advantage today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 12th-best batter in Major League Baseball. Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Bryce Harper's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 13.3% to 19.2%. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.282) suggests that Bryce Harper has had bad variance on his side this year with his .260 actual batting average. Bryce Harper has compiled a .374 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, ranking in the 95th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Schwarber ranks as the 13th-best hitter in baseball. Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Kyle Schwarber has made notable gains with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 20.5% seasonal rate to 30.8% in the past two weeks. Kyle Schwarber has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 95-mph to 98.5-mph in the past two weeks. Compared to his seasonal average of 19.8°, Kyle Schwarber has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 25.2° figure over the last two weeks.

Among all the teams on the slate today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Philadelphia's 3rd-worst outfield defense of all teams on the slate creates a favorable matchup for Kyle Higashioka, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs. Kyle Higashioka will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Kyle Higashioka has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% of late, upping his 8.2% seasonal rate to 21.1% over the last 14 days. Over the past 14 days, Kyle Higashioka's 31.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.6%.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Marcus Semien ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Marcus Semien is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today. Among all the teams on the slate today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Marcus Semien will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Marcus Semien's launch angle this year (19.8°) is quite a bit higher than his 16.7° mark last year.

Rowdy Tellez will have the handedness advantage over Zack Wheeler today. Among all the teams on the slate today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Rowdy Tellez will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Rowdy Tellez has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 8.1% rate last year to 15.7% this season. Compared to last year, Rowdy Tellez has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 12% to 18.9% this season.

Weston Wilson will hold the platoon advantage over Patrick Corbin in today's game. Using Statcast data, Weston Wilson ranks in the 95th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .358. Weston Wilson has posted a .258 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, grading out in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Sporting a .345 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Weston Wilson finds himself in the 91st percentile. Grading out in the 85th percentile, Weston Wilson sports a .265 batting average since the start of last season.