COL +173 o8.5
PIT -189 u8.5
WAS +167 o9.0
PHI -183 u9.0
HOU -101 o9.5
BAL -107 u9.5
BOS +161 o8.5
NYY -176 u8.5
KC +133 o8.5
DET -144 u8.5
TOR -164 o8.5
MIA +150 u8.5
NYM +103 o8.5
ATL -112 u8.5
STL +126 o9.0
TB -137 u9.0
MIN -127 o8.5
CHW +117 u8.5
CLE +137 o7.5
TEX -149 u7.5
SF +149 o8.5
MIL -162 u8.5
CHC -140 o9.5
LAA +126 u9.5
CIN +119 o9.0
AZ -129 u9.0
LAD -118 o8.0
SD +109 u8.0
ATH +181 o8.0
SEA -204 u8.0

Cleveland @ New York picks

Citi Field

CLE vs NYM Picks

MLB Picks
Total RBIs
Francisco Lindor logo
Francisco Lindor o0.5 Total RBIs (+240)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 days ago
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. Francisco Lindor is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game.. In MLB, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Francisco Lindor will hold that advantage today.. Francisco Lindor's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved in recent games, going from 15.5% on the season to 32.3% in the last 14 days.
Total RBIs
Juan Soto logo
Juan Soto o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 days ago
EV Model Rating
Juan Soto projects as the 4th-best batter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Juan Soto is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. In MLB, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest.. Hitting from the opposite that Gavin Williams throws from, Juan Soto will have an edge today.. Juan Soto will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.
Total RBIs
Pete Alonso logo
Pete Alonso o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 days ago
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 16th-best hitter in baseball.. Pete Alonso is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. In MLB, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest.. Pete Alonso will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.. Pete Alonso has made substantial improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 13.2% rate last year to 20.5% this year.
Total RBIs
Jose Ramirez logo
Jose Ramirez o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 days ago
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jose Ramirez ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jose Ramirez is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Jose Ramirez will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against David Peterson today.. Jose Ramirez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (42% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Extreme groundball hitters like Jose Ramirez generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like David Peterson.
Total Bases
Pete Alonso logo
Pete Alonso o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 days ago
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 16th-best hitter in baseball.. Pete Alonso is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. In MLB, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest.. Pete Alonso will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.. Pete Alonso has made substantial improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 13.2% rate last year to 20.5% this year.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Austin Hedges logo
Austin Hedges o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-105)
Projection 1.1 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 days ago
EV Model Rating
Austin Hedges will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against David Peterson in today's game.. Austin Hedges pulls many of his flyballs (34.3% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest out of all the teams today.. Austin Hedges has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 93.3-mph average to last season's 88.4-mph figure.. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Austin Hedges ranks in the 97th percentile with a 23° launch angle, which is one of the most flyball-inducing angles in the league.
Total Bases
Jose Ramirez logo
Jose Ramirez o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 days ago
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jose Ramirez ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jose Ramirez is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Jose Ramirez will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against David Peterson today.. Jose Ramirez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (42% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Extreme groundball hitters like Jose Ramirez generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like David Peterson.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Cedric Mullins logo
Cedric Mullins o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-165)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 days ago
EV Model Rating
In MLB, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest.. Batting from the opposite that Gavin Williams throws from, Cedric Mullins will have an edge today.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Cedric Mullins will hold that advantage today.. Last year, Cedric Mullins had an average launch angle of 12.5° on his hardest-hit balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 16.4°.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Nolan Jones logo
Nolan Jones o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-155)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 days ago
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Jones in the 85th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. Nolan Jones has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest out of all the teams today.. Nolan Jones has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .278 rate is considerably lower than his .313 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Brett Baty logo
Brett Baty o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-155)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 days ago
EV Model Rating
Batting from the opposite that Gavin Williams throws from, Brett Baty will have the upper hand today.. Brett Baty has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Brett Baty will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.. Brett Baty has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 96.1-mph average to last year's 91.3-mph EV.. Brett Baty has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .230 BA is deflated compared to his .270 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
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CLE vs NYM Consensus Picks

