Atlanta @ St. Louis props

Austin Riley pulls many of his flyballs (33.1% — 75th percentile) and will be challenged by baseball's 8th-deepest LF fences in today's game. Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Austin Riley today. When it comes to plate discipline, Austin Riley's skill is quite bad, posting a 4.39 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 14th percentile.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Matt Olson ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Olson is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today. The weather forecast calls for the 2nd-best hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Matt Olson has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 93.8-mph average to last season's 91.3-mph average.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.265) suggests that Alec Burleson has been very fortunate this year with his .290 actual batting average. Alec Burleson is remarkably slow, placing in the 7th percentile in Sprint Speed at 25.12 ft/sec this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Drake Baldwin in the 75th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. The weather forecast calls for the 2nd-best hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Drake Baldwin has been hot recently, posting a .365 wOBA in the past two weeks. Based on Statcast metrics, Drake Baldwin ranks in the 93rd percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .287.

The weather forecast calls for the 2nd-best hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Extreme flyball hitters like Nolan Arenado usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Grant Holmes. Nolan Arenado will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Nolan Arenado has displayed impressive plate discipline this year, placing in the 86th percentile with a 1.51 K/BB rate.

The weather forecast calls for the 2nd-best hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Grant Holmes throws from, Victor Scott II will have an edge in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Victor Scott II will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Ranking in the 99th percentile for Sprint Speed at 30.05 ft/sec this year, Victor Scott II is very fast.

The weather forecast calls for the 2nd-best hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Pedro Pages will hold that advantage today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Pedro Pages's true offensive ability to be a .283, indicating that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .023 difference between that mark and his actual .260 wOBA.

The weather forecast calls for the 2nd-best hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for batters. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Ozzie Albies will get to bat from his good side against Matthew Liberatore in today's matchup. Extreme groundball batters like Ozzie Albies are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Matthew Liberatore. Ozzie Albies has been unlucky this year, compiling a .271 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .315 — a .044 gap.

Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ronald Acuna Jr. today. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Ronald Acuna Jr. has been very fortunate this year. His .448 mark has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .378.

Brendan Donovan has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB's 8th-deepest LF fences in today's game.

The weather forecast calls for the 2nd-best hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Grant Holmes throws from, Nolan Gorman will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Extreme groundball bats like Nolan Gorman usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Grant Holmes. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Nolan Gorman will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Lars Nootbaar is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The weather forecast calls for the 2nd-best hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Grant Holmes throws from, Lars Nootbaar will have an edge in today's game.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The weather forecast calls for the 2nd-best hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Marcell Ozuna will have the handedness advantage over Matthew Liberatore today. Marcell Ozuna has recorded a .351 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, checking in at the 84th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 90th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. The weather forecast calls for the 2nd-best hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for batters. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Michael Harris II's true offensive skill to be a .319, suggesting that he has been unlucky this year given the .084 disparity between that figure and his actual .235 wOBA.

Jurickson Profar is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. The weather forecast calls for the 2nd-best hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for batters. The switch-hitting Jurickson Profar will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Matthew Liberatore. Compared to last season, Jurickson Profar has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 14.4% to 27.3% this season.

Masyn Winn's batting average talent is projected to be in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Masyn Winn is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. The weather forecast calls for the 2nd-best hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Masyn Winn will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willson Contreras in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Willson Contreras is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. The weather forecast calls for the 2nd-best hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Willson Contreras will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Sean Murphy ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Sean Murphy has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (65% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game. The weather forecast calls for the 2nd-best hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Matthew Liberatore throws from, Sean Murphy will have an edge today.

The weather forecast calls for the 2nd-best hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Nick Allen will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matthew Liberatore in today's game. Nick Allen hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences today.