LIVE Bottom 8th Jul 4
CIN 9 +135 o8.0
PHI 6 -147 u8.0
LIVE Top 6th Jul 4
STL 1 +133 o9.5
CHC 8 -144 u9.5
LIVE Top 3rd Jul 4
NYY 2 -101 o9.5
NYM 2 -107 u9.5
TB +106 o10.0
MIN -115 u10.0
PIT +155 o7.0
SEA -170 u7.0
TEX -111 o8.5
SD +102 u8.5
LAA +127 o9.0
TOR -138 u9.0
DET -126 o8.0
CLE +116 u8.0
MIL -123 o8.0
MIA +114 u8.0
BAL +159 o8.5
ATL -173 u8.5
CHW -123 o11.0
COL +113 u11.0
HOU +158 o9.5
LAD -173 u9.5
KC +105 o8.5
AZ -114 u8.5
SF -103 o10.5
ATH -105 u10.5
Final Jul 4
BOS 11 -108 o8.0
WAS 2 +100 u8.0

Texas @ San Diego props

PETCO Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Fernando Tatis Jr. Total Hits Props • San Diego

Fernando Tatis Jr.
F. Tatis Jr.
right outfield RF • San Diego
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Petco Park profiles as the #23 field in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts the 4th-most suitable pitching conditions of all games today. Kumar Rocker will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Fernando Tatis Jr. in today's game. The Texas Rangers infield defense profiles as the 3rd-strongest among every team in action today.

Fernando Tatis Jr.

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Petco Park profiles as the #23 field in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts the 4th-most suitable pitching conditions of all games today. Kumar Rocker will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Fernando Tatis Jr. in today's game. The Texas Rangers infield defense profiles as the 3rd-strongest among every team in action today.

Martin Maldonado Total Hits Props • San Diego

Martin Maldonado
M. Maldonado
catcher C • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.5
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.5
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The 2nd-shallowest CF fences among all parks are found in Petco Park. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Martin Maldonado will hold that advantage today. Martin Maldonado's 93.9-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced metric to evaluate power) ranks in the 76th percentile since the start of last season. Martin Maldonado's 16.1° launch angle (a reliable stat to evaluate a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the most flyball-inducing in the league: 75th percentile.

Martin Maldonado

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.5
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.5

The 2nd-shallowest CF fences among all parks are found in Petco Park. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Martin Maldonado will hold that advantage today. Martin Maldonado's 93.9-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced metric to evaluate power) ranks in the 76th percentile since the start of last season. Martin Maldonado's 16.1° launch angle (a reliable stat to evaluate a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the most flyball-inducing in the league: 75th percentile.

Alejandro Osuna Total Hits Props • Texas

Alejandro Osuna
A. Osuna
left outfield LF • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Osuna in the 76th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Alejandro Osuna is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Alejandro Osuna will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Randy Vasquez today. Alejandro Osuna hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Alejandro Osuna has made notable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 7% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the last week's worth of games.

Alejandro Osuna

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Osuna in the 76th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Alejandro Osuna is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Alejandro Osuna will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Randy Vasquez today. Alejandro Osuna hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Alejandro Osuna has made notable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 7% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the last week's worth of games.

Adolis Garcia Total Hits Props • Texas

Adolis Garcia
A. Garcia
right outfield RF • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adolis Garcia in the 82nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Adolis Garcia is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. The 2nd-shallowest CF fences among all parks are found in Petco Park. In comparison to his 91-mph average last year, Adolis Garcia's exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 93.1 mph. There has been a significant improvement in Adolis Garcia's launch angle from last year's 14.8° to 20.1° this year.

Adolis Garcia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adolis Garcia in the 82nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Adolis Garcia is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. The 2nd-shallowest CF fences among all parks are found in Petco Park. In comparison to his 91-mph average last year, Adolis Garcia's exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 93.1 mph. There has been a significant improvement in Adolis Garcia's launch angle from last year's 14.8° to 20.1° this year.