View all Consensus Picks

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Moneyline

61% picking NY Mets

39%
61%

Total PicksCLE 270, NYM 419

Moneyline
CLE
NYM

CLE vs NYM Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Brayan Rocchio Total Hits Props • Cleveland

Brayan Rocchio
B. Rocchio
shortstop SS • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

In MLB, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams today. Brayan Rocchio has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 87.7-mph average to last year's 84.5-mph mark. Brayan Rocchio has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average this year; his .231 mark is a good deal lower than his .263 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Brayan Rocchio

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

In MLB, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams today. Brayan Rocchio has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 87.7-mph average to last year's 84.5-mph mark. Brayan Rocchio has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average this year; his .231 mark is a good deal lower than his .263 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Brett Baty Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Brett Baty
B. Baty
third base 3B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Batting from the opposite that Gavin Williams throws from, Brett Baty will have the upper hand today. Brett Baty has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Brett Baty will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Brett Baty has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 96.1-mph average to last year's 91.3-mph EV. Brett Baty has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .230 BA is deflated compared to his .270 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Brett Baty

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Batting from the opposite that Gavin Williams throws from, Brett Baty will have the upper hand today. Brett Baty has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Brett Baty will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Brett Baty has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 96.1-mph average to last year's 91.3-mph EV. Brett Baty has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .230 BA is deflated compared to his .270 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Steven Kwan Total Hits Props • Cleveland

Steven Kwan
S. Kwan
left outfield LF • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

Steven Kwan's batting average ability is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Steven Kwan is penciled in 1st in the lineup today. Steven Kwan has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams today. Compared to his seasonal average of 15°, Steven Kwan has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 24.8° mark over the last two weeks.

Steven Kwan

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Steven Kwan's batting average ability is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Steven Kwan is penciled in 1st in the lineup today. Steven Kwan has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams today. Compared to his seasonal average of 15°, Steven Kwan has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 24.8° mark over the last two weeks.

Jose Ramirez Total Hits Props • Cleveland

Jose Ramirez
J. Ramirez
third base 3B • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jose Ramirez ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jose Ramirez is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Jose Ramirez will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against David Peterson today. Jose Ramirez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (42% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Extreme groundball hitters like Jose Ramirez generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like David Peterson.

Jose Ramirez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jose Ramirez ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jose Ramirez is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Jose Ramirez will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against David Peterson today. Jose Ramirez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (42% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Extreme groundball hitters like Jose Ramirez generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like David Peterson.

Nolan Jones Total Hits Props • Cleveland

Nolan Jones
N. Jones
right outfield RF • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Jones in the 85th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Nolan Jones has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams today. Nolan Jones has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .278 rate is considerably lower than his .313 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Nolan Jones

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Jones in the 85th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Nolan Jones has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams today. Nolan Jones has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .278 rate is considerably lower than his .313 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Francisco Lindor Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Francisco Lindor
F. Lindor
shortstop SS • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Francisco Lindor is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game. In MLB, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Francisco Lindor will hold that advantage today. Francisco Lindor's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved in recent games, going from 15.5% on the season to 32.3% in the last 14 days.

Francisco Lindor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Francisco Lindor is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game. In MLB, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Francisco Lindor will hold that advantage today. Francisco Lindor's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved in recent games, going from 15.5% on the season to 32.3% in the last 14 days.

Angel Martinez Total Hits Props • Cleveland

Angel Martinez
A. Martinez
center outfield CF • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Angel Martinez has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (62% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game. The switch-hitting Angel Martinez will get to bat from his better side (0) today against David Peterson. Angel Martinez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.5% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams today. Angel Martinez has seen a big gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 91-mph average over the last week to his seasonal 87.8-mph average.

