Baltimore @ Texas props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sam Haggerty in the 80th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Sam Haggerty will hold that advantage today. Over the last 14 days, Sam Haggerty's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.5-mph over the course of the season to 101.2-mph of late. Sam Haggerty's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased recently, rising from 21.7% on the season to 33.3% in the last 7 days. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.270) implies that Sam Haggerty has had some very poor luck since the start of last season with his .228 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Ryan O'Hearn is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. Batting from the opposite that Jacob deGrom throws from, Ryan O'Hearn will have an advantage in today's matchup. Ryan O'Hearn has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.9-mph to 93.9-mph over the last week. Ryan O'Hearn's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 40.8% to 47.5%.

Coby Mayo has made big improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 9.6% seasonal rate to 18.2% in the past 7 days. Coby Mayo has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .222 rate is a fair amount lower than his .259 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Ramon Laureano's BABIP talent is projected in the 78th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ramon Laureano is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today. In the past 7 days, Ramon Laureano's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.1-mph over the course of the season to 107.2-mph recently. Ramon Laureano has done a favorable job optimizing his launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls. His 17.9° angle is among the highest in MLB this year (92nd percentile). Ramon Laureano has notched a .364 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 89th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 94th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Jackson Holliday is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Jackson Holliday will have the handedness advantage over Jacob deGrom in today's matchup. Extreme flyball bats like Jackson Holliday tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Jacob deGrom. Jackson Holliday has made big strides with his Barrel% of late, improving his 11.5% seasonal rate to 20% in the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Jung in the 89th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Josh Jung will hold that advantage today. Josh Jung's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 44.3% to 49.6%. Josh Jung has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .289 figure is considerably lower than his .316 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Evan Carter's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, increasing from 16.7% to 22.2%.

Batting from the opposite that Jacob deGrom throws from, Cedric Mullins will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Cedric Mullins's launch angle this year (24.7°) is a significant increase over his 21.5° mark last season. Over the past two weeks, Cedric Mullins's 25.9% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.7%.

Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Kyle Higashioka will hold that advantage today. Kyle Higashioka has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 93.1-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal 90.3-mph average. Kyle Higashioka's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved recently, increasing from 15.8% on the season to 42.9% in the last 7 days. Kyle Higashioka has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .253 figure is quite a bit lower than his .282 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Ezequiel Duran will hold that advantage today.

Jonah Heim will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Jonah Heim's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, increasing from 16% on the season to 23.1% in the last week. Jonah Heim's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 38.4% to 43.8%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adolis Garcia in the 80th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Adolis Garcia is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today. Adolis Garcia will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Adolis Garcia has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 96.1-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 93.3-mph mark. Adolis Garcia has been unlucky this year, putting up a .279 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .324 — a .045 difference.

Gary Sanchez is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. Gary Sanchez has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 12.2% seasonal rate to 21.4% in the last 7 days. In comparison to his 90-mph average last year, Gary Sanchez's exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 94.3 mph. Gary Sanchez has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 97.5-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 94.5-mph EV.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gunnar Henderson in the 97th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Gunnar Henderson is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Jacob deGrom throws from, Gunnar Henderson will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Gunnar Henderson has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 99.5-mph average over the last week to his seasonal 92.9-mph average. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Gunnar Henderson's true offensive skill to be a .362, implying that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .024 gap between that figure and his actual .338 wOBA.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Corey Seager ranks as the 10th-best hitter in MLB. Corey Seager is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Hitting from the opposite that Brandon Young throws from, Corey Seager will have an edge today. Corey Seager will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Corey Seager has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 95.4-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 93.1-mph figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 90th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Hitting from the opposite that Jacob deGrom throws from, Colton Cowser will have an edge in today's matchup. Colton Cowser's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better recently, increasing from 13.4% on the season to 23.1% in the past two weeks. By putting up a .333 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Colton Cowser finds himself in the 79th percentile.

Josh Smith is penciled in 1st in the batting order today. Josh Smith will have the handedness advantage against Brandon Young in today's matchup. Josh Smith will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Compared to his seasonal average of 13.6°, Josh Smith has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 23.5° angle in the last 7 days. Ranking in the 82nd percentile, Josh Smith sits with a .281 batting average this year.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Marcus Semien ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Marcus Semien is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Marcus Semien will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Marcus Semien's launch angle this year (19.8°) is considerably better than his 16.7° figure last year. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Marcus Semien has suffered from bad luck this year. His .285 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .327.

Compared to his seasonal average of 12°, Ramon Urias has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 24° mark in the past 7 days. Ramon Urias's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 38.1% to 45.3%.

Alejandro Osuna is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. Alejandro Osuna will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brandon Young in today's game. Alejandro Osuna will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Alejandro Osuna's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.5-mph over the course of the season to 97-mph of late.