Atlanta @ New York props

The shallowest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in Citi Field. Extreme flyball hitters like Ozzie Albies generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Griffin Canning. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the New York Mets. In the last 7 days, Ozzie Albies's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 88.9-mph over the course of the season to 91.6-mph of late. Ozzie Albies's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (18.4°) is significantly higher than his 14.2° figure last year.

Citi Field ranks as the #26 park in MLB for right-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which generally leads to lower offensive output. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 7th-best for hitting on the schedule today. Griffin Canning will have the handedness advantage over Ronald Acuna Jr. in today's matchup. Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Ronald Acuna Jr. in today's game.

The shallowest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in Citi Field. The switch-hitting Ronny Mauricio will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Grant Holmes. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Ronny Mauricio will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Alex Verdugo will have the handedness advantage over Griffin Canning in today's matchup. Alex Verdugo is likely to have an advantage against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the New York Mets has just 1 same-handed RP. Alex Verdugo has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the New York Mets.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Riley in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Austin Riley is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. Austin Riley hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Extreme flyball hitters like Austin Riley tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Griffin Canning. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the New York Mets.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 15th-best hitter in baseball. Pete Alonso is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. The shallowest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in Citi Field. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Pete Alonso will hold that advantage in today's matchup. The Barrel% of Pete Alonso has significantly improved, with an increase from 13.2% last year to 20.1% this year.

Tyrone Taylor pulls many of his flyballs (34.8% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Extreme flyball hitters like Tyrone Taylor are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Grant Holmes. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Tyrone Taylor will hold that advantage today. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Tyrone Taylor has had bad variance on his side this year. His .273 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .307.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Marcell Ozuna is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game. Marcell Ozuna pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.9% — 80th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the New York Mets. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Marcell Ozuna's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.4-mph over the course of the season to 98.4-mph in recent games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 91st percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Michael Harris II will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Griffin Canning today. Michael Harris II may have the upper hand against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the New York Mets has just 1 same-handed RP. Michael Harris II hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 85th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's shallowest CF fences today. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the New York Mets.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 3rd-best batter in the majors. Juan Soto is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The shallowest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in Citi Field. Juan Soto will hold the platoon advantage over Grant Holmes today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Juan Soto will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Olson in the 97th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Matt Olson is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. The shallowest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in Citi Field. Batting from the opposite that Griffin Canning throws from, Matt Olson will have an edge in today's matchup. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Matt Olson has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

The shallowest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in Citi Field.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Francisco Lindor is penciled in 1st in the batting order today. The shallowest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in Citi Field. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Francisco Lindor will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Francisco Lindor has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 98-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal EV of 93.9-mph.

Sean Murphy is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. Sean Murphy pulls many of his flyballs (36.6% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the New York Mets.

Nick Allen hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 91st percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's shallowest CF fences today. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the New York Mets.

Batting from the opposite that Grant Holmes throws from, Brett Baty will have an edge in today's game. Brett Baty has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Brett Baty will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Brett Baty's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, increasing from 11.8% to 19.7%. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.265) may lead us to conclude that Brett Baty has experienced some negative variance this year with his .217 actual batting average.

Jeff McNeil is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. The shallowest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in Citi Field. Jeff McNeil will hold the platoon advantage over Grant Holmes in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Jeff McNeil will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Jeff McNeil has put up a .346 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, grading out in the 81st percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Torrens in the 75th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Luis Torrens hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 91st percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Luis Torrens will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.359) provides evidence that Luis Torrens has suffered from bad luck this year with his .278 actual wOBA.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Nimmo is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today. Hitting from the opposite that Grant Holmes throws from, Brandon Nimmo will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Brandon Nimmo has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Brandon Nimmo will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

Drake Baldwin has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.