Seattle @ Texas props

Jonah Heim is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 88% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest out of every team today. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Jonah Heim will hold that advantage today. Jonah Heim has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 91-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 88.7-mph mark. Jonah Heim's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 11.1% to 15.3%.

The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest out of every team today. Kyle Higashioka will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Over the past 7 days, Kyle Higashioka's 28.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.2%. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Kyle Higashioka has experienced some negative variance this year. His .262 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .287.

Mitch Garver has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 96.7-mph average to last year's 94.6-mph EV. Mitch Garver's 18.6° launch angle (an advanced standard to study a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the highest in MLB: 89th percentile.

Cole Young will have the handedness advantage over Jack Leiter in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 9th-best batter in Major League Baseball when assessing his batting average talent. Julio Rodriguez is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. In the last 7 days, Julio Rodriguez's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.7-mph over the course of the season to 95.7-mph in recent games. Julio Rodriguez's launch angle lately (22.5° over the last 7 days) is significantly better than his 9.5° seasonal mark. Julio Rodriguez has been unlucky this year, putting up a .315 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .359 — a .044 difference.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Corey Seager ranks as the 12th-best batter in the majors. Corey Seager is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today. Considering Luis Castillo's large platoon split, Corey Seager will have an enormous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game. Corey Seager may have an edge against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners only has 1 same-handed RP. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest out of every team today.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Evan Carter ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Evan Carter will hold the platoon advantage over Luis Castillo in today's game... and the cherry on top, Castillo has a large platoon split. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Evan Carter can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest out of every team today. Evan Carter will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Benjamin Williamson in the 93rd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Hitters such as Benjamin Williamson with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Jack Leiter who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Placing in the 94th percentile, Benjamin Williamson has posted a .358 BABIP this year.

Josh Smith is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game. Considering Luis Castillo's large platoon split, Josh Smith will have a huge advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish today. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Josh Smith stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest out of every team today. Josh Smith will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Alejandro Osuna will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luis Castillo today... and even more favorably, Castillo has a large platoon split. Alejandro Osuna will probably have an edge against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners has just 1 same-handed RP. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest out of every team today. Alejandro Osuna will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Alejandro Osuna is quite athletic, placing in the 83rd percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.58 ft/sec this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Jung in the 88th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest out of every team today. Josh Jung will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Josh Jung has been unlucky this year. His .290 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .319. Josh Jung ranks in the 91st percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (19.7% rate this year).

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Randy Arozarena is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. Randy Arozarena has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 98.6-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal figure of 95.9-mph. In notching a .345 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Randy Arozarena is ranked in the 75th percentile. Placing in the 84th percentile, Randy Arozarena has put up a .333 BABIP this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adolis Garcia in the 81st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Adolis Garcia is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest out of every team today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Adolis Garcia will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Adolis Garcia has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 93.3-mph to 95.9-mph in the last two weeks' worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Raley in the 88th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Luke Raley is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. Hitting from the opposite that Jack Leiter throws from, Luke Raley will have an edge in today's game. Luke Raley's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved in recent games, increasing from 47.5% on the season to 54.5% in the past 14 days. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Luke Raley has been unlucky this year. His .335 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .382.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, J.P. Crawford ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). J.P. Crawford is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today. Batting from the opposite that Jack Leiter throws from, J.P. Crawford will have an advantage in today's matchup. J.P. Crawford's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 16.6% to 20.2%. Based on Statcast data, J.P. Crawford is in the 87th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .281.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Cal Raleigh ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Cal Raleigh is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game. Cal Raleigh has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 97.7-mph average to last year's 94.9-mph figure. Compared to last season, Cal Raleigh has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 17.6% to 21.2% this season. Ranking in the 100th percentile, Cal Raleigh has notched a .441 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

Batting from the opposite that Jack Leiter throws from, Dominic Canzone will have an edge today. Dominic Canzone's average exit velocity has risen significantly from last season to this one, averaging 92.3-mph now compared to just 89.9-mph then. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.240) provides evidence that Dominic Canzone has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his .215 actual batting average.

Jorge Polanco is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Jorge Polanco has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% of late, improving his 9.6% seasonal rate to 15.4% in the last week's worth of games. Jorge Polanco has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 103.9-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal EV of 92.3-mph. Jorge Polanco's launch angle recently (21.2° in the last 14 days) is a considerable increase over his 14.6° seasonal angle. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.276) may lead us to conclude that Jorge Polanco has suffered from bad luck this year with his .248 actual batting average.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Marcus Semien ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Marcus Semien is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest out of every team today. Marcus Semien will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.325) may lead us to conclude that Marcus Semien has had some very poor luck this year with his .287 actual wOBA.

Sam Haggerty has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.