KC -105 o8.0
CLE -103 u8.0
WAS +115 o8.0
MIA -125 u8.0
NYM -122 o8.5
PHI +112 u8.5
CHC -110 o8.5
ATL +102 u8.5
MIL -112 o8.5
TEX +103 u8.5
MIN +109 o9.5
LAA -118 u9.5
STL +197 o7.5
SEA -218 u7.5
CIN +124 o7.5
SD -134 u7.5
AZ +161 o7.5
SF -176 u7.5
BOS -162 o9.0
ATH +149 u9.0
COL +284 o9.0
LAD -334 u9.0
Miami
Cincinnati

Miami @ Cincinnati Matchups, Results & Stats

Great American Ball Park

Team Table
Team W/L H/A $ RF RA Tot O/U
MIA 42-49 22-22 967 4.27 4.96 9.23 44-45
CIN 47-46 25-21 210 4.57 4.32 8.89 39-51

Covers Score Predictor

Final Score Forecast
4.66 MIA
CIN 5.55

Covers Predictions

Miami logo Cincinnati logo

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Miami logo Cincinnati logo

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Miami logo Cincinnati logo

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Prediction updated 59 days and 19 hours ago

Covers Game Lines Predictions

Run Line
Miami logo Cincinnati logo
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PROJECTION -
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Total Runs
Miami logo Cincinnati logo
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Moneyline
Miami logo Cincinnati logo
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MIA vs CINHead To Head

Win / Loss
5-5 Even
Over / Under
6-3-1
Head-To-Head
Date Home Result ML O/U MIA Starter (IP) CIN Starter (IP)
Jul 09, '25 CIN 7 - 2 CIN -144 P9.0 S. Alcantara (5.0) A. Abbott (7.2)
Jul 08, '25 CIN 12 - 2 MIA +107 o9.0 E. Perez (5.0) N. Martinez (5.0)
Jul 07, '25 CIN 5 - 1 MIA +123 u9.0 J. Junk (6.0) B. Singer (5.0)
Apr 23, '25 MIA 5 - 2 CIN -108 u8.0 S. Alcantara (6.0) B. Singer (6.0)
Apr 22, '25 MIA 4 - 3 MIA -100 u8.5 E. Cabrera (5.0) N. Martinez (5.2)
Apr 21, '25 MIA 6 - 3 MIA +102 o8.0 M. Meyer (6.0) N. Lodolo (5.2)
Aug 08, '24 MIA 10 - 4 CIN -175 o8.0 K. Tyler (4.1) H. Greene (6.0)
Aug 07, '24 MIA 6 - 4 MIA +105 o8.5 V. Bellozo (5.2) A. Abbott (5.0)
Aug 06, '24 MIA 8 - 2 CIN -126 o8.0 M. Meyer (4.0) N. Lodolo (6.0)
Aug 05, '24 MIA 10 - 3 CIN -132 o8.0 R. Munoz (3.2) N. Martinez (5.0)

Miami Record Last 10

Win / Loss
6-4-0
Over / Under
3-6-1
ML
$342
Team - Last 10
Date vs Result ML O/U Starter (IP) Opp Starter (IP)
Jul 09, '25 @ CIN L 2 - 7 L +133 P9.0 S. Alcantara (5.0) A. Abbott (7.2)
Jul 08, '25 @ CIN W 12 - 2 W +107 o9.0 E. Perez (5.0) N. Martinez (5.0)
Jul 07, '25 @ CIN W 5 - 1 W +123 u9.0 J. Junk (6.0) B. Singer (5.0)
Jul 06, '25 MIL L 1 - 3 L -115 u7.5 E. Cabrera (7.0) B. Woodruff (6.0)
Jul 05, '25 MIL W 4 - 2 W +120 u8.5 C. Quantrill (3.2) C. Patrick (5.0)
Jul 04, '25 MIL L 5 - 6 L +123 o7.5 S. Alcantara (6.0) Q. Priester (4.2)
Jul 03, '25 MIN W 4 - 1 W +101 u8.0 E. Perez (6.0) D. Festa (6.0)
Jul 02, '25 MIN L 1 - 2 L +106 u8.5 J. Junk (6.0) S. Woods Richardson (5.0)
Jul 01, '25 MIN W 2 - 0 W +128 u7.5 E. Cabrera (7.0) J. Ryan (7.0)
Jun 29, '25 @ AZ W 6 - 4 W +163 o9.0 C. Quantrill (5.0) E. Rodriguez (5.1)

