Washington @ Los Angeles Picks & Props

Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly correlated with cold weather, and the weather forecast for this matchup forecasts the 5th-lowest temperature on the schedule today at 81°. Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for CJ Abrams today. CJ Abrams's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (8.4°) is a considerable dropoff from his 13.7° angle last year. In the last week, CJ Abrams's 5.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 17.1%. Despite posting a .364 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes CJ Abrams has experienced some positive variance given the .043 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .321.

Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly correlated with cold weather, and the weather forecast for this matchup forecasts the 5th-lowest temperature on the schedule today at 81°. Placing in the 7th percentile, Luis Rengifo sits with a .260 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year. Luis Rengifo has notched a .268 BABIP this year, ranking in the 24th percentile.

When it comes to his BABIP ability, James Wood is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). James Wood is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters. James Wood will hold the platoon advantage over Jack Kochanowicz in today's matchup. James Wood has made big improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 10.7% rate last season to 19.5% this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brady House in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Brady House has been honed in on the ideal launch angle for base hits of late, lifting balls between -4° and 26° 54.8% of the time in the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daylen Lile in the 77th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Jack Kochanowicz throws from, Daylen Lile will have an advantage in today's matchup. In the last 7 days, Daylen Lile's 61.5% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 49%. Posting a 93.1-mph average exit velocity over the past two weeks, Daylen Lile has been in great form recently.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Schanuel in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Nolan Schanuel is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Nolan Schanuel may have an advantage against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Washington Nationals has just 1 same-handed RP. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Nolan Schanuel will hold that advantage today.

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Drew Millas will get to bat from his strong side against Jack Kochanowicz in today's matchup. Checking in at the 85th percentile, Drew Millas has posted a .326 BABIP since the start of last season.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Logan O'Hoppe ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Logan O'Hoppe is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Logan O'Hoppe will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mitchell Parker in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Logan O'Hoppe will hold that advantage today.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Taylor Ward ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Taylor Ward is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Taylor Ward will hold the platoon advantage over Mitchell Parker in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Taylor Ward will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Moore in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Christian Moore will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mitchell Parker in today's game. Christian Moore will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Over the past 7 days, Christian Moore's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.7-mph over the course of the season to 96.8-mph recently.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Mike Trout ranks as the 10th-best batter in the league. Mike Trout is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Mike Trout will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mitchell Parker today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Mike Trout will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 80th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Nathaniel Lowe is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Nathaniel Lowe will hold the platoon advantage over Jack Kochanowicz today. In the past week's worth of games, Nathaniel Lowe's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.5% up to 26.7%.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Jo Adell ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jo Adell is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 96% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Jo Adell will have the handedness advantage over Mitchell Parker in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Jo Adell will hold that advantage today.

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Mitchell Parker throws from, Travis d'Arnaud will have the upper hand in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Travis d'Arnaud will hold that advantage today. Travis d'Arnaud has made big improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 10.5% rate last year to 16.3% this year. Compared to last season, Travis d'Arnaud has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 12.2% to 23.3% this season.

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Riley Adams has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 93.7-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal 91.4-mph figure. Despite posting a .186 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Riley Adams has experienced some negative variance given the .099 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .285.

Josh Bell is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Josh Bell has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 95-mph average to last year's 92.8-mph mark. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.232) provides evidence that Josh Bell has experienced some negative variance this year with his .194 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 85th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Jacob Young has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 88.3-mph average to last season's 84.9-mph EV. Using Statcast metrics, Jacob Young ranks in the 78th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .274. In terms of plate discipline, Jacob Young's ability is quite impressive, posting a 1.88 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 75th percentile.

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Kevin Newman will have the handedness advantage over Mitchell Parker today. Kevin Newman will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

Luis Garcia has gone over 1.5 in 0 of his last 10 games.

Gustavo Campero has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.