Jake Burger Total Hits Props • Texas

Jake Burger
J. Burger
first base 1B • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. The 2nd-shallowest CF fences among all parks are found in Petco Park. Despite posting a .277 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jake Burger has been unlucky given the .062 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .339. This year, Jake Burger's 13.2% Barrel%, a reliable standard for measuring power, places him in the 82nd percentile among his peers. Placing in the 90th percentile, the hardest ball Jake Burger has connected with this year reached a maximum exit velocity of 114.7 mph -- an advanced indication of underlying power skill.

Jake Burger

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. The 2nd-shallowest CF fences among all parks are found in Petco Park. Despite posting a .277 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jake Burger has been unlucky given the .062 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .339. This year, Jake Burger's 13.2% Barrel%, a reliable standard for measuring power, places him in the 82nd percentile among his peers. Placing in the 90th percentile, the hardest ball Jake Burger has connected with this year reached a maximum exit velocity of 114.7 mph -- an advanced indication of underlying power skill.

Jonah Heim Total Hits Props • Texas

Jonah Heim
J. Heim
catcher C • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jonah Heim hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Jonah Heim has made notable improvements with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 6.9% seasonal rate to 12.9% over the last two weeks. Jonah Heim has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89-mph to 92.4-mph over the last 14 days. Jonah Heim's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased of late, increasing from 44.8% on the season to 61.3% over the last 14 days.

Jonah Heim

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Jonah Heim hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Jonah Heim has made notable improvements with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 6.9% seasonal rate to 12.9% over the last two weeks. Jonah Heim has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89-mph to 92.4-mph over the last 14 days. Jonah Heim's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased of late, increasing from 44.8% on the season to 61.3% over the last 14 days.

Luis Arraez Total Hits Props • San Diego

Luis Arraez
L. Arraez
first base 1B • San Diego
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Petco Park as the 8th-worst field in the league for left-handed batting average. Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts the 4th-most suitable pitching conditions of all games today. The Texas Rangers infield defense profiles as the 3rd-strongest among every team in action today. From last season to this one, Luis Arraez's flyball exit velocity has decreased from an average of 87.9 mph to 85.4 mph.

Luis Arraez

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Petco Park as the 8th-worst field in the league for left-handed batting average. Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts the 4th-most suitable pitching conditions of all games today. The Texas Rangers infield defense profiles as the 3rd-strongest among every team in action today. From last season to this one, Luis Arraez's flyball exit velocity has decreased from an average of 87.9 mph to 85.4 mph.

Xander Bogaerts Total Hits Props • San Diego

Xander Bogaerts
X. Bogaerts
shortstop SS • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Xander Bogaerts hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Xander Bogaerts will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Xander Bogaerts has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 92.2-mph average to last season's 89.6-mph mark. Xander Bogaerts has been unlucky this year, notching a .307 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .331 — a .024 difference.

Xander Bogaerts

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Xander Bogaerts hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Xander Bogaerts will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Xander Bogaerts has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 92.2-mph average to last season's 89.6-mph mark. Xander Bogaerts has been unlucky this year, notching a .307 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .331 — a .024 difference.

Josh Smith Total Hits Props • Texas

Josh Smith
J. Smith
shortstop SS • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Josh Smith is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game. The 2nd-shallowest CF fences among all parks are found in Petco Park. Hitting from the opposite that Randy Vasquez throws from, Josh Smith will have the upper hand today. Josh Smith has notched a .286 batting average this year, placing in the 86th percentile.

Josh Smith

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Josh Smith is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game. The 2nd-shallowest CF fences among all parks are found in Petco Park. Hitting from the opposite that Randy Vasquez throws from, Josh Smith will have the upper hand today. Josh Smith has notched a .286 batting average this year, placing in the 86th percentile.

Corey Seager Total Hits Props • Texas

Corey Seager
C. Seager
shortstop SS • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Corey Seager ranks as the 9th-best batter in baseball. Corey Seager is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game. The 2nd-shallowest CF fences among all parks are found in Petco Park. Corey Seager will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Randy Vasquez in today's matchup. In the last week's worth of games, Corey Seager's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 16% up to 38.9%.

Corey Seager

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Corey Seager ranks as the 9th-best batter in baseball. Corey Seager is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game. The 2nd-shallowest CF fences among all parks are found in Petco Park. Corey Seager will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Randy Vasquez in today's matchup. In the last week's worth of games, Corey Seager's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 16% up to 38.9%.