Miami Next 3 Games

Next 3 Games
Date vs Scheduled Starter Last vs ML O/U
Sep 08, '25 WAS J. Junk (R) L 5-10 L -146 o9.0
Sep 09, '25 WAS A. Mazur (R) L 5-10 L -146 o9.0
Sep 10, '25 WAS E. Perez (R) L 5-10 L -146 o9.0

Cincinnati Record Last 10

Win / Loss
4-6-0
Over / Under
4-5-1
ML
-$206
Team - Last 10
Date vs Result ML O/U Starter (IP) Opp Starter (IP)
Jul 09, '25 MIA W 7 - 2 W -144 P9.0 A. Abbott (7.2) S. Alcantara (5.0)
Jul 08, '25 MIA L 2 - 12 L -116 o9.0 N. Martinez (5.0) E. Perez (5.0)
Jul 07, '25 MIA L 1 - 5 L -134 u9.0 B. Singer (5.0) J. Junk (6.0)
Jul 06, '25 @ PHI L 1 - 3 L +204 u9.0 C. Burns (4.2) Z. Wheeler (9.0)
Jul 05, '25 @ PHI L 1 - 5 L +160 u9.0 N. Lodolo (6.0) R. Suarez (5.0)
Jul 04, '25 @ PHI W 9 - 6 W +135 o8.0 A. Abbott (3.1) J. Luzardo (2.0)
Jul 02, '25 @ BOS W 8 - 4 W +111 o9.5 N. Martinez (6.2) B. Bernardino (1.2)
Jul 02, '25 @ BOS L 3 - 5 L +106 u10.0 B. Singer (3.0) R. Fitts (3.0)
Jun 30, '25 @ BOS L 6 - 13 L +149 o8.0 C. Burns (0.1) G. Crochet (6.0)
Jun 29, '25 SD W 3 - 2 W -127 u9.0 N. Lodolo (5.1) S. Kolek (5.2)

Cincinnati Next 3 Games

Next 3 Games
Date vs Scheduled Starter Last vs ML O/U
Sep 08, '25 @ SD N. Lodolo (L) W 3-2 L -127 u9.0
Sep 09, '25 @ SD Z. Littell (R) W 3-2 L -127 u9.0
Sep 10, '25 @ SD A. Abbott (L) W 3-2 L -127 u9.0

Series Stats

Series Game Records

Miami
Overall After Win After Loss
Game 1 11-19 6-8 5-11
Game 2 17-13 5-6 12-7
Game 3 13-16 5-11 8-5
Game 4 1-1 1-0 0-1
Cincinnati
Overall After Win After Loss
Game 1 18-12 10-2 8-10
Game 2 14-16 9-9 5-7
Game 3 14-16 5-9 9-7
Game 4 1-2 0-2 1-0

Next 3 Series

Miami
Date vs W-L Home/Away
Fri, Jul 11 - Sun, Jul 13 @ BAL 42-50 21-23 H
Fri, Jul 18 - Sun, Jul 20 vs KC 46-48 23-24 A
Mon, Jul 21 - Wed, Jul 23 vs SD 49-43 21-26 A
Cincinnati
Date vs W-L Home/Away
Fri, Jul 11 - Sun, Jul 13 vs COL 21-72 11-36 A
Fri, Jul 18 - Sun, Jul 20 @ NYM 53-41 33-14 H
Mon, Jul 21 - Wed, Jul 23 @ WAS 38-54 18-28 H

