Atlanta @ Texas props

Extreme groundball bats like Ozzie Albies are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Nathan Eovaldi. Last year, Ozzie Albies had an average launch angle of 14.2° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 17.2°. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Ozzie Albies's true offensive skill to be a .317, indicating that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .039 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .278 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Globe Life Field as the worst venue in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average. The 7th-deepest centerfield fences in MLB are found in Globe Life Field. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up -12° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching. Batting from the same side that Joey Wentz throws from, Corey Seager encounters a tough challenge in today's game. From last season to this one, Corey Seager's ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 21.5% to 15.7%.

Nick Allen has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Josh Smith will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Josh Smith has shown good plate discipline this year, ranking in the 80th percentile with a 1.71 K/BB rate. Josh Smith has put up a .281 batting average this year, ranking in the 84th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 90th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Michael Harris II will hold the platoon advantage against Nathan Eovaldi today. Michael Harris II has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 92.3-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal 89-mph mark. Michael Harris II's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved in recent games, increasing from 40.3% on the season to 57.9% over the past 7 days. Despite posting a .241 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Michael Harris II has suffered from bad luck given the .077 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .318.

Jurickson Profar is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game. Jurickson Profar has posted a .358 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, placing in the 91st percentile. Jurickson Profar has exhibited strong plate discipline since the start of last season, grading out in the 96th percentile with a 1.4 K/BB rate.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adolis Garcia is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Joey Wentz throws from, Adolis Garcia will have the upper hand today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Adolis Garcia will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Adolis Garcia's launch angle this season (18.3°) is quite a bit higher than his 14.8° angle last year.

Ronald Acuna Jr. projects as the 5th-best batter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ronald Acuna Jr. is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The Barrel% of Ronald Acuna Jr. has significantly improved, with an increase from 9.5% last year to 19.2% this season. Ronald Acuna Jr. has made significant gains with his Barrel% of late, improving his 19.2% seasonal rate to 26.3% over the last two weeks. In the last week's worth of games, Ronald Acuna Jr.'s 30% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Drake Baldwin in the 77th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Drake Baldwin is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Nathan Eovaldi throws from, Drake Baldwin will have an advantage today. Drake Baldwin's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls in recent games (25.1° over the past two weeks) is a considerable increase over his 11° seasonal angle. Using Statcast metrics, Drake Baldwin ranks in the 83rd percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .348.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Wyatt Langford will hold the platoon advantage over Joey Wentz in today's game. Wyatt Langford will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Wyatt Langford has been unlucky this year, posting a .313 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .350 — a .037 difference.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sam Haggerty in the 81st percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Sam Haggerty is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Sam Haggerty will get to bat from his strong side against Joey Wentz in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Sam Haggerty will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Riley in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Austin Riley is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. Despite posting a .331 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Austin Riley has been unlucky given the .026 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .357. Austin Riley's 15.4% Barrel% (an advanced metric to study power) ranks in the 92nd percentile this year. Ranked in the 91st percentile, Austin Riley has one of the highest average exit velocities in MLB this year (92.5-mph).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Olson in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Matt Olson is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Nathan Eovaldi throws from, Matt Olson will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Matt Olson has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 93.6-mph average to last season's 91.3-mph figure. Compared to his seasonal average of 14.2°, Matt Olson has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 21.8° angle over the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sean Murphy in the 86th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. The Barrel% of Sean Murphy has significantly improved, with an increase from 9.6% last year to 14.6% this year. Checking in at the 84th percentile, Sean Murphy has notched a .358 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

The switch-hitting Jonah Heim will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Joey Wentz. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Jonah Heim will hold that advantage in today's game. Jonah Heim's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 11.1% to 15.2%. Jonah Heim has been unlucky this year, posting a .265 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .284 — a .019 difference.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcus Semien in the 83rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Marcus Semien is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. Marcus Semien will hold the platoon advantage over Joey Wentz today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Marcus Semien will hold that advantage today. Marcus Semien's launch angle this year (20.4°) is quite a bit better than his 16.7° figure last year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Jung in the 87th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Josh Jung is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Batting from the opposite that Joey Wentz throws from, Josh Jung will have an edge in today's game. Josh Jung will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Josh Jung has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .294 mark is significantly deflated relative to his .312 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Michael Helman will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Joey Wentz in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Michael Helman will hold that advantage in today's game. Michael Helman is remarkably quick, ranking in the 82nd percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.55 ft/sec since the start of last season.

Batting from the opposite that Joey Wentz throws from, Ezequiel Duran will have an advantage in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Ezequiel Duran will hold that advantage today. This season, Ezequiel Duran has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 92.7 mph compared to last year's 89.8 mph mark.

Cody Freeman will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Joey Wentz in today's game. Cody Freeman will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

Kyle Higashioka has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.