CJ Abrams Total Hits Props • Washington

Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly correlated with cold weather, and the weather forecast for this matchup forecasts the 5th-lowest temperature on the schedule today at 81°. Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for CJ Abrams today. CJ Abrams's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (8.4°) is a considerable dropoff from his 13.7° angle last year. In the last week, CJ Abrams's 5.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 17.1%. Despite posting a .364 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes CJ Abrams has experienced some positive variance given the .043 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .321.