MIA vs CIN Starters Recent Games

Win / Loss
4-1
ERA
4.84
Avg. IP
4.1
Last 5
Date Score
Line O/U IP H R ER SO BB HR PIT P/IP GB:FB
Jul 05, '25 MIA 4 - MIL 2
W +120 u8.5 3.2 6 2 2 6 1 0 71 19.4 1.0
Jun 29, '25 AZ 4 - MIA 6
W +163 o9.0 5.0 3 2 2 5 1 1 87 17.4 2.0
Jun 24, '25 SF 2 - MIA 4
W +151 u8.0 4.2 4 2 2 3 2 1 82 17.6 0.6
Jun 17, '25 MIA 8 - PHI 3
W +152 o8.5 4.0 4 3 3 2 0 1 74 18.5 1.0
Jun 11, '25 PIT 5 - MIA 2
L +146 u8.5 5.0 6 4 3 6 2 1 99 19.8 6.0
Last 5 Avg. 4.1 4.6 2.6 2.4 4.4 1.2 0.8 82.6 18.5 2.1
Last Vs Cincinnati
Date Score
Line O/U IP H R ER SO BB HR PIT P/IP GB:FB
Jul 09, '24 CIN 12 - COL 6
L +173 o8.5 2.0 4 5 5 4 1 2 52 26.0 0.0
May 19, '22 CLE 2 - CIN 4
L -125 u8.0 7.0 5 1 1 5 0 1 95 13.6 0.8
Aug 20, '19 CIN 3 - SD 2
L +144 u8.5 6.0 5 3 3 9 0 1 108 18.0 0.5
Last 3 Avg. 5.0 4.7 3.0 3.0 6.0 0.3 1.3 85.0 19.2 0.4
Win / Loss
3-2
ERA
4.68
Avg. IP
5.0
Last 5
Date Score
Line O/U IP H R ER SO BB HR PIT P/IP GB:FB
Jul 05, '25 PHI 5 - CIN 1
L +160 u9.0 6.0 4 3 3 8 2 2 85 14.2 2.5
Jun 29, '25 CIN 3 - SD 2
W -127 u9.0 5.1 7 1 1 5 2 1 95 17.8 8.0
Jun 23, '25 CIN 6 - NYY 1
W +114 u10.5 4.1 6 1 1 6 0 1 94 21.7 1.0
Jun 18, '25 CIN 4 - MIN 2
W -122 u9.0 6.0 3 2 2 4 2 1 87 14.5 1.8
Jun 11, '25 CLE 11 - CIN 2
L -120 o8.5 3.1 5 6 6 6 2 1 76 22.8 0.0
Last 5 Avg. 5.0 5.0 2.6 2.6 5.8 1.6 1.2 87.4 18.2 2.6
Last Vs Miami
Date Score
Line O/U IP H R ER SO BB HR PIT P/IP GB:FB
Apr 21, '25 MIA 6 - CIN 3
L -110 o8.0 5.2 7 3 3 4 2 1 99 17.5 0.8
Aug 06, '24 MIA 2 - CIN 8
W -126 o8.0 6.0 2 2 2 7 3 0 99 16.5 2.0
Jul 14, '24 CIN 2 - MIA 3
L -176 u9.0 4.2 3 2 2 4 4 0 72 15.4 0.7
Last 3 Avg. 5.1 4.0 2.3 2.3 5.0 3.0 0.3 90.0 16.5 1.1

MIA vs CIN Stats Analysis

All Pitchers
ERA AVG. OBP WHIP IP HR BB K
Miami 4.65 .254 .322 1.33 8.2 1.1 3.2 7.9
Cincinnati 4.00 .237 .306 1.24 8.2 1.2 3.0 8.0
Starters
Runs/9 ERA AVG. OBP WHIP IP HR BB K
Miami 5.40 5.10 .259 .326 1.35 4.2 0.7 1.7 4.3
Cincinnati 4.20 3.94 .246 .308 1.23 5.0 0.7 1.6 4.8
Relievers
Runs/9 ERA AVG. OBP WHIP IP HR BB K
Miami 4.53 4.12 .249 .318 1.30 4.0 0.5 1.4 3.6
Cincinnati 4.70 4.08 .224 .304 1.25 3.1 0.5 1.5 3.3

More Stats

Miami Bullpen REST G IP H R ER HR BB SO ERA WHIP GB:FB
Jesus Tinoco (R) 37 20 19.1 17 12 11 1 7 10 5.21 1.24 21:8
Last 3 1 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 1:2
Calvin Faucher (R) 5 37 33.1 31 18 15 2 15 32 4.09 1.38 34:17
Ronny Henriquez (R) 5 40 43.0 34 16 13 7 14 60 2.72 1.12 29:28
Lake Bachar (R) 2 30 43.2 28 16 15 3 18 45 3.14 1.05 31:24
Last 3 1 2.2 2 0 0 0 0 3 0.00 0.75 3:1
Anthony Bender (R) 2 39 38.1 24 10 9 3 15 29 2.13 1.02 46:26
Last 3 1 0.1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.00 0:0
Tyler Phillips (R) 1 32 44.1 47 21 19 6 13 29 3.89 1.35 57:23
Last 3 1 2.0 2 0 0 0 2 2 0.00 2.00 2:1
Cade Gibson (L) 1 21 28.0 24 10 8 2 7 20 2.57 1.11 36:11
Last 3 1 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.00 2:0
Bullpen Total 53 219 250.0 205 103 90 24 89 225 3.24 1.18 254:137
Last 3 5 7.0 4 0 0 0 2 7 0.00 0.86 8:4
Available Bullpen 51 166 177.2 134 72 63 16 69 176 3.19 1.14 161:103