Angel Martinez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Angel Martinez has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (62% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game. The switch-hitting Angel Martinez will get to bat from his better side (0) today against David Peterson. Angel Martinez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.5% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams today. Angel Martinez has seen a big gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 91-mph average over the last week to his seasonal 87.8-mph average.

Cedric Mullins Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Cedric Mullins
C. Mullins
center outfield CF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

In MLB, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Gavin Williams throws from, Cedric Mullins will have an edge today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Cedric Mullins will hold that advantage today. Last year, Cedric Mullins had an average launch angle of 12.5° on his hardest-hit balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 16.4°.

Cedric Mullins

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

In MLB, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Gavin Williams throws from, Cedric Mullins will have an edge today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Cedric Mullins will hold that advantage today. Last year, Cedric Mullins had an average launch angle of 12.5° on his hardest-hit balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 16.4°.

Ronny Mauricio Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Ronny Mauricio
R. Mauricio
third base 3B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

In MLB, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest. The switch-hitting Ronny Mauricio will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Gavin Williams. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Ronny Mauricio will hold that advantage in today's matchup. The standard deviation of Ronny Mauricio's launch angle has been very consistent in recent games (32.2° in the past two weeks' worth of games), which is a proxy for reliable bat control and seeing the ball well.

Ronny Mauricio

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

In MLB, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest. The switch-hitting Ronny Mauricio will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Gavin Williams. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Ronny Mauricio will hold that advantage in today's matchup. The standard deviation of Ronny Mauricio's launch angle has been very consistent in recent games (32.2° in the past two weeks' worth of games), which is a proxy for reliable bat control and seeing the ball well.

Gabriel Arias Total Hits Props • Cleveland

Gabriel Arias
G. Arias
shortstop SS • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Gabriel Arias's BABIP ability is projected in the 82nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Gabriel Arias will hold the platoon advantage against David Peterson in today's matchup. Gabriel Arias hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams today. Gabriel Arias has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 101-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal mark of 97.1-mph.

Gabriel Arias

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Gabriel Arias's BABIP ability is projected in the 82nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Gabriel Arias will hold the platoon advantage against David Peterson in today's matchup. Gabriel Arias hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams today. Gabriel Arias has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 101-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal mark of 97.1-mph.

Pete Alonso Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Pete Alonso
P. Alonso
first base 1B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 16th-best hitter in baseball. Pete Alonso is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. In MLB, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest. Pete Alonso will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Pete Alonso has made substantial improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 13.2% rate last year to 20.5% this year.

Pete Alonso

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 16th-best hitter in baseball. Pete Alonso is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. In MLB, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest. Pete Alonso will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Pete Alonso has made substantial improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 13.2% rate last year to 20.5% this year.

Carlos Santana Total Hits Props • Cleveland

Carlos Santana
C. Santana
first base 1B • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Carlos Santana is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The switch-hitting Carlos Santana will get to bat from his better side (0) today against David Peterson. Carlos Santana pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.2% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams today. Compared to his seasonal average of 17.3°, Carlos Santana has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 24.8° mark in the past week.

Carlos Santana

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Carlos Santana is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The switch-hitting Carlos Santana will get to bat from his better side (0) today against David Peterson. Carlos Santana pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.2% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams today. Compared to his seasonal average of 17.3°, Carlos Santana has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 24.8° mark in the past week.