Gavin Sheets Total Hits Props • San Diego

Gavin Sheets
G. Sheets
left outfield LF • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Gavin Sheets is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. Hitting from the opposite that Kumar Rocker throws from, Gavin Sheets will have an advantage today. Gavin Sheets will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Gavin Sheets has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 95.7-mph average to last season's 90.8-mph mark. In the last week's worth of games, Gavin Sheets's 55% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 45.6%.

Gavin Sheets

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Gavin Sheets is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. Hitting from the opposite that Kumar Rocker throws from, Gavin Sheets will have an advantage today. Gavin Sheets will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Gavin Sheets has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 95.7-mph average to last season's 90.8-mph mark. In the last week's worth of games, Gavin Sheets's 55% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 45.6%.

Jackson Merrill Total Hits Props • San Diego

Jackson Merrill
J. Merrill
center outfield CF • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 97th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Jackson Merrill is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today. Batting from the opposite that Kumar Rocker throws from, Jackson Merrill will have the upper hand today. Jackson Merrill hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Jackson Merrill will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Jackson Merrill

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 97th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Jackson Merrill is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today. Batting from the opposite that Kumar Rocker throws from, Jackson Merrill will have the upper hand today. Jackson Merrill hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Jackson Merrill will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Jake Cronenworth Total Hits Props • San Diego

Jake Cronenworth
J. Cronenworth
second base 2B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 85th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. The 2nd-shallowest CF fences among all parks are found in Petco Park. Hitting from the opposite that Kumar Rocker throws from, Jake Cronenworth will have an edge in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Jake Cronenworth will hold that advantage today. Over the last 14 days, Jake Cronenworth has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 7.2% to 14.8%.

Jake Cronenworth

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 85th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. The 2nd-shallowest CF fences among all parks are found in Petco Park. Hitting from the opposite that Kumar Rocker throws from, Jake Cronenworth will have an edge in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Jake Cronenworth will hold that advantage today. Over the last 14 days, Jake Cronenworth has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 7.2% to 14.8%.

Marcus Semien Total Hits Props • Texas

Marcus Semien
M. Semien
second base 2B • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcus Semien in the 84th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Marcus Semien is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game. The 2nd-shallowest CF fences among all parks are found in Petco Park. Marcus Semien has made notable improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 8.3% seasonal rate to 19% over the past 7 days. In the last week, Marcus Semien's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.4-mph over the course of the season to 99.3-mph lately.

Marcus Semien

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcus Semien in the 84th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Marcus Semien is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game. The 2nd-shallowest CF fences among all parks are found in Petco Park. Marcus Semien has made notable improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 8.3% seasonal rate to 19% over the past 7 days. In the last week, Marcus Semien's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.4-mph over the course of the season to 99.3-mph lately.

Trenton Brooks Total Hits Props • San Diego

Trenton Brooks
T. Brooks
left outfield LF • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The 2nd-shallowest CF fences among all parks are found in Petco Park. Batting from the opposite that Kumar Rocker throws from, Trenton Brooks will have an edge in today's matchup. Trenton Brooks will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Trenton Brooks has gotten much quicker this season, improving from last year's 24.85 ft/sec to 25.89 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).

Trenton Brooks

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

The 2nd-shallowest CF fences among all parks are found in Petco Park. Batting from the opposite that Kumar Rocker throws from, Trenton Brooks will have an edge in today's matchup. Trenton Brooks will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Trenton Brooks has gotten much quicker this season, improving from last year's 24.85 ft/sec to 25.89 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).

Manny Machado Total Hits Props • San Diego

Manny Machado
M. Machado
third base 3B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Manny Machado is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Manny Machado hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Manny Machado will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Manny Machado's launch angle of late (20.8° over the past two weeks) is quite a bit better than his 15° seasonal mark.

Manny Machado

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Manny Machado is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Manny Machado hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Manny Machado will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Manny Machado's launch angle of late (20.8° over the past two weeks) is quite a bit better than his 15° seasonal mark.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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