Cincinnati Bullpen REST G IP H R ER HR BB SO ERA WHIP GB:FB
Carson Spiers (R) 82 3 13.1 13 9 9 3 7 11 6.23 1.50 11:10
Last 3 1 4.0 5 4 4 2 4 3 9.00 2.25 1:5
Alexis Diaz (R) 71 6 6.0 8 8 8 4 5 3 12.00 2.17 5:5
Ian Gibaut (R) 12 25 25.1 26 13 13 3 8 15 4.68 1.34 22:16
Last 3 1 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0:1
Sam Moll (L) 4 6 5.2 4 4 4 1 3 6 7.20 1.24 8:2
Graham Ashcraft (R) 4 31 36.1 38 21 16 2 15 41 4.00 1.46 47:7
Taylor Rogers (L) 2 36 29.1 27 15 9 3 13 32 2.79 1.36 25:15
Last 3 1 1.0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0.00 1.00 0:0
Brent Suter (L) 2 30 45.2 38 18 16 6 10 32 3.20 1.05 47:28
Last 3 1 2.0 1 1 1 1 0 2 4.50 0.50 1:2
Scott Barlow (R) 1 43 40.0 27 19 18 3 22 40 4.05 1.23 42:19
Last 3 1 1.0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0.00 2.00 1:0
Lyon Richardson (R) 1 26 30.1 26 19 13 2 11 24 3.90 1.22 43:16
Last 3 2 2.0 1 3 0 0 3 0 0.00 2.00 5:1
Emilio Pagan (R) 0 38 38.0 21 15 13 7 12 47 3.08 0.87 21:29
Last 3 1 1.0 1 1 1 1 0 2 9.00 1.00 0:1
Tony Santillan (R) 0 44 41.0 32 14 14 5 13 33 3.07 1.10 31:26
Last 3 1 0.1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 1:0
Bullpen Total 179 288 311.0 260 155 133 39 119 284 3.85 1.22 302:173
Last 3 9 12.1 10 9 6 4 8 9 4.38 1.46 9:10
Available Bullpen 177 137 161.2 154 88 75 22 61 140 4.18 1.33 165:83
Miami All Starters REST G IP H R ER HR BB SO ERA WHIP GB:FB
Max Meyer (R) 37 12 64.2 72 39 34 12 20 68 4.78 1.42 69:35
Ryan Weathers (L) 33 5 24.2 18 12 9 4 8 23 3.38 1.05 24:19
Edward Cabrera (R) 4 15 78.1 66 31 29 9 30 80 3.35 1.23 79:45
Janson Junk (R) 2 9 43.1 41 16 15 1 4 36 3.14 1.04 41:26
Josh Simpson (L) 1 6 7.2 5 5 4 1 4 7 5.14 1.17 11:4
Eury Perez (R) 1 6 27.0 17 12 12 2 11 29 4.00 1.04 16:28
Sandy Alcantara (R) 0 18 91.0 98 74 73 12 37 71 7.22 1.48 101:59
Valente Bellozo (R) 0 17 50.2 48 21 20 5 15 35 3.60 1.24 34:47


Cincinnati All Starters REST G IP H R ER HR BB SO ERA WHIP GB:FB
Hunter Greene (R) 36 11 59.2 44 18 18 9 14 73 2.75 0.97 29:42
Wade Miley (L) 25 3 12.0 15 9 9 3 6 7 6.75 1.75 12:9
Chase Burns (R) 4 3 10.0 13 11 9 2 6 15 8.10 1.90 7:3
Brady Singer (R) 2 18 93.2 88 48 45 10 39 83 4.35 1.36 77:68
Nick Martinez (R) 1 20 105.2 104 58 57 14 24 73 4.89 1.21 102:66
Andrew Abbott (L) 0 16 91.1 75 26 21 10 24 83 2.08 1.08 55:74
Umpire G W-L AVG PIT STR B STR% STR BB K/BB HR O/U
Jeremie Rehak 16 8-8 9.50 289.56 184.63 104.94 63.8 16.8 6.3 2.68 2.38 9-7


