Atlanta @ New York props

The #1 venue in the league for suppressing base hits to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field. Citi Field's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to worse offense. Batting from the same side that Frankie Montas throws from, Ronald Acuna Jr. meets a tough challenge in today's game. Ronald Acuna Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup. Ronald Acuna Jr. has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .506 figure is a good deal higher than his .409 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Alex Verdugo's batting average skill is projected to be in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 94°. Alex Verdugo will have the handedness advantage over Frankie Montas in today's matchup. Alex Verdugo has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Despite posting a .273 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Alex Verdugo has been unlucky given the .035 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .308.

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 94°. Batting from the opposite that Spencer Strider throws from, Brett Baty will have the upper hand today. Brett Baty has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Extreme flyball batters like Brett Baty tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Spencer Strider. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Brett Baty will hold that advantage in today's game.

Juan Soto projects as the 4th-best batter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Juan Soto is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game. Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in MLB. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 94°. Hitting from the opposite that Spencer Strider throws from, Juan Soto will have an advantage in today's matchup.

Luis Torrens's BABIP ability is projected in the 75th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 94°. Luis Torrens hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Luis Torrens will hold that advantage today. Luis Torrens has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .279 mark is a fair amount lower than his .360 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Drake Baldwin is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 94°. Drake Baldwin will hold the platoon advantage against Frankie Montas in today's game. Drake Baldwin has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Extreme groundball hitters like Drake Baldwin are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Frankie Montas.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Francisco Lindor is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game. Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in MLB. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 94°. Francisco Lindor will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 94°. Nick Allen hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Extreme groundball hitters like Nick Allen are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Frankie Montas.

Pete Alonso projects as the 15th-best batter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Pete Alonso is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in MLB. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 94°. Pete Alonso will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Starling Marte in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Starling Marte is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in MLB. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 94°. Extreme flyball bats like Starling Marte are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Spencer Strider.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 92nd percentile when estimating his batting average ability. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 94°. Michael Harris II will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Frankie Montas in today's matchup. Michael Harris II hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's shallowest CF fences today. Extreme flyball bats like Michael Harris II tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Frankie Montas.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Matt Olson ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Olson is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in MLB. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 94°. Matt Olson will have the handedness advantage against Frankie Montas today.

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 94°. Tyrone Taylor pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.7% — 87th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Tyrone Taylor will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Compared to his seasonal average of 19.7°, Tyrone Taylor has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 24.2° figure in the past 14 days. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Tyrone Taylor has had bad variance on his side this year. His .273 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .308.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 94°. Hitting from the opposite that Spencer Strider throws from, Brandon Nimmo will have the upper hand in today's game. Brandon Nimmo has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Marcell Ozuna is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 94°. Marcell Ozuna pulls many of his flyballs (33.9% — 80th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Marcell Ozuna has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 98.1-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal mark of 95.4-mph.

Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in MLB. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 94°. Ozzie Albies has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 90.4-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 86.8-mph EV. Ozzie Albies's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (17.9°) is considerably better than his 14.2° figure last year. Ozzie Albies has been unlucky this year, notching a .280 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .316 — a .036 deviation.

Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in MLB. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 94°. The switch-hitting Ronny Mauricio will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Spencer Strider. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Ronny Mauricio will hold that advantage in today's game. Ronny Mauricio's launch angle in recent games (28.3° in the past week) is quite a bit better than his 11.8° seasonal figure.

Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in MLB. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 94°. Hitting from the opposite that Spencer Strider throws from, Jeff McNeil will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Jeff McNeil will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Jeff McNeil's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 16.3% to 19.5%.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Austin Riley ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Austin Riley is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 94°. Austin Riley hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 79th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's shallowest CF fences today. Austin Riley's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls recently (24.3° in the past 14 days) is significantly higher than his 15.1° seasonal figure.

Hayden Senger has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.