Brandon Nimmo Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Brandon Nimmo
B. Nimmo
left outfield LF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. Batting from the opposite that Gavin Williams throws from, Brandon Nimmo will have an edge in today's matchup. Brandon Nimmo has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Brandon Nimmo will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

Brandon Nimmo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. Batting from the opposite that Gavin Williams throws from, Brandon Nimmo will have an edge in today's matchup. Brandon Nimmo has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Brandon Nimmo will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

Juan Soto Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Juan Soto
J. Soto
right outfield RF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Juan Soto projects as the 4th-best batter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Juan Soto is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. In MLB, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest. Hitting from the opposite that Gavin Williams throws from, Juan Soto will have an edge today. Juan Soto will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Juan Soto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Juan Soto projects as the 4th-best batter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Juan Soto is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. In MLB, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest. Hitting from the opposite that Gavin Williams throws from, Juan Soto will have an edge today. Juan Soto will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Austin Hedges Total Hits Props • Cleveland

Austin Hedges
A. Hedges
catcher C • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.5
Best Odds

Austin Hedges will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against David Peterson in today's game. Austin Hedges pulls many of his flyballs (34.3% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams today. Austin Hedges has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 93.3-mph average to last season's 88.4-mph figure. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Austin Hedges ranks in the 97th percentile with a 23° launch angle, which is one of the most flyball-inducing angles in the league.

Austin Hedges

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.5
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.5

Austin Hedges will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against David Peterson in today's game. Austin Hedges pulls many of his flyballs (34.3% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams today. Austin Hedges has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 93.3-mph average to last season's 88.4-mph figure. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Austin Hedges ranks in the 97th percentile with a 23° launch angle, which is one of the most flyball-inducing angles in the league.

Jeff McNeil Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Jeff McNeil
J. McNeil
second base 2B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

In MLB, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Gavin Williams throws from, Jeff McNeil will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Jeff McNeil will hold that advantage today. Jeff McNeil has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.3-mph to 90.2-mph over the past 14 days. In the past two weeks, Jeff McNeil has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 18° compared to his seasonal mark of 12.9°.

Jeff McNeil

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

In MLB, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Gavin Williams throws from, Jeff McNeil will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Jeff McNeil will hold that advantage today. Jeff McNeil has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.3-mph to 90.2-mph over the past 14 days. In the past two weeks, Jeff McNeil has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 18° compared to his seasonal mark of 12.9°.

Mark Vientos Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Mark Vientos
M. Vientos
third base 3B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Mark Vientos is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. Mark Vientos hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.6% — 99th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Mark Vientos will hold that advantage in today's game. Mark Vientos has made substantial gains with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 8.2% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the past 14 days. Mark Vientos has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 96.3-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 91.5-mph EV.

Mark Vientos

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Mark Vientos is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. Mark Vientos hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.6% — 99th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Mark Vientos will hold that advantage in today's game. Mark Vientos has made substantial gains with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 8.2% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the past 14 days. Mark Vientos has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 96.3-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 91.5-mph EV.

David Fry Total Hits Props • Cleveland

David Fry
D. Fry
first base 1B • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

David Fry is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. Hitting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, David Fry will have an advantage in today's matchup. David Fry pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.6% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams today. This season, David Fry has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 92.7 mph compared to last year's 90.6 mph mark.

David Fry

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

David Fry is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. Hitting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, David Fry will have an advantage in today's matchup. David Fry pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.6% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams today. This season, David Fry has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 92.7 mph compared to last year's 90.6 mph mark.

Luis Torrens Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Luis Torrens
L. Torrens
catcher C • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Torrens in the 75th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Luis Torrens hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Luis Torrens will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Luis Torrens has had bad variance on his side this year. His .265 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .347. Luis Torrens's 12.8% Barrel% (an advanced standard to evaluate power) grades out in the 80th percentile this year.

Luis Torrens

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Torrens in the 75th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Luis Torrens hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Luis Torrens will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Luis Torrens has had bad variance on his side this year. His .265 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .347. Luis Torrens's 12.8% Barrel% (an advanced standard to evaluate power) grades out in the 80th percentile this year.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

CLE vs NYM Preview

Last Meeting ( Aug 5, 2025 ) Cleveland 3, NY Mets 2

The Cleveland Guardians were in the midst of a 10-game losing streak and six games out of the final American League wild-card spot on July 5 -- a day that ended with the New York Mets a half-game out of first place in the National League East and comfortably in the second NL wild-card position.

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