Texas @ San Diego picks
PETCO Park
TEX vs SD Picks
MLB Picks
MoneyLine

Kenny Ducey
Betting Analyst
In a surprising turn, the Rangers have actually out-hit the Padres in the last two weeks, running a .234 average and .128 isolated power. They’re not incredible numbers by any means, but they’re close to the league baseline — and certainly stronger than San Diego’s recent figures. On top of that, the Rangers have begun to improve in the plate discipline department and rank 14th in on-base percentage in the last two weeks, meaning the frequent control issues of Vasquez may play a part in deciding this one.
Total RBIs

Fernando Tatis Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks as the 8th-best batter in the game.. Fernando Tatis Jr. is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #5 venue in the game for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.. On average, the fence height at Petco Park is the 5th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.
Total RBIs

Adolis Garcia o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his home run ability, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Adolis Garcia is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today.. The #5 venue in the game for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.. The 2nd-shallowest CF fences among all parks are found in Petco Park.. On average, the fence height at Petco Park is the 5th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.
Total RBIs

Marcus Semien o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcus Semien in the 84th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.. Marcus Semien is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.. The #5 venue in the game for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.. The 2nd-shallowest CF fences among all parks are found in Petco Park.. On average, the fence height at Petco Park is the 5th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.
Total RBIs

Corey Seager o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Corey Seager ranks as the 9th-best batter in baseball.. Corey Seager is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. Petco Park profiles as the #5 venue in the game for LHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The 2nd-shallowest CF fences among all parks are found in Petco Park.. On average, the fence height at Petco Park is the 5th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.
Total RBIs

Jake Burger o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Jake Burger as baseball's 19th-best home run hitter.. The #5 venue in the game for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.. The 2nd-shallowest CF fences among all parks are found in Petco Park.. On average, the fence height at Petco Park is the 5th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Despite posting a .277 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jake Burger has been unlucky given the .062 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .339.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Martin Maldonado o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+120)
Projection 1 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The #5 venue in the game for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.. The 2nd-shallowest CF fences among all parks are found in Petco Park.. On average, the fence height at Petco Park is the 5th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Martin Maldonado will hold that advantage today.. Martin Maldonado's 93.9-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced metric to evaluate power) ranks in the 76th percentile since the start of last season.
Total Bases

Adolis Garcia o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his home run ability, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Adolis Garcia is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today.. The #5 venue in the game for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.. The 2nd-shallowest CF fences among all parks are found in Petco Park.. On average, the fence height at Petco Park is the 5th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Kyle Higashioka o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-160)
Projection 1.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The #5 venue in the game for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.. The 2nd-shallowest CF fences among all parks are found in Petco Park.. On average, the fence height at Petco Park is the 5th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Kyle Higashioka's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased in recent games, increasing from 16.8% on the season to 35.7% over the past 14 days.. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Kyle Higashioka has experienced some negative variance this year. His .256 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .282.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Adolis Garcia o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-110)
Projection 2.3 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his home run ability, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Adolis Garcia is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today.. The #5 venue in the game for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.. The 2nd-shallowest CF fences among all parks are found in Petco Park.. On average, the fence height at Petco Park is the 5th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Jake Burger o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+100)
Projection 2.1 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Jake Burger as baseball's 19th-best home run hitter.. The #5 venue in the game for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.. The 2nd-shallowest CF fences among all parks are found in Petco Park.. On average, the fence height at Petco Park is the 5th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Despite posting a .277 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jake Burger has been unlucky given the .062 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .339.