Seattle @ Texas picks
Globe Life Field
SEA vs TEX Picks
MLB Picks
Total RBIs

Julio Rodriguez o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 9th-best batter in Major League Baseball when assessing his batting average talent.. Julio Rodriguez is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. Globe Life Field has the 8th-shortest average fence height in Major League Baseball.. In the last 7 days, Julio Rodriguez's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.7-mph over the course of the season to 95.7-mph in recent games.. Julio Rodriguez's launch angle lately (22.5° over the last 7 days) is significantly better than his 9.5° seasonal mark.
Total RBIs

Corey Seager o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Corey Seager ranks as the 12th-best batter in the majors.. Corey Seager is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.. Globe Life Field has the 8th-shortest average fence height in Major League Baseball.. Considering Luis Castillo's large platoon split, Corey Seager will have an enormous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game.. Corey Seager may have an edge against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners only has 1 same-handed RP.
Total RBIs

Luke Raley o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his home run talent, Luke Raley ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Luke Raley is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today.. Globe Life Field has the 8th-shortest average fence height in Major League Baseball.. Hitting from the opposite that Jack Leiter throws from, Luke Raley will have an edge in today's game.. Luke Raley's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved in recent games, increasing from 47.5% on the season to 54.5% in the past 14 days.
Total RBIs

Jonah Heim o0.5 Total RBIs (+225)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Jonah Heim is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 88% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. Globe Life Field has the 8th-shortest average fence height in Major League Baseball.. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of every team today.. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Jonah Heim will hold that advantage today.. Jonah Heim has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 91-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 88.7-mph mark.
Total RBIs

Cal Raleigh o0.5 Total RBIs (+115)
Projection 0.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Cal Raleigh projects as the 4th-best home run batter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Cal Raleigh is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game.. Globe Life Field has the 8th-shortest average fence height in Major League Baseball.. Cal Raleigh has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 97.7-mph average to last year's 94.9-mph figure.. Compared to last season, Cal Raleigh has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 17.6% to 21.2% this season.
Total Bases

Corey Seager o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 2.1 (Over)
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Corey Seager ranks as the 12th-best batter in the majors.. Corey Seager is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.. Globe Life Field has the 8th-shortest average fence height in Major League Baseball.. Considering Luis Castillo's large platoon split, Corey Seager will have an enormous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game.. Corey Seager may have an edge against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners only has 1 same-handed RP.
Total Bases

Randy Arozarena o0.5 Total Bases (-155)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Randy Arozarena is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game.. Globe Life Field has the 8th-shortest average fence height in Major League Baseball.. Randy Arozarena has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 98.6-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal figure of 95.9-mph.. Randy Arozarena has had some very poor luck with his home runs this year; his 13.9 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is significantly deflated relative to his 18.1 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Outs Recorded

Luis Castillo u17.5 Outs Recorded (+136)
Projection 17.3 (Under)
EV Model Rating
It may be sensible to expect stronger performance for the Texas Rangers offense in future games, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 3rd-unluckiest offense in the majors this year.. Projected catcher Mitch Garver grades out as a weak pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Globe Life Field has the 8th-shortest average fence height in Major League Baseball.. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of every team today.. Playing on the road generally reduces pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Luis Castillo today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Mitch Garver o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-160)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Globe Life Field has the 8th-shortest average fence height in Major League Baseball.. Mitch Garver has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 96.7-mph average to last year's 94.6-mph EV.. Mitch Garver's 18.6° launch angle (an advanced standard to study a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the highest in MLB: 89th percentile.
Total Bases

Julio Rodriguez o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 9th-best batter in Major League Baseball when assessing his batting average talent.. Julio Rodriguez is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. Globe Life Field has the 8th-shortest average fence height in Major League Baseball.. In the last 7 days, Julio Rodriguez's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.7-mph over the course of the season to 95.7-mph in recent games.. Julio Rodriguez's launch angle lately (22.5° over the last 7 days) is significantly better than his 9.5° seasonal mark.