Last 10 Games
Date Score Line O/U Road Starter Home Starter
Jul 6, 2025 CLE 2 - DET 7 L +191 O 7.0 Tarik Skubal (L) Gavin Williams (R)
Jul 2, 2025 NYM 7 - MIL 3 W -102 O 8.5 Jacob Misiorowski (R) Huascar Brazoban (R)
Jun 28, 2025 ATL 6 - PHI 1 W -167 U 7.5 Jesus Luzardo (L) Spencer Schwellenbach (R)
Jun 24, 2025 MIN 5 - SEA 6 L -105 O 8.5 Luis Castillo (R) Chris Paddack (R)
Jun 14, 2025 BOS 4 - NYY 3 W +148 U 8.5 Carlos Rodon (L) Hunter Dobbins (R)
Jun 10, 2025 HOU 2 - CHW 4 L -167 U 7.5 Shane Smith (R) Lance McCullers Jr. (R)
Jun 4, 2025 SEA 2 - BAL 3 L -103 U 8.5 Cade Povich (L) Emerson Hancock (R)
May 30, 2025 LAD 8 - NYY 5 W +120 O 9.0 Max Fried (L) Tony Gonsolin (R)
May 18, 2025 CHC 6 - CHW 2 W -252 O 7.5 Jonathan Cannon (R) Colin Rea (R)
May 13, 2025 SD 6 - LAA 4 W -215 O 7.5 Jose Soriano (R) Dylan Cease (R)


Vs Marlins
Date Score Line O/U Road Starter Home Starter
Apr 23, 2025 MIA 2 - CIN 5 L -100 U 8.0 Brady Singer (R) Sandy Alcantara (R)


Vs Reds
Date Score Line O/U Road Starter Home Starter
Apr 23, 2025 MIA 2 - CIN 5 L -100 U 8.0 Brady Singer (R) Sandy Alcantara (R)


Vs Cal Quantrill (R)
Date Score Line O/U Road Starter Home Starter


Vs Nick Lodolo (L)
Date Score Line O/U Road Starter Home Starter

Betting Terminology

  • M/L: Closing moneyline odds
  • O/U: Closing total and odds
  • IP: Innings pitched by the starter
  • H: Hits allowed by the starter
  • R: Runs allowed by the starter
  • ER: Earned runs allowed by the starter
  • SO: Strikeouts thrown by the starter
  • BB: Walks allowed by the starter
  • HR: Home runs allowed by the starter
  • PIT: Total pitches thrown by the starter
  • P/IP: Pitches thrown per inning by the starter
  • GB:FB: Groundball - flyball ratio by the starter

Betting Terminology

  • W/L: Win-loss record (last 10)
  • Net $: $ won/lost based on $100 bets (last 10)
  • O/U: Over under record (last 10)
  • M/L: Closing moneyline odds for the game
  • O/U: Closing total and odds for the game
  • Away/Home Starter: Starting pitchers for the game
  • Last vs: The result last time the teams played
  • Schedule Starter: Expected starter for the upcoming game

Betting Terminology

Records below refer to the game # of all series across the season. Game 1, game 2 etc.

  • Overall: Team’s season record
  • After Win: Team’s record for the game immediately after a win
  • After Loss: Team’s record for the game immediately after a loss

Betting Terminology

  • Runs/9: Runs per nine innings
  • AVG: Batting average
  • Hits: Average hits per game
  • HR: Average home runs per game
  • BB: Average bases on balls (walks) per game
  • EB Hits: Average extra base hits per game
  • SB: Average stolen bases per game
  • OBP: On base percentage
  • R: Runs allowed
  • ER: Earned runs allowed
  • AVG: Batting average allowed
  • HR: Average home runs allowed
  • BB: Average bases on balls (walks) allowed
  • IP(S): Average innings pitched by starters
  • K(S): Average strikeouts by starters
  • K(B): Average strikeouts by bullpen
  • Rest(B): % of relievers that are available to pitch today
  • RF: Average team runs for. The run support pitchers are getting

